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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 11 Oct 22 10.36pm | |
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Originally posted by cryrst
So you can’t put any meat on the bone then. It seemed that you were stating economic facts with your reply but you were just using supposition and guesses! Not at all. You asked for figures, and you need to be an economist to provide them. Which I am not. Others can provide the detail, on which there will be a range of opinions. All bad. You don't need though to be an expert to realise the folly of what has been done. Common sense tells you that, and listening to a multitude of people who are experts confirms it. You keep clinging to your straws! They won't be much use against an iceberg. In the meantime, let's hope that somebody does something before the ship sinks.
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Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Stoke sub normal 11 Oct 22 10.49pm | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
Not at all. You asked for figures, and you need to be an economist to provide them. Which I am not. Others can provide the detail, on which there will be a range of opinions. All bad. You don't need though to be an expert to realise the folly of what has been done. Common sense tells you that, and listening to a multitude of people who are experts confirms it. You keep clinging to your straws! They won't be much use against an iceberg. In the meantime, let's hope that somebody does something before the ship sinks. Here's a couple of questions for you. When was the last time an economist predicted anything correctly? Which financial crash, or boom, was predicted by an economist? I have more faith in meteorologists than economists. They are nothing more than chancers! [Link]
Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers |
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SW19 CPFC Addiscombe West 11 Oct 22 10.51pm | |
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Should be fun. Attachment: Screenshot 2022-10-11 at 22.49.50.png (863.61Kb)
Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons. |
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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 12 Oct 22 12.33am | |
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Originally posted by Tim Gypsy Hill '64
Here's a couple of questions for you. When was the last time an economist predicted anything correctly? Which financial crash, or boom, was predicted by an economist? I have more faith in meteorologists than economists. They are nothing more than chancers! [Link] I think that depends on what you mean by predict and the timescale involved. What's going on now aren't really predictions. They are interpretations of what the markets are saying.
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Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Stoke sub normal 12 Oct 22 1.21am | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
I think that depends on what you mean by predict and the timescale involved. What's going on now aren't really predictions. They are interpretations of what the markets are saying. Not really. If you want to advise on economics, you need to be able to know what will happen next week, not after the crash has happened. We can all predict doom, but if it doesn't happen, nobody cares. Whereas, if we predict boom, and it doesn't happen, everyone cries "foul". All economists do is predict. In other words guess. Not quite as badly as astrologers, but not far off. It's not quantifiable by any means. Damn charlatans they are.
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Matov 12 Oct 22 9.12am | |
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Again, struggling with this entire 'economic crisis' narrative. Was looking at some employment stats yesterday (I know, sad b******, needs a life etc) and for a country supposedly in the s***ter, we have one hell of a lot of people working. Unemployment is at a historical low. A lot of stuff not adding up.
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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Badger11 Beckenham 12 Oct 22 9.40am | |
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Originally posted by Matov
Again, struggling with this entire 'economic crisis' narrative. Was looking at some employment stats yesterday (I know, sad b******, needs a life etc) and for a country supposedly in the s***ter, we have one hell of a lot of people working. Unemployment is at a historical low. A lot of stuff not adding up. And also a record number of people not working due to ill health, go figure?
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Matov 12 Oct 22 10.21am | |
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Originally posted by Badger11
And also a record number of people not working due to ill health, go figure? Yes. Deliberately did not bring that figure up because there are too many ways of looking at that data and what the underlying causes are but it is quite alarming. Even the regional differences alone (I am hazarding a guess so more than happy to be told these are not significant) pose more questions that can be answered. Also if there is a break-down based on ethnicity? A can of worms. Suspect that just a collective agreement that something is untoward might be the best approach.
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 12 Oct 22 10.55am | |
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Originally posted by Tim Gypsy Hill '64
Not really. If you want to advise on economics, you need to be able to know what will happen next week, not after the crash has happened. We can all predict doom, but if it doesn't happen, nobody cares. Whereas, if we predict boom, and it doesn't happen, everyone cries "foul". All economists do is predict. In other words guess. Not quite as badly as astrologers, but not far off. It's not quantifiable by any means. Damn charlatans they are. Most observers forecasted that Truss's ideas would produce problems, if she was stupid enough to go through with them. They have. Forecasts will vary, and the results rarely precisely match the forecasts, because not all the variables can be foreseen. Events get in the way. But they aren't "guesses". Predictions are based on experience and knowledge. Not on random numbers. They are expressions of probability, not mathematical certainty.
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croydon proud Any european country i fancy! 12 Oct 22 3.41pm | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
Most observers forecasted that Truss's ideas would produce problems, if she was stupid enough to go through with them. They have. Forecasts will vary, and the results rarely precisely match the forecasts, because not all the variables can be foreseen. Events get in the way. But they aren't "guesses". Predictions are based on experience and knowledge. Not on random numbers. They are expressions of probability, not mathematical certainty.
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croydon proud Any european country i fancy! 12 Oct 22 5.11pm | |
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Lizzy dripping today- "mr speaker-i"m genuinely unclear"-to hoots of laughter Then- "the last thing we need is a general election!"-to hoots of laughter. The economist - Liz has the shelf life of a lettuce!
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Matov 12 Oct 22 8.46pm | |
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Originally posted by croydon proud
Lizzy dripping today- "mr speaker-i"m genuinely unclear"-to hoots of laughter Then- "the last thing we need is a general election!"-to hoots of laughter. The economist - Liz has the shelf life of a lettuce!
Unemployment at a historical low. Predicted to have the highest growth of any G7 nation. A currency that is holding its own against the dollar and which strengthened against the Euro. Inflation on the decline and lower than the EU average. I have no faith in the Tories but all I can ascertain is a kind o hysteria taking hold rather than any actual data to back up why people think an election is necessary? More than happy to be torn apart on this because I am genuinely perplexed as to what this terrible bind the UK is meant to be in and why having Starmer as PM is going to make a blind bit of difference?
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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