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Jeremy Corbyn

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chris123 Flag hove actually 30 Sep 15 4.22pm Send a Private Message to chris123 Add chris123 as a friend

Quote sydtheeagle at 30 Sep 2015 4.17pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 4.03pm

Having a sub based nuclear deterrent gives us many more options.


That may well be true. But do we need more options? The original question was, do we not have enough options already to do sufficient damage to have a deterrent effect? And if we don't now, at what point will be? Do we just renew our nuclear spend ad infinitum? Does there come a time when we have enough? If we buy the submarines, would we say "we've done it now. We don't need anything else for 15 years?" I doubt it. How do we or you weigh nuclear weapon spend against other societal investments when financial resources are finite? Does military spending come first because there's no country to build hospitals in if it's not properly defended? Or does military spend come last because a country without hospitals isn't worth defending? It seems to me that with the weapons we have and the collective will of our existing allies, uncertain that we need to spend even more at a time when we have huge infrastructure needs that require investment.


Edited by sydtheeagle (30 Sep 2015 4.18pm)

Then vote accordingly.

 

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davidpercival Flag Croydon 30 Sep 15 4.24pm Send a Private Message to davidpercival Add davidpercival as a friend

Options to do what? Only five countries in the world acknowledge having nuclear weapons. Does that mean the other two hundred or so are in some sort of danger? Of course not. To renew Trident cost 100 billion pounds. To spend that sort of money would be insane when it could build houses, schools, hospitals, railways, roads etc.

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 4.03pm

Quote sydtheeagle at 30 Sep 2015 3.22pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 2.46pm

The state of European peace is more fragile now that for the last 20 years - Russia in Ukraine in particular - these things have a deterrent value just by having them, and to unilaterally disarm is not defending the realm, which should be any Governments priority.

I'm no expert in nuclear weaponry but I'd have thought we have quite enough of them already to blow the world and ourselves to oblivion so why do we need to invest even more money in them when other areas of society are crying out for investment? I agree the realm should be defended, but it's "how", not "if".


Having a sub based nuclear deterrent gives us many more options.


 

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chris123 Flag hove actually 30 Sep 15 4.38pm Send a Private Message to chris123 Add chris123 as a friend

Quote davidpercival at 30 Sep 2015 4.24pm

Options to do what? Only five countries in the world acknowledge having nuclear weapons. Does that mean the other two hundred or so are in some sort of danger? Of course not. To renew Trident cost 100 billion pounds. To spend that sort of money would be insane when it could build houses, schools, hospitals, railways, roads etc.

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 4.03pm

Quote sydtheeagle at 30 Sep 2015 3.22pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 2.46pm

The state of European peace is more fragile now that for the last 20 years - Russia in Ukraine in particular - these things have a deterrent value just by having them, and to unilaterally disarm is not defending the realm, which should be any Governments priority.

I'm no expert in nuclear weaponry but I'd have thought we have quite enough of them already to blow the world and ourselves to oblivion so why do we need to invest even more money in them when other areas of society are crying out for investment? I agree the realm should be defended, but it's "how", not "if".


Having a sub based nuclear deterrent gives us many more options.


Do you mean the signatories to the non-proliferation treaty? Because there's more than just those.

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 30 Sep 15 4.47pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 4.03pm

Quote sydtheeagle at 30 Sep 2015 3.22pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 2.46pm

The state of European peace is more fragile now that for the last 20 years - Russia in Ukraine in particular - these things have a deterrent value just by having them, and to unilaterally disarm is not defending the realm, which should be any Governments priority.

I'm no expert in nuclear weaponry but I'd have thought we have quite enough of them already to blow the world and ourselves to oblivion so why do we need to invest even more money in them when other areas of society are crying out for investment? I agree the realm should be defended, but it's "how", not "if".


Having a sub based nuclear deterrent gives us many more options.

Actually it doesn't. There are inherent problems with submarine based deterrents, not least the fact we'd only ever have two submarines at sea (and often one).

