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2024 General Election

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becky Flag over the moon 26 May 24 8.40pm Send a Private Message to becky Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add becky as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

It has some merit but like Labour says this is just a promise to have a review, there are no details.

That said it seems a little lopsided, 365 days in the military or 25 days as a weekend civilian. I think we know which one they will choose.

It needs to be comparable if you can give up a year for the army why not the NHS.

The Germans probably had it better organised - you either did 12 months National Service or 2 years in a socially beneficial job.

 


A stairway to Heaven and a Highway to Hell give some indication of expected traffic numbers

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Lanzo-Ad Flag Lanzarote 26 May 24 10.15pm Send a Private Message to Lanzo-Ad Add Lanzo-Ad as a friend

Originally posted by eaglesdare

It's not much better in different parts of the world. Infact it's worse in my opinion.

England will always be the best place to live for me anyway regardless of who is in charge. I have lived through one labour government I can certainly live through another.

I do think the migration crises will worsen. And the tories will get their act together in the election after this one and be back sooner than we all think.

Have you thought of making an appointment to see someone?

 


“That’s a joke son, I say, that’s a joke.” “Nice boy, but he’s sharp as a throw pillow.” “He’s so dumb he thinks a Mexican border pays rent” “ “Son… I say, son, some people are so narrow minded they can look through a keyhole with both eyes.”__ Forhorn Leghorn

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silvertop Flag Portishead 27 May 24 11.10am Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Originally posted by Matov

One of the main focuses of the 'Starmer' project has been destroying the left because they scared the hell out of the powers-that-be in 2017 when the ground game, from the likes of Momentum, pulled on 40% of the vote. Hence what has happened since and the disgraceful treatment of Corbyn. Of all the things to fear from a Starmer Government then the likes of Momentum being anywhere near the levers of power ain't one of them.

But the big story in this moment, as has already been alluded to, is Gove stepping down. Apparently a genuine surprise to Sunak.

A real stab in the back moment and potentially defining the campaign because there are literally zero high profile MP's Sunak can use. Maybe Hunt but that f***er is pure Deep State. Cameron will keep his nut down so it's all down to Sunaks charisma to carry the day.LOL. zero Seats here we come.

It bloomin is! Terrifies the bejesus out of me.

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 27 May 24 11.30am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by becky

The Germans probably had it better organised - you either did 12 months National Service or 2 years in a socially beneficial job.

That sounds more like it.

 


One more point

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silvertop Flag Portishead 27 May 24 12.24pm Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

It has some merit but like Labour says this is just a promise to have a review, there are no details.

That said it seems a little lopsided, 365 days in the military or 25 days as a weekend civilian. I think we know which one they will choose.

It needs to be comparable if you can give up a year for the army why not the NHS.

The same thought passing through the heads of many 60 + voters, I suspect. As our elders thought of us, no doubt, we view the Yoot as feckless, lefty, entitled, snowflakes for whom getting some in could only improve them. Park that thought for now...

Not a chance in hell this could happen.

There are around 750,000 18 year olds. You could not have boys only these days (quite right too) so you would have to have all the genders.

Take out those with genuine disability and let us assume that 75% choose the community service option (many having that option "presented" to them, given their obesity and general poor health), you still have at least 150,000 relatively fit and healthy kids turning up for service.

There are only 110,000 in the British Army of whom only around 75,000 are regulars and not Gurkhas or TA. To train and manage this lot would require soldiers of experience. Of the professional regulars, few if any would volunteer for this. And we kind of need them to protect us. So...

NCOs, many of whom would be retired, might be willing if they don't have better options elsewhere. How many of those do you think are available and willing to do the job? And how many suitably qualified women to train the females? I'd be surprised if you could muster any more than 1000 to deal with 75,000 girls.

And where is the cash for all this? And the real estate to house them? Neither present and correct sir!

And what do the Army think of this? Massively depleted resources, all they have to cling to is their history and professional status. Not for long. I have no doubt at all they were not consulted.

Finally, this is not the deferential 1950s. The bright young recruits are as likely to tell their NCO to naff off to his face, question all command, demand special attention due to allergies and so on and if the poo hits the fan, accuse someone of a whole range of complaints that will get the one poor bloke who agreed to do this summarily dismissed because he noticed somebody in a funny way.

