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Magic Number for Survival - 2017 (LOCKED)
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 Ray in Houston  Houston 15 Apr 17 6.26pm |
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Originally posted by kenbarr
Right now, the absolute safety MN is 11. Monday will tell if it will be reduced to single digits. A Boro loss or draw (possible given Arsenic's away form) will reduce it to 9. In reality, they have no games at hand on us as the Monday match is this week's round. It's not quite that simple. If we earn 11 points, we guarantee finishing above the bottom three. But, because there's multiple teams in the mix, it's possible to achieve the MN against, say, Boro, but still fall behind anyone else below us currently. Would obviously love to achieve safety with a continued run of positive results but, more likey, we will get there by combination of points won by us and points dropped by others. Edited by Ray in Houston (15 Apr 2017 6.28pm)
We don't do possession; we do defense and attack. Everything else is just wa**ing with a football. |
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Superhorns3  Harpdenden 15 Apr 17 7.05pm |
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Probably see you next season guys... On today's form Swansea looked like they won't score many. We weren't that great and basically played out a comfortable 1-0 win. Also Hull will beat us next week... (And I suspect you will finish above us)
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| kenbarr Jackson Heights, Queens, New York ... 15 Apr 17 9.24pm |
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Originally posted by Ray in Houston
It's not quite that simple. If we earn 11 points, we guarantee finishing above the bottom three. But, because there's multiple teams in the mix, it's possible to achieve the MN against, say, Boro, but still fall behind anyone else below us currently. Would obviously love to achieve safety with a continued run of positive results but, more likey, we will get there by combination of points won by us and points dropped by others. Edited by Ray in Houston (15 Apr 2017 6.28pm) I don't believe we can win out, especially with the form Spurs are in. I'm actually looking for anywhere from 6 to 8 points gained by Palace. The bottom four will probably provide at least five dropped points each, exceeding the eleven we need. Hull are a far different proposition away so I'm looking at a six point swing right there. Of course, the best laid plans of mice and men .... If 17th is where we finish, given the horrible first half plus, I'll take it.
Divorced...And LOVING it! |
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| kenbarr Jackson Heights, Queens, New York ... 17 Apr 17 10.10pm |
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MN down to 9 with Boro loss tonight.
Divorced...And LOVING it! |
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| Lyons550 Shirley 18 Apr 17 8.30am |
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Apologies Ken I hadn't seen your thread when I posted the other day
The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World |
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Attachment: | Ray in Houston Houston 18 Apr 17 4.24pm |
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Here's the update following Boro's loss on Monday: 11 Stoke 20 (points available 15 ) So, if each of the bottom three lose three of their remaining games, we're safe without earning another point.
We don't do possession; we do defense and attack. Everything else is just wa**ing with a football. |
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| Brentmiester_General Front line in the battle against t... 18 Apr 17 7.15pm |
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3
"We love you Palace, we f@cking hate Man U, We love you Palace, we hate the brighton too, We love you Palace we play in red 'n' blue, so f@ck you, and you ... |
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| Holmesdale 1989 19 Apr 17 10.52pm |
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35 points is enough
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| Dowdy Cowardly Dowie Hampshire 20 Apr 17 11.55am |
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I do not see any of the bottom 3 get more than 34 points, with our goal difference, we were already safe on 34 after the Arsenal result.
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| Ray in Houston Houston 20 Apr 17 7.28pm |
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Originally posted by Dowdy Cowardly Dowie
I do not see any of the bottom 3 get more than 34 points, with our goal difference, we were already safe on 34 after the Arsenal result. - Swansea have 8 wins from 33 games (1 in 4) and now have to win 3 of 5. All mathematically achievable but, in reality...? Edited by Ray in Houston (20 Apr 2017 7.28pm)
We don't do possession; we do defense and attack. Everything else is just wa**ing with a football. |
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| bashy2 London 20 Apr 17 8.23pm |
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We ain't safe yet when we beat Liverpool we will be through we need to get to at least 38 points to be safe I reckon Swansea will draw with stoke and hull to beat watford so we have to win at least playing on Sunday we will know what we have to do against liverpool and that should be enough incentive to go out and get the result we need points wise
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Adamoc123  Ennis 20 Apr 17 10.23pm |
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Originally posted by Ray in Houston
- Swansea have 8 wins from 33 games (1 in 4) and now have to win 3 of 5. All mathematically achievable but, in reality...? Edited by Ray in Houston (20 Apr 2017 7.28pm) After Stoke we had 5 wins from 25 games (1 in 5) yet then managed(thankfully) to get 5 wins from 7 so you just never know when a team can get a streak going.
The First 90 Minutes Are The Most Important! |
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and now have to win 4 of 6
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