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Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?

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Stirlingsays Flag 12 Feb 23 10.51pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

If you say so. I suspect you don't understand the Russian mentality, nor the history of how power has been grasped over generations. I didn't say that Ukrainians were crying out for Russians to take over, simply that Putin didn't believe they would die to repel them.

There is a lot of background on how it all came about.

There was an important article back at the start of the war that detailed how Putin was receiving inaccurate information from his intelligence services about the Ukrainian army.....Essentially while Kherson was willing not to fight most cities in Ukraine fell in line with Keiv.

Kherson being in the south of course....again, the difference between the east/south of Ukraine and the west/centre is vitally important to understanding the real picture of that country.

What we in the west are presented with is a very curated picture that only shows the anti Russian perspective. Once again, I have to stress that people in the south and east felt so strongly against what was happening that military units were prepared to fight and die against the very people we think represent what Ukraine is.

Yet that's just completely ignored.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Forest Hillbilly Flag in a hidey-hole 21 Feb 23 2.55pm Send a Private Message to Forest Hillbilly Add Forest Hillbilly as a friend

I'm surprised this hasn't been bumped earlier. Lots of sabre-rattling by USA, Russia, China and Balkan states. Lots of countries aligning themselves to one side or tother.
It bothers me a bit. Is this a grand scheme to suppress the worlds population by fear ? Because the potential cost of all-out war is surely not worth fighting over Ukraine for ?
I lived through a lot of the Cold War, and this is reaching a point as bad as ever that was.
Or should I just avert my eyes and read about Love Island and the sports results ?

 


I disengage, I turn the page.

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steeleye20 Flag Croydon 21 Feb 23 3.17pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

At the start of this there were Russian refugees fleeing Ukrainian units in the Donbass, so point taken.

But the idea that you can invade a whole country Ukraine because of this, labelling Ukrainians who probably haven't a clue about the Donbass, as fascists and traitors etc. that you are somehow liberating them as brothers I mean has Russia got dementia.

I'll just blow up your appartment block so you see our point of view.

You sense Russians want this over yet have no idea that they themselves must end it.

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 21 Feb 23 3.28pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Forest Hillbilly

I'm surprised this hasn't been bumped earlier. Lots of sabre-rattling by USA, Russia, China and Balkan states. Lots of countries aligning themselves to one side or tother.
It bothers me a bit. Is this a grand scheme to suppress the worlds population by fear ? Because the potential cost of all-out war is surely not worth fighting over Ukraine for ?
I lived through a lot of the Cold War, and this is reaching a point as bad as ever that was.
Or should I just avert my eyes and read about Love Island and the sports results ?


We are living in an Idiocracy - post truth era, with more NPCs than a fallout game.

Ironically It's very Soviet.

Just hope we get away from this without the virtue signalling morons blowing us up.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Nicholas91 Flag The Democratic Republic of Kent 21 Feb 23 3.59pm Send a Private Message to Nicholas91 Add Nicholas91 as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

At the start of this there were Russian refugees fleeing Ukrainian units in the Donbass, so point taken.

But the idea that you can invade a whole country Ukraine because of this, labelling Ukrainians who probably haven't a clue about the Donbass, as fascists and traitors etc. that you are somehow liberating them as brothers I mean has Russia got dementia.

I'll just blow up your appartment block so you see our point of view.

You sense Russians want this over yet have no idea that they themselves must end it.

I suspect you may be right however I'd suggest they are struggling to identify a way out that saves face both domestically and (to now a very limited extent) internationally as opposed to knowing the responsibility lies with themselves. Just my take not any strong assertion of that being truth.

A lot of what Putin says seems to be a diverting of attention to the West which may be some sort of attempt to find wiggle room for out however his insistence on a narrative to justify the invasion seems at best weak if not bizarre. Problem is now that an attritional stalemate has been reached and he still needs to create the guise of domestic support even if it becomes implausible to retain. I suspect Russians are being told that they support the 'special military operation' more than actually holding that sentiment themselves. As to whether or not that tactic still works I have no idea (or if it really has done previously).

I still also suspect he thought it'd be a rollover and he could just dress it up as he wishes with the West unwilling to risk a very dangerous confrontation over Ukraine. It has not played out that way unfortunately (for him of course) and I now think he and his cronies are still plotting, probably day by day, how best to resolve all this madness.

My primary fear still lies with something going abruptly wrong, or someone makes an incontrovertibly wrong, provocative and/or disastrous move that see warheads fly. Expecting Russia to recant and withdraw immediately seems delusional but equally I don't think they really intend to push this much farther. The best I am hoping for is any small or even medium sized crumb they can paint up as 'mission accomplished' and pave the way for an end to emerge. We shall see I suppose.

 


Now Zaha's got a bit of green grass ahead of him here... and finds Ambrose... not a bad effort!!!!

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Stirlingsays Flag 21 Feb 23 4.22pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

This war isn't ending anytime soon.

I never supported the policies that enabled this war into being nor did I support fighting it.

People will have to own the consequences that come from it.

There is no win from this, at best we have degrees of loss and at worse we are dead.

It's the most stupid war we have ever been involved with. Like Wilson refused to get involved with Vietnam we should have followed Orban's position.

But we are a country led by neo liberal globalists and group think is the policy.

