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leifandersonshair Newport 06 May 16 12.46pm | |
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Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger
The Remains don't deny that the EU is a mess that needs reforming. Sadly, they have deluded themselves , or are trying to fool us, that Britain can influence a big reform. This is a total fantasy of course since we have failed to do so up until now and our chances of ever doing so are diluted every time a new member joins. The real truth is that Britain will become ever more marginalised in a United States of Europe and our democratic system will count for next to nothing in all the big decision making. We have to make a stand now or see the process accelerated and the borders of Britain become meaningless. It is coming if we vote to stay in. Any financial downturn will be short term and we will be stuck with being the European equivalent of Oregon. It's a gamble either way. Brexit WILL impact on our economy,probably negatively, in the short term- I don't think anyone can deny that. The question is, will it be a brief blip, before the UK bounces back stronger than ever, or will it plunge us into economic turmoil? And unfortunately, no one knows. Markets are volatile by nature. It's equally easy to see a UK economy, 12 months after Brexit, slowly recovering or plunging out of control into a deep recession.
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Kermit8 Hevon 06 May 16 12.58pm | |
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Originally posted by leifandersonshair
It's a gamble either way. Brexit WILL impact on our economy,probably negatively, in the short term- I don't think anyone can deny that. The question is, will it be a brief blip, before the UK bounces back stronger than ever, or will it plunge us into economic turmoil? And unfortunately, no one knows. Markets are volatile by nature. It's equally easy to see a UK economy, 12 months after Brexit, slowly recovering or plunging out of control into a deep recession. Fair points. Brexit will take two years once ignited and then we have the years on top of that to sign off the multitude of newly-negotiated trade deals. There will be a blip - how strong no-one knows - but can't see it being brief because of the time scales. Edited by Kermit8 (06 May 2016 12.59pm)
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davenotamonkey 06 May 16 1.14pm | |
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Originally posted by Kermit8
For you monkey. Add this lot up. Comes to around trillion. For the WHOLE world. Lol Attachment: swiss_ftas.png (57.48Kb)
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Kermit8 Hevon 06 May 16 1.25pm | |
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Originally posted by davenotamonkey
Lol Ha -ha - Who made that up? Very professional. I think you need a lie-down. Here are the official Swiss trade figures not quickly tapped into excel by some spotty financially-challenged geek. You will notice the lack of the word 'trillions' I hope anyway Never come into the room without the figures. I'm oot.
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Hrolf The Ganger 06 May 16 1.30pm | |
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Originally posted by leifandersonshair
It's a gamble either way. Brexit WILL impact on our economy,probably negatively, in the short term- I don't think anyone can deny that. The question is, will it be a brief blip, before the UK bounces back stronger than ever, or will it plunge us into economic turmoil? And unfortunately, no one knows. Markets are volatile by nature. It's equally easy to see a UK economy, 12 months after Brexit, slowly recovering or plunging out of control into a deep recession. One has to ask if the economic question is really more important than the future of our sovereignty and democracy.
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johnfirewall 06 May 16 2.03pm | |
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Originally posted by Kermit8
Ha -ha - Who made that up? Very professional. I think you need a lie-down. Here are the official Swiss trade figures not quickly tapped into excel by some spotty financially-challenged geek. You will notice the lack of the word 'trillions' I hope anyway Never come into the room without the figures. I'm oot. 'in CHF million' i.e. 29'752 (000,000) Although I've no idea what a Swiss Franc is worth.
