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Cucking Funt Flag Clapham on the Back 07 Nov 16 1.33pm Send a Private Message to Cucking Funt Add Cucking Funt as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

Quite and the UK determination of a referendum success is to exceed the oppositional position.

Now that doesn't mean I don't think that a sensible reality would be a 5-10% majority would not be inadvisable - that can't be implemented retrospectively.

If you imposed a margin of, say, 10%, then there are four possible outcomes:

1. Leave wins by a majority of >10%. Result = Leave

2. Leave wins by a majority of <10%. Result = Remain

3. Remain wins by a majority of >10%. Result = Remain

I wouldn't say that a Yes/No referendum with three possible outcomes, two of which are the same, is either fair or practical. You then have the fourth possibility of Remain winning by <10% - what happens then? Do you keep re-running it until you get a definite outcome?

A straight Yes or No referendum can ONLY be decided by a simple majority.

 


Wife beating may be socially acceptable in Sheffield, but it is a different matter in Cheltenham

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Part Time James Flag 07 Nov 16 1.36pm Send a Private Message to Part Time James Add Part Time James as a friend

Originally posted by Cucking Funt

If you imposed a margin of, say, 10%, then there are four possible outcomes:

1. Leave wins by a majority of >10%. Result = Leave

2. Leave wins by a majority of <10%. Result = Remain

3. Remain wins by a majority of >10%. Result = Remain

I wouldn't say that a Yes/No referendum with three possible outcomes, two of which are the same, is either fair or practical. You then have the fourth possibility of Remain winning by <10% - what happens then? Do you keep re-running it until you get a definite outcome?

A straight Yes or No referendum can ONLY be decided by a simple majority.

Perhaps an AV system would be better, with a second choice option? Always here to help.

 




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Sedlescombe Flag Sedlescombe 07 Nov 16 1.37pm Send a Private Message to Sedlescombe Add Sedlescombe as a friend

Originally posted by chris123

Don't forget that Parliament approved the referendum in May last year by a massive majority in the Commons.

Yes they did and ultimately Parliament will have to honour that in a vote. But that is Parliament's job not the jusges. The Daily Fail are going for the judges for obeying British Law. Parliament is sovereign and would be accountable if they ratted on the result.

It is dangerous drivel to say that judges have to be "democratically accountable" they don't and must never be put in that position.

 

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chris123 Flag hove actually 07 Nov 16 1.39pm Send a Private Message to chris123 Add chris123 as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

UK Parliamentary sovereignty, requires that any significant change to the UK, does so via the democratic process of government.

The idea that somehow you could 'reclaim sovereignty of the UK from the EU' but then campaign and complain when you then have to follow UK sovereignty in doing so, is absurdly stupid.

And a number of Brexiters are showing a rank ignorance on how the UK Legal and political system have worked for hundreds of years. The irresponsibility of the media and the ignorance of just how judicial and parlimenary law interact, and how UK systems of change operate is either terrorfying or very agenda driven

It may be stupid, but when you're dealing with poorly written legislation and much superior law coming from the EU, even the experts struggle to agree.

 

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Henry of Peckham Flag Eton Mess 07 Nov 16 1.43pm Send a Private Message to Henry of Peckham Add Henry of Peckham as a friend

Originally posted by chris123

The European Union Referendum Bill was passed in the Commons by 544 to 53 in 2015. So by a very significant majority and a very clear mandate to go to the people.

Exactly, but for less than half of the population it appears to be completely irrelevant.

The way the pre-referendum debate was conducted was churlish and disgraceful in my view.

And the people voted to leave, there is no existing model to follow and how hard or soft the exit is may well be determined by the EU, not us.

There could have been a contingency plan made public to outline process in the event of plan B. It might have circumvented some of the negative debate occurring post referendum. The rats jumping overboard gave a bad impression too.

Social division and non-acceptance of the direction the majority have opted to take just weakens our overall position.

As you say, hard or soft Brexit depends on the discussions with the EU and I'd rather we fought our corner with them not fight amongst ourselves.

The Government thought, in law, they could go the Royal perogative route, the judges so far haven't agreed - but the ruling is on process only and has nothing to do with the result of the referendum.

Yet more interfering and prevarication inviting lobbying and insults. Get the f*** on with it because it's going to happen.

