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Y Ddraig Goch In The Crowd 26 May 16 3.00pm | |
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In the grand scheme of things it will in all likelihood make diddly squat difference whether we stay or go. Although a few political careers may be consigned to the dustbin.
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Hoof Hearted 26 May 16 3.42pm | |
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One observation.... since our cup final defeat, the debate on here is more friendly, sensible and gentlemanly. Bravo every one and may the best team win!
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johnfirewall 26 May 16 4.10pm | |
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Originally posted by JohnyBoy
And the world is demographically been divided into trading blocks whether we like it or not. The US, Japan, China, India, the EU, are the power brokers followed by Brazil&Russia and Africa. Isolationism in the global economy is just foolish, and is backed up by all independent forecasts. Why are you quoting the governments guesswork then? Who exactly are we isolating ourselves from? Of course we have to negotiate new deals but what happen in the meantime, do we not import / export anything overseas?
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slubglurge welling 26 May 16 4.20pm | |
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No one has to convince me; its out all the way. 10 years ago my wifes company offered all the staff a redundacy payment to leave. My wife and two friends stayed, they then refilled the posts with Lithuanians who had just joined the EU. They haven't had a payrise since
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JohnyBoy 26 May 16 4.35pm | |
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Originally posted by johnfirewall
Why are you quoting the governments guesswork then? Who exactly are we isolating ourselves from? Of course we have to negotiate new deals but what happen in the meantime, do we not import / export anything overseas? The 'governments guesswork' i have used is based on independent forecasts from the IMF, OECD, the treasury, IFS, the world bank and over 90% of economists who currently predict that the economy would be hit by between 1.5% - 9.5%. My own judgement would be somewhere in the middle, so like everyone else (atleast with any credibility) i would say that i dont know exactly by how much we would be worse off but almosy certainly still worse off.
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-TUX- Alphabettispaghetti 26 May 16 5.23pm | |
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Originally posted by Y Ddraig Goch
In the grand scheme of things it will in all likelihood make diddly squat difference whether we stay or go. Although a few political careers may be consigned to the dustbin. Is the correct answer.
Time to move forward together. |
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Sportyteacher London 27 May 16 8.53am | |
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Originally posted by Kermit8
Latest Mori poll: 1,000 randomly asked Remain a member of the European Union: 48% Leave the European Union: 35% Undecided: 14% Would not vote:3% I make that 65% idiots/potential idiots according to monkeychops and 35% the enlightened, sensible brave new world few also according to monkeychops. Edited by Kermit8 (18 May 2016 10.05pm)[/quote I, for one, can't wait for this EU referendum to get out of the way. Despite the importance and ramifications of the vote, this is ONE subject for debate that has clearly limited Government resources from getting on with its main day-to-day work, and with a LONG summer recess just around the corner. No wonder very little gets achieved within this country e.g. maintenance /modernisation of infrastructure.
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 27 May 16 10.28am | |
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Originally posted by JohnyBoy
I have to say this one made me laugh or cry maybe, but perhaps we should pay attention to our mums rather than angry white disestablishment male types who see no value in education who, if they manage to get their misinformation believed would make us all as miserable as them....but anti-intellectualism really isnt that cool is it when you consider what the leave vote really is about Are remain voters all really little mummys boys?? Really?? Or is it just fanciful thinking by those leave voters on there downers that an immigrant free Britain would bring some kind of depressed utopia....and they think if they throw in a little bit of name-calling that we will come round to their irrational way of thinking...Really? Either you're George Osborne's think tank or echo. A lot of what you've posted has been shown to be fantasy, calculations made on worst case scenarios with absolutely no positives whatsoever included or come from the cosy establishment that have vested interests and allies within their protected web of expertise. Where were they before 2008 and other obviously awful economic recessions? Even a leftie who you respect has said he wants out, yet on here that wasn't posted. Yes, the mature Paul Mason who said he wanted out but had a problem voting out because those nasty tories, BJ and MG, would be leading Britain. How mature. Consider voting in because he doesn't like them? Why not vote out and in the next General Election and try and elect a centre left party which is what a few pro-immigration but anti-EU lefties I've heard say. That's democracy. Martin Lewis had it right. If you can embrace risk and see a bright future then it can sway you to vote out. If you cannot take risk then vote in. You'll probably have a little less money for a while and there may be economic shocks on the way, but the upside could be worth it. 'The Agenda' programme has been removed from the ITV website. All other episodes in the series have been left there to view. Funny that. I'm tired of this country pandering to the EU and big business, which is what this Union is all for. SME's are where the future can be for this country and a fairer distribution of wealth with less fat cats and less emphasis on short-term goals for end of year only and focus on share prices. Just look at the German economy for proof. Edited by Rudi Hedman (27 May 2016 11.17am)
COYP |
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 27 May 16 10.43am | |
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Originally posted by JohnyBoy
The 'governments guesswork' i have used is based on independent forecasts from the IMF, OECD, the treasury, IFS, the world bank and over 90% of economists who currently predict that the economy would be hit by between 1.5% - 9.5%. My own judgement would be somewhere in the middle, so like everyone else (atleast with any credibility) i would say that i dont know exactly by how much we would be worse off but almosy certainly still worse off. The other guesswork you've used is from closed meetings where the result comes before the calculation has been done. If you saw Paul Hilton on QT last night or on tv before you'll know that these £4,300 numbers and such like are fabricated g&sh. He was strategy director for David Cameron. He now isn't and is coming clean on how false all the sh1t that the Euro-sceptic and pro-exit if no real reform is agreed Cameron & Osborne are being. And the high % fall in GDP is no doubt calculated without expansion in other markets. What's our export level outside the EU? 55%. How much of our ecnomy is SME's? Is it 80%. There will no doubt be a difficult period but it'll be worth it. Life lasts longer than 2,5 years or 1 economic cycle and it's not just for now or your next house move. This is an opportunity to break free, determine our own future and plan our own domestic policies.
