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jeeagles 04 Oct 21 9.06am | |
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Originally posted by Stirlingsays
Africa has been an area of investment for a long time now and I can certainly see the potential for its advancement with renewables. Some parts of the continent are more open than others of course and I regard what's happening there now as little different to the time of Rhodes. Still, Africa and other parts of the world are as much an humanitarian concern as they are an opportunity for the usual exploitation due to corrupt regimes and self interested investment. I don't think I'd agree with the idea that improving Africa means that Africans are more likely to stay there. Africa has been increasing in wealth for decades and that's made no difference. To paraphrase Douglas Murray, 'most immigrants from Africa aren't poor in relative terms, they are Africa's middle class as they have the means to pay their way'...'if you make Africa richer all you do is enable many more Africans to leave, and increase its brain drain'....he recognises the moral dilemma there. To actually stop significant immigration from Africa its infrastructure, institutions and wealth...but even more importantly its stability would have to be improved and increased dramatically 'out of the park'. In terms of time, even if possible those are some considerable time away. No, to my mind a certain level of investment into Africa is a humanitarian duty. The free market will obviously also have a huge say in its development and we know that this will be a double edged sword. Aspects like immigration control are about nations taking their borders and nationality seriously. However, as most know that's not been the path chosen for the west. Trickle down....as the original Bush once said. Edited by Stirlingsays (04 Oct 2021 1.16am) And back to scaremongering about immigration. Why did you bite Kuge. You know he spends his entire life in a darkened room boring on about immigration.
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kuge Peckham 04 Oct 21 11.18am | |
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Originally posted by jeeagles
And back to scaremongering about immigration. Why did you bite Kuge. You know he spends his entire life in a darkened room boring on about immigration. I realise that just mentioning economic migration will spark off a debate that is not so relevant to the post. I apologise for that but as the government appear to just noticing everything is connected. I do not agree with Stirling’s view that Africans once they become richer will leave. People do not generally leave the places where they have grown up where their families live etc unless they are desperate and see no future there. Investment will stabilise Africa. I know that there is a lot of cynicism in the West about how money is used in the developing world. This is largely because the West has in the past just seen Africa as an asset that can produce wealth for the west. Investment in Africa is vital, however, I think that “Johnson’s Global Britain” will find that China already have their towels all over the sun loungers. The investments that China have been making in infrastructure are massive. As the US has declined over the past twenty years China has stepped in and stepped up. It is how they invest that is so radically different. Not just lending money or selling expensive engineering. They are interested in long term partnerships that involve education and technology sharing. And they will not tolerate the corruption that the west has so often been willing to ignore or encourage. They are not seeking an empire more a confederation of nations that are subservient to China and aligned to China’s interests. I personally find this very worrying but that’s a different subject. “In 2003 there were only 1,793 African students enrolled in Chinese universities, the number has risen to 81,562 students in 2018, increasing by 4,549% in a 15-year period, or by 303% annually”. A large part of the forces that have seen the cost of solar PV fall in the past decade has been driven by China seeing Africa as a “no brainer’ as regarding sales. Virtually all PV sold in Africa are made and designed in China. Europe, the US and Global Britain have virtually no chance of entering this market. The US does lead in battery technology but again China is catching up fast. Africa is going to feel the effects of climate change sooner and with more ferocity than other parts of the world. It is inevitable that this will cause migration as many places will become uninhabitable. As it is the developed world that has caused these problems it is our moral responsibility to help solve them. Just as we should offer asylum for people feeling oppression we must also consider that refugees from climate change will soon be an increasing problem. Countries like Australia will perhaps be uninhabitable in twenty years time. It is increasingly likely that as that happens we will see large numbers of people seeking to relocate. Africa has many problems but also it has increasable resources. Large populations of increasingly well-educated people will be a great advantage and this will be the reason that global companies will increasingly invest there. If, (it’s a big if), political stability can be achieved there is great hope for the future. Returning to the post subject China is looking at fission, but they make no claims that it will have any useful applications for at least 30 years
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Badger11 Beckenham 04 Oct 21 12.09pm | |
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Originally posted by kuge
I think you are both right it's more likely where is the tipping point. You live in a rough area and one day you can afford to move to somewhere better so of course you do, what would make you stay?. Back in the 1960's the bootstrap program for black kids in the US predicted that as these kids got college degrees and better jobs they would return to their ghettos and spread the money around amongst their neighbours so everybody would benefit. Of course this didn't happen most black graduates moved away from their crime ridden neighbourhood as fast as they could to nice white middle class surburbs. So short term I think Stirling is right, long term the growth has to benfit all classes if it does they will stay.
