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2020 US Presidential Election. (LOCKED)

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cryrst Flag The garden of England 12 Oct 20 6.53pm Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Because of Trump?

You confuse him taking credit with reality! He does it all the time doesn't he? Anything positive, his work! Anything negative, someone else's responsibility!

He is at it again now, with Covid 19. He gets a mild infection, as most do, and claims he is cured because of his own work. The 200,000+ who have died in the USA are nothing to do with him. That's China's fault.

In this case supporting the disgraceful Netanyahu and sucking up to the gulf dictators isn't a real policy. It might have produced a calm, but it's likely to be the calm before the storm. In the meantime the people suffer. In this case I truly hope I am wrong but observing Trump as I do I very much doubt it. Nothing he ever does is ever for others. It's only ever for himself and if the appearance of peace helps him then that's what he will present.

C'mon then what storm is that then. Give us your predictions as they are bound to be on a pendulum.

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 12 Oct 20 6.55pm

Originally posted by matthau

Where’s the extra 200,000?

[Link]

Also check attached screenshot


And whilst we’re at it, going back to U.K. politics and lockdowns. Please, someone explain why covid was called nothing worse than flu on march 19th and yet we were placed in lockdown on 23rd March, 4 days later?

[Link]

I sent a link showing you precisely where the extra 280,000 deaths are. I may be misunderstanding but doesn't the link you just sent only go up to March 2020? That was before the vast majority of the additional deaths.

"During the first 34 weeks of 2020, 280,000 more people died than during the first 34 weeks of any of the five previous years. From March to August 2020, the number of weekly deaths was consistently higher compared to the weekly deaths of any of the previous five years. "


The screen cap you posted is one person pushing a view. The collated weekly death chart on the actual CDC page itself shows that week on week there has been substantially more deaths over recent months than in previous years: [Link]

While I know it's tempting to always try to look behind the curtain, both rationality and factually more people have died in recent months than in previous years.

As for being declared at no worse than the flu by some, it was early days and so of course how its perceived and talked about can change over time. We now know that it is worse than the flu. There's an argument that it's not so much worse that all of these measures should be brought in, but then it's the kind of question that if you ask 100 different people, you'll get 100 different answers.

cdc.JPG Attachment: cdc.JPG (140.46Kb)

 

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 12 Oct 20 8.54pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

I sent a link showing you precisely where the extra 280,000 deaths are. I may be misunderstanding but doesn't the link you just sent only go up to March 2020? That was before the vast majority of the additional deaths.

"During the first 34 weeks of 2020, 280,000 more people died than during the first 34 weeks of any of the five previous years. From March to August 2020, the number of weekly deaths was consistently higher compared to the weekly deaths of any of the previous five years. "


The screen cap you posted is one person pushing a view. The collated weekly death chart on the actual CDC page itself shows that week on week there has been substantially more deaths over recent months than in previous years: [Link]

While I know it's tempting to always try to look behind the curtain, both rationality and factually more people have died in recent months than in previous years.

As for being declared at no worse than the flu by some, it was early days and so of course how its perceived and talked about can change over time. We now know that it is worse than the flu. There's an argument that it's not so much worse that all of these measures should be brought in, but then it's the kind of question that if you ask 100 different people, you'll get 100 different answers.

Careful. You'll be accused of letting facts get in the way of conspiracy theory. That chart was in the link I gave but was ignored. The evidence is all over that site. You only have to look.

 


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serial thriller Flag The Promised Land 12 Oct 20 8.54pm Send a Private Message to serial thriller Add serial thriller as a friend

Originally posted by Matov


It is to a point but fails to truly understand what the real issue is. The people behind the Democrats and 90% of the Republican party don't actually want peace. There is no profit in that.

And neither do many on the left. A more peaceful world, which we live in at the moment compared to what has happened over the last 20 years, robs them of the chance to protest. Denies them the dopamine hit they crave because they have nothing to be 'anti' anymore.

Thats why they actually prefer political leadership that drops bombs on innocent parties. They like being outraged and whilst Trump might spout off a lot of hot air the reality is that he has denied them many of the finest moments in terms of being 'anti-war'.

The Media love wars because if it bleeds, it leads. And the Left miss wars because they need to the opportunity to virtue signal.

No fun in peace agreement is there? Or in US troop withdrawals from the Middle East?. Or drones not dropping missiles on wedding partys? Where is the buzz in all that stability?


Edited by Matov (12 Oct 2020 7.31am)

For an intelligent man this is an extremely stupid opinion to air on a public forum. Have you not noticed the left protesting recently?

Neoconservatism, for which he has become, not just a poster boy, but a kind of idol, has many tentacles, and hawkishness is only one.

Let's take his tax cut as just one example. Trump's one real legislative achievement so far has been to force through a tax cut which has added hundreds of billions to the US deficit. It has primarily been to boost corporate and business interests, although all potential knock on investment gains have been eradicated by Covid. It is the policy of Republican fantasy, and will almost certainly lay the groundwork for another dose of major cuts to the state at a time when there is massive social instability.

While Trump has been in his usual salesman mode about how brilliant and extraordinary this tax cut will be, it has been the left that have been digging and investigating the real impact of these cuts. The right - I mean the fiscally conservative right who have nightmares about deficits - have all gone strangely silent. And while you will find page after page on this thread about immigration, Trump's status as a man of the people and plenty of vitriol to 'the left', you won't find too much about his single legislative 'achievement' of his first term.