I'm not sure that the EU has any redeeing features and I think we'll be much better off negotiating our own bilateral trade deals.

I would not disagree with that and think we'll be no worse off in the long run.

Hence my first comment. It's like observing children bicker in the school playground than adults grasping the opportunity to have a sensible discussion on the way forward.

Edited by Henry of Peckham (07 Nov 2016 1.50pm)

 


Denial is not just a river in Egypt

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silvertop Flag Portishead 07 Nov 16 2.01pm Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Originally posted by Part Time James

That is all perfectly true. I have to say though that I had a lot of friends vote Remain because they understood it to be xenophobic (or to use their phrase "racist" to vote Leave. Perhaps both sides had some deluded people amongst the intelligent masses. To what extent that would've changed the result, I couldn't begin to forecast and therefore can't use it to prove my argument, or to prove yours either. It's more than possible that for every referendum and election there will be a lot of people that didn't understand the issues and those people can't ever really be attributed to one electoral option over another without some much much deeper research than anecdotal observation of a few mates.

Edited by Part Time James (07 Nov 2016 9.35am)

Good points. And in response to the chap who challenged the empirical basis of my comment, obviously I can't support it with anything. However - and here I accept that this is a vibe I am detecting - things feel different. And not in a good way. From the increased attacks on foreigners; to that guy in North Devon saying it is "disgusting" to be processing unaccompanied children from war-torn territories for a few days near his home; to even trivial ephemera like all but one of the foreigners/ethnics being booted out of Strictly by the public vote [come on, my wife insists].

I hope I am wrong. I hope this wave passes and will not be viewed by historians as the trigger point for a complete sea change back to a world we though we had left behind 60 years ago.

 

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Part Time James Flag 07 Nov 16 2.11pm Send a Private Message to Part Time James Add Part Time James as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

Good points. And in response to the chap who challenged the empirical basis of my comment, obviously I can't support it with anything. However - and here I accept that this is a vibe I am detecting - things feel different. And not in a good way. From the increased attacks on foreigners; to that guy in North Devon saying it is "disgusting" to be processing unaccompanied children from war-torn territories for a few days near his home; to even trivial ephemera like all but one of the foreigners/ethnics being booted out of Strictly by the public vote [come on, my wife insists].

I hope I am wrong. I hope this wave passes and will not be viewed by historians as the trigger point for a complete sea change back to a world we though we had left behind 60 years ago.


The funny thing about all the arguing is that everyone wants things to work out and believed that they voted for that. So really we all want the same outcome just with different views as to how it can be achieved and what that outcome specifically looks like.

I voted out with about 60% conviction and I still couldn't swear to being right. But right or wrong, I still believe that this period of uncertainty could prove to be the worst part of the whole thing. Even if you take the economy out of the equation, the divide it is creating amongst normally civil people can only get worse from a prolonged period of unrest.

So for me, I'd like things to go through as quickly as they reasonably can (within the confines of being able to achieve a palatable outcome for the future). Not because I am toooo concerned about the result being swept under the carpet, but because I just feel personally that it won't be good to prolong the unrest and uncertainty. I should caveat, that I'm not suggesting we negate the legality of the whole thing, I'm willing for the correct procedures to be followed, but I am just hopeful of the whole thing not becoming too drawn out.

 




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Sedlescombe Flag Sedlescombe 07 Nov 16 2.51pm Send a Private Message to Sedlescombe Add Sedlescombe as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

Good points. And in response to the chap who challenged the empirical basis of my comment, obviously I can't support it with anything. However - and here I accept that this is a vibe I am detecting - things feel different. And not in a good way. From the increased attacks on foreigners; to that guy in North Devon saying it is "disgusting" to be processing unaccompanied children from war-torn territories for a few days near his home; to even trivial ephemera like all but one of the foreigners/ethnics being booted out of Strictly by the public vote [come on, my wife insists].

I hope I am wrong. I hope this wave passes and will not be viewed by historians as the trigger point for a complete sea change back to a world we though we had left behind 60 years ago.

