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September 16 2024 8.26pm

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2024 General Election

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Matov Flag 08 Jun 24 4.10pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Looks like Sunak has cancelled all media interviews for today. And there is some chatter about him resigning. Suspect a lot going on today behind closed doors.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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Forest Hillbilly Flag in a hidey-hole 08 Jun 24 4.15pm Send a Private Message to Forest Hillbilly Add Forest Hillbilly as a friend

I think there may be a tendency to over-estimate the damage Sunak has done. Yes , there is huge damage to the party. There is massive inner turmoil and uncertainty.
However, the British Public are largely a people of voting habit. In spite of voicing pre-election concern, the majority of Tory voters are unlikely to shift allegiance. However badly the Tories have messed up (and they would struggle to do worse), Tory voters still fear the unknown of Labour Government.

 


I disengage, I turn the page.

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Matov Flag 08 Jun 24 4.23pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Originally posted by Forest Hillbilly

I think there may be a tendency to over-estimate the damage Sunak has done. Yes , there is huge damage to the party. There is massive inner turmoil and uncertainty.
However, the British Public are largely a people of voting habit. In spite of voicing pre-election concern, the majority of Tory voters are unlikely to shift allegiance. However badly the Tories have messed up (and they would struggle to do worse), Tory voters still fear the unknown of Labour Government.

Normally I would agree with you but this time around...I genuinely do not know of a single person intending to vote Tory this time around. They are almost all either not bothering voting or going down the Reform route.

Supposedly Tory HQ are now fearing less than 100 seats and are in utter despair at how Sunak is acting. Which is the point. He is literally a one man wrecking machine at the moment. Conservative leaders do not bail out of events like D-Day commemorations early. It is just beyond any credibility that they would, ESPECIALLY in a GE campaign. Even the BS about the ITV interview is falling apart as apparently it was only arranged the day before.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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cryrst Flag The garden of England 08 Jun 24 5.56pm Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by Forest Hillbilly

I think there may be a tendency to over-estimate the damage Sunak has done. Yes , there is huge damage to the party. There is massive inner turmoil and uncertainty.
However, the British Public are largely a people of voting habit. In spite of voicing pre-election concern, the majority of Tory voters are unlikely to shift allegiance. However badly the Tories have messed up (and they would struggle to do worse), Tory voters still fear the unknown of Labour Government.

Not unknown to 40 plus year olds. We remember bliar and his f*** up.
Also this labour will be overrun with socialists within a year and the seemingly moderate starmer will be gone. That’s when the labour newby voters will realise that socialism is ok until you run out of other peoples money. It will be their money

 

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DANGERCLOSE Flag London 08 Jun 24 7.08pm Send a Private Message to DANGERCLOSE Add DANGERCLOSE as a friend

This is just my opinion of what I've seen so far.

Conservatives will lose this time and of course labour will win, Reform will come a strong second and hopefully win next time.

Under labour we will see taxes rise and as usual the poor will suffer but the rich will be happy. Socialism doesn't work. Many voters will become disappointed and move to a more right wing government as we have seen across the world.

 

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silvertop Flag Portishead 08 Jun 24 7.35pm Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Immigration is fixing most of the issues.

The NHS is being staffed and the strain reduced
The new workers are paying much more tax and NI than the benefits they claim.
Housing for workers is always required. Unless you shrink the economy.
There is no evidence that suggests immigration has any impact on crime. It’s a myth.
I am sure there is much more.


I will ignore the hysterical express type garbage of individual
immigrants committing crimes. However there is empirical evidence (Danish?) showing a link between immigration and crime. This does not surprise me.

They drop straight to the bottom of the socioeconomic pile. They are poor and disconnected to the culture around them. They cling together in collectives, some good some bad.

Most put us to shame with their work rate and energy and dreams for a better life for their kids. Some aren't so effective and drop into crime.

Albanians maybe. But I doubt many members of criminal Somali gangs saw their future as low level gangster when they got off the plane.

 

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glazedallover Flag Allier 08 Jun 24 7.51pm Send a Private Message to glazedallover Add glazedallover as a friend

Jonathon Pie...

