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2020 US Presidential Election. (LOCKED)

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Spiderman Flag Horsham 14 Oct 20 6.45pm Send a Private Message to Spiderman Add Spiderman as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

We will see won't we. I don't doubt the desperate Trump campaign will go on trying to squeeze something out of this but it's very meagre fare compared to the offerings that Trump routinely delivers.

but I am right aren’t I?

Edited by Spiderman (14 Oct 2020 6.50pm)

 

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Spiderman Flag Horsham 14 Oct 20 6.49pm Send a Private Message to Spiderman Add Spiderman as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

So just because they followed the law, and the Johnson-led government didn't, that means they must be basing their judgements on a political viewpoint you disagree with?

Not really very likely is it?

You have your opinion I have mine, isn’t that democracy?

 

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 14 Oct 20 6.57pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Jimenez

And The New York Times is a Jeff Bezos paper.Your point being?
As someone who ACTUALLY lives in NYC I can tell you straight from the horses mouth that even people who are not Trump supporters are turning to him, & the reason is primarily the fault of both Gov Cuomo and his equally useless sidekick Mayor Bill De Blasio (Someone you actually thought was doing a good job a few months back as I recall) although because that's an inconvenient truth you'll probably deny and in any case I can't be bothered to trawl through the HOL archives

There is a huge difference between Murdoch's and Bezos's motivations. Murdoch has a media empire and an open political aim, which he directs his outlets to follow. Bezos owns a newspaper whose political stance he agrees with but he adopts a hands-off approach. I think he bought it to make sure it continued to do the work it does in the way it does.

I have no insight into the way New Yorkers as a whole are thinking, or whether they collectively believe the majors are doing a good job or not. My earlier comments were related only to the way they seemed to be responding to the pandemic and standing up to the idiot in the WH. I somehow doubt that many are "turning to Trump". There will always be exceptions but that doesn't appear to be the overall picture.

 


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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 14 Oct 20 7.12pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Spiderman


May I say how lucky you are to have the opportunity to move to Canada, I would have loved that. Respect that you will accept the result if Trump wins, unlike Wissie.

Edited by Spiderman (14 Oct 2020 6.33pm)

Where on earth do you get the idea that if Trump won fair and square I, or anyone else, wouldn't accept it?

Where the objections would arise would be if he tried to do by employing shenanigans of the type he has threatened. Disregarding, or disruption, postal votes. The GRP instructing electors to vote against the popular vote on a pretext. Such things would be a highly dangerous development and need to be resisted.

 


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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 14 Oct 20 7.16pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Spiderman

You have your opinion I have mine, isn’t that democracy?

Not in matters of law. There the Supreme Court give the final answer and they did.

If the democratic process wishes to change it then it can enact a new law.

 


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Spiderman Flag Horsham 14 Oct 20 7.19pm Send a Private Message to Spiderman Add Spiderman as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Where on earth do you get the idea that if Trump won fair and square I, or anyone else, wouldn't accept it?

Where the objections would arise would be if he tried to do by employing shenanigans of the type he has threatened. Disregarding, or disruption, postal votes. The GRP instructing electors to vote against the popular vote on a pretext. Such things would be a highly dangerous development and need to be resisted.

Your first paragraph is hilarious. Did you accept the Brexit vote? You have made it perfectly clear that If Trump wins it will not be fair and square. You really should listen to yourself at times

 

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Spiderman Flag Horsham 14 Oct 20 7.22pm Send a Private Message to Spiderman Add Spiderman as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Not in matters of law. There the Supreme Court give the final answer and they did.

If the democratic process wishes to change it then it can enact a new law.

 

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cryrst Flag The garden of England 14 Oct 20 7.57pm Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Where on earth do you get the idea that if Trump won fair and square I, or anyone else, wouldn't accept it?

Where the objections would arise would be if he tried to do by employing shenanigans of the type he has threatened. Disregarding, or disruption, postal votes. The GRP instructing electors to vote against the popular vote on a pretext. Such things would be a highly dangerous development and need to be resisted.

Trump has clearly got a great set of angling equipment. Firstly reeling in all the dems about stopping chazchop with the army, all the riots he didnt interfere with and now the election.
There is no way he will debunk any result. It's funny watching all the left planning how they will react to a myth. He probably doesnt give a toss if he wins or loses. He has had 47 odd months of constant abuse and not one counter policy; oh tax rich people more, I almost forgot that gimme.
He is probably going to win anyway,laugh out loud.

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 14 Oct 20 8.38pm

Originally posted by Maine Eagle

Trump can certainly win legally. I dont believe he will though.

