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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)

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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 30 May 18 11.15am Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

'Brexit means Brexit'.

Except when you have remainers in charge.

We could be seeing the Tories badly damage themselves and rekindle Ukip.

Unless they sort it out Ukip will be coming back strong because lots of Tory voters and some Labour ones will feel they have been lied too.

Ultimately perhaps that will only be positive for Corbyn.....though I might be wrong about that as there are many northern leavers who vote Labour.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 May 2018 5.07pm)

Interesting report the other day suggested Labour may not need the leave voters to keep a large number of seats which voted leave. Will be interesting to see how the Labour position evolves over the next 6 months. Momentum also pushing for a debate within Labour over it's Brexit stance.

Their current policy just seems to be stay one step closer to soft Brexit than the Tories. Which is frustrating and not a proper opposition stance IMO. Corbyn's best PMQs ever have been in the past 3 weeks when he's attacked the Tory Brexit shambles and constant cabinet infighting. All the while the govt postpones the debate on the withdrawal bill, Ireland and the customs bill Corbyn has an open goal in PMQs and should continue to roll them into the back of the net.

 

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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 30 May 18 11.16am Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

It looks like reality is dawning upon the UK.

We are to be taking part in the EU budget talks for the next 7 years and it is by invitation.

What is behind it, I think that we are not leaving.

If we are it is a flag-waving exercise with a close re-alignment to prevent the economic damage being too bad.

Business as usual or as near as damn it, that's what the treasury needs.

I do think the intervention of Mr.Soros will keep labour out of office as 65% of labour voters were remainers and were not represented by JC and labour.

Labour have caused George Soros because they don't oppose the government, always being too clever by half.


This displays quite neatly the incredible lack of certainty that still exists 2 years after the referendum and well over a year since A50. Govt's handling of this has been utterly incompetent.

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 30 May 18 11.18am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

Question on this - in this no deal scenario, in your opinion (we still don't know the govt's opinion btw), what would this mean for Northern Ireland and it's border with Eire?

I've been trying to think of how this can be solved and (unsurprisingly) can't come up with anything.

No hard border.

Apparently for most companies the import export documentation / tax affairs are done in the office and not at any border. That then leaves those who are smuggling or failing to declare goods. Well that goes on now in Ireland and has done since the 1920's. Even when we had a hard border we couldn't stop arms and people crossing the border. I think we can live with this to continue the Good Friday Agreement.


 


One more point

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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 30 May 18 11.30am Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

No hard border.

Apparently for most companies the import export documentation / tax affairs are done in the office and not at any border. That then leaves those who are smuggling or failing to declare goods. Well that goes on now in Ireland and has done since the 1920's. Even when we had a hard border we couldn't stop arms and people crossing the border. I think we can live with this to continue the Good Friday Agreement.


Where are tariffs collected though? And standards checked? Checks done for rules of origin? Also things like Quotas and Embargoes? So much harder to manage if it's allowed to dissipate into the hands of private companies.

HMRC have predicted this kind of "customs partnership" approach would cost UK £20bn (£350m a week). It's also been rejected by the EU.

I don't know. I sense that this "simple solution" would be anything but and would be expensive to manage for UK business (and therefore consumers) (and Irish ones) and would put the GFA at risk. I don't think the EU would accept a breach of the integrity of it's market like the one you describe.

It seems like a bit of a non-starter to me.

 

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Lyons550 Flag Shirley 30 May 18 12.27pm Send a Private Message to Lyons550 Add Lyons550 as a friend

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

Where are tariffs collected though? And standards checked? Checks done for rules of origin? Also things like Quotas and Embargoes? So much harder to manage if it's allowed to dissipate into the hands of private companies.

HMRC have predicted this kind of "customs partnership" approach would cost UK £20bn (£350m a week). It's also been rejected by the EU.

I don't know. I sense that this "simple solution" would be anything but and would be expensive to manage for UK business (and therefore consumers) (and Irish ones) and would put the GFA at risk. I don't think the EU would accept a breach of the integrity of it's market like the one you describe.

It seems like a bit of a non-starter to me.

Surely its a great opportunity to lead the world in Blockchain solutions for cross border traffic?

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 30 May 18 12.32pm Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Originally posted by Lyons550

Surely its a great opportunity to lead the world in Blockchain solutions for cross border traffic?

OK. Shall we put that in the draft legal text on the withdrawal? I'm sure the EU won't want any more details.

I think that could be in the "Max Fac" option which is currently also a non-starter as it relies on things not yet in existence. I'm sure one day there could be tech to minimise border presence or even eliminate it. But I doubt we're anywhere close to that.

Also we've not even started building lorry parks or improving facilities at our docks or developed an immigration policy etc., let alone started work on blockchain led customs tech!

 

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Lyons550 Flag Shirley 30 May 18 3.27pm Send a Private Message to Lyons550 Add Lyons550 as a friend

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

OK. Shall we put that in the draft legal text on the withdrawal? I'm sure the EU won't want any more details.

I think that could be in the "Max Fac" option which is currently also a non-starter as it relies on things not yet in existence. I'm sure one day there could be tech to minimise border presence or even eliminate it. But I doubt we're anywhere close to that.

Also we've not even started building lorry parks or improving facilities at our docks or developed an immigration policy etc., let alone started work on blockchain led customs tech!

lovin' the defeatist attitude...

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

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.TUX. Flag 30 May 18 10.09pm

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

OK. Shall we put that in the draft legal text on the withdrawal? I'm sure the EU won't want any more details.

I think that could be in the "Max Fac" option which is currently also a non-starter as it relies on things not yet in existence. I'm sure one day there could be tech to minimise border presence or even eliminate it. But I doubt we're anywhere close to that.

Also we've not even started building lorry parks or improving facilities at our docks or developed an immigration policy etc., let alone started work on blockchain led customs tech!

Those pumping billions upon billions into this new technology would disagree bud.
More research needed maybe?

 


Buy Litecoin.

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Stirlingsays Flag 31 May 18 1.12pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Sic semper tyrannis.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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steeleye20 Flag Croydon 31 May 18 4.06pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

Nigel Lawson, a former chair of the Vote Leave campaign during the EU referendum and one of tens of thousands of Britons living in France, is to apply for his official French residency card.

The former chancellor said he had started the process of applying for one of the cards, known as a carte de séjour, which British expatriates are being encouraged to obtain to help bolster their rights after the UK withdraws from the EU, but added that he was “not particularly worried”.

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 31 May 18 4.19pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

Nigel Lawson, a former chair of the Vote Leave campaign during the EU referendum and one of tens of thousands of Britons living in France, is to apply for his official French residency card.

The former chancellor said he had started the process of applying for one of the cards, known as a carte de séjour, which British expatriates are being encouraged to obtain to help bolster their rights after the UK withdraws from the EU, but added that he was “not particularly worried”.

Do you read tabloids? I know they are very fond of using bold to highlight their points.

Nigel Lawson actually lives in France.....you kind of missed that out. He's not applying for French nationality.

Also, it's a conflation to think that being anti EU means you are anti any European country.

The EU is a political union a few decades old, Europe has existed for well over a thousand years.

Edited by Stirlingsays (31 May 2018 4.31pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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steeleye20 Flag Croydon 31 May 18 4.30pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Do you read tabloids? I know they are very fond of using bold to highlight their points.

Nigel Lawson actually lives in France.....you kind of missed that out.

Edited by Stirlingsays (31 May 2018 4.21pm)


'actually lives in France'.

Oy serial poster, the post already says that.

Read a post before you reply, if it is actually necessary and you can add something, before you rush into replying.

You have mad posters disease.

 

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