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General Election 2017

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susmik Flag PLYMOUTH -But Made in Old Coulsdon... 30 May 17 3.18pm Send a Private Message to susmik Add susmik as a friend

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

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"What hasn’t changed is that few children from disadvantaged backgrounds attend grammar schools. Studies of the post-war grammar schools system found children from lower socio-economic backgrounds were less likely to go to grammar schools.

And that’s still the case now.

At the start of 2016 fewer than 3% of students in grammar schools were eligible for free school meals, compared to 14% for all school types (and 17% in grammar school areas)."


"But this isn’t just about differences in ability. “Amongst high achievers, those who are eligible for free school meals or who live in poorer neighbourhoods are significantly less likely to go to a grammar school,” according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)."


"But it goes on to say “there is equally good evidence that those in selective areas who don’t pass the eleven plus do worse than they would have done in a comprehensive system”."


"“There is repeated evidence that any appearance of advantage for those attending selective schools is outweighed by the disadvantage for those who do not”, says Professor Stephen Gorard of Durham University. “More children lose out than gain, and the attainment gaps between highest and lowest and between richest and poorest are larger”.

Similarly, Luke Sibieta at the IFS says that grammars "seem to offer an opportunity to improve and stretch the brightest pupils, but seem likely to come at the cost of increasing inequality"."


I went to grammar school and it was great (for me) but evidence not anecdotes should be considered when making policies. I imagine it was difficult for May to fit any actual evidence on the back of her fag packet when devising her policies so just went with stories she likes.

So we've got fox hunting, dementia tax, business rates debacle, universal free school meals gone, grammar schools, real terms cuts to education, underfunding the NHS, cuts to policing, weak and wobbly leadership, no strategy on Brexit, cuts in tax for the rich. Any other good policies?

Seeing that you went to Grammar School I really do think you sat there with your eyes shut and cotton wool in your ears as you learnt nothing it seems from the drivel you write. You always tell us to debate and be constructive but when its you turn you just put down all the Labour drivel that we have all heard before. I shall be glad in ten days time when the election is over and Theresa May can get on with Brexit and give us a break from all the cr@p that you post on here day after day.

 


Supported Palace for over 69 years since the age of 7 and have seen all the ups and downs and will probably see many more ups and downs before I go up to the big football club in the sky.

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 30 May 17 3.22pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Nope, one is pro British state..mistaken or not and the other was anti British state.

My brother toured NI I don't need to be given equivalencies where I know there were none.

Edited by Stirlingsays (30 May 2017 12.47pm)

The UVF were a terrorist organisation that murdered British Citizens.

The Provisional IRA were a terrorist organisation that murdered British Citizens.

Ok, Loyalists didn't kill any British Soldiers but they certainly murdered plenty of British citizens who just happened to be Northern Irish Catholics.

Not to mention being heavily involved in the smack trade in the north of England and NI.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 30 May 17 3.26pm Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Originally posted by susmik

Seeing that you went to Grammar School I really do think you sat there with your eyes shut and cotton wool in your ears as you learnt nothing it seems from the drivel you write. You always tell us to debate and be constructive but when its you turn you just put down all the Labour drivel that we have all heard before. I shall be glad in ten days time when the election is over and Theresa May can get on with Brexit and give us a break from all the cr@p that you post on here day after day.

It's worrying that you think evidence based discussion and use of data and analysis is "drivel". The source I used was FullFact and independent NFP which investigates the facts behind a wide range of claims and news stories. I'm sure if I had the same stance but was in favour of Tory policies you'd be singing a different tune.

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 30 May 17 3.29pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Codswallop and wishful thinking.

What is shows is how dumb a section of the population are to even consider voting for a man who has been at odds with everything his whole life including his own party.

He is an anti British communist in sheep's clothing.

In some ways that's a positive The Labour party under Blair and co, effectively sold out the working classes of the UK to become Tory Lite.

He's not really anti-British, he's just anti your version of what it means to be British. I'd argue that the Tory's are anti-British given their willingness historically to privatise everything, undermine UK social cohesion through cuts in order to buy elections with tax cuts.

But I think he might fancy himself as some kind of neo-communist type, which is a bit of an issue. Although I think he thinks he's more Solidarity, than soviet union.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 30 May 17 3.31pm Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Recent article in FT. Copied out as it's subscription material: [Link]

Donald Trump and Theresa May give U-turns a bad name.

Well-run countries should expect to see frequent changes of direction.


by: Tim Harford

A few weeks ago Donald Trump set a record that I assumed was unassailable; Theresa May has since sailed past it with ease. The leaders of the US and the UK have become so proficient at changing direction that “U-turn” no longer seems adequate. Donald and Theresa are spinning policy doughnuts.

