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17 points, 15 games to go....

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The Sash Flag Now residing in Epsom - How Posh 29 Jan 14 1.17pm Send a Private Message to The Sash Add The Sash as a friend

Quote lindz at 29 Jan 2014 11.54am

Quote lambsandwich at 29 Jan 2014 10.54am

Am I being too optimistic to think it might go more like this?

West Brom (3)
Man Utd (1)
Southampton (3)
Chelsea (0)
A Villa (3)
Man City (0)
Liverpool (0)


Arsenal (0)
Everton (1)
Swansea (1)
Sunderland (3)
Newcastle (1)
Cardiff (3)
West Ham (3)
Fulham (3)


I would say out of the teams we have left to play as long as all of Sunderland,Cardiff,West Ham and Fulham don't get maximum points of us we should be ok. We obviously need to win a couple of games and get a few draws or whatever way round but you need to take points of the bottom teams around you so as long as none get maximum points off us they will not be gaining on us during that game so that should be our aim.


I agree - the six pointers are huge

Swansea, Sunderland, Fulham, Cardiff, West Ham , West Brom, Villa, - Draws as a minimum for the aways - wins for the home games - 10 points there for us but more importantly making those around us get their wins against the top ten sides

Edited by The Sash (29 Jan 2014 1.45pm)

 


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dougiefan Flag Fareham 29 Jan 14 1.24pm Send a Private Message to dougiefan Add dougiefan as a friend

Going to go to the wire and can see a situation on the last day where half a dozen clubs could still be relegated. League has turned in to 2 mini leagues and although its nail biting, its certainly exciting. Loving this year and lets be honest , we are probably in a better position than most people could have hoped for. We may not be the silkiest team out there but not short on determination and hard work. Players from last season have grown with every game. Well impressed.

 

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Skinster Flag 29 Jan 14 1.38pm Send a Private Message to Skinster Add Skinster as a friend

we have 5 more than the other so they have 22points, and with over half the season gone I cant see all of them turning their form around.

Edited by Skinster (29 Jan 2014 1.39pm)

 

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deflemonkid Flag 29 Jan 14 1.52pm Send a Private Message to deflemonkid Add deflemonkid as a friend

Just some food for thought i had a look at the last 10 yrs and only once has teh 40 mark been needed (10/11) with wigan needing 38 in 07 to survive on GD. Every other year the 36/37 would have been enough so while the holy grail touted as 40 its not he be all and end all.

2003/04 - Everton survived with 39 but 34 would have been enough
2004/05 - WBA survived with 34 (palace went down on 33)
2005/06 - Pourtsmouth survived with 38 (B'ham went down on 34)
2006/07 - Wigan survived on GD with 38pts
2007/08 - Fulham survived on GD with 36pts
2008/09 - Hull survived with 35 (Newcastle went down on 34)
2009/10 - Wet Spam Survived with 35 (31 would have been enough)
2010/11 - Wolves survived with 40 (B'ham went down on 39)
2011/12 - QPR survived with 37 (Bolton went down on 36)
2012/13 - Sunderland survived with 39 but 37 was enough.

(would have gone back further but i thought i was being nerdy enough at 10 :P )

 

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 29 Jan 14 2.00pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Quote deflemonkid at 29 Jan 2014 1.52pm

2010/11 - Wolves survived with 40 (B'ham went down on 39)


What happened to Birmingham that season showed how easily it can go from very rosy in February to completely t1ts up for the rest of the season. They had a decent enough team but a few injuries at CB after beating Arsenal in the League Cup final and they were completely f***ed.


In their last 6 games they lost 5 of them and drew the 3rd one.

Edited by Rudi Hedman (29 Jan 2014 2.11pm)

 


COYP

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Jimenez Flag SELHURSTPARKCHESTER,DA BRONX 29 Jan 14 2.02pm Send a Private Message to Jimenez Add Jimenez as a friend

Quote jamiemartin721 at 29 Jan 2014 11.19am

Do able, but not easy. The factor we have at the moment is that we're not in an average kind of form, and grinding out points, and not conceeding goals. The big signifier that we can do this has been the resolute perfomances away to Man City and Chelsea where we proved difficult to beat comfortably.

Of course theres also the risk of Jerome hitting a purple patch of form and slotting a few home.


........and maybe a 'fit' Muzza as well.

 


Pro USA & Israel

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Kermit8 Flag Hevon 29 Jan 14 2.07pm Send a Private Message to Kermit8 Add Kermit8 as a friend

I don't think Pulis will let the lads effort dip not one single bit.

