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November 24 2024 4.31pm

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Taking our chances......

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Tommyp151211 Flag 16 Nov 17 2.13pm Send a Private Message to Tommyp151211 Add Tommyp151211 as a friend

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For those interested, a decent article with some stuff about Palace.....

 

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CrazyBadger Flag Ware 16 Nov 17 4.04pm Send a Private Message to CrazyBadger Add CrazyBadger as a friend

not Convinced about Expected goals - a rather meaningless stat.

It'd be interesting to see what the table would look like if a league table was calculated where the points were allocated on xG and not Actual goals, I think it'd probably show just how unreliable it is..

i.e.
Palace 1 West Ham 1
the xG stats Show
Palace 3.16 West ham 0.73
so we'd get The 3 points

work that out for every game this season, then see what the League table looks like !

 


"It was a Team effort, I guess it took all players working together to lose this one"

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chateauferret Flag 16 Nov 17 4.11pm

It's bollocks. It doesn't for instance reflect the effect of a goal on the game after that point. If Wilf's chance against Spurs had gone in we'd have parked the bus, for example.

 


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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 16 Nov 17 4.36pm

Originally posted by chateauferret

It's bollocks. It doesn't for instance reflect the effect of a goal on the game after that point. If Wilf's chance against Spurs had gone in we'd have parked the bus, for example.

Well yes, and no. You kind of have to accept that statistically you're basing your probability factors on the variables that are controllable. Of course you might include effectors based on the likelihood of certain factors, such as the first team to score is the most likely to be the second team to score, and the team that scores 2 in x number of cases will go onto win the game.

So you could include a co-efficient based on a teams likelihood to park the bus, based on the quality of their opposition.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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