Exponential sadly.

Oh I don’t know. I could have predicted that if they tested many thousands of people that they would find more people with it.

I also could have predicted that wee Cranky would do something different to Boris every week. That one is too easy to predict though.

Yes, from June 1st using the seven day average there has been a 174% increase in testing. Using the same seven day average, during this period, there has been a 409% increase in the number of cases.

Regardless of peoples take on coronavirus measures, it is clearly currently rising fairly dramatically week on week.

Don't forget multi (and I mean multi!!) occupancy housing. A bit of a recipe for disaster. Pretty much the opposite to Sweden really, which has a mind boggling 40%-50% of the population living on their lonesome. Easier to set your own risk threshold and avoid household spread if you're not crawling over people to get out of the front door haha.

A seasonal virus rising in the winter. Who’d have thought

I’d be interested to know what percentage of these increased numbers are students or under 21’s and also what the breakdown is by ethnicity as Muslims do live in homes with high occupancy and meet in large numbers at mosques. Youngsters do what youngsters do, particularly in a college environment which is always going to be a recipe for disaster.

If it turns out there is no bias In the increase towards certain sections of the community then the return to work is what is likely to have started a general increase in numbers through generally increased contact.

You cannot have it both ways though. You can lock down the country and stop people meeting each other and go into financial ruin or you can accept that a certain number of people are going to get it and carry on as we have recently but with more emphasis on protecting the vulnerable and identifying where and how the sharp increases have come about geographically.