If Trump wins legally, I have no complaints.

However Trump is destined to lose this election, unless he steals it.

Notice there is a difference there, I am saying he CAN win legally, which I will respect, I just dont see it happening.

Actually you are literally parroting trump but in the opposite direction with your "if I lose its rigged" hyperbole, the irony is as thick and rich as a deep fried fruitcake.

My missus is Canadian and she does wanna leave the States if Trump gets back in actually!

Well said. Certainly in 2016, despite the no holds barred tactics I'm more than willing to admit that Trump won, and if he does the same this time then fair play to him. For all the rollercoaster and debasing of norms of conduct of the last four years I don't exactly bemoan establishment favourite Hillary Clinton not being President.

Biden isn't such a hated figure though, and Trump has done enough missteps and had enough misfortune (having to deal with Covid and so on) that an objective reading has him well ahead of where Clinton was four years back (and indeed even she won the popular vote and so he doesn't need to move the dial much).

I tend to agree that Trump's path to victory is becoming more and more tricky and that there is nothing in his personality that screams 'play by the rules'. That's where the wildly pre-emptive mantra of how corrupt mail in voting is comes in. He knows from polling that vastly more Democrats are going to vote by mail*, and so is banking on being ahead on the night and using that combined with endlessly questioning the validity of the tens of millions of mailed in votes being counted. There are already plans in the works for some states to disregard mail in ballots

"The chairman of the Pennsylvania Republican Party is on the record saying he's discussed appointing loyal electors with the Trump campaign"

Where states refuse to disrupt the democratic process, he'll no doubt try to go through the courts, all the way to the top to stop the count: "We need nine justices. You need that. With the unsolicited millions of ballots that they're sending, it's a scam, it's a hoax"

"We're going to have to see what happens. I've been complaining very strongly about the ballots. And the ballots are a disaster.... get rid of the ballots and there will be—there won't be a transfer, there will be a continuation."

Someone who is confident of winning legitimately doesn't behave this way. It's troubling that disrupting tens of millions of mail-in ballots (through a method that clearly has no history of mass fraud and one which democrats are all but certain to gains millions more votes in anyway) or using nefarious means even to undermine that process, would be a big plus from his perspective. By all accounts rather than anyone else, he's that one that needs to rig the game and if that happens it's byebye democracy. It's going to be a mess.

*among Trump supporters, only 11 percent said they planned to vote by mail, and 66 percent said they planned to vote in person on Election Day. Among Joe Biden backers, 47 percent said they planned to vote by mail, while only 26 percent said they planned to vote in person on Election Day [Link]


Edited by BlueJay (14 Oct 2020 8.56pm)

 

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 14 Oct 20 9.49pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Spiderman

Your first paragraph is hilarious. Did you accept the Brexit vote? You have made it perfectly clear that If Trump wins it will not be fair and square. You really should listen to yourself at times

Accepting, or rejecting the Brexit process has nothing to do with American politics and I won't be diverted into another detailed debate on that. The argument about Brexit is all to do with the legitimacy of the way it was conducted. US Presidential elections, flawed though they are, have a process which is guaranteed by their constitution.

I don't believe Trump can win fair and square and that he may well try to hang onto power corruptly. That though does NOT mean that should he win fair and square that it wouldn't be accepted. So long as the elections at state level are properly, independently scrutinised and found to meet all the constitutional requirements then all would be OK. I just don't see any realistic chance of that happening.

 


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matthau Flag South Croydon 14 Oct 20 10.08pm Send a Private Message to matthau Add matthau as a friend

[Link]

 

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 14 Oct 20 10.37pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by croydon proud

Biden 1-2.......the don 15-8,,,,,,,,,,,,its gona be interesting.

I have been watching the odds over the past months. It wasn't that long ago that both were close to evens but Trump has been sliding fast.

Now I am not a gambler so no expert on how bookies make their book but my understanding is that it isn't all based on what they themselves regard as probable but on where the punters put their money. They try to balance the book with the aim of always winning.

So it's interesting to read that the bulk of the money actually being gambled is going on a Trump win rather than Biden. Presumably "invested" by Trump supporters.

So if more is being gambled on a Trump win and you can still get 15-8 on him what does that say about his actual chance? If he did win at those odds it would cost the bookies a packet and I don't seem them encouraging that, so it looks to me they are offering those odds in the hope of drawing in even more money and that their appraisal of his position is that it is significantly worse than this.

If anyone understands the way bookmakers do their calculations better than I do then I will be interested to read their analysis.

 


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