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The Dolphin Flag 01 Nov 20 8.24am Send a Private Message to The Dolphin Add The Dolphin as a friend

My take is that Boris - who I broadly support - has got this wrong.
Is it a political decision because he daren't have a North/South divide?
Is he being too pressured by the Scientists modelling - modelling that they appear to have got spectacularly wrong time and time again?
National lockdown was unnecessary because so many areas are handling it well.
I am told - I don't know for sure - that my local hospital has only a tiny number of covid cases there and it is a large hospital.
Why shut us all down, why punish everyone when it is clear where the problems lie.
Too many people breaking the rules every hour of every day and we all get to carry their can.
As another poster said - there will be many more deaths from other issues and illnesses when we will save very few lives from covid.
Utter madness.

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 01 Nov 20 8.33am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by The Dolphin

My take is that Boris - who I broadly support - has got this wrong.
Is it a political decision because he daren't have a North/South divide?
Is he being too pressured by the Scientists modelling - modelling that they appear to have got spectacularly wrong time and time again?
National lockdown was unnecessary because so many areas are handling it well.
I am told - I don't know for sure - that my local hospital has only a tiny number of covid cases there and it is a large hospital.
Why shut us all down, why punish everyone when it is clear where the problems lie.
Too many people breaking the rules every hour of every day and we all get to carry their can.
As another poster said - there will be many more deaths from other issues and illnesses when we will save very few lives from covid.
Utter madness.

Agreed.

 


One more point

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 01 Nov 20 8.35am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

Oh for sure, loads going on. Also when has any government, or frankly, person, not intentionally or unintentionally been selective or manipulative with stats? There’s the whole what is a Covid death when it’s not actually a Covid death malarkey. But the angle you’re taking is the full swing - ie everything is being fudged so there’s not actually a pandemic. The chance of that being the case is pretty small, and would, eventually get blown up by an inquiry. The fallout would be intense.

Also ‘hospitals are not any more busy...’ - big call, based on?

Edited by SW19 CPFC (01 Nov 2020 1.10am)

Bl00dy stats and also anecdotal info. But bare stats are enough. Didn’t Andy Burnham even say the same? Perhaps he even spotted positive tests had been falling for days while he took a political opportunity for a power play.

 


COYP

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The Dolphin Flag 01 Nov 20 8.43am Send a Private Message to The Dolphin Add The Dolphin as a friend

Assuming I was not misreading when those graphs were shown last night - the R rate is falling isn't it?
We are not even at the point where the latest tier arrangements can be seen to be effective or not (ten more days perhaps) and regardless of that - whoosh - straight into lockdown.
Sadly for those above the Midlands - even in parts of the Midlands - the situation is not good and that has to be dealt with.
Instead the economy takes another battering when keeping large swathes of the Country open would help to pay for financial support in areas that really need it.
This decision is baffling because it doesn't seem to follow either the science or common sense.

 

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 01 Nov 20 8.43am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

Do you not see that while there can be elements of truth to things, you absolutely latch onto anything and everything that's 'off' as if that's the full picture that's being hidden. You spend zero time scrutinising this stuff and endlessly do down salient points from other perspectives because they don't fit into your dark scheme of things.

You're stating both opinion and conspiracy as fact. Just taking one simple point, some hospitals patently 'are' busier with covid patients now than months back. And they 'are' getting busier as more people are admitted, so what's the point in repeatedly making definitive statements that are detached from reality.

And take the flu. We were in a months long lockdown and have been more careful clearly is a factor that may contribute to flu numbers being low this year (the flu season isn't over). Death certificates stated fewer flu deaths in 2014 and 2015 than Jan - Aug this year anyway, so you're just cherry picking higher number years to prop up your 'its all lies!' take. On top of that January 2020 saw a very significant drop from the 5 year average and this was pre-covid. The reality extends a bit beyond your conspiratorial one liner; flu seasons vary significantly. But you have zero motivation to factor any of this in because it doesn't fit your 'hidden truth' view, so you choose to ignore all of that and instead on multiple occasions go all in with a view that many covid deaths are in fact 'the flu'.