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davenotamonkey 06 May 16 2.22pm | |
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Originally posted by Kermit8
I like the rants though. They make you seem intelligent even if non-sensical. Edited by Kermit8 (06 May 2016 12.28pm) Poor landlocked Switzerland, with their US$ 84,700 GDP/capita (UK: US$45,600 GDP/capita) - how on earth do the manage trading outside of the EU? Can you explain why ports are necessary for low-volume high-value goods exports and services that the Swiss export? Or have I missed all the Swiss copper and potassium mines shipping out to China? Do financial services arrive on a big barge? Does Swiss Re (2nd largest global re-insurer) pack all their documentation into shipping containers? Hahahaha. And I've lost the plot, right? Like it or not, as we move towards a progressively digital, globalised economy, geographical location and the 19th/20th Century infrastructural constructs the EU still hangs desperately onto will become less and less important. The Swiss already demonstrate that. "false impression they have access to all the markets therein". I need present no such logical case. They have access. That is fact (not even one of those, ahem, "exaggerated facts", s******). Their clear success at trade and consequent wealth (for a very small country) is evidence enough. They can expand and grow to develop in those markets as they feel fit, according to their own national trading strategy (compare and contrast: we get handed down agreements we have had a 1/28th say in). This is, to say the least, a complete irrelevance to the point: we do not need the EU to negotiate trade agreements on our behalf, indeed it's sclerotic pace in conducting such negotiations is very likely harming our potential growth. I will add as a final point on this subject that such is our regulatory convergence (by definition) with the EU (and by extension conformity to trade agreements it has negotiated with powerhouses such as San Marino) the typical protracted negotation-stage of harmonising of standards will be... well, non-existent. I imagine this significantly shortens the timescale to reach trade agreements. Put into English: "Hey, San Marino - remember that deal you have with the EU? Well, we've just left, and all our standards and regulations are the same. Fancy some free trade on the same basis as before?" I don't even know why I'm bothering. Your argument has just taken a final lurch to the incredulous. I now have to demonstrate to you that free-trade access to nearly 6X the market wealth that the EU currently has is a "bad thing". I have demonstrated that nations outside the EU are able to conclude trade deals much faster than the EU. I have demonstrated that, on Brexit, we do not lose trade agreements we do not already have. You are utterly blinded by your dogmatic ideology, and it is frightening. All you have left is to snidely suggest I am "nonsensically ranting" and wrapping up facts as "exaggerated facts", while at each stage I have (with progressive exasperation) responded to your points. You are deaf to them, as you are to reason and factual evidence. Take off the blinkers and look beyond your myopic horizons.
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elgrande bedford 06 May 16 3.15pm | |
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Originally posted by davenotamonkey
Poor landlocked Switzerland, with their US$ 84,700 GDP/capita (UK: US,600 GDP/capita) - how on earth do the manage trading outside of the EU? Can you explain why ports are necessary for low-volume high-value goods exports and services that the Swiss export? Or have I missed all the Swiss copper and potassium mines shipping out to China? Do financial services arrive on a big barge? Does Swiss Re (2nd largest global re-insurer) pack all their documentation into shipping containers? Hahahaha. And I've lost the plot, right? Like it or not, as we move towards a progressively digital, globalised economy, geographical location and the 19th/20th Century infrastructural constructs the EU still hangs desperately onto will become less and less important. The Swiss already demonstrate that. "false impression they have access to all the markets therein". I need present no such logical case. They have access. That is fact (not even one of those, ahem, "exaggerated facts", s******). Their clear success at trade and consequent wealth (for a very small country) is evidence enough. They can expand and grow to develop in those markets as they feel fit, according to their own national trading strategy (compare and contrast: we get handed down agreements we have had a 1/28th say in). This is, to say the least, a complete irrelevance to the point: we do not need the EU to negotiate trade agreements on our behalf, indeed it's sclerotic pace in conducting such negotiations is very likely harming our potential growth. I will add as a final point on this subject that such is our regulatory convergence (by definition) with the EU (and by extension conformity to trade agreements it has negotiated with powerhouses such as San Marino) the typical protracted negotation-stage of harmonising of standards will be... well, non-existent. I imagine this significantly shortens the timescale to reach trade agreements. Put into English: "Hey, San Marino - remember that deal you have with the EU? Well, we've just left, and all our standards and regulations are the same. Fancy some free trade on the same basis as before?" I don't even know why I'm bothering. Your argument has just taken a final lurch to the incredulous. I now have to demonstrate to you that free-trade access to nearly 6X the market wealth that the EU currently has is a "bad thing". I have demonstrated that nations outside the EU are able to conclude trade deals much faster than the EU. I have demonstrated that, on Brexit, we do not lose trade agreements we do not already have. You are utterly blinded by your dogmatic ideology, and it is frightening. All you have left is to snidely suggest I am "nonsensically ranting" and wrapping up facts as "exaggerated facts", while at each stage I have (with progressive exasperation) responded to your points. You are deaf to them, as you are to reason and factual evidence. Take off the blinkers and look beyond your myopic horizons. Brilliant, you can pull your trousers up now Kermit..... I think he's done with you.
always a Norwood boy, where ever I live. |
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Charlie Croker Hampshire 06 May 16 3.25pm | |
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I have a view I'm not prepared to share on here - BUT I worked the election yesterday and it's amazing how many came in hoping to vote for the EU referendum and then made an obvious comment that "Leave" would be their vote. Now, casting aside the fact that they can't even read a calendar, and that it's based on a small % of the total possible votes in that small ward (low turnout), but I think it might be closer than some think . . .