[Link]

Edited by glazedallover (08 Jun 2024 9.19pm)

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 08 Jun 24 8.34pm Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

I will ignore the hysterical express type garbage of individual
immigrants committing crimes. However there is empirical evidence (Danish?) showing a link between immigration and crime. This does not surprise me.

They drop straight to the bottom of the socioeconomic pile. They are poor and disconnected to the culture around them. They cling together in collectives, some good some bad.

Most put us to shame with their work rate and energy and dreams for a better life for their kids. Some aren't so effective and drop into crime.

Albanians maybe. But I doubt many members of criminal Somali gangs saw their future as low level gangster when they got off the plane.

Immigration has heavily been weighted to young men.

Most crime is committed by young men ergo if you increase the proportion of blond haired blue eyed young men crime will go up. I don't see this as a racist issue more about demographics.

If we imported 600k pensioners each year would anyone be surprised if the number of hip and knee replacements went up.

 


One more point

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards georgenorman Flag 08 Jun 24 8.59pm Send a Private Message to georgenorman Add georgenorman as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

Immigration has heavily been weighted to young men.

Most crime is committed by young men ergo if you increase the proportion of blond haired blue eyed young men crime will go up. I don't see this as a racist issue more about demographics.

If we imported 600k pensioners each year would anyone be surprised if the number of hip and knee replacements went up.

What age range do you consider 'young'?

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 08 Jun 24 9.03pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

I will ignore the hysterical express type garbage of individual
immigrants committing crimes. However there is empirical evidence (Danish?) showing a link between immigration and crime. This does not surprise me.

They drop straight to the bottom of the socioeconomic pile. They are poor and disconnected to the culture around them. They cling together in collectives, some good some bad.

Most put us to shame with their work rate and energy and dreams for a better life for their kids. Some aren't so effective and drop into crime.

Albanians maybe. But I doubt many members of criminal Somali gangs saw their future as low level gangster when they got off the plane.

Here's my problem with this highlighted thought.

If we accept your contention that foreign immigrants work harder....and I think there are many nuances to that argument...but ok.

Why should I care?

Are you making arguments for the business lobby here or for the British people.

Shall we give the country away to the world's hardest workers around the world so that those that can exploit that labour live easier lives?

No, in my opinion...and if I don't mind saying so myself....the opinion of most non western countries and in Britain up until Blair, a social contract should exist within societies that their leaders bat for them....not imports.

As for the point regarding crime and immigration being due to socioeconomic issues....to a lesser extent that explains it....you also touch on the cultural disconnect which is also true.

However, the reality is that if you divide crime down to ethnicities you find that poor whites commit crime at lower levels wherever you look within societies.

Poor whites commit crime at lower rates aboard as well....the only exception I believe is for south east Asians who have the very lowest crime rates....and they are raised within homogeneous societies.

Edited by Stirlingsays (08 Jun 2024 9.05pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 08 Jun 24 9.10pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

Immigration has heavily been weighted to young men.

Most crime is committed by young men ergo if you increase the proportion of blond haired blue eyed young men crime will go up. I don't see this as a racist issue more about demographics.

If we imported 600k pensioners each year would anyone be surprised if the number of hip and knee replacements went up.

Where does that claim come from? I don’t think it’s true. There is a lot of females arriving to nurse or study. Alongside those on the family route.

There seems to be a false assumption that the dominant figure is those arriving illegally on the small boats, but these represent only a relatively small proportion of the total.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 08 Jun 24 10.14pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

I will ignore the hysterical express type garbage of individual
immigrants committing crimes. However there is empirical evidence (Danish?) showing a link between immigration and crime. This does not surprise me.

They drop straight to the bottom of the socioeconomic pile. They are poor and disconnected to the culture around them. They cling together in collectives, some good some bad.

Most put us to shame with their work rate and energy and dreams for a better life for their kids. Some aren't so effective and drop into crime.

Albanians maybe. But I doubt many members of criminal Somali gangs saw their future as low level gangster when they got off the plane.

Empirical evidence from one source is used to justify a sweeping claim? There’s lots of more reliable evidence from here and elsewhere which contradicts it.

Most immigrants to the UK come here either on work or student visas. Hardly dropping to any socioeconomic pile. Some others, especially the illegals, are poor and feeling disconnected will naturally form groups. Some may turn to crime. We must do our best to support them and avoid those consequences.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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