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People's obsession with the academy

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palace99 Flag New Mills 06 Nov 23 2.55pm

Originally posted by Goalpost1

I don't know how much the academy costs to run per annum but as long as the expectations are not too high to start then it is potentially a great investment. Take into account selling AWB for £50m and Wilf who has help keep us in the Prem for years, which is worth huge millions then that alone is worth it.

The next step surely though has to be a la Arsenal rather than Chelsea and bring through more first team squad players from the academy.

The cat A academy cost £30m upfront and £5m a year to run. Arguably neither Zaha or AWB benefitted from these facilities so i think the slate is clean. Players like Salako and Southgate used to get changed in a portacabin when they were youth team players.

One player a year e.g. Ozoh or JRS, getting into the squad would represent excellent business.

Maybe selling the odd one for decent money e.g. Phillips??, would also be a sensible approach. O'Brien appears to be the first we've done this with

 

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TheBigToePunt Flag 06 Nov 23 2.58pm Send a Private Message to TheBigToePunt Add TheBigToePunt as a friend

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

What are we actually investing in the academy? You keep using language like 'all that money' - what does that actually look like?

If we consider producing our best ever player, an England international and a £50m right back, all in a 10-year spell as average, then certainly it's got no chance - those expectations aren't realistic.

I don't really follow that this isn't an established model - supplementing a first team with academy players is one of the most established models there is - I don't think it's necessary to distinguish between the size of the club when it comes to comparing things like that - at pretty much every level, you'll find squads topped up with academy players.

Arsenal have Saka, Nelson, Nketiah and Smith-Rose - arguably only Saka is a top level player of those four, but the other 3 form an important part of their squad.

United do the same with Hannibal, Pellestri, Garnacho.

Liverpool have Trent as the star, but also use Jones, Quansah, Bajcetic.

Chelsea have Chalobah, Colwill, James, Maatsen, Gallagher, Broja all in the squad, haven't sold a number of other graduates for big fees in the last few years (Mount, Abraham, Guehi, Tomori)

Edited by EverybodyDannsNow (06 Nov 2023 2.15pm)

Regarding the cost of the academy, Parish provided eye-watering figures during his interview with Gary Neville. If you missed it, it is well worth a watch (generally, as well as in relation to this subject). It certainly gave me a new perspective on the investment, and therefore the hopes the club must have for it. From memory, the costs were comparable to the new Main Stand project, certainly in the long run when you factor in running costs.

Yes, promoting youth is of course as old as the hills. The subject of this thread, however, is what expectations we should have for the academy. Specifically, would we hope to A. produce players that will make a noticeable difference to the team (i.e take us into the top ten positions), or B. save millions in the transfer market by growing our own, whilst still maintaining a premier league standard team, or C. sell enough players to at least cover the costs, or a combination of all three, etc.

To achieve any of the above, we would need to produce more players more often than we historically have, and than most clubs historically have, if you take the big sides out of the equation.

My own response to the original post therefore is that I think it is necessary to spend money to have a top academy, but probably not realistic to expect it to produce first-team players any more frequently than the old youth team historically did, or to hope that it will lead to an upturn in player sales. Thats fine by me, but I do sense that some have higher hopes than might be realistic.

Edited by TheBigToePunt (06 Nov 2023 3.03pm)

 

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rikz Flag Croydon 06 Nov 23 3.15pm Send a Private Message to rikz Add rikz as a friend

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

I think signing a 16 year old and bringing them through is still relevant - we 'signed' Phillips, Banks, O'Brien, Reid, Balmer from Irish and Scottish clubs, but they're very much part of our academy, and if any make it to the first team would be considered graduates of the academy.

Brighton 'signed' Evan Ferguson and West Ham 'signed' Declan Rice' - I don't think anyone argues they are not products of the clubs though.

We also 'signed' Mitchell from Brentford when they decided to close the academy, and JRS from Chelsea when he was released - still very much our products.

Rice was released by Chelsea, like loads of young players who have played for a few different clubs. Massive difference between seeing something in a young player that other clubs don't, rather than buying the best players from academies across Europe who are pretty much guaranteed to make it as a pro.

 

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EverybodyDannsNow Flag SE19 06 Nov 23 3.24pm Send a Private Message to EverybodyDannsNow Add EverybodyDannsNow as a friend

Originally posted by rikz

Rice was released by Chelsea, like loads of young players who have played for a few different clubs. Massive difference between seeing something in a young player that other clubs don't, rather than buying the best players from academies across Europe who are pretty much guaranteed to make it as a pro.