Edited by Stirlingsays (21 Feb 2023 4.24pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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cryrst Flag The garden of England 21 Feb 23 5.02pm Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by Forest Hillbilly

I'm surprised this hasn't been bumped earlier. Lots of sabre-rattling by USA, Russia, China and Balkan states. Lots of countries aligning themselves to one side or tother.
It bothers me a bit. Is this a grand scheme to suppress the worlds population by fear ? Because the potential cost of all-out war is surely not worth fighting over Ukraine for ?
I lived through a lot of the Cold War, and this is reaching a point as bad as ever that was.
Or should I just avert my eyes and read about Love Island and the sports results ?

I honestly thought that read squirt results after love island.
I need help or glasses

 

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steeleye20 Flag Croydon 21 Feb 23 5.58pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

It certainly looks like Vlads is even more off his trolley than usual.

Do Russians think we have always had it in for them, I think there is something in it.

I often think. when I see western leaders celebrating WW2 victory days, that the country that actually won the war and paid such a sacrifice, doesn't even have a representative present.

Such a vast land and they do fear invasion more than anything in spite of their nuclear strength.

 

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards georgenorman Flag 21 Feb 23 6.20pm Send a Private Message to georgenorman Add georgenorman as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

It certainly looks like Vlads is even more off his trolley than usual.

Do Russians think we have always had it in for them, I think there is something in it.

I often think. when I see western leaders celebrating WW2 victory days, that the country that actually won the war and paid such a sacrifice, doesn't even have a representative present.

Such a vast land and they do fear invasion more than anything in spite of their nuclear strength.

More like you are more off your trolley than usual.

 

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steeleye20 Flag Croydon 21 Feb 23 7.18pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

Originally posted by Nicholas91

I suspect you may be right however I'd suggest they are struggling to identify a way out that saves face both domestically and (to now a very limited extent) internationally as opposed to knowing the responsibility lies with themselves. Just my take not any strong assertion of that being truth.

A lot of what Putin says seems to be a diverting of attention to the West which may be some sort of attempt to find wiggle room for out however his insistence on a narrative to justify the invasion seems at best weak if not bizarre. Problem is now that an attritional stalemate has been reached and he still needs to create the guise of domestic support even if it becomes implausible to retain. I suspect Russians are being told that they support the 'special military operation' more than actually holding that sentiment themselves. As to whether or not that tactic still works I have no idea (or if it really has done previously).

I still also suspect he thought it'd be a rollover and he could just dress it up as he wishes with the West unwilling to risk a very dangerous confrontation over Ukraine. It has not played out that way unfortunately (for him of course) and I now think he and his cronies are still plotting, probably day by day, how best to resolve all this madness.

My primary fear still lies with something going abruptly wrong, or someone makes an incontrovertibly wrong, provocative and/or disastrous move that see warheads fly. Expecting Russia to recant and withdraw immediately seems delusional but equally I don't think they really intend to push this much farther. The best I am hoping for is any small or even medium sized crumb they can paint up as 'mission accomplished' and pave the way for an end to emerge. We shall see I suppose.

The West's economic sanctions have clearly not worked, Putin is right in fact their economy is growing and he is offering various sweeteners to the population who do appear to largely, and disappointedly, support the war.

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 23 Feb 23 8.53am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Both Trump and DeSantis have now come out as being against the 'open cheque book' policy of the Biden administration. As the Republicans control the purse strings of the government it's going to be far harder for Ukraine to secure the large funds sent previously moving forward.

As I said previously, in my view, despite all the warm worded nonsense coming out of the mouths of western politicians the Ukraine have about six months of current funding left at most.

You get an impression that Ukraine is going to throw everything it has at an upcoming offensive when it receives the tanks and aid recently promised to gain back as much territory as possible and then sue for peace once the money gets significantly reduced.....either that or all the cities will eventually be reduced to rubble.

I'm not sure what is going to stop Russia fighting though.....just as this war has been an utter stupid disaster created by incompetents who missed out in March at reducing the damage, I just don't see how they think Russia going to be forced out of the Ukraine.

Once they didn't wreck the Russian economy they lost the war....Russia has significant support from the BRICs countries and is expanding in the middle east so while their economy is damaged it's far more set up for war than Europe is...The only way Ukraine wins is if Nato's (which is mainly the US) commits all its military and troops into fighting it.....it's kind of as simple as that.

As it is these morons have left us in a far worse situation than before and all they have to cover their tracks is the constant Russiaphobia and quickly disproven predictions that they fill the media airwaves to distract people with.

Reading between the lines I'm detecting an approach that is preparing to increase military spending significantly once the war ends.

Fecking morons walked us into a cold war when it was so fecking avoidable.

It's so fecking stupid it has to be something they knew was a deliberate risk. Despite what it says, the US state department actively works against Europe's interests.


Edited by Stirlingsays (23 Feb 2023 8.59am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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YT Flag Oxford 23 Feb 23 9.30am Send a Private Message to YT Add YT as a friend

Originally posted by Forest Hillbilly

I'm surprised this hasn't been bumped earlier. Lots of sabre-rattling by USA, Russia, China and Balkan states. Lots of countries aligning themselves to one side or tother.
It bothers me a bit. Is this a grand scheme to suppress the worlds population by fear ? Because the potential cost of all-out war is surely not worth fighting over Ukraine for ?
I lived through a lot of the Cold War, and this is reaching a point as bad as ever that was.
Or should I just avert my eyes and read about Love Island and the sports results ?

You mean like the majority of people in this country? People may just about have a view that "it's terrible what's happening in Ukraine" but their prime concern is that prices have gone up a bit and tomatoes are virtually unavailable in the shops.

 


Palace since 19 August 1972. Palace 1 (Tony Taylor) Liverpool 1 (Emlyn Hughes)

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