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Stuk Flag Top half 28 Jun 16 3.11pm Send a Private Message to Stuk Add Stuk as a friend

Originally posted by Y Ddraig Goch

Farage asks for grown up negotiations and then goes on to insult everyone in the same breath. He shouldn't be anywhere near any discussions

You don't think that after two decades of being told he's crazy that he shouldn't have a few minutes of "I told you so"?

 


Optimistic as ever

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 28 Jun 16 3.14pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by blackpalacefan

Each day we wait to invoke article 50, the more likely it is that Brexit will be kicked into the long grass. We'll be feeling the pinch before the new tory leader takes charge and they'll no doubt have their own timetable and ideas about how to go forward. Boris for instance has already firmly backtracked on previous freedom of movement promises.

Should we leave the EU, it's still overwhelmingly likely that we will join EEA and be bound by freedom of movement. We've now seen numerous prominent leave campaigners play down how important to is to cut immigration post brexit. Only Nigel Farage has stuck to his guns really.

The most likely outcome as I see it is that we'll be allowed by EU nations to join EEA and we'll get the same deal as Norway. People won't be happy about it, but that's true of any solution. If anyone imagines that we'll have control over our borders in 2 or 3 years I think they'll end up being very disappointed. It's not likely to be something we'll gain during negotiations and in truth the EU was always someone for our politicians to blame for immigration, rather than something they personally had a problem with. As part of EEA we'll at least be able to form bespoke trade agreements with non EU nations that EU countries can't. That will be our up side.


Edited by blackpalacefan (28 Jun 2016 3.03pm)

You may well be right but Boris has said,

"Yes, the Government will be able to take back democratic control of immigration policy, with a balanced and humane points-based system to suit the needs of business and industry."

That was after saying what we all know he's said,

"British people will still be able to go and work in the EU; to live; to travel; to study; to buy homes and to settle down. As the German equivalent of the CBI - the BDI - has very sensibly reminded us, there will continue to be free trade, and access to the single market."

I don't really what to believe from Boris atm, perhaps why Theresa May is ahead in the Polls. I suppose we have to wait and see what they get down on paper.

I've said before, I can see us wanting as a compromise the freedom of movement with a job offer or education offer. It will be some sort of control, it allows movement, and isn't xenophobic, or racist, which has had its true meaning stretched. It could satisfy a lot of the electorate. London, low paid workers, youngsters, students in particular.

 


COYP

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blackpalacefan Flag 28 Jun 16 3.27pm Send a Private Message to blackpalacefan Add blackpalacefan as a friend

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

You may well be right but Boris has said,

"Yes, the Government will be able to take back democratic control of immigration policy, with a balanced and humane points-based system to suit the needs of business and industry."

That was after saying what we all know he's said,

"British people will still be able to go and work in the EU; to live; to travel; to study; to buy homes and to settle down. As the German equivalent of the CBI - the BDI - has very sensibly reminded us, there will continue to be free trade, and access to the single market."

I don't really what to believe from Boris atm, perhaps why Theresa May is ahead in the Polls. I suppose we have to wait and see what they get down on paper.

I've said before, I can see us wanting as a compromise the freedom of movement with a job offer or education offer. It will be some sort of control, it allows movement, and isn't xenophobic, or racist, which has had its true meaning stretched. It could satisfy a lot of the electorate. London, low paid workers, youngsters, students in particular.

I would agree with Boris that an agreement that is basically EEA but without one of the key tenets of it would be the ideal scenario for us, but I don't really see how it's going to happen. We're at a disadvantage in negotiations and it's very telling and intentional that no discussions can even take place until we have enacted article 50. There is talk of various candidates running on a platform of putting toward their 'view of what deal we're looking for', but it's meaningless because we'll have no way of knowing if it's something that's doable.

I don't for one moment think that controlling number sof immigrants is by itself racist or xenophobbic in any way. It's sensible and if the EU had given even a small amount of control over it I think we'd have voted the other way. My thought though, is that even though this is clearly an area that people want addressed, it's a difficult thing to make happen in reality even outside of the EU, and it's something that I doubt politicians have the will be persue as the vast majority of them still view high levels of immigration in a positive light.

Whoever takes over is in an unenviable situation, because for various reasons it's likely that everyone will be unhappy with whatever path we take.

 

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nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 28 Jun 16 3.32pm

Originally posted by Stuk

You don't think that after two decades of being told he's crazy that he shouldn't have a few minutes of "I told you so"?

Did he vote on anything or just turn up and claim expenses?

 

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Mapletree Flag Croydon 28 Jun 16 3.39pm Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by blackpalacefan

I would agree with Boris that an agreement that is basically EEA but without one of the key tenets of it would be the ideal scenario for us, but I don't really see how it's going to happen. We're at a disadvantage in negotiations and it's very telling and intentional that no discussions can even take place until we have enacted article 50. There is talk of various candidates running on a platform of putting toward their 'view of what deal we're looking for', but it's meaningless because we'll have no way of knowing if it's something that's doable.

I don't for one moment think that controlling number sof immigrants is by itself racist or xenophobbic in any way. It's sensible and if the EU had given even a small amount of control over it I think we'd have voted the other way. My thought though, is that even though this is clearly an area that people want addressed, it's a difficult thing to make happen in reality even outside of the EU, and it's something that I doubt politicians have the will be persue as the vast majority of them still view high levels of immigration in a positive light.

Whoever takes over is in an unenviable situation, because for various reasons it's likely that everyone will be unhappy with whatever path we take.

I am invariable impressed with your posts BPF.

I guess everyone is hoping for the Switzerland deal. But the Swiss started out in a different place and have no doubt worked plenty of political magic over the years to get to where they are. Probably including having plenty of politicians' money stashed away.