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Stirlingsays 04 Oct 21 12.30pm | |
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Originally posted by kuge
I realise that just mentioning economic migration will spark off a debate that is not so relevant to the post. I apologise for that but as the government appear to just noticing everything is connected. I do not agree with Stirling’s view that Africans once they become richer will leave. People do not generally leave the places where they have grown up where their families live etc unless they are desperate and see no future there. Investment will stabilise Africa. I know that there is a lot of cynicism in the West about how money is used in the developing world. This is largely because the West has in the past just seen Africa as an asset that can produce wealth for the west. Investment in Africa is vital, however, I think that “Johnson’s Global Britain” will find that China already have their towels all over the sun loungers. The investments that China have been making in infrastructure are massive. As the US has declined over the past twenty years China has stepped in and stepped up. It is how they invest that is so radically different. Not just lending money or selling expensive engineering. They are interested in long term partnerships that involve education and technology sharing. And they will not tolerate the corruption that the west has so often been willing to ignore or encourage. They are not seeking an empire more a confederation of nations that are subservient to China and aligned to China’s interests. I personally find this very worrying but that’s a different subject. “In 2003 there were only 1,793 African students enrolled in Chinese universities, the number has risen to 81,562 students in 2018, increasing by 4,549% in a 15-year period, or by 303% annually”. A large part of the forces that have seen the cost of solar PV fall in the past decade has been driven by China seeing Africa as a “no brainer’ as regarding sales. Virtually all PV sold in Africa are made and designed in China. Europe, the US and Global Britain have virtually no chance of entering this market. The US does lead in battery technology but again China is catching up fast. Africa is going to feel the effects of climate change sooner and with more ferocity than other parts of the world. It is inevitable that this will cause migration as many places will become uninhabitable. As it is the developed world that has caused these problems it is our moral responsibility to help solve them. Just as we should offer asylum for people feeling oppression we must also consider that refugees from climate change will soon be an increasing problem. Countries like Australia will perhaps be uninhabitable in twenty years time. It is increasingly likely that as that happens we will see large numbers of people seeking to relocate. Africa has many problems but also it has increasable resources. Large populations of increasingly well-educated people will be a great advantage and this will be the reason that global companies will increasingly invest there. If, (it’s a big if), political stability can be achieved there is great hope for the future. Returning to the post subject China is looking at fission, but they make no claims that it will have any useful applications for at least 30 years Interesting points. We shall disagree over the African immigration issue and over what moral responsibilities entail but I won't reply on it as our resident 'racism crusader' gets very excited if he spots an opportunity. I'm afraid that will also have to include how climate change could affect immigration policies as it runs into the same issue. So it's best to keep it strictly to fusion and away from immigration issues, at least with me. China, which of course isn't a democracy, has an export led economy which is running into trouble as wages rise and the middle class expands....though their lack of transparency means that an honest analysis is always difficult. I certainly see their hands in Africa and in the renewable industry generally and while they will exploit Africa for all its worth they will also pump money into it and the same tickle down will be in effect. We agree that fusion is a worthwhile research area but one which is open to exaggeration in the west. Regardless, its pursuit will cost large investment and if China are also on that path then I view that as positive. History shows us that whoever makes a significant scientific breakthrough rarely gets to keep its spoils and secrets for long and China will be subject to the same underhand tactics that they pursue against the west. So the more hands to the pump the better.
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Cucking Funt Clapham on the Back 04 Oct 21 12.37pm | |
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Originally posted by jeeagles
And back to scaremongering about immigration. Why did you bite Kuge. You know he spends his entire life in a darkened room boring on about immigration. At what point will you be blaming Roy Hodgson?
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jeeagles 04 Oct 21 1.24pm | |
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Originally posted by Cucking Funt
At what point will you be blaming Roy Hodgson? Very good. Fortunately an immigrant has taken his job.
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jeeagles 04 Oct 21 1.52pm | |
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Originally posted by Badger11
I think you are both right it's more likely where is the tipping point. You live in a rough area and one day you can afford to move to somewhere better so of course you do, what would make you stay?. Back in the 1960's the bootstrap program for black kids in the US predicted that as these kids got college degrees and better jobs they would return to their ghettos and spread the money around amongst their neighbours so everybody would benefit. Of course this didn't happen most black graduates moved away from their crime ridden neighbourhood as fast as they could to nice white middle class surburbs. So short term I think Stirling is right, long term the growth has to benfit all classes if it does they will stay. I don't think he's talking about area to area within a country. He's talking about getting wealthy and then moving to the UK. If you are wealthy, standard of living will probably pay a part. If you can live like a king in an African country, why would you bother moving to Croydon. You wouldn't be doing it for the culture or architecture. People have always moved from areas with low prospects into cities. That's how cities came to existence. They'll generally move into the more affordable areas, then, if their offspring are successful they'll move into the nicer area. Those that get left behind, will end up moaning about people doing exactly what their parents did a few decades earlier. The principle way to make poor areas better is to improve transport links - improve access to jobs - increase wealth. If Brixton didn't have a tube station, then it's regeneration wouldn't have happened. Shorditch, New Cross, South Norwood, have all shown signs of improvement since the East London Line/Overground extension was built. Going back to another comments, China has certainly made huge inroads into Africa. They've bought some allies and prehaps made fairer deals. However, at the time the West were making deals in Africa, we were pretty much the only show in town. Maybe the West would have made more ethical deals if they had a little less bargaining power and some of the developing countries had a bit more leverage. I'd be interested to know how China gets round corruption. The West have accepted that it's almost part of doing business there. I'd guess they just refuse to admit it exists in a lot of cases (I was right in guessing that the purpose of this thread wasn't to talk about advances in Nuclear Fushion).