Mr Trump has a notoriously flexible approach to his own pledges. He has reversed course on issues as diverse as whether he will put Hillary Clinton in jail (yes, then no), whether he would force a vote on healthcare reform (yes, then no) and whether it was wise to attack Syria (no, then yes).

His most dizzying day, in mid April, included U-turns on a bewildering array of substantial policy issues: Nato (“I said it was obsolete; it’s no longer obsolete”), whether China was a currency manipulator, a hiring freeze on federal workers, closing the US Export-Import bank and whether he might reappoint Janet Yellen as head of the Federal Reserve.

It was an impressive record — but surely a record no longer. Over the past year Mrs May has changed her mind on everything from Brexit to a bill of rights, energy pricing to nuclear power. She reversed a 2015 manifesto commitment, reversed the reversal, and has now taken the unprecedented step of tearing pages out of her own manifesto just days after launching it. She offers a “strong and stable” slogan, a weak and wobbly reality, and a rich seam of irony.

What most concerns me about all this is that Mr Trump and Mrs May are tarnishing the very idea of changing one’s mind. U-turns can be valuable, but they already have a poor reputation, reflecting a lazy journalistic trope. The U-turn is a gift to the journalist in a hurry: either the policy was wrong before, or it is wrong now. Little more need be said.

Of course there is something to be said for being consistent. Stubbornness in negotiations is risky but can be an advantage. Foreign policy requires that allies and enemies know where they stand. When politicians promise something to voters, they should make an effort to deliver.

But it is easy to take consistency too far. The most straightforward solution to many a grave policy error is to stop and do something else. This is something the Conservative party would be well advised to do with a damaging limit on immigration that it has promised three times and never come close to delivering.

Discarding what does not work is an essential part of progress in almost any sphere of life. Designers and engineers make prototypes. Programmers debug. Writers edit. Medical researchers use randomised trials to figure out whether a treatment works or is worthless. Evolution works through survival of the fittest. In each case, there’s a way to evaluate and discard what is failing.

Economic growth is built on trial and error, with good ideas spreading and bad ones disappearing. Agile businesses reinvent themselves, but often the market does the job for them through the bankruptcy courts.

Policymaking needs the same mechanism, and often lacks it. Because governments can levy taxes, dole out subsidies, and alter the rules of the game, they can do a great deal of good — but they can also prop up bad ideas indefinitely.

This is true even in democracies; in dictatorships, the pet projects of the powerful can squander money almost without limit. The Soviet Union was ruined, in part, by the inability of anybody to criticise and modify failing projects. And China began to move away from poverty when Deng Xiaoping allowed first farmers, then industry managers, to experiment with new ideas and shut down old ones.

For many government policies, it’s important to have an emergency stop to prevent bad ideas getting worse. But Mr Trump and Mrs May are like train passengers who hit the emergency stop because they’re having a nice chat on the phone and don’t want to be interrupted by a tunnel. There should be a penalty for misuse — and perhaps there will be.

I have no objection to bad ideas being reversed, but the problem here is that the reversals have been so nakedly political.

A wise policymaker changes course thus: “We had a promising idea, we tried it out on the smallest practical scale, we gathered data, we expanded our pilot programme, and then once the evidence was in, we decided that the idea wasn’t working. We’ve learned a lesson and will stop.”

Such changes of direction are what grown-ups do — and any well-run country should expect to see them regularly. Unfortunately there is no sense that either Mr Trump or Mrs May have changed direction on anything because they have been moved by new evidence on whether it works. Instead, they promised what seemed popular, and flinched at the first glimpse that it may not be popular at all.

The rest of us, meanwhile, conclude that politicians are inconstant liars who will say anything to win votes. Where did we get such a preposterous notion?

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 30 May 17 3.34pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

I refer you to my previous posts.

This is not about personal experience v evidence from other countries. This is idealism v reality.
You won't ever get equality in education or anything else. All you will do is move the goal posts. Society has to have strata in order to function and that is what nature demonstrates.


No one wants equality in its pure form, people want something approaching some kind of equivalence, rather than dismal disparity.

I don't want a world where everyone earns the same, necessarily, I just want a world where working pays for a reasonable life.

I don't think secondary schools can ever really compete with a private education. But I do want kids who go to secondary schools to come out of school with reasonable opportunity for further education, and a decent intellectual capacity.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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croydon proud Flag Any european country i fancy! 30 May 17 3.40pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

No one wants equality in its pure form, people want something approaching some kind of equivalence, rather than dismal disparity.

I don't want a world where everyone earns the same, necessarily, I just want a world where working pays for a reasonable life.