Something has changed. I don't think the nation has suddenly become more hateful than it was before but I think the Brexit vote was symbolic in empowering a small number of people who already had vile views to speak up rather than keeping quiet. There is plenty of anecdotal evidence for this and when the embassies or places like Poland and The Czech republic are expressing concern over attacks on their citizens Hopefully things will eventually revert to how it was before but these arent exactly happy times right now

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 07 Nov 16 3.01pm

Originally posted by Cucking Funt

If you imposed a margin of, say, 10%, then there are four possible outcomes:

1. Leave wins by a majority of >10%. Result = Leave

2. Leave wins by a majority of <10%. Result = Remain

3. Remain wins by a majority of >10%. Result = Remain

I wouldn't say that a Yes/No referendum with three possible outcomes, two of which are the same, is either fair or practical. You then have the fourth possibility of Remain winning by <10% - what happens then? Do you keep re-running it until you get a definite outcome?

A straight Yes or No referendum can ONLY be decided by a simple majority.

I would say that in the margin of error, then a second referendum would need to be held within a year or two.

It seems to me that the margins were very tight for a referendum in the UK.

However, I don't think that can be retroactively applied either.

That said, I think that the remainers, are quite entitled, given the margin of difference, to pursue democratic means to preventing an exit - provided it is either determined by a referendum or general election.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 07 Nov 16 3.04pm

Originally posted by Part Time James


The funny thing about all the arguing is that everyone wants things to work out and believed that they voted for that. So really we all want the same outcome just with different views as to how it can be achieved and what that outcome specifically looks like.

I voted out with about 60% conviction and I still couldn't swear to being right. But right or wrong, I still believe that this period of uncertainty could prove to be the worst part of the whole thing. Even if you take the economy out of the equation, the divide it is creating amongst normally civil people can only get worse from a prolonged period of unrest.

So for me, I'd like things to go through as quickly as they reasonably can (within the confines of being able to achieve a palatable outcome for the future). Not because I am toooo concerned about the result being swept under the carpet, but because I just feel personally that it won't be good to prolong the unrest and uncertainty. I should caveat, that I'm not suggesting we negate the legality of the whole thing, I'm willing for the correct procedures to be followed, but I am just hopeful of the whole thing not becoming too drawn out.

Realistically, change tends towards a bigger impact, than no change (for obvious reasons). It concerns me that people think they're is going to be no fall out or consequences to leaving the EU - and that everything will automatically be much better.

I'd imagine that many landlords and second home investors are s**ting it. Take the 500,000 EU migrants out of the equation, and the housing market is going to collapse (they're mostly responsible for driving up rents) - and that'll have knock on effects across the economy.

Even when I voted for leave, I expected consequences.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 07 Nov 16 3.09pm

Originally posted by chris123

It may be stupid, but when you're dealing with poorly written legislation and much superior law coming from the EU, even the experts struggle to agree.

Its pretty straight forward. UK has a sovereign parliament, and only an act of parliament can implement policy and new law.

That was even the requirement for the UK whilst part of the EU, and before being part of the EU. Its been that way for at least 150-200 years.

There is no pre-existing UK constitution per se (which was one of the benefits of joining the EU).

If you want a Sovereign UK parliament, then a) it has to be answerable to the UK courts of Law b) Pass any significant changes to UK Policy.

Even if its a rubber stamping.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

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Cucking Funt Flag Clapham on the Back 07 Nov 16 3.16pm Send a Private Message to Cucking Funt Add Cucking Funt as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I would say that in the margin of error, then a second referendum would need to be held within a year or two.

It seems to me that the margins were very tight for a referendum in the UK.

However, I don't think that can be retroactively applied either.

That said, I think that the remainers, are quite entitled, given the margin of difference, to pursue democratic means to preventing an exit - provided it is either determined by a referendum or general election.

So what was the point of having a referendum in the first place? Bottom line is, parliament approved it and the electorate gave its answer - by a small(ish) majority but decisive nonetheless. This is democracy in its purest and most undiluted form. Any attempts to subvert the result are the very antithesis of democracy.

You don't get the runner-up in a constituency election who's lost by a handful of votes complaining that he lost ''because the other bloke told lies" or "the voters didn't understand what they were voting for" and using that argument to claim the result is invalid, so why should we even consider it now?

The question required a Yes or a No, and No came out on top. Trying to turn that No into a Yes seems a bit Orwellian to me.

 


Wife beating may be socially acceptable in Sheffield, but it is a different matter in Cheltenham

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