Ok so take Evan Ferguson as the example instead.

I don't think any 16 year old is guaranteed to make it, or certainly very few.

 

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EverybodyDannsNow Flag SE19 06 Nov 23 3.34pm Send a Private Message to EverybodyDannsNow Add EverybodyDannsNow as a friend

Originally posted by TheBigToePunt

Regarding the cost of the academy, Parish provided eye-watering figures during his interview with Gary Neville. If you missed it, it is well worth a watch (generally, as well as in relation to this subject). It certainly gave me a new perspective on the investment, and therefore the hopes the club must have for it. From memory, the costs were comparable to the new Main Stand project, certainly in the long run when you factor in running costs.

Yes, promoting youth is of course as old as the hills. The subject of this thread, however, is what expectations we should have for the academy. Specifically, would we hope to A. produce players that will make a noticeable difference to the team (i.e take us into the top ten positions), or B. save millions in the transfer market by growing our own, whilst still maintaining a premier league standard team, or C. sell enough players to at least cover the costs, or a combination of all three, etc.

To achieve any of the above, we would need to produce more players more often than we historically have, and than most clubs historically have, if you take the big sides out of the equation.

My own response to the original post therefore is that I think it is necessary to spend money to have a top academy, but probably not realistic to expect it to produce first-team players any more frequently than the old youth team historically did, or to hope that it will lead to an upturn in player sales. Thats fine by me, but I do sense that some have higher hopes than might be realistic.

Edited by TheBigToePunt (06 Nov 2023 3.03pm)

I will try to re-watch the Neville interview at some point, but if the £5m a year quoted above is anything to go by, that's a tiny expense for a club or our size. One Wan-Bissaka a decade would cover it.

It looks even better value when you compare what £5m would do for you in the transfer window, which is obviously next to nothing.

I don't really follow your logic that having a better academy won't lead to us producing better quality players more frequently, whether that's for the first team or to sell on - surely the most obvious consequence of improving the academy is exactly that?

Of course there are variables, but as a general trend I think it's almost inevitable and I think it's already happening; Rak-Sakyi is today's Sullay Kai Kai, Jake O'Brien is today's Ryan Innis, David Ozoh is today's Hiram Boateng - the quality of output is improving all the time.

 

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rikz Flag Croydon 06 Nov 23 3.51pm Send a Private Message to rikz Add rikz as a friend

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

I will try to re-watch the Neville interview at some point, but if the £5m a year quoted above is anything to go by, that's a tiny expense for a club or our size. One Wan-Bissaka a decade would cover it.

It looks even better value when you compare what £5m would do for you in the transfer window, which is obviously next to nothing.

I don't really follow your logic that having a better academy won't lead to us producing better quality players more frequently, whether that's for the first team or to sell on - surely the most obvious consequence of improving the academy is exactly that?

Of course there are variables, but as a general trend I think it's almost inevitable and I think it's already happening; Rak-Sakyi is today's Sullay Kai Kai, Jake O'Brien is today's Ryan Innis, David Ozoh is today's Hiram Boateng - the quality of output is improving all the time.

Let's just look at the top clubs this weekend, utd had Garnacho,mctominay and Evans, City had no players, arsenal had saka and Nketiah and Liverpool had trent, 6 out of 44 players starting. other academy players, utd had awb and arsenal had rice and white. Not great for what would be 4 of the best academies in England.

And 4 out of them 6 only started because of injuries, so most weekends they would only start 3 with Rashford, 4 with grealish.

Edited by rikz (06 Nov 2023 3.57pm)

 

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doombear Flag Too far from Selhurst Park 06 Nov 23 3.56pm Send a Private Message to doombear Add doombear as a friend

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

Sullay KaiKai has nearly 200 football league appearances and is an international for Sierra Leone.

Hiram Boateng also pushing 200 professional games across League One and League Two

Jason Lokilo is with Hull in the Championship.

Rob Street is in league one.

Ryan Innis has 100+ football league appearances and now with Forest Green in League Two.

There's also Keshi Andersen and Freddie Ladapo who are both Championship forwards - we signed both for our academy, as opposed to developed them from kids.