So we are left with the tricky situation that the one thing the majority of people thought they were voting for - and most cared about - is highly unlikely to be what they really voted for. Clever work by those whose agenda was to wrest power away from the EU.

 

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Stuk Flag Top half 28 Jun 16 3.44pm Send a Private Message to Stuk Add Stuk as a friend

Originally posted by nickgusset

Did he vote on anything or just turn up and claim expenses?

What goes on over there is a mystery.

Apparently the 28 leaders are going to have a "working dinner".

Why don't they do some work and have dinner after work? Like normal people.

The other 27 are going to then have a "working breakfast".

So it sounds very much like it's claim expenses and get free food.

 


Optimistic as ever

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dannyh Flag wherever I lay my hat....... 28 Jun 16 3.44pm Send a Private Message to dannyh Add dannyh as a friend

Originally posted by johnno42000

Please try to stop reading things into my posts which aren't there. I have said that the result of the referendum has given added impetus to a nationalistic feel within the country.

Most people express this nationalism in the proper way. Some, the far right, have grabbed onto this feeling and the amount of racist attacks reported have risen significantly. I have not blamed the majority of people who voted leave for this but I have no doubt that the far right groups also voted for leave (if they can make a X of course) but I have never suggested they represent the majority of the leave voters.

As I said if you actually read what I have posted you will see I have NOT insinuated what you are suggesting.

Of course not perish the thought.

 


"It's not the bullet that's got my name on it that concerns me; it's all them other ones flyin' around marked 'To Whom It May Concern.'"

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nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 28 Jun 16 3.48pm

Originally posted by Mapletree

I am invariable impressed with your posts BPF.

I guess everyone is hoping for the Switzerland deal. But the Swiss started out in a different place and have no doubt worked plenty of political magic over the years to get to where they are. Probably including having plenty of politicians' money stashed away.

So we are left with the tricky situation that the one thing the majority of people thought they were voting for - and most cared about - is highly unlikely to be what they really voted for. Clever work by those whose agenda was to wrest power away from the EU.

According to some bloke from the EU on the 1pm news on radio 4, the Swiss and their arrangements are on their way out next year!

 

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blackpalacefan Flag 28 Jun 16 4.07pm Send a Private Message to blackpalacefan Add blackpalacefan as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

I am invariable impressed with your posts BPF.

I guess everyone is hoping for the Switzerland deal. But the Swiss started out in a different place and have no doubt worked plenty of political magic over the years to get to where they are. Probably including having plenty of politicians' money stashed away.

So we are left with the tricky situation that the one thing the majority of people thought they were voting for - and most cared about - is highly unlikely to be what they really voted for. Clever work by those whose agenda was to wrest power away from the EU.

Thanks and as others have said from what I've heard due to the Swiss vote on restricting immigration they are due to get a lot of comeback from that. The Norway deal is what we'll get I think, freeing up our ability to trade abroad but with the same free movement that we currently have. We'll be promised otherwise beforehand of course, but this will likely be the result. Lots will dislike that.

I expect there's a chance of a snap election with the leader running on a 'Get a EEA style agreement' pledge. Something non commital with hints at restricting or limiting freedom of movement, that will turn to dust on day one of negotiations. That way if they win they will then claim they are following the will of the people. Those dreaming of immigration in the tens of thousands will get to carry on dreaming about it because it won't happen. This will be remembered as the referendum where nobody got the result they wanted.


Edited by blackpalacefan (28 Jun 2016 4.08pm)

 

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johnno42000 Flag 28 Jun 16 4.25pm Send a Private Message to johnno42000 Add johnno42000 as a friend

Originally posted by dannyh

Of course not perish the thought.

Hug me Danny

 


'Lies to the masses as are like fly's to mollasses...they want more and more and more'

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Kermit8 Flag Hevon 28 Jun 16 4.37pm Send a Private Message to Kermit8 Add Kermit8 as a friend

Hmm...antagonising people whom you want to do business with. Way to go Nigel in Brussels. Leave the ego at home next time, please.

 


Big chest and massive boobs

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Mstrobez Flag 28 Jun 16 4.38pm Send a Private Message to Mstrobez Add Mstrobez as a friend

The thing that f***s me off mostly with the backlash of this referendum is the fact that the majority of people are playing a game of blaming the voters. Speaking as someone from the younger, working class geberation who voted remain, the majority of young people I've grown up with didn't vote the same. It's sad how unbelievably misinformed they were, and also sad that the very problems that caused the rebellion are most probably the same problems that are only going to get worse. Having said that, in my opinion, the only person who should be to blame for whatever happens over the coming years is David Cameron. I genuinely think you cannot blame people for a lack of intelligence or even ignorance, for many it's a simple case of upbringing, fed up young people who were told lies by parents, friends and people who posed as someone who would represent them, when in fact are as power hungry as anyone is within the current political system, including the EU. All of that aside, its easy to forget the PM was voted into power on the basis of holding a referendum. He knew the risks associated with a leave vote and still couldn't convince over 50% of the U.K. that we were better off out - pretty hard considering whenever a big issue has arisen in the past "it's the EUs fault". The fact of the matter is, it is PMs job to represent as many people in the country as he can, even the ones not as intelligent as those who maybe see the world economically for what it is. He and the rest of the political elite have alienated themselves to such an extent, that a lot of (not all) people who voted leave were prepared to potentially put their own future on the line.

We can blame the electorate all we want but the fact of the matter is, this is Cameron's fault. He put the country at risk for his own personal gain and it's simply failed miserably.

Edited by Mstrobez (28 Jun 2016 4.38pm)

 


We're the Arthur over ere!

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