You're repeatedly opting for a blinkered outlook rather than applying reason. You don't need to discard of absolutely everything that doesn't fit neatly into a narrative. It would be better to accept that realities are often nuanced.

More nonsense. I've stated my view of this lockdown; and can see some merit in muddling along as we are, over locking society down. It's not my call though is it. You're averse to nuance and so of course you look to state out of nowhere that I'm all for totalitarian government because it saves you from having to question your own pop-up book take on a complex and multi faceted situation.

Edited by BlueJay (01 Nov 2020 2.58am)

Flu just suddenly disappearing in the last few weeks when it was 10 times more than Covid just before that doesn’t stack up for anyone who doesn’t swallow any jizz the government tosses at them like you’re only too happy to do.

The rest is just more dribble.

 


COYP

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 01 Nov 20 8.50am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

Agreed.

Yep. There could also be a carrot and stick effect on poor social distancing and hygiene by using local lockdowns. I don’t really agree with the lockdowns but if specific places do have hospitals going over capacity for this year, which hasn’t happened anywhere yet and Neil Ferguson’s best pal here will deny is the case, then it’s at least fairer than this national farce.

 


COYP

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 01 Nov 20 8.55am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by The Dolphin

Assuming I was not misreading when those graphs were shown last night - the R rate is falling isn't it?
We are not even at the point where the latest tier arrangements can be seen to be effective or not (ten more days perhaps) and regardless of that - whoosh - straight into lockdown.
Sadly for those above the Midlands - even in parts of the Midlands - the situation is not good and that has to be dealt with.
Instead the economy takes another battering when keeping large swathes of the Country open would help to pay for financial support in areas that really need it.
This decision is baffling because it doesn't seem to follow either the science or common sense.

Doing it before Christmas may be why. The problem is that the logic will really mean again and again or just stay in lockdown as before, unless they actually do compare it to last time. Something I don’t recall them doing.

 


COYP

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Eden Eagle Flag Kent 01 Nov 20 9.40am Send a Private Message to Eden Eagle Add Eden Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

If you want histrionics you need look no further than your own contributions. Last time you replied it started with an unnerving "I'm calm. Are you?" before lurching into hysterical statements like "You are the archetypal example of the problems in this world" , pleas for me to show you how another lockdown is justified (when I've never even said it is to begin with) and evoking ideas of being people 'locked in prison' and 'shot' for disobeying the government, before once again feeling the need to dissect someones cause of death. It was a batsh!t insane post from someone with a clear lack of empathy as well as a temper. But yes, you would benefit from calming down.


And for one, just because you have a pointless us vs them approach to viewing this virus it doesn't mean that you get to magic up lockdown or other beliefs for people, and secondly I have on countless occasions refuted opinions, some more 'colourful' than others.

Yesterday the ludicrous claim was made that no media exists showing busy test centres. It took about 10 seconds to find one. The answer to that? 'That's one test centre'. So I posted several more. The answer to that? A peppering of tweets to shove it off the page. That's the point, its not about facts, it's about 'feelings'. Whether a testing centre is busy or not is dependent on the area and time and people test positive elsewhere too, but people are clearly testing positive in large numbers for covid-19. Much more so than months back.


Edited by BlueJay (01 Nov 2020 3.10am)

The answer to the test centre photos you posted Bluebot was that they were from mid September. If there are 3 million tests being done a week an inquisitive mind might think that the centres would be busy (like they were in September) but this does not APPEAR to be the case now?

I think the analogy of religion is a good one - the “lockdown is the only route” believers will not listen to any other form of discussion and to suggest one or look to discuss a potential different way then you are uncaring/killing granny/etc. They will not tolerate any potential evidence that goes against their mantra.

If you go against their narrative you are a “conspiracy theorist”

They ask “why would they lie”? - does anybody believe or trust what Cummings/Hancock/Johnson say or do anymore?

