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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 02 Apr 21 9.45pm | |
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Originally posted by Lombardinho
To be honest, mezzer , I haven't checked the figures recently, but throughout the pandemic those that failed to recover from covid were consistently much less than 1 % of all who tested positive regardless of age. Witty himself only recently reaffirmed that the majority of cases will only suffer mild flu symptoms. What else do you think you will lose, apart from your life, that might mean trying to preserve it is a greater priority? Arriving at the precise level of those who die as a consequence of a C19 infection is a hugely complicated matter which won't be known for a long time, if ever. It is though greater than 0.1% but probably less than 1%. We have seen 112,144 excess deaths in the 12-month period ended 12th March 2021. That of itself understates the deaths from C19 as other causes of death were reduced. There were fewer deaths from flu and road accidents, as examples, due to the lockdowns. By January this year the modelling suggested around 20% of people had caught C19. The death rate has slowed so lets stick with that figure. 112,144 deaths from 20% of the UK population of 67.61 million equates to a death rate of 0.8% It's the impact of the lockdowns you are ignoring. Just consider what might have happened if C19 had not been restrained by lockdowns. If we had ignored it completely what % would have caught it? 50%? 75%. The number of deaths would have risen exponentially to 300,000 or 450,000. Imagine the impact on our hospitals and their staff, who struggled even at the lower numbers. Now imagine what would have happened if we had attempted just to isolate the seemingly most vulnerable, which many have argued was a viable alternative. Those groups were still the worst affected even with the lockdowns. How much more so had the rest of society just carried on and then brought even more infections through the supposed safety nets? The impact of that scenario cannot be quantified as it possesses too many variables, but it wouldn't have been pretty. Some argue that was a price worth paying but not too many of them were the elderly, vulnerable or either nurses or doctors. So at the end of the day I don't any rational argument exists for us not doing what we did. A decision shared by just about every other country. Bar a few basket cases, who are now belatedly changing course.
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SW19 CPFC Addiscombe West 02 Apr 21 10.07pm | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
What else do you think you will lose, apart from your life, that might mean trying to preserve it is a greater priority? Arriving at the precise level of those who die as a consequence of a C19 infection is a hugely complicated matter which won't be known for a long time, if ever. It is though greater than 0.1% but probably less than 1%. We have seen 112,144 excess deaths in the 12-month period ended 12th March 2021. That of itself understates the deaths from C19 as other causes of death were reduced. There were fewer deaths from flu and road accidents, as examples, due to the lockdowns. By January this year the modelling suggested around 20% of people had caught C19. The death rate has slowed so lets stick with that figure. 112,144 deaths from 20% of the UK population of 67.61 million equates to a death rate of 0.8% It's the impact of the lockdowns you are ignoring. Just consider what might have happened if C19 had not been restrained by lockdowns. If we had ignored it completely what % would have caught it? 50%? 75%. The number of deaths would have risen exponentially to 300,000 or 450,000. Imagine the impact on our hospitals and their staff, who struggled even at the lower numbers. Now imagine what would have happened if we had attempted just to isolate the seemingly most vulnerable, which many have argued was a viable alternative. Those groups were still the worst affected even with the lockdowns. How much more so had the rest of society just carried on and then brought even more infections through the supposed safety nets? The impact of that scenario cannot be quantified as it possesses too many variables, but it wouldn't have been pretty. Some argue that was a price worth paying but not too many of them were the elderly, vulnerable or either nurses or doctors. So at the end of the day I don't any rational argument exists for us not doing what we did. A decision shared by just about every other country. Bar a few basket cases, who are now belatedly changing course. It’s pointless reasoning with fantasists. Like trying to talk logic with a bouncer. Or a baby bird.
Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons. |
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Hrolf The Ganger 02 Apr 21 10.42pm | |
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Originally posted by Lombardinho
There's an alarming number of reports indicating one of those side effects is death itself. How many deaths? 1 in 100,000 would probably be acceptable. That would be about 700 people to protect 70 million.
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SW19 CPFC Addiscombe West 02 Apr 21 10.49pm | |
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Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger
How many deaths? 1 in 100,000 would probably be acceptable. That would be about 700 people to protect 70 million. At last check it was something like 30 cases out of 18m, of which around 8 were deaths, And the expected clot occurrence in a normal unvaccinated population sample would be around 1700 per million. I did read that one statistician was surprised at just how low the case count was considering the above stat - they’d be expecting hundreds more to have been reported. As one has put it... ‘Risk of death is still much, much greater in people who are unvaccinated than in people who have had the vaccine. It would not put me off my next dose.”
Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons. |
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Lombardinho London 02 Apr 21 11.53pm | |
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Originally posted by SW19 CPFC
It’s pointless reasoning with fantasists. Like trying to talk logic with a bouncer. Or a baby bird. From what I can see the fantasy emanates from your posts, SW19, not mine.
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Mapletree Croydon 03 Apr 21 12.11am | |
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Originally posted by Lombardinho
From what I can see the fantasy emanates from your posts, SW19, not mine. How about the knowledge that for once you aren’t being entirely self centred. Maybe you would even feel you have been a little brave I don’t. I just feel I have done my duty in this war, like my father and grandfather did.
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Teddy Eagle 03 Apr 21 12.16am | |
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Originally posted by Mapletree
How about the knowledge that for once you aren’t being entirely self centred. Maybe you would even feel you have been a little brave I don’t. I just feel I have done my duty in this war, like my father and grandfather did. Sat still for 5 seconds for a painless injection? Not exactly Stalingrad is it?
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Mapletree Croydon 03 Apr 21 12.19am | |
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Originally posted by Teddy Eagle
Sat still for 5 seconds for a painless injection? Not exactly Stalingrad is it? They weren’t in Stalingrad. My point was that our generation needs to recognise a sense of duty, as others have. And no, it really is a tiny issue that some like to blow out of all proportion
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BlueJay UK 03 Apr 21 12.43am | |
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Originally posted by Teddy Eagle
Sat still for 5 seconds for a painless injection? Not exactly Stalingrad is it? No doubt everyone has a different story to tell during these times. Many lost loved ones either because of covid or during it (and couldn't appropriately mourn them), or had to make quarantine type sacrifices to keep others safe for a year plus. For all sorts of reasons and even regardless of peoples personal take on the approach, it's not been a barrel of fun and we are and have been in a war of sorts. Maple's line of work, OAP homes certainly resembled a war zone. It's often the 'lets pretend it isn't happening' or 'carry on as normal, they'll die soon anyway' types who laughably seem to see themselves as 'bulldog spirit' heroes of the piece, so if they can I'm happy for someone who actually behaved with duty and care to feel like they have done their bit too .
Edited by BlueJay (03 Apr 2021 12.44am)
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Teddy Eagle 03 Apr 21 12.56am | |
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Originally posted by BlueJay
No doubt everyone has a different story to tell during these times. Many lost loved ones either because of covid or during it (and couldn't appropriately mourn them), or had to make quarantine type sacrifices to keep others safe for a year plus. For all sorts of reasons and even regardless of peoples personal take on the approach, it's not been a barrel of fun and we are and have been in a war of sorts. Maple's line of work, OAP homes certainly resembled a war zone. It's often the 'lets pretend it isn't happening' or 'carry on as normal, they'll die soon anyway' types who laughably seem to see themselves as 'bulldog spirit' heroes of the piece, so if they can I'm happy for someone who actually behaved with duty and care to feel like they have done their bit too . Still pretty sure that wars are worse. Edited by BlueJay (03 Apr 2021 12.44am)
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SW19 CPFC Addiscombe West 03 Apr 21 7.27am | |
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Originally posted by Lombardinho
From what I can see the fantasy emanates from your posts, SW19, not mine. One sentence? It’s not gene therapy, maybe start there.
Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons. |
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Badger11 Beckenham 03 Apr 21 10.13am | |
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Already this week I have noticed that the number of patient appointments where I volunteer has dropped due to the vaccine shortages. From next week the mass vaccination sites will slowly wind down and close for the month. Bromley will only do mornings until the 12th when it closes. I mentioned to a friend in Italy how well the roll out was doing compared to the EU "It's not a race she snapped". I'm afraid that is exactly what it is. Countries that have been slow out of the blocks are now fighting to get hold of the vaccine across the world. Vaccine protectionism is now rife with the EU, India and the USA taking measures to safeguard their supply. In the UK we are now feeling the slowdown the good news is that the people who need it most have been vaccinated and should get their 2nd dose. It may take longer for the under 50's to get theirs which might upset holiday plans but then again who wants to go to Europe where the virus is still heading in the wrong direction. As for the poorer countries the WHO is pleading for the rich western countries to share that is not going to happen anytime soon although I have no doubt that the UK will be at the front of the queue once we have completed our roll out.
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