I don't think secondary schools can ever really compete with a private education. But I do want kids who go to secondary schools to come out of school with reasonable opportunity for further education, and a decent intellectual capacity.

Well put!

 

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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 30 May 17 3.49pm Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Originally posted by susmik

Do you believe EVERYTHING you read in the papers ???
I suggest you just vote for Labour and be done with it and when the Tories with the election you might just write something that makes any sense although quite a few on here will say it was a rigged election when Theresa May is still Prime minister. There are going to be a lot of sad posters on here in ten days time having to swallow their pride and having to admit Corbyn is absolutely cr@p...

From reading opinion pieces in a number of papers the general consensus is that May has led an awful campaign and done a much worse job than if she'd just sat inside Downing Street and said she was too busy being Prime Minister to Campaign. On the other hand most commentators feel that Corbyn has done a much better job on the campaign trail than expected and has come across to people who thought they didn't like him without having ever really listened to him as being actually quite likeable and they like a lot of the policies.

With elections rules now in place over press coverage Labour and their policies have had a lot more airtime than the press previous allowed which has helped. The fact that the polls have narrowed considerably would seem to back that up.

Tories are still likely to win but it will be mightily embarrassing for May, having called the election based on achieving a significantly enlarged majority, if she doesn't get one.

Suggesting that people will have to swallow their pride is a pretty childish outlook. Everyone will be hoping for the best outcome from aspects such as Brexit and the NHS irrespective of who is in power, they just have different views over what kind of policies will create a better society. I will be disappointed no doubt if the Tories win (which I am aware they are almost certain to do), but I'm not entirely sure that there is a question of pride. This is how political campaigns work. You advocate those policies you feel are the best and try and convince others. If they don't agree and your favoured party doesn't win you move on and work towards the next election.

You just seem to come on here and call people names and say they are talking rubbish. I've not seen much in the way of credible discourse.

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 30 May 17 3.57pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

The UVF were a terrorist organisation that murdered British Citizens.

The Provisional IRA were a terrorist organisation that murdered British Citizens.

Ok, Loyalists didn't kill any British Soldiers but they certainly murdered plenty of British citizens who just happened to be Northern Irish Catholics.

Not to mention being heavily involved in the smack trade in the north of England and NI.

The IRA were responsible for sixty percent of all the deaths...The loyalists thirty and the British state ten.

There is no equivalence.....Well I know there is for you.

I don't support murdering people...I would have been a voice against it. However, when it comes between choosing between loyalists and IRA republicans I know which side my bread is buttered.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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susmik Flag PLYMOUTH -But Made in Old Coulsdon... 30 May 17 4.00pm Send a Private Message to susmik Add susmik as a friend

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

It's worrying that you think evidence based discussion and use of data and analysis is "drivel". The source I used was FullFact and independent NFP which investigates the facts behind a wide range of claims and news stories. I'm sure if I had the same stance but was in favour of Tory policies you'd be singing a different tune.

That's the crux of the matter as you find facts and figures by trawling the net all day that suits your purpose in favour of the Labour party and against the
Tories in any way you can. I say again you did not learn much from your time in Grammar school with the stuff you come out with each and every day. I cannot wait to see what you come with when the election all over and we still have the same Prime Minister we have now. No doubt you will trawl the internet for anything to down her again!

 


Supported Palace for over 69 years since the age of 7 and have seen all the ups and downs and will probably see many more ups and downs before I go up to the big football club in the sky.

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Stirlingsays Flag 30 May 17 4.01pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

No one wants equality in its pure form, people want something approaching some kind of equivalence, rather than dismal disparity.

I don't want a world where everyone earns the same, necessarily, I just want a world where working pays for a reasonable life.

I don't think secondary schools can ever really compete with a private education. But I do want kids who go to secondary schools to come out of school with reasonable opportunity for further education, and a decent intellectual capacity.

I agree, but how on earth can that happen when the better lot of teachers and sharp elbowed parents get to remove themselves?

The Tories and before them New Labour's slagging off of the comprehensive system just completely ignored the realities of an unfair system.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Kermit8 Flag Hevon 30 May 17 4.05pm Send a Private Message to Kermit8 Add Kermit8 as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

The IRA were responsible for sixty percent of all the deaths...The loyalists thirty and the British state ten.

There is no equivalence.....Well I know there is for you.

I don't support murdering people...I would have been a voice against it. However, when it comes between choosing between loyalists and IRA republicans I know which side my bread is buttered.

'neither' would be the rational answer considering both are/were dripping with the blood of so, so many innocent people at their behest.

If anyone has some kind of romantic view of either then they are just plain simple and deluded. Like some immature idiot looking up to ISIS.

 


Big chest and massive boobs

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