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Stirlingsays 04 Oct 21 2.31pm | |
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I'll just mention the fact....and it is a fact that, aside from capitalist ventures, many of which failed, the west has pumped many billions in aid into Africa over many decades. None of that money is coming back. Revisionism always seems to fail to mention that. However, everyone can see the natural advantage Africa and equator countries have for solar and most believe that will form a part of a brighter future, if you forgive the pun......though in countries without the necessary stability it won't happen. Edited by Stirlingsays (04 Oct 2021 2.38pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Stirlingsays 04 Oct 21 2.58pm | |
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As nuclear fusion is a long time in the future...and perhaps might not ever be the solution, I think in our lifetimes there are more realistic technologies as Kuge mentioned. Electric cars and transportation are already here and heavily invested in and so will gradually take over and filter down as it lowers in cost. Automation is already on that process and we will see how effectively or destructively it affects the workforces both white and blue collar. Improved battery technology is an interesting one.....how much better can they really get....it's an area I should probably look into. Edited by Stirlingsays (04 Oct 2021 2.59pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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kuge Peckham 04 Oct 21 4.01pm | |
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. Edited by kuge (04 Oct 2021 4.04pm)
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kuge Peckham 04 Oct 21 4.03pm | |
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Originally posted by kuge
I think that one of the primary differences between China’s relationship with Africa and that of the colonial powers of the past is that they want to be partners. Not equal partners of course as their investment is not altruistic. They do, however, understand that what is good for Africa is potentially very good for China. The other big difference is that short term profit is not at the top of their list, they are playing the long game. Western investment and/or aid often seeks too late to address immediate problems and long-term problems are very rarely addressed at all. Businesses want to make a quick return then move on. China does not have 'moving on' in its plan. It’s all too easy in contemporary China to see the commercial growth which is very visible but not the controlling hand of the Party which is largely invisible. Regarding corruption, China places large numbers of people throughout the projects that they invest in. They are in control and they keep a close eye on where the money goes. They don’t hide making bribes when they can see it is a value for money way of achieving an aim but they will come down very hard on any kind of criminality. This is set out right from the start. I don’t want anyone to think that I am banging the drum for China. I believe that the influence of China is pernicious and it will ultimately lead to an erosion of global security. The party is assuredly not run by good people and their interests are primevally centred on what is good for them and the retention of power. As Sterling says the west has spent/invested billions in Africa for hundreds of years. Much of it on completely pointless vanity projects. This does not mean that the west should no longer invest or give aid, just that we need to look very carefully at how money is spent. “None of that money is coming back” is part of the problem. If profit is always the first priority failure is likely to be the destination. A successful investment can produce so much more than just more money. Also as I outlined about the west has just tended to put money in as loans and then stand back waiting for a return. The most valuable lesson that can be learnt from the past is that we should have a pretty clear idea of how not to do it. Most good projects work at the grassroots loaning very small sums of money to individuals. In many cases, it has proved to be far more effective to lead money to women than men. Far better to loan just to a million people than million to one person. Africa will likely become a global energy exporter from solar PV in the coming decades. I believe that a cable from North Africa to Spain is already under development. George W Bush once said something along the lines of, “why do the Arabs have all of our oil?”. Perhaps in the future, a similar politician will wonder why Africa has all of our sunshine. (That’s a joke, as was Bush’s comment. He is a funnier and more self-aware man than many might think). Perhaps the reason there has been little debate about nuclear fission here is that it’s pretty clear it does not work yet, probable won’t work for decades to come and if it ever does it’s going to be hideously expensive?
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Hrolf The Ganger 04 Oct 21 8.48pm | |
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Originally posted by jeeagles
Ohhhh more insults, I'm cut to my core! For the 100th time. Are you going to explain your knowledge of DNA to us? Or do you want to just admit your a sad little racist, named after a guy that came over to these islands, illegally, to rape and pillage. Edited by jeeagles (04 Oct 2021 9.03am) Explain my knowledge? Let me see. Well I read books and learn stuff. You should try it. I am neither sad, little, nor a racist. You aren't very good at this, are you. At least while you are preoccupied with your feeble attempts at trolling me, the others can have an adult conversation about the topic. I'm happy to draw your fire. You are just firing blanks, after all.
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