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Lucas Perez from West Ham suggestion

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NickinOX Flag Sailing country. 22 Jan 19 2.59pm Send a Private Message to NickinOX Add NickinOX as a friend

I’ve liked the look of him when I’ve seen him play.

 


If you come to a fork in the road, take it.

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I'mPalace Till I Die Flag 22 Jan 19 3.19pm Send a Private Message to I'mPalace Till I Die Add I'mPalace Till I Die as a friend

If we could get him for £4M and on less wages I would say he's worth a punt. Might fit our team/style of play better than Arsenal/West Ham, who knows

 

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dp Flag Tunbridge Wells 22 Jan 19 5.01pm Send a Private Message to dp Add dp as a friend

Originally posted by I'mPalace Till I Die

If we could get him for £4M and on less wages I would say he's worth a punt. Might fit our team/style of play better than Arsenal/West Ham, who knows

I don’t think the £4m has any real basis in fact, it is just a guess of what they would accept.

 

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mattteo Flag 22 Jan 19 7.08pm Send a Private Message to mattteo Add mattteo as a friend

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

He’s completely flopped at both PL clubs he’s played for - the goals and assists you’ve quoted in the last a few years are nearly exclusively in cup completions - his PL record is atrocious.

In 16/17 he made 20 PL Apps for Arsenal, starting 11 of them, and scored 1 goal.


He has not flopped at all. This is exactly the type of thinking that is damaging, measuring player according to the number of matches. What if he just comes on for 4-5 minutes in those matches? Does it still count as 20 matches??

What if I tell you he didn't play more than 500 minutes in his usual position as striker and still managed to score 4 goals??

At Arsenal they kept on using him only as winger. Kind of hard to score from that position (at least as much as center forwards do). Try putting Benteke on the wing and see of he scores that much. Oh, wait...

This is EXACTLY the kind of player who is cheap because people don't realize that his big number of matches is actually a small number of minutes and his value is kept down BECAUSE of that statistic you give of just 20 appearances and 1 goal making people suspect him a flop.

This is exactly why people like me are good at this job, observing what others can't, seeing a player who others don't and getting him on the cheap when his value should be much, much higher and he WILL score BIG TIME if he is played, this I could almost guarantee if I were a scout.


Also, your stats above is bulls*it. Where are those 11 starts for Arsenal in those 20 appearances in that 16/17 PL season? I'll pay you 100 dollars if you find more than 2 starts. And they were both as winger


Edited by mattteo (22 Jan 2019 7.10pm)

 

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Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 22 Jan 19 7.27pm Send a Private Message to Willo Add Willo as a friend

Originally posted by mattteo


He has not flopped at all. This is exactly the type of thinking that is damaging, measuring player according to the number of matches. What if he just comes on for 4-5 minutes in those matches? Does it still count as 20 matches??

What if I tell you he didn't play more than 500 minutes in his usual position as striker and still managed to score 4 goals??

At Arsenal they kept on using him only as winger. Kind of hard to score from that position (at least as much as center forwards do). Try putting Benteke on the wing and see of he scores that much. Oh, wait...

This is EXACTLY the kind of player who is cheap because people don't realize that his big number of matches is actually a small number of minutes and his value is kept down BECAUSE of that statistic you give of just 20 appearances and 1 goal making people suspect him a flop.

This is exactly why people like me are good at this job, observing what others can't, seeing a player who others don't and getting him on the cheap when his value should be much, much higher and he WILL score BIG TIME if he is played, this I could almost guarantee if I were a scout.


Also, your stats above is bulls*it. Where are those 11 starts for Arsenal in those 20 appearances in that 16/17 PL season? I'll pay you 100 dollars if you find more than 2 starts. And they were both as winger


Edited by mattteo (22 Jan 2019 7.10pm)

I am reminded of the saying "If you don't blow your own trumpet,someone else will use it as a spitoon".

 

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EverybodyDannsNow Flag SE19 22 Jan 19 7.31pm Send a Private Message to EverybodyDannsNow Add EverybodyDannsNow as a friend

Originally posted by mattteo


He has not flopped at all. This is exactly the type of thinking that is damaging, measuring player according to the number of matches. What if he just comes on for 4-5 minutes in those matches? Does it still count as 20 matches??

What if I tell you he didn't play more than 500 minutes in his usual position as striker and still managed to score 4 goals??

At Arsenal they kept on using him only as winger. Kind of hard to score from that position (at least as much as center forwards do). Try putting Benteke on the wing and see of he scores that much. Oh, wait...

This is EXACTLY the kind of player who is cheap because people don't realize that his big number of matches is actually a small number of minutes and his value is kept down BECAUSE of that statistic you give of just 20 appearances and 1 goal making people suspect him a flop.

This is exactly why people like me are good at this job, observing what others can't, seeing a player who others don't and getting him on the cheap when his value should be much, much higher and he WILL score BIG TIME if he is played, this I could almost guarantee if I were a scout.


Also, your stats above is bulls*it. Where are those 11 starts for Arsenal in those 20 appearances in that 16/17 PL season? I'll pay you 100 dollars if you find more than 2 starts. And they were both as winger


Edited by mattteo (22 Jan 2019 7.10pm)


Of course he hasn't flopped; the fact he couldn't get into the first XI for neither West Ham nor Arsenal is pure coincidence. The 3 Premier League goals he's managed since joining in 2016 make him a real success.

To challenge your points;

You introduced the idea of Perez's versatility in your OP, yet now you argue it's unfair to judge him when not played up front - which is it?

There are so many flaws with your obsession with minutes/goals as the predominant comparative measure;

Why do you think he has so few minutes in the PL? Could it be because he wasn't deemed good enough by his managers and coaches? Could it be that he has a bad injury record? Poor attitude? All of these are factors in judging a player, and all contribute to how many minutes they get on the pitch - his numbers on that front are pathetic.

Nearly always, the best players play the most minutes in their best positions - if you're telling me the bloke has only played 500 minutes in his preferred position in 3 years, that is a million miles from being a positive. I'm asking why on earth is that the case?

Attackers coming off the bench are generally bought on because their team is chasing a game - naturally, their goal/minute stats can be massively inflated because of this.

Your point about 'people like me being good at this job' - what job do you do exactly? I was under the impression you're not professionally involved at all?

The arrogance of your posts is really something to behold.

 

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Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 22 Jan 19 7.36pm Send a Private Message to Willo Add Willo as a friend

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow


Of course he hasn't flopped; the fact he couldn't get into the first XI for neither West Ham nor Arsenal is pure coincidence. The 3 Premier League goals he's managed since joining in 2016