“My experience of life is that it is not divided up into genres; it’s a horrifying, romantic, tragic, comical, science-fiction cowboy detective novel. You know, with a bit of pornography if you’re lucky." |
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davenotamonkey 06 May 16 3.47pm | |
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Originally posted by Kermit8
Ha -ha - Who made that up? Very professional. I think you need a lie-down. Here are the official Swiss trade figures not quickly tapped into excel by some spotty financially-challenged geek. You will notice the lack of the word 'trillions' I hope anyway Never come into the room without the figures. I'm oot.
Perhaps you are confusing trade volume with market values. I will say it again, because you are struggling: The Swiss have free trade access to markets with a combined GDP $US40tn To give you some idea of scale (again, because you are struggling, and it's in my nature to help those that struggle to understand) - the Gross World Product (GWP) is about US$78.28tn. Rather than fixate on this lost battle of yours, contemplate the war: this point was raised to demonstrate the glacial and constrained nature of international trade under the EU. Quibbling over how good or bad the Swiss have it is largely moot. The figures support my assertions: restrictive, geographically protectionist customs unions like the EU are a thing of yesteryear. Agile dynamic economies thrive by forging links quickly with emerging economies. We need to get with the modern world and stop trying to shoehorn it into 1950s economic constructs. You are, indeed, "oot"
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JohnyBoy 06 May 16 4.38pm | |
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Originally posted by jamiemartin721
Its the 1998 Human Rights Act, an act of the UK Parliament. Arguably the act actually makes the UK less dependent on the European court, as prior to this rights based legislation could not be resolved in UK courts (only the European Court). The establishment of the act simply means that the UK courts could deal with cases, directly, and only needs to refer them up to the European Court of Human Rights. There is absolutely no need for a Bill of Rights, as UK citizens already have a series of rights, defined in law, and would still require an independent court of arbitration to review conflicts within law (which must be political neutral - which is why the European court makes sense, as it can always appoint judges unaffiliated to the country and parties in question, that has a specialisation in constitutional law, as well as providing a large pool of judges to choose from), with the costs deferred across all of the member states. Thank you again Jamie, you are a wealth of knowledge
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JohnyBoy 06 May 16 5.24pm | |
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Originally posted by davenotamonkey
Yes, most people's day-to-day experience is exposure to the UK laws that merely rubberstamp EU law. So indeed you likely are very ignorant of it... ...Otherwise you would have presumably heard of the EU Mortgage Credit Directive (2014/17/EU) rather than the UK law that makes us "compliant". I'm sure it's a great directive though. It's prevented the great unwashed from securing cheaper mortgages. Great, eh? Don't worry - it also impacts conveyancing, but "yip" it's not even mentioned. Then, of course, there's the Cross-Border Conveyancing Reference Framework. Also nothing to do with the EU, no, it really isn't "dude". Ok so i have spent my day going through the conveyancing which i had to do because this is a large chunk of change for me. I also kept a little eye out for the 40% nay 70% of eu law. I had to go through a few covenants, building contracts and a niggly border dispute with a neighbour who was throwing the book at my vendor because of a 3inch intrusion from a planter ffs!!. At the end i spoke to my lawyer and said i had a few wording changes but nothing significant. But i could have asked (from davemonkeys advice) hang on what about the european credit mortgage thingy but knew he would reply with "listen Johnyboy stop talkin out of your elbow, you are not even arranging a mortgage" and that would be something with the mortgage company, not conveyancing right? Right so i didnt ask. But then i thought i better tell Paul (cos he has done my legals for 20 years) ....but Paul surely atleast 40% nay 70% of this contract is missing because i cant find any mention of the eu cross border underpants law or any other eu law for that matter. I am sure that there may be some overarching eu law that protects consumers and prevents unfair practice but i honestly could not find one. So what should i do with davesmonkey advice .....i should maybe ask Paul but you can probably imagine his response. You know what i should probably change my lawyer for being too uk centric.
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