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EverybodyDannsNow SE19 04 Dec 23 5.28pm | |
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Originally posted by Ginger Pubic Wig
The man is on course* for about 15 goals in a team without its two main chance creators, he's better for goals V xG than Haaland, Watkins and Isak, among others, this season. Outside of goalscoring, at which he's rather good, Haaland is fairly average. But I'd still take him :-) And critically, Edouard's playing in a team that hasn't had its two main creative outlets -- and has played super defensively with a low block -- all season. Strikers are judged first on goals, and on that simple metric the data you selected say he's above average. I accept he lacks a bit as an all round player. But he's doing well this season on metric number 1. I will also accept I misrepresented you a bit, but the thrust of your comments is, for me, wrong.
I think we broadly agree about what he is as a player - a decent goalscorer and probably below average all-rounder. I don’t have much faith he’ll get close to 15 goals, and so when the run rate invariably drops, your left with his player who contributes next to nothing - that’s how I see his season playing out.
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EverybodyDannsNow SE19 04 Dec 23 5.29pm | |
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Originally posted by Teddy Eagle
That's a bit harsh on him; he scored 57 in 94 for Celtic. Given the usual caveats about the level of the opposition the goal is the same size. If he was given the opportunity to take free kicks and penalties, as he did at Celtic, he'd get a few more. I don’t know - Kris Boyd, Gary Hooper, Anthony Stokes and the likes all come to mind.
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Teddy Eagle 04 Dec 23 5.38pm | |
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Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow
I don’t know - Kris Boyd, Gary Hooper, Anthony Stokes and the likes all come to mind. True but there was also Kenny Dalglish. Bit of a leap I admit.
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southnorwoodhill 04 Dec 23 5.57pm | |
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I'm sure you all saw Haaland's laughable miss - I'm sure Edouard would have put that away, so when Pep comes in with an £80m offer we ought to take it seriously.
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Teddy Eagle 04 Dec 23 6.11pm | |
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Originally posted by southnorwoodhill
I'm sure you all saw Haaland's laughable miss - I'm sure Edouard would have put that away, so when Pep comes in with an £80m offer we ought to take it seriously. It would require some deep thought.
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ambrose7 Croydon 04 Dec 23 8.16pm | |
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Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow
Whilst I don’t disagree that he’s our best forward, I think you’re being quite easy on him with the above - against Luton for example, he was incredibly wasteful in the final third and a big part of why we lost the game. He’s scored 6 goals from an xG of 4.8 which suggests he’s basically an average finisher. Given how little he offers in the rest of his game - poor with his back to goal and creates next to nothing for his teammates - he needs to at least keep up that kind of scoring rate to justify his place in the team. Best of a bad bunch and I think he could be a semi-decent goalscorer, but the days of strikers walking around for 89 mins and then popping up with the odd goal are gone - we could really do with someone a lot more complete leading the line. So could the entire league though. The striker debate always ends up the same way - name them. Son, Bryan Mbuemo, Hwang, Edouard and Solanke are the only non-European team players to have more than 4 goals. Not a single Chelsea or Man United player has. Only 1 at Liverpool and City. Suggests that Solanke is the only striker in the league at a non-European club who could fit the bill? He got 6 in 33 last year so isn't an obvious improvement. If that striker existed and was available, there's many clubs they'd be at before they're at Palace.
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Teddy Eagle 04 Dec 23 8.22pm | |
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Originally posted by ambrose7
So could the entire league though. The striker debate always ends up the same way - name them. Son, Bryan Mbuemo, Hwang, Edouard and Solanke are the only non-European team players to have more than 4 goals. Not a single Chelsea or Man United player has. Only 1 at Liverpool and City. Suggests that Solanke is the only striker in the league at a non-European club who could fit the bill? He got 6 in 33 last year so isn't an obvious improvement. If that striker existed and was available, there's many clubs they'd be at before they're at Palace. Interesting comparison and as we know if we did somehow find a 20+ a year striker we wouldn't have him for long.
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EverybodyDannsNow SE19 05 Dec 23 8.27am | |
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Originally posted by ambrose7
So could the entire league though. The striker debate always ends up the same way - name them. Son, Bryan Mbuemo, Hwang, Edouard and Solanke are the only non-European team players to have more than 4 goals. Not a single Chelsea or Man United player has. Only 1 at Liverpool and City. Suggests that Solanke is the only striker in the league at a non-European club who could fit the bill? He got 6 in 33 last year so isn't an obvious improvement. If that striker existed and was available, there's many clubs they'd be at before they're at Palace. I think that’s quite a selective way to present the data - you’ve excluded the like Ferguson, Watkins, Bowen and Wilson because they now play in Europe but all of those were signed from the EFL or LOI which are markets certainly open to us. Jackson also has 6 league goals for Chelsea, not that it’s particularly relevant. It’s also a tiny simple size in which Edouard’s numbers look quite good - there were plenty of forwards at comparable clubs who outscored his 5 in 35 appearances last season; Ings, Welbeck, Iheanacho, Mitrovic, Rodrygo, Watkins, Harvey Barnes, Brennan Johnson, Awoniyi, Solanke, Podence, Mitoma, Solly March, Che Adams, Vinicius - it’s hardly a list of superstars is it? More broadly, I think comparing strikers on one single metric is a bit simplistic - yes, Edouard is a reasonable goalscorer, but essentially every player above outperforms him creatively. I’m not expecting a 20 goal striker but I don’t think it’s unrealistic to think we can find an improvement on Edouard. Edited by EverybodyDannsNow (05 Dec 2023 8.34am)
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Eaglecoops CR3 05 Dec 23 9.03am | |
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Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow
I think that’s quite a selective way to present the data - you’ve excluded the like Ferguson, Watkins, Bowen and Wilson because they now play in Europe but all of those were signed from the EFL or LOI which are markets certainly open to us. Jackson also has 6 league goals for Chelsea, not that it’s particularly relevant. It’s also a tiny simple size in which Edouard’s numbers look quite good - there were plenty of forwards at comparable clubs who outscored his 5 in 35 appearances last season; Ings, Welbeck, Iheanacho, Mitrovic, Rodrygo, Watkins, Harvey Barnes, Brennan Johnson, Awoniyi, Solanke, Podence, Mitoma, Solly March, Che Adams, Vinicius - it’s hardly a list of superstars is it? More broadly, I think comparing strikers on one single metric is a bit simplistic - yes, Edouard is a reasonable goalscorer, but essentially every player above outperforms him creatively. I’m not expecting a 20 goal striker but I don’t think it’s unrealistic to think we can find an improvement on Edouard. Edited by EverybodyDannsNow (05 Dec 2023 8.34am) A well written post that sums up where we are with Edouard.