Trident submarines operate by sitting at the bottom of the ocean in range of a target nation for several months at a time, during which they remain in complete radio silence (they only monitor communications, they do not broadcast). As such, you can't really change targets, without giving away your location to the enemy, because that requires transmission and receipt of signals.

When Trident goes to sea, not even the crew or command base, will know where it will be located or its targets. Its utterly vital for Trident submarines to never be detected, because they'd be easy prey for destroyers and hunter-killer submarines because they won't have the Royal Navy to protect them.

The US don't operate a singular nuclear system (they have I think four different nuclear options at any given time). We however only have the missiles on two submarines.

Targets are usually programmed into missiles when they are in port (and there are always at least two Trident submarines docked, and one to two on patrol). In theory targets could be retargeted remotely, but that would mean not verifying the transmissions of data and verifying back with command (typically both command and the submarine will need to verify).

They incidently rotated targets in order to prevent the soviet being able to determine where the missiles would probably hit, and thus intercept them.

Part of the point of Trident, is that even if you hijacked the submarine, you couldn't launch or retarget the missiles (Only the PM or depuities can issue an order to launch, the commander has a locked safe which as a final fall back contains either a launch or no launch command, so that even if all communications along with the PM and nuclear deputies are lost, the UK can still retaliate

So whilst Submarines seem more flexible, they aren't. The UK system doesn't work like the US one. No one on the submarine has the capacity to target or order the launch of missiles (the commander doesn't have a launch code or even knowledge of where the missiles are targeted).

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 30 Sep 15 4.50pm

Quote serial thriller at 30 Sep 2015 4.12pm

Quote jamiemartin721 at 30 Sep 2015 2.40pm

Quote serial thriller at 30 Sep 2015 11.45am

Quote Lyons550 at 30 Sep 2015 11.20am

Serial...whilst I wouldn't argue with your points in the above post i'd add the following to broaden the discussion.

There is over supply milk industry at the moment...which is why prices have dropped and Dairy farmers saying that its unsustainable. The fact that cattle may well be injected with Lactating serums(sp) clearly isn't helping this.

Also re, meat, again it cant be argued that meat consumption is greater now than it has been; but that's just as likely due to affordability as it is anything else. The greatest threat to the Ozone is actually from the cattle farting...so technically you're correct in suggesting that the 'industry' needs to be addressed...perhaps if there was a way of harnessing the gas we'd be far better off (?)

The real way to address these issues is education and moderation...as humans meat is an important part of a balanced diet as is dairy.


I think this is a bit of a misnoma. Firstly, 80% of the Amazon deforestation has occurred due to increased cattle ranch - this has a massive effect on the ability of the planet to absorb carbon emissions. Secondly, the increase in methane correlates with the increase in the number of animals we are basing modern diets on. We kill 60 billion animals a year - as I said, twice the number we did 40 years ago - and the soy diet most cattle are fed on also increases methane, again a necessity in the industrial farming of animals.

Also your last point really is worth tackling as I think it's a view dictated to us from childhood. You can get every single nutrient your body needs to live healthily from a non-animal-product based diet, except for vitamin B12. Veganism is less likely to lead to high blood pressure, cancer, heart disease and may many other illnesses, and you only have to walk around the streets to see the damaging effect a modern Western diet is having on our population. You may use B12 to argue your case, but for me taking supplements is a small price to pay if it means that we are not slaughtering innocent living beings for our own comfort and efficiency. Ultimately, I believe that if there is anything superior in human beings to animals, it is our ability to show love and empathy in a position of power over a weaker being. This is true whether in the case of rejecting human slavery, in political governance, or in terms of how we treat the animals that we share this planet with.

I'm pretty sure you can get B12 from Bran and from Tofu (admittedly the levels are pretty low in the later). Unless you're eating liver, then most meats and fish aren't great sources of B12 anyhow.