We will get turned over still quite a few times but I'd be amazed if we couldn't pull even just three more wins out of the bag which will mean at least it will be going to the wire.

3 wins 2 draws 10 losses. That may just do it for us.

What a bloody great and amazing position we find ourselves in. Unbelievable really.

 


Big chest and massive boobs

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silvertop Flag Portishead 29 Jan 14 2.08pm Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Quote sydtheeagle at 29 Jan 2014 11.04am

We don't need 17 points. It's now widely accepted that the safety mark is 38 points and in all probability less. Only 3 teams in the last 10 years, from among 30 relegated, have missed that mark. In the same reason a couple of years ago two went down with 39 (including Ollie's Blackpool team -- in a freak year). And Colin's Sheff Utd. team went down on goal difference with 38. The other 27 sides to reach 38 points all stayed up. Indeed, generally 35 or 36 points will see you safe (not that we'd want to risk it). In some years, 32 would have been enough.

Be clear, this is a freak season at both ends of the table. Things are very compressed. That being the case it is highly likely that it's a year where not many points will be needed to survive as teams will take points off each other. In 2009/10 the three teams that went down had 30, 30, and 19 points. This season could well throw up similarly low totals. If we get to 38 points, we are nailed on to survive. I suspect 35 will be enough.


And I hope this is one of them as this is what I predict our final total will be. I have only predicted 3 wrong in the last few months and those were freaked by weather [toon, canaries] or our outstanding fantastic-ness [Villa]. 17th on G/D is my feeling.

 

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adrian_ Flag Caledon, ON 29 Jan 14 2.26pm Send a Private Message to adrian_ Add adrian_ as a friend

Quote silvertop at 29 Jan 2014 2.08pm

Quote sydtheeagle at 29 Jan 2014 11.04am

We don't need 17 points. It's now widely accepted that the safety mark is 38 points and in all probability less. Only 3 teams in the last 10 years, from among 30 relegated, have missed that mark. In the same reason a couple of years ago two went down with 39 (including Ollie's Blackpool team -- in a freak year). And Colin's Sheff Utd. team went down on goal difference with 38. The other 27 sides to reach 38 points all stayed up. Indeed, generally 35 or 36 points will see you safe (not that we'd want to risk it). In some years, 32 would have been enough.

Be clear, this is a freak season at both ends of the table. Things are very compressed. That being the case it is highly likely that it's a year where not many points will be needed to survive as teams will take points off each other. In 2009/10 the three teams that went down had 30, 30, and 19 points. This season could well throw up similarly low totals. If we get to 38 points, we are nailed on to survive. I suspect 35 will be enough.


And I hope this is one of them as this is what I predict our final total will be. I have only predicted 3 wrong in the last few months and those were freaked by weather [toon, canaries] or our outstanding fantastic-ness [Villa]. 17th on G/D is my feeling.

that will give me a heart attack. please please please can we do it easier.......

 

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jamwom1971eagle Flag west norwood 29 Jan 14 4.01pm Send a Private Message to jamwom1971eagle Add jamwom1971eagle as a friend

Why has everyone given us 0 points V MAN U.They beat us with a free kick and a pen.No reason we can't get something from that game IMO.

 

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cols123 Flag beckenham 29 Jan 14 4.34pm Send a Private Message to cols123 Add cols123 as a friend

Surprised so many are assured and confide t that we will get a result at swansea.. they destroyed us at home and should have comfortably won with more goals on the board. I think swansea and arsenal are the only sides in the league that Pulis or not we will struggle to handle. We are generally torn apart by quick passing and I struggle to see us getting anything from them.

Over than that agree it wll be a low point tally unless 2 teams completely slip off the pace. Expect something nortg of 34 to do the job. Which is achievable for us but definitely wont be straightforward!

 

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TulseHillEagle Flag Tulse Hill 29 Jan 14 10.38pm Send a Private Message to TulseHillEagle Add TulseHillEagle as a friend

Massive 3 points yesterday.With the 15 games to go,i reckon our results could turn out as follows;

West Brom (3)
Man Utd (0)
Southampton (1)
Chelsea (0)
A Villa (1)
Man City (0)
Liverpool (0)

..... And Away

Arsenal (0)
Everton (1)
Swansea (0)
Sunderland (1)
Newcastle (1)
Cardiff (3)
West Ham (1)
Fulham (3)

That's 15more points, giving us 38 which fingers crossed i quietly pray are enough for Palace to stay up.

Eaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaagles

 


Member of the Keith Millen Club. COYP

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