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ambrose7 Croydon 05 Dec 23 2.04pm | |
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Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow
I think that’s quite a selective way to present the data - you’ve excluded the like Ferguson, Watkins, Bowen and Wilson because they now play in Europe but all of those were signed from the EFL or LOI which are markets certainly open to us. Jackson also has 6 league goals for Chelsea, not that it’s particularly relevant. It’s also a tiny simple size in which Edouard’s numbers look quite good - there were plenty of forwards at comparable clubs who outscored his 5 in 35 appearances last season; Ings, Welbeck, Iheanacho, Mitrovic, Rodrygo, Watkins, Harvey Barnes, Brennan Johnson, Awoniyi, Solanke, Podence, Mitoma, Solly March, Che Adams, Vinicius - it’s hardly a list of superstars is it? More broadly, I think comparing strikers on one single metric is a bit simplistic - yes, Edouard is a reasonable goalscorer, but essentially every player above outperforms him creatively. I’m not expecting a 20 goal striker but I don’t think it’s unrealistic to think we can find an improvement on Edouard. Edited by EverybodyDannsNow (05 Dec 2023 8.34am) I've excluded the European ones on the basis that we wouldn't have been in a position to sign them in the past ~18 months and the point is about our recent or upcoming ability to sign a striker. Ferguson is probably the only one that we could've pinched at the time but we could do without another thread on Brighton's scouting department. We reportedly tried to get Bowen and Watkins and couldn't do the deal for either so even at Hull and Brentford we weren't their pick. Therefore, there isn't a club in the PL around our level or below that with all the scouts combined has managed to put a forward on the pitch this season that's performing demonstrably better than Edouard. Consequently, I think it is unrealistic that we find a striker demonstrably better than Edouard because the majority of PL clubs are consistently failing to do the same thing. Even taking last year's list (Edouard played 50% of total minutes last season) there's a lot of wingers in there. How many of them are the complete forward who scores goals, runs the channels, does the hold up etc. which is what was requested? Awoniyi, Watkins and perhaps the very central Mitrovic and the ageing Welbeck? The striker everyone wants is super, super rare.
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EverybodyDannsNow SE19 05 Dec 23 2.34pm | |
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Originally posted by ambrose7
I've excluded the European ones on the basis that we wouldn't have been in a position to sign them in the past ~18 months and the point is about our recent or upcoming ability to sign a striker. Ferguson is probably the only one that we could've pinched at the time but we could do without another thread on Brighton's scouting department. We reportedly tried to get Bowen and Watkins and couldn't do the deal for either so even at Hull and Brentford we weren't their pick. Therefore, there isn't a club in the PL around our level or below that with all the scouts combined has managed to put a forward on the pitch this season that's performing demonstrably better than Edouard. Consequently, I think it is unrealistic that we find a striker demonstrably better than Edouard because the majority of PL clubs are consistently failing to do the same thing. Even taking last year's list (Edouard played 50% of total minutes last season) there's a lot of wingers in there. How many of them are the complete forward who scores goals, runs the channels, does the hold up etc. which is what was requested? Awoniyi, Watkins and perhaps the very central Mitrovic and the ageing Welbeck? The striker everyone wants is super, super rare. It just feels like you’re building criteria as favourably as possible to Edouard and then concluding that there is no one else - has to be central forwards, can’t play for anyone currently in Europe (even if they have only been in Europe for a few months), can’t be anyone we have supposedly tried to sign previously, only consider goals as a metric and only consider the last 13 games - it’s so niche of course you’re only going to come up with a couple of names. There’s no reason Edouard can’t be compared with players like Ings, Iheanacho, Mitrovic, Rodrygo, Che Adams, but your criteria excludes them because they are not in the league this season. Some broader data on Edouard over the last 365 days would be: - bottom 4% for assists when compared with other forwards The only areas where he ranks well versus his peers are in tackles, blocks and clearances where he is amongst the top 20% in all cases. He’s pretty much bang in the middle for non penalty goals per 90 at 0.3 a game. All of that points to a reasonable finisher who is a complete non factor in chance creation, which is exactly how I see Edouard.
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taylors lovechild 05 Dec 23 3.45pm | |
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He's openly quoted today as saying he wants to move to a club which is in Europe at the end of the season. I can only say that I wish him well in those endeavours. If it gives him added motivation this season then hopefully we'll start to see more of that on the pitch and we can get a decent return on our investment. If he managed to bag 15+ goals we might even turn a profit. With JPM's contract apparently up at the end of the season too I imagine we'll see at least one new striker by 2027.
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