Although I'm not so sure about veganism, as an ethical choice, given that the survival of chickens, cows etc would kind of require a purposeful function, such as milk provision and eggs (its not like most livestock could probably survive in the wild). I think along the same lines, admittedly more weakly because I can't quite bring myself to cut out some meat (chicken, fish primarily and occasionally bacon and an occasional steak).


Again, I strongly urge you to give this a watch Jamie. I think you'd really appreciate it and it challenges any kind of idea that what humans are doing to animals is benevolent: [Link]

I don't actually believe they are. However, without eggs and milk, would these animals even be 'allowed to exist'?

Future generation will likely look back at 20 and 21st centuary farming and meat consumption in the same way that I look at Whaling.


 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 30 Sep 15 4.58pm

Quote davidpercival at 30 Sep 2015 4.24pm

Options to do what? Only five countries in the world acknowledge having nuclear weapons. Does that mean the other two hundred or so are in some sort of danger? Of course not. To renew Trident cost 100 billion pounds. To spend that sort of money would be insane when it could build houses, schools, hospitals, railways, roads etc.

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 4.03pm

Quote sydtheeagle at 30 Sep 2015 3.22pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 2.46pm

The state of European peace is more fragile now that for the last 20 years - Russia in Ukraine in particular - these things have a deterrent value just by having them, and to unilaterally disarm is not defending the realm, which should be any Governments priority.

I'm no expert in nuclear weaponry but I'd have thought we have quite enough of them already to blow the world and ourselves to oblivion so why do we need to invest even more money in them when other areas of society are crying out for investment? I agree the realm should be defended, but it's "how", not "if".


Having a sub based nuclear deterrent gives us many more options.


pakistan
India
France
UK
USA
Israel (has never admitted it but it seems to )
South Africa (had six but disarmed in the 90s).
China

Possibly North Korea has recently entered a nuclear capability, but its not certain. In the future Iran and Saudi Arabia are likely to eventually join 'the club'.

Realistically, only two of those are ever likely to be a threat to the UK, China and Russia. pakistan has its arsenal firmly targeted on India, and North Korea lacks missile capacity to hit the UK. Of those two I think Trident was only ever deployed against Russia (I think China is too far to ensure operational certainity - ie permanent cover of enemies).


 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

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chris123 Flag hove actually 30 Sep 15 5.03pm Send a Private Message to chris123 Add chris123 as a friend

Quote jamiemartin721 at 30 Sep 2015 4.47pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 4.03pm

Quote sydtheeagle at 30 Sep 2015 3.22pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 2.46pm

The state of European peace is more fragile now that for the last 20 years - Russia in Ukraine in particular - these things have a deterrent value just by having them, and to unilaterally disarm is not defending the realm, which should be any Governments priority.

I'm no expert in nuclear weaponry but I'd have thought we have quite enough of them already to blow the world and ourselves to oblivion so why do we need to invest even more money in them when other areas of society are crying out for investment? I agree the realm should be defended, but it's "how", not "if".


Having a sub based nuclear deterrent gives us many more options.

Actually it doesn't. There are inherent problems with submarine based deterrents, not least the fact we'd only ever have two submarines at sea (and often one).

Trident submarines operate by sitting at the bottom of the ocean in range of a target nation for several months at a time, during which they remain in complete radio silence (they only monitor communications, they do not broadcast). As such, you can't really change targets, without giving away your location to the enemy, because that requires transmission and receipt of signals.

When Trident goes to sea, not even the crew or command base, will know where it will be located or its targets. Its utterly vital for Trident submarines to never be detected, because they'd be easy prey for destroyers and hunter-killer submarines because they won't have the Royal Navy to protect them.

The US don't operate a singular nuclear system (they have I think four different nuclear options at any given time). We however only have the missiles on two submarines.

Targets are usually programmed into missiles when they are in port (and there are always at least two Trident submarines docked, and one to two on patrol). In theory targets could be retargeted remotely, but that would mean not verifying the transmissions of data and verifying back with command (typically both command and the submarine will need to verify).