Now I see little credit in any of the parties. The Libs and their clumsy visual ads, the Greens and their lean to Jihad, Labour and their wokeishness and Reform... well. However, the Tories know full well that the massive over 60 vote is traditionally "theirs". They know that many would see the ostensible positive of national service and it will attract votes from this demographic. Yet it is a promise they also know full well that, if they won the election, they could not possibly deliver.

If this had come from the mouth of one of their far right gammon brigade you would just chuckle. However, this blatant lie has come out of head office and on the eve of a general election when they know full well it could not be properly scrutinized.

How anyone can vote for a party desperate and crooked enough to sanction this is beyond me. After their inevitable electoral hammering, they need to have a proper clear out as we need an effective opposition. This is solid proof that this lot are manifestly not up to that task.

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 27 May 24 12.45pm Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

It could work if done right.

As I said in a previous post more Peace Corp and Candy Stripers than National Service and definitely not the army. Get business to agree that someone who does volunteer and has a good record will have a better chance of getting a job.

Make it fun.

The only problem you have with a voluntary service is that the kids that you really want to get to, no ambition, no education, don't attend school etc. will not be the slightly bit interested.

Still some form of community service being recognised by business as a qualification is not a bad idea.

 


One more point

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Stirlingsays Flag 27 May 24 2.24pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

The same thought passing through the heads of many 60 + voters, I suspect. As our elders thought of us, no doubt, we view the Yoot as feckless, lefty, entitled, snowflakes for whom getting some in could only improve them. Park that thought for now...

Not a chance in hell this could happen.

There are around 750,000 18 year olds. You could not have boys only these days (quite right too) so you would have to have all the genders.

Take out those with genuine disability and let us assume that 75% choose the community service option (many having that option "presented" to them, given their obesity and general poor health), you still have at least 150,000 relatively fit and healthy kids turning up for service.

There are only 110,000 in the British Army of whom only around 75,000 are regulars and not Gurkhas or TA. To train and manage this lot would require soldiers of experience. Of the professional regulars, few if any would volunteer for this. And we kind of need them to protect us. So...

NCOs, many of whom would be retired, might be willing if they don't have better options elsewhere. How many of those do you think are available and willing to do the job? And how many suitably qualified women to train the females? I'd be surprised if you could muster any more than 1000 to deal with 75,000 girls.

And where is the cash for all this? And the real estate to house them? Neither present and correct sir!

And what do the Army think of this? Massively depleted resources, all they have to cling to is their history and professional status. Not for long. I have no doubt at all they were not consulted.

Finally, this is not the deferential 1950s. The bright young recruits are as likely to tell their NCO to naff off to his face, question all command, demand special attention due to allergies and so on and if the poo hits the fan, accuse someone of a whole range of complaints that will get the one poor bloke who agreed to do this summarily dismissed because he noticed somebody in a funny way.

Now I see little credit in any of the parties. The Libs and their clumsy visual ads, the Greens and their lean to Jihad, Labour and their wokeishness and Reform... well. However, the Tories know full well that the massive over 60 vote is traditionally "theirs". They know that many would see the ostensible positive of national service and it will attract votes from this demographic. Yet it is a promise they also know full well that, if they won the election, they could not possibly deliver.

If this had come from the mouth of one of their far right gammon brigade you would just chuckle. However, this blatant lie has come out of head office and on the eve of a general election when they know full well it could not be properly scrutinized.

How anyone can vote for a party desperate and crooked enough to sanction this is beyond me. After their inevitable electoral hammering, they need to have a proper clear out as we need an effective opposition. This is solid proof that this lot are manifestly not up to that task.

Good analysis, it's just not practical for the reasons you touch on aside from the country's culture and demographics.....all of which they as a government and the conservatives of the last thirty years went along with.

Yep, it sounds like it's come right out of a focus group of reform voters. They just want to attract those voters while still being milk toast.

If a miracle happened and they retained power they would drop this policy just as fast as they dropped the strange smoking ban they touted.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 May 2024 2.26pm)

 


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The Dolphin Flag 27 May 24 6.00pm Send a Private Message to The Dolphin Add The Dolphin as a friend

Kier promises to slap vat on private schools which will floor and flood the state system - financial gain wiped out overnight.
The two child benefit cap will be removed resulting in more w***ers roaming the earth as well as increased costs.
The enhanced workers rights bill - mainly for lazy f***ers - will cost us billions.
Just three loony left policies as well as giving votes to 16 year olds who nowadays have little knowledge about anything
Harriet promises not to raise taxes or NI either.
Tories are crap but you cannot believe this lot.
Politics of envy without arithmetics.
Scary stuff!