This whole coronavirus thread has become pointless as no debate can be had.

 

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Eden Eagle Flag Kent 01 Nov 20 9.46am Send a Private Message to Eden Eagle Add Eden Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

You are confusing two separate issues. There is a need, and a collective responsibility, to protect people who are impacted. No-one should lose their home as a consequence. Once this is over the demand will still be there and every opportunity to rebuild and prosper.

What you cannot do is pretend the virus doesn't exist and need a response or that there won't be casualties, albeit hopefully only temporary ones.

I am not confusing anything - I have just used YOUR exact words and applied them to a realistic scenario that many thousands of people will be facing this morning?

The fact that you believe that heath and economy are 2 separate issues is quite illuminating as this shows that you do not understand that they are extricably linked and this probably explains why so many of your comments are tone deaf on the financial catastrophe people are facing.

I am pleased that you have at last recognised that this financial impact will be “devastating “ - so you are learning.

 

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 01 Nov 20 9.55am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Have a read of this. If I wasn’t made of stronger stuff I think I might weap over who’s running our country now. ‘’Chuck in a chilling picture of ice rinks used as morgues. That’ll put the fear of God in ‘em again.’’ What a bunch of w******s.

[Link]

'I could have wept – it was so awful,' said one official present, as the Quad – joined by a total of 20 experts – heard that at the current rate of infections, hospitals would soon be overrun in every part of England, with the death toll hitting between 3,000 and 4,000 a day by Christmas.

'The PM was given hard facts about real people in hospital beds, and the debate was effectively over. He was told how many hospitalisations were already baked-in to the projections due to the steep rise in infections.'

Some of the detail was macabre: plans were being made to store dead bodies in municipal ice rinks if hospital mortuaries filled up. As so often during the crisis, the emotive points made by the 'doves' overrode the Chancellor's fears for the economy.

One source said: 'The scientists and Matt [Hancock] were saying the death rate will be worse than in April.'

 


COYP

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 01 Nov 20 10.12am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Eden Eagle

I am not confusing anything - I have just used YOUR exact words and applied them to a realistic scenario that many thousands of people will be facing this morning?

The fact that you believe that heath and economy are 2 separate issues is quite illuminating as this shows that you do not understand that they are extricably linked and this probably explains why so many of your comments are tone deaf on the financial catastrophe people are facing.

I am pleased that you have at last recognised that this financial impact will be “devastating “ - so you are learning.

Maybe this will help YOU learn something!

It's ALWAYS been obvious that the financial impact will be devastating. It's ALWAYS been obvious that health and the economy are "extricably" linked.

Recognising that means I, and most others, are far from "tone deaf" about the financial catastrophe we face as country and the impact it produces on people disproportionately.

That is NOT the point. The point is that this is all about having to face making choices between approaches which are all bad. The decisions to be made are which are least bad, which are more likely to produce the least harm and from which a recovery can be made.

This crisis needs effective, clear-sighted, level headed, management. I am very glad that you, and the others here who think like you, are not responsible for that management. Not only would many more of us die, ultimately the economy would take longer to recover.

Get it now?

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 01 Nov 20 10.23am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Maybe this will help YOU learn something!

It's ALWAYS been obvious that the financial impact will be devastating. It's ALWAYS been obvious that health and the economy are "extricably" linked.

Recognising that means I, and most others, are far from "tone deaf" about the financial catastrophe we face as country and the impact it produces on people disproportionately.

That is NOT the point. The point is that this is all about having to face making choices between approaches which are all bad. The decisions to be made are which are least bad, which are more likely to produce the least harm and from which a recovery can be made.

This crisis needs effective, clear-sighted, level headed, management. I am very glad that you, and the others here who think like you, are not responsible for that management. Not only would many more of us die, ultimately the economy would take longer to recover.

Get it now?

Yes, shield the vulnerable. We could’ve paid them to for less financial cost.

 


COYP

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