They incidently rotated targets in order to prevent the soviet being able to determine where the missiles would probably hit, and thus intercept them.

Part of the point of Trident, is that even if you hijacked the submarine, you couldn't launch or retarget the missiles (Only the PM or depuities can issue an order to launch, the commander has a locked safe which as a final fall back contains either a launch or no launch command, so that even if all communications along with the PM and nuclear deputies are lost, the UK can still retaliate

So whilst Submarines seem more flexible, they aren't. The UK system doesn't work like the US one. No one on the submarine has the capacity to target or order the launch of missiles (the commander doesn't have a launch code or even knowledge of where the missiles are targeted).


Well a three year, cross party commission came out in favour of Trident only last year, but maybe you know better - he's a clip

"If there is more than a negligible chance that the possession of nuclear weapons might play a decisive future role in the defence of the United Kingdom and its allies in preventing nuclear blackmail or in affecting the wider security context with which the UK sits, then they should be retained."

 

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sydtheeagle Flag England 30 Sep 15 5.57pm Send a Private Message to sydtheeagle Add sydtheeagle as a friend

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 5.03pm

"If there is more than a negligible chance that the possession of nuclear weapons might play a decisive future role in the defence of the United Kingdom and its allies in preventing nuclear blackmail or in affecting the wider security context with which the UK sits, then they should be retained."

But the threat today is surely radical groups rather than nations? And whatever else is needed to defend against them, it's not nuclear weaponry. We're not going to drop nukes on ISIS (if we could find where to drop them first) and possession of Nukes will do little to avert catastrophes like 9/11. In my view, nukes were relevant in a bygone age.

I would say the threat of a inter-nation "World War" has receded and whilst, yes, there's always a North Korea to prove the rule, does anyone really believe that particular "threat" will be curtailed by Britain's fleet of Tridents? If there is a World War, it won't be led by us and it likely won't be decided by our arsenal. We're already a near irrelevance in terms of real global influence so why be a heavily-armed irrelevance? Now that the world no longer looks to Britain for military leadership, why not take advantage of that fact and invest in the fabric of society instead?

I think the point is that we need to look at what we are (as a nation) and what we can potentially be. What we want to be good at. How we want our people to live. What role we can play in the world. I absolutely agree that we need to be safe and we need to have a functioning military which requires respect, support, and investment but I do not believe that millions spunked on a largely redundant nuclear system replicated anyway by our wealthier allies is a wise investment in present times. Even if I were to agree to invest those billions in the military, I suspect it could be spent on better things than Trident. It's a resounding "no" from me.

 


Sydenham by birth. Selhurst by the Grace of God.

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susmik Flag PLYMOUTH -But Made in Old Coulsdon... 30 Sep 15 7.24pm Send a Private Message to susmik Add susmik as a friend

Quote sydtheeagle at 30 Sep 2015 5.57pm

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 5.03pm

"If there is more than a negligible chance that the possession of nuclear weapons might play a decisive future role in the defence of the United Kingdom and its allies in preventing nuclear blackmail or in affecting the wider security context with which the UK sits, then they should be retained."

But the threat today is surely radical groups rather than nations? And whatever else is needed to defend against them, it's not nuclear weaponry. We're not going to drop nukes on ISIS (if we could find where to drop them first) and possession of Nukes will do little to avert catastrophes like 9/11. In my view, nukes were relevant in a bygone age.

I would say the threat of a inter-nation "World War" has receded and whilst, yes, there's always a North Korea to prove the rule, does anyone really believe that particular "threat" will be curtailed by Britain's fleet of Tridents? If there is a World War, it won't be led by us and it likely won't be decided by our arsenal. We're already a near irrelevance in terms of real global influence so why be a heavily-armed irrelevance? Now that the world no longer looks to Britain for military leadership, why not take advantage of that fact and invest in the fabric of society instead?

I think the point is that we need to look at what we are (as a nation) and what we can potentially be. What we want to be good at. How we want our people to live. What role we can play in the world. I absolutely agree that we need to be safe and we need to have a functioning military which requires respect, support, and investment but I do not believe that millions spunked on a largely redundant nuclear system replicated anyway by our wealthier allies is a wise investment in present times. Even if I were to agree to invest those billions in the military, I suspect it could be spent on better things than Trident. It's a resounding "no" from me.


You are forgetting Russia mate as Putin is building up his arsenal and has been for years......

 


Supported Palace for over 69 years since the age of 7 and have seen all the ups and downs and will probably see many more ups and downs before I go up to the big football club in the sky.

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sydtheeagle Flag England 30 Sep 15 7.39pm Send a Private Message to sydtheeagle Add sydtheeagle as a friend

Quote susmik at 30 Sep 2015 7.24pm

You are forgetting Russia mate as Putin is building up his arsenal and has been for years......

I think it's somewhat questionable whether Putin's Imperialism is directed beyond the former Soviet-bloc. And not even that to its full extent. Without Stalinism to export, it's more of a localised land-grab than a threat to the world -- can you really see him invading Germany at this point? -- though in economic terms no doubt he wants to extend Russia's influence further than that. Doing so, however, would not be a military threat and probably won't be best countered by military action.

Russia today, while still governed in an odious way, is far more pragmatic and less zealous than it was 50 years ago. Russia may not be our friend or, even, trustworthy, but it is not the same kind of enemy and I doubt they will become that kind of enemy again. Even if we do invest in Nukes, I suspect that it won't be from Russia they need to protect us.

 


Sydenham by birth. Selhurst by the Grace of God.

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We are goin up! Flag Coulsdon 30 Sep 15 9.18pm Send a Private Message to We are goin up! Add We are goin up! as a friend

Quote sydtheeagle at 30 Sep 2015 4.02pm


I suppose it really boils down to a question of "who owns the Labour Party"? You could argue that Blair took steps that won elections, but with a party that didn't much resemble Labour. That being the case, the question becomes the degree to which Labour members want to compromise their values to get elected. As Corbyn was chosen leader by the entire party, I thinks it's probably fair to conclude that if nothing else, he's delivering what the party has asked for...electable or not.

One interesting thing will be, if Corbyn proves popular and does appear to be getting traction with voters (whether or not it's a big IF is irrelevant. Let's just imagine that does happen), how far will he drag the Tories to the left (just as Thatcher effectively dragged Labour to the right?) At the end of the day, most political animals revert to vote-winning compromises when it comes down to it so it may yet be that, elected or not, Corbyn has some impact on the line of direction of British politics.


Edited by sydtheeagle (30 Sep 2015 4.03pm)


Is that really the question though? Should the question not be "What do I want to happen to my country?". In power on a centrist platform, Blair was able to do some quite left-wing things: minimum wage, more generous welfare state, Sure Start. Electoral history suggests you cannot win an election from the left, so surely Labour supporters would rather Labour implemented some left-wing things in power than none in opposition?

On your second point, I think New Labour actually dragged the Tories to the left slightly (again, shouldn't this be what Labour want?), as they're certainly not as right-wing now as they were in the past. Could you imagine the 80s Conservative Party legalising gay marriage and increasing foreign aid?

 


The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.

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lankygit Flag Lincoln 30 Sep 15 11.43pm Send a Private Message to lankygit Add lankygit as a friend

Quote npn at 30 Sep 2015 7.49am

Quote chris123 at 30 Sep 2015 7.09am

Quote jcreedy at 29 Sep 2015 10.27pm

I still think he'll be Prime Minister


You can get 7/1 in most places.


That sounds ludicrously low to me - I'd think that would be a decent price for him leading Labour into an election, but you could add a nought on that for him actually winning one!


7/10,eh?
I`m liking your style np.

 


Is this a five minute argument, or the full half hour? [Link]

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