I agree with you. I don't think too much will change, economically or socially. I also agree with your point on the 'harbinger of doom' economic predictions. However, I will say that employment growth is slowing and inflation will catch up with this year, possibly in the form of a rate increase, and he inflation will be as a result of Sterling decline following Brexit. However, again, we do have a remarkably resilient economy, comprising resilient companies and resilient consumers. Household debt is reduced from the highs of pre credit crash days. Although the sterling decline will affect inflation, it does make Britain attractive to do in business from abroad.

I believe we are heading for a Brexit which Remainers will label 'hard' and Leavers label 'soft'.

We will leave the EU but probably not the single market and with a fudge on so-called 'freedom of movement'. I believe it will be a hybrid Norway-Canada result, with some concessions made by both sides on some particular matters, such as freedom of movement and guaranteeing expat rights.

I do not believe that the process of leaving is that complicated. It's a question of political will. I also don't believe that the diplomatic service is necessarily the right vehicle to negotiate Brexit. The Ivan Rogers affair backs this up. Do we need to have a team smoothing matters with Cyrus, Malta and Latvia? Or do we form a position after initial political negotiations and form a deal? Neither side will want long, drawn out uncertainty for economic and political reasons.

We have been part of Europe for 40 yrs. there's going to be lots of muddled, messed up, convoluted, whatever you want to call it approaches as we try and extracate ourselves.

Personally I don't want a running commentary. Nothing will get done if that happens. Politicians will spend too much time trying to get one up on each other. I would prefer to let them get on with it for now and present their proposal once completed.

Nice post, until you ruined it by mentioning the Guardian.

I think you'll find as well that after the 3 month period is up, an EU national can stay longer should they be able to demonstrate they are highly likely to be able to find a job in the near future (vague as this is). Still, remain once again missing the argument here sadly. It's never been solely about the numbers (at least not for me or any other brexiteer I know). It's always been the fundamental inequality which the EU has has subjected immigration to. Let's be frank here, the above requirements are not exactly a tough set of criteria to abide by. Even if another EU national was to 'fail' to fulfil the above (which are very difficult to actually enforce) , he or she could simply leave the UK and then return again, therefore reseting the the three month time period. When you give one group of people (in thus case EU nationals) almost free access to the UK job market just because they are EU nationals (see you later meritocracy). This can't help but have negative consequences for other groups of migrants wishing to come here who don't have an EU passport.

The EU therefore forces us (the UK) to make a choice, we either discriminate again all non-EU immigrants to keep a barely functional system operational, or we just let go of the reigns completely and just hope for the best. I don't know about you, but that is no way to really run a country.

Regardless, I don't want to overly criticise you, no matter how much I disagree with your above post it's important you are able to continue making such statements. I therefore figured I'd balance out this post and agree with on how much Theresa May royally screwed up relations with non EU countries will desperate trying to get to the 100,000 migration cap, once again, lets just a pick a number and hope for the best kind of policy.

I've met plenty of people here (In China) who tell me of the pain and suffering which they felt when after paying thousands of pounds into the UK in the form of tuition fees and living costs, were told that their post study work visa would be not be granted and that they should 'vacate the county' as soon as they graduated. Awful awful awful! Now when Mrs May wanders around the globe with her hands out like some Victorian beggar saying "Please India, China, pakistan, give us tariff access to your markets" she just gets laughed at, and so she should!

Finally, it's probably only been about 6-7 years which someone can even talk about immigration with out being strung up from a lamppost and their family labelled social outcasts *slight exaggeration alert*. You want to see this topic suppressed again do you?