Again to hammer the point, we've had below average academy facilities for nearly all of the last 10 years, so I think it's a poor measuring stick as to what we'll be capable of moving forward.


and Rich-Baghelou is still at Accrington Stanley (played over the weekend)


 

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doombear Flag Too far from Selhurst Park 06 Nov 23 4.02pm Send a Private Message to doombear Add doombear as a friend

Originally posted by rikz

Let's just look at the top clubs this weekend, utd had Garnacho,mctominay and Evans, City had no players, arsenal had saka and Nketiah and Liverpool had trent, 6 out of 44 players starting. other academy players, utd had awb and arsenal had rice and white. Not great for what would be 4 of the best academies in England.

And 4 out of them 6 only started because of injuries, so most weekends they would only start 3 with Rashford, 4 with grealish.

Edited by rikz (06 Nov 2023 3.57pm)


Yes but how many Academy players have they sold and made profits on? Both Liverpool and Chelsea are in the list of Academies making the most profit from their sales (although TBTP's link article is a year out of date).

 

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EverybodyDannsNow Flag SE19 06 Nov 23 4.03pm Send a Private Message to EverybodyDannsNow Add EverybodyDannsNow as a friend

Originally posted by rikz

Let's just look at the top clubs this weekend, utd had Garnacho,mctominay and Evans, City had no players, arsenal had saka and Nketiah and Liverpool had trent, 6 out of 44 players starting. other academy players, utd had awb and arsenal had rice and white. Not great for what would be 4 of the best academies in England.

6/44 is over 13% of starters, and that's at the best clubs in the country - not bad at all.

City also had Foden, Lewis and Bobb all play in the game.

13% of starters being from the academy would mean 1-2 in the Palace XI every week - I don't think even the most passionate academy fan would expect much more than that.


Also, again, if we're talking £5m a year investment for 13% of your starting line-up... that's an incredible return in the context of PL recruitment - how much would a Saka or Foden cost to buy?

Edited by EverybodyDannsNow (06 Nov 2023 4.05pm)

 

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EverybodyDannsNow Flag SE19 06 Nov 23 4.05pm Send a Private Message to EverybodyDannsNow Add EverybodyDannsNow as a friend

Originally posted by doombear


and Rich-Baghelou is still at Accrington Stanley (played over the weekend)


Good shout! I'm sure there must be others dotted about.

Edited by EverybodyDannsNow (06 Nov 2023 4.05pm)

 

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rikz Flag Croydon 06 Nov 23 4.12pm Send a Private Message to rikz Add rikz as a friend

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

6/44 is over 13% of starters, and that's at the best clubs in the country - not bad at all.

City also had Foden, Lewis and Bobb all play in the game.

13% of starters being from the academy would mean 1-2 in the Palace XI every week - I don't think even the most passionate academy fan would expect much more than that.


Also, again, if we're talking £5m a year investment for 13% of your starting line-up... that's an incredible return in the context of PL recruitment - how much would a Saka or Foden cost to buy?

Edited by EverybodyDannsNow (06 Nov 2023 4.05pm)

I think 2 players In our starting 11 is realistic enough, being a London club I'd be surprised if we didn't produce a good enough player every 3-4 years. The problem is the fans who think Roy can just chuck on a youngster every time a player has a bad game or grab someone from the academy when we dont sign a full back. One poster wanted rak sakyi playing as our number 9, another thinks he's worth 60 mill.

 

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doombear Flag Too far from Selhurst Park 06 Nov 23 4.47pm Send a Private Message to doombear Add doombear as a friend

Originally posted by rikz

I think 2 players In our starting 11 is realistic enough, being a London club I'd be surprised if we didn't produce a good enough player every 3-4 years. The problem is the fans who think Roy can just chuck on a youngster every time a player has a bad game or grab someone from the academy when we dont sign a full back. One poster wanted rak sakyi playing as our number 9, another thinks he's worth 60 mill.


There'll always be the fantasists.

As someone who watches the U21s and U18s reasonably regularly, it's clear that whilst there are youngsters with good skills and good football brains they're still playing against other youngsters and not seasoned pros who know how to use the "Dark Arts". Also, they tend to be given more time on the ball than you would get in the Championship never mind the PL.

Of those in the U21s, IMO only Ozoh looks like he might make the jump to the PL. Some of the others may well be able to earn a reasonable living at lower league level and one or two might even make the Championship. I have hopes for Imray being one of those. I'd love him to be our future RB but I'm still undecided whether he'll be quite that good.

I'm excluding JRS because he has a regular 1st team squad player this season.

Edited by doombear (06 Nov 2023 4.50pm)

 

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