 

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silvertop Flag Portishead 27 May 24 7.42pm Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

It could work if done right.

As I said in a previous post more Peace Corp and Candy Stripers than National Service and definitely not the army. Get business to agree that someone who does volunteer and has a good record will have a better chance of getting a job.

Make it fun.

The only problem you have with a voluntary service is that the kids that you really want to get to, no ambition, no education, don't attend school etc. will not be the slightly bit interested.

Still some form of community service being recognised by business as a qualification is not a bad idea.

Yes possibly but this is not what is being proposed. Sunak pushed the policy as a means of increasing the nation's security!

Yes Stirling touched on another good point. National service is wholly anathema to a multicultural Britain. I am guessing from the fringe but I can imagine many of South Asian extraction will not be happy to wear British Army colours.

 

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HKOwen Flag Hong Kong 27 May 24 11.16pm Send a Private Message to HKOwen Add HKOwen as a friend

The cost of state education per child in UK varies depending on age and need etc but 7000 per annum is a reasonable starting point.

"On a per-pupil basis the total funding allocated to schools for 5-16 year old pupils, in cash terms, in 2024-25 was £7,690, a 49% increase compared to £5,180 allocated per pupil in 2010-11."

Source UK Gov

Suppose the average private school fee for tuition is circa 5000 excluing boarding feees, VAT at 20% would raise 1000 per pupil.

Even if the number was double or treble the policy would still cost the taxpayer.

So for each child that leaves private education there is net cost on tuition alone of circa 6600.

That excludes all other costs of infrastructure etc.

Simply from an economic standpoint the policy is stupid and ideologically based.

Around 7% of children attend private school, @ 600,000.

If 20% stopped , the state sector would incur a cost of say 5000 per student it would be 600 million plus 100+ new schools would be needed.

The idea this policy would raise money for extra teachers is simply nonsense

Edited by HKOwen (27 May 2024 11.23pm)

Edited by HKOwen (27 May 2024 11.24pm)

 


Responsibility Deficit Disorder is a medical condition. Symptoms include inability to be corrected when wrong, false sense of superiority, desire to share personal info no else cares about, general hubris. It's a medical issue rather than pure arrogance.

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orpingtoneagle Flag Orpington 28 May 24 7.41am Send a Private Message to orpingtoneagle Add orpingtoneagle as a friend

Originally posted by HKOwen

The cost of state education per child in UK varies depending on age and need etc but 7000 per annum is a reasonable starting point.

"On a per-pupil basis the total funding allocated to schools for 5-16 year old pupils, in cash terms, in 2024-25 was £7,690, a 49% increase compared to £5,180 allocated per pupil in 2010-11."

Source UK Gov

Suppose the average private school fee for tuition is circa 5000 excluing boarding feees, VAT at 20% would raise 1000 per pupil.

Even if the number was double or treble the policy would still cost the taxpayer.

So for each child that leaves private education there is net cost on tuition alone of circa 6600.

That excludes all other costs of infrastructure etc.

Simply from an economic standpoint the policy is stupid and ideologically based.

Around 7% of children attend private school, @ 600,000.

If 20% stopped , the state sector would incur a cost of say 5000 per student it would be 600 million plus 100+ new schools would be needed.

The idea this policy would raise money for extra teachers is simply nonsense

Edited by HKOwen (27 May 2024 11.23pm)

Edited by HKOwen (27 May 2024 11.24pm)

Is part of the issue here the conflation of what a private school is here in people's minds? There are so many different models. On one level there are the internationally known ones like Eton and Harrow or Roedean. Can't see these being affected as if you can afford the fees then you are probably still going to be able to. Then you have the ones run by long standing trusts like in cCroydon Whitgift or Croydon High. You have the religious schools ( which guess your views on would depend on your views on the religion. None of these are businesses in that they are owned by an individual or shareholders who make money out of them.

Finally there are a load of schools (often in the primary sector,) which are businesses. Owned by an individual or individuals to make money. It's a business. Now it's that latter group who perhaps do not deserve the tax benefits.

Yes universal great education for all would be a wonderful thing but these days so many people want different things from it but on this policy not sure it is as clear cut as suggested.

 

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silvertop Flag Portishead 28 May 24 8.11am Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

And now the triple lock plus. Other than another obvious exercise in undeliverable electoral opportunism, have the Tories completely given up on anyone under 60?

 

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