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Are Economists Worth Listening To?

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Lyons550 Flag Shirley 18 Jul 18 9.57am Send a Private Message to Lyons550 Add Lyons550 as a friend

This article [Link] is yet another example of forecasts missing their mark.

This is becoming a regular thing now; which begs the question what is the point of economic forecasting.. .unless you want to know what ISN'T going to happen!

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

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Midlands Eagle Flag 18 Jul 18 10.22am Send a Private Message to Midlands Eagle Add Midlands Eagle as a friend

The Office for Budget Responsibility reminds me of the Ministry of truth in 1984 as they are continually rewriting history

 

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becky Flag over the moon 18 Jul 18 12.42pm Send a Private Message to becky Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add becky as a friend

Ought to be merged with the Met Office - they get it right about the same percentage too!

 


A stairway to Heaven and a Highway to Hell give some indication of expected traffic numbers

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Beanyboysmd Flag 18 Jul 18 1.21pm Send a Private Message to Beanyboysmd Add Beanyboysmd as a friend

Economists are generally the only people worth listening too in life as they have no agenda other than making money, they dont care about politics, race, creed, age or religion. Only how any of those things effect their money.

The people who make the news based on what an economist says are generally the only people you should never trust. They have no agenda other than getting a reaction from people who care about politics, race creed age and religeon. Getting a reaction from any of those things are how they make money...

Trust an economist but dont trust the media reporting it is the jist of post!

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 18 Jul 18 1.22pm Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Don't forget the IMF politicians love to quote them yet their record is pretty atrocious.

If you have 9 economists you will get 10 opinions. Reminds me of The Sun on Grand National day when they have about 20 tipsters and then claim "it was the Sun what tipped the winner"

 


One more point

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Lyons550 Flag Shirley 19 Jul 18 12.03pm Send a Private Message to Lyons550 Add Lyons550 as a friend

Another day...another piece on the economy 'confounding' expectations [Link]

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 19 Jul 18 12.55pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

If they were accurate all of the time they’d be making fortunes in the stock/futures markets.

 


COYP

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Brentmiester_General Flag Front line in the battle against t... 19 Jul 18 6.19pm

Originally posted by Beanyboysmd

Economists are generally the only people worth listening too in life as they have no agenda other than making money, they dont care about politics, race, creed, age or religion. Only how any of those things effect their money.

The people who make the news based on what an economist says are generally the only people you should never trust. They have no agenda other than getting a reaction from people who care about politics, race creed age and religeon. Getting a reaction from any of those things are how they make money...

Trust an economist but dont trust the media reporting it is the jist of post!

I know an economist who cares about all of the above that you list. They aren’t necessarily robots. Although they can come across that way sometimes.

 


"We love you Palace, we f@cking hate Man U, We love you Palace, we hate the brighton too, We love you Palace we play in red 'n' blue, so f@ck you, and you ...

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YT Flag Oxford 19 Jul 18 6.22pm Send a Private Message to YT Add YT as a friend

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

If they were accurate all of the time they’d be making fortunes in the stock/futures markets.

Maybe they predict one thing and bet on the opposite.

 


Palace since 19 August 1972. Palace 1 (Tony Taylor) Liverpool 1 (Emlyn Hughes)

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PalazioVecchio Flag south pole 20 Jul 18 4.23pm Send a Private Message to PalazioVecchio Add PalazioVecchio as a friend

there are right-wing economists and also left-wing ones.

the worst are those advising monsters like Hitler/Stalin/PolPot etc.


if you line up all the economists on the planet , head-to-toe....they will never reach a conclusion.

go back and look at massive turning points in Economic History, October 1929 Stock market crash, the abandonment of the gold standard, the South-sea bubble, the dot com crash etc ...

in almost all cases there were loads of economists who failed to see the Elephant in the room

 


Kayla did Anfield & Old Trafford

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ddjdd Flag Chichester 20 Jul 18 4.56pm Send a Private Message to ddjdd Add ddjdd as a friend

If you want your opinion on any economic matter to be based on a level of knowledge and understanding, then read and digest what economists have to say.

Particularly with things like forecasts, error margins exist and mistakes are made because the world is a chaotic system, and any number of perturbations can occur to throw it off from what was predicted a year ago.

If you disagree with what an economist is saying, don't ask 'are economists worth listening to?', that's ridiculous and helps no one, least of all yourself. Instead look at the assumptions they made in their work etc etc, and challenge the logic behind those.

On the other hand, if you merely want to back up whatever your political opinion is, then just read opinion pieces from your favourite newspaper (These will have varying degrees of bias).

Basically yes they are, and this is another stupid thread.

 

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PalazioVecchio Flag south pole 20 Jul 18 5.10pm Send a Private Message to PalazioVecchio Add PalazioVecchio as a friend

Economics tries to apply scientific methods to answer difficult big questions about large numbers of actors and forces.

Go and read the Freakonomics books. An excellent introduction to the application of statistical principles to the real world.

favourite example from the 'gun control lobby' in the US. Many more people are killed annually by swimming pools than by guns.

 


Kayla did Anfield & Old Trafford

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