I wonder why?

 


If punk ever happened I'd be preaching the law, instead of listenin to Lydon lecture BBC4

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 12 Oct 20 9.07pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by cryrst

C'mon then what storm is that then. Give us your predictions as they are bound to be on a pendulum.

Difficult to know precisely where it might erupt but the chances are high that Iran, or its surrogates, will be involved. Trump making claims is just propaganda but his base (and you it seems) lap it up. Not everyone agrees. Read this:- [Link]

 


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davenotamonkey Flag 12 Oct 20 9.45pm Send a Private Message to davenotamonkey Add davenotamonkey as a friend

Oh God, he's done it again. No wonder Pelosi's pushing through legislation to 25th-him as soon as he wins.

[Link]

At least no-one in the crowd pointed it out. Because there is no crowd.

[Link]


 

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BlueJay Flag UK 12 Oct 20 9.55pm

Originally posted by davenotamonkey

At least no-one in the crowd pointed it out. Because there is no crowd.

[Link]


That's true, but that's intentional and not a bad idea during a pandemic. I'm not sure that the alternative approach of intentionally not caring if you expose others to covid-19 (as Trump did during and shortly after his positive test) is better. Or if the implication is that Biden is less popular, I'm not sure that aligns well with where we are, which considering how unimpressive and addled Biden is, goes to show how woefully unpopular he and Trump both are. If this is the best the US has to offer then it's a sad state of affairs.

 

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Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Flag Stoke sub normal 13 Oct 20 1.24am Send a Private Message to Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Add Tim Gypsy Hill '64 as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

There is nothing idealistic at all involved. They are entirely practical and pragmatic. The very fact that human nature has the characteristics you describe means that the need to collectively curb them exists. We all know power-hungry and greedy bullies exist and have always done so. Whilst in the past they may well have prospered, and still do in some places, that's not to say they cannot be dealt with. The only way to deal with a bully is for enough people to collectively refuse to be bullied.

Your cynicism is misplaced. If it wasn't we would all be engulfed in hot wars much more frequently than we are now, and there are still far too many. Trade wars and cyber wars still hurt people but they also put pressure on governments.

Try and understand this. Human nature is a thing that exists. Without it, mankind would not exist in it's present form. It took many thousand years to even reach civilisation. Let alone where we are now. How can a few kind words change that? Or even lots of "jaw jaw"? Indeed, war is a final resort, but human nature will not change by squeezing an economy or coercion of it's populace, in fact often the opposite. As good as you want to be, war will happen again. Because of human nature. The peoples of the world who are suppressed by the methods you state as "the only way" will not sit on their hands. They are currently bombing innocent people in retaliation. This is where ideals bring us.

 


Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers

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BlueJay Flag UK 13 Oct 20 1.51am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Careful. You'll be accused of letting facts get in the way of conspiracy theory. That chart was in the link I gave but was ignored. The evidence is all over that site. You only have to look.

That can be a problem anywhere really, where there is a prevailing view. It becomes less about an objective take, and more about not questioning pie in the sky or ill advised stuff on one side, while hammering even mundane views on the other. A curated reality that's easy to sink into with today's echo chamber social media platforms feeding us more of what we want. We're all guilty of it to some extent.

With that in mind, it's both understandable but also somewhat amusing that there's a pile-on every time you say basically anything or dedicated efforts designed to demean. Not as though any of that bothers you of course, because you clearly don't require a support system or sea of agreement in order to state your view.


Edited by BlueJay (13 Oct 2020 4.27am)

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 13 Oct 20 2.01am

Originally posted by Tim Gypsy Hill '64

Try and understand this. Human nature is a thing that exists. Without it, mankind would not exist in it's present form. It took many thousand years to even reach civilisation. Let alone where we are now. How can a few kind words change that? Or even lots of "jaw jaw"? Indeed, war is a final resort, but human nature will not change by squeezing an economy or coercion of it's populace, in fact often the opposite. As good as you want to be, war will happen again. Because of human nature. The peoples of the world who are suppressed by the methods you state as "the only way" will not sit on their hands. They are currently bombing innocent people in retaliation. This is where ideals bring us.

I tend to agree with your point that trying to pressure or massage countries into democracies can very often be a pipe dream. At the same time I don't think you and Wiz are on entirely different pages in that clearly countries can often be nudged in certain directions through economic and diplomatic means, it's just often more piecemeal in nature rather than a dramatic national transformation. And in a wider sense you're both also right in that diplomacy and sanctions are a first stop that can sometimes make a difference, but in certain situations a war footing ends up being inevitable.

 

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cryrst Flag The garden of England 13 Oct 20 4.57am Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Difficult to know precisely where it might erupt but the chances are high that Iran, or its surrogates, will be involved. Trump making claims is just propaganda but his base (and you it seems) lap it up. Not everyone agrees. Read this:- [Link]

So you've picked the winner in a one horse race really. Cant you be just a wee bit more specific.

 

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 13 Oct 20 9.09am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by cryrst

So you've picked the winner in a one horse race really. Cant you be just a wee bit more specific.

The problem with unpredictable events is that unless you believe in crystal balls no-one can be more specific. The point is not the detail but that the claims made by Trump don't stand up. Which given his record is hardly surprising is it?

 


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