Problem I have is that after the next four fixtures it is odds on we will be back in the bottom three. I bet our chance of relegation jumps dramatically from 20% up to ............?
Reality is we just need to get 10 to 12 points from the remaining games the rest is all statistical claptrap.

That's is what you can say it is to 1 but it is not the decimal odds for 7/2.

The decimal odds you always add 1 so it's 4.5, otherwise evens would be 1 and, like I said, the decimal odds give the percentage chance. 1 divided by 1 = 100 chance. Evens is a 50% chance and that is 1 divided by 2.

COYP

7/2 means there are 2 chances out of 9 we go down - that's 22% - and this is a solid market and a very good indicator - next manager or player odds are speculative bs - but league winners, promotion, relegation are indicative markets. Considering Stoke are 4/5 as a punter I think we're a value bet to go down. As long as no more than one of Tompkins, Kelly and Sakho get injured, we can take another injury in midfield now we've got Rakip, and Benteke getting injured can be covered now we've got Sorloth as well as Sako (out), but we are so reliant on Zaha - I know it's hypothetical but if we did not have him at all from now on in I am sure we would go down. But he's back in a fortnight or so hence the 7/2.

I look to the extraordinary 9 points won last season that kept us in the PL, without those points we were down.
Then we had a more or less fit squad, now we a ravaged by injuries. Nothing has been learnt from last season and I think 20% is very generous.