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JohnyBoy 27 May 16 2.13pm | |
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Originally posted by Rudi Hedman
Either you're George Osborne's think tank or echo. A lot of what you've posted has been shown to be fantasy, calculations made on worst case scenarios with absolutely no positives whatsoever included or come from the cosy establishment that have vested interests and allies within their protected web of expertise. Where were they before 2008 and other obviously awful economic recessions? Even a leftie who you respect has said he wants out, yet on here that wasn't posted. Yes, the mature Paul Mason who said he wanted out but had a problem voting out because those nasty tories, BJ and MG, would be leading Britain. How mature. Consider voting in because he doesn't like them? Why not vote out and in the next General Election and try and elect a centre left party which is what a few pro-immigration but anti-EU lefties I've heard say. That's democracy. Martin Lewis had it right. If you can embrace risk and see a bright future then it can sway you to vote out. If you cannot take risk then vote in. You'll probably have a little less money for a while and there may be economic shocks on the way, but the upside could be worth it. 'The Agenda' programme has been removed from the ITV website. All other episodes in the series have been left there to view. Funny that. I'm tired of this country pandering to the EU and big business, which is what this Union is all for. SME's are where the future can be for this country and a fairer distribution of wealth with less fat cats and less emphasis on short-term goals for end of year only and focus on share prices. Just look at the German economy for proof. Edited by Rudi Hedman (27 May 2016 11.17am) Rudi: wrt Paul Mason, i think it was fairly clear by my example that whilst i think he is worth listening to I would never subscribe to his far left economic policies. Similarly with Patrick Minford or monterism/Thatcherism far right economic policies i would never vote or advocate such policies...infact i often wonder what was worse.
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silvertop Portishead 27 May 16 2.34pm | |
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Originally posted by slubglurge
No one has to convince me; its out all the way. 10 years ago my wifes company offered all the staff a redundacy payment to leave. My wife and two friends stayed, they then refilled the posts with Lithuanians who had just joined the EU. They haven't had a payrise since What makes you think it will be any different after an out vote? Initially, you will be delighted as we lift the drawbridge and issue in a period of wage led inflation coupled with economic decline and political instability. Still, there will be no greasy foreigners cluttering up our doctor's surgeries or taking our women and jobs etc. I also think it hilarious that people think: UK big economy = strong bargaining power to renegotiate trade deals. Actually it is one isolated medium weight country v massive trading block. Trust me, they will dictate every term. On this, when we finally manage to secure a deal [and we will not survive without one], the EU will have dictated at least one caveat on which they show no sign of budging: free movement to EU citizens. You only have to look at Switzerland, one of those countries who outers cite as how it can be done. In fact, they spent years negotiating deals with the EU. They had to. And one of the conditions imposed on them was free movement. What makes you think it will be any different for us? So, the Swiss had a referendum and elected to limit EU citizen entry. Cue stringent retaliation from the EU which has only just started to punish little Switzerland. No, after our happy honeymoon of xenophobia, the EU will impose tough conditions on any trade deal which will likely involve us having to pay significant sums to the EU [perhaps more than we do now?]; obey many EU directives [like those other heroes of independence Norway have to]; and accept free movement [like Switzerland]. And this will all be offered and accepted by little England on a take it or leave it basis. So, by all means, vote for international isolation and ultimate humiliation. However, remember - those pesky Latvians et al may be cleared out of your wife's work for now; but they will be back, assuming of course that her employers do not go bust in the interim period.
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silvertop Portishead 27 May 16 2.42pm | |
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Originally posted by Sportyteacher
Originally posted by Kermit8
Latest Mori poll: 1,000 randomly asked Remain a member of the European Union: 48% Leave the European Union: 35% Undecided: 14% Would not vote:3% I make that 65% idiots/potential idiots according to monkeychops and 35% the enlightened, sensible brave new world few also according to monkeychops. Edited by Kermit8 (18 May 2016 10.05pm)[/quote I, for one, can't wait for this EU referendum to get out of the way. Despite the importance and ramifications of the vote, this is ONE subject for debate that has clearly limited Government resources from getting on with its main day-to-day work, and with a LONG summer recess just around the corner. No wonder very little gets achieved within this country e.g. maintenance /modernisation of infrastructure. Kermit: fear not. Your lot may have only 35% of the vote but a considerably higher % of those who will actually put a cross down. Sadly, it is much more even. Sporty, don't fret on that. While politicians run around waving their little willies about, the juggernaut that is the civil service continues to run the country; and industry continues to knock out goods and services. However, that is not to diminish politicians. If the no vote wins, it will just mean that the civil service [and judicial system] will have to undergo a huge wasteful overhaul; and industry will be producing significantly less than it is now; until, of course, we are humiliatingly forced to go begging to the EU when all those massive adjustments will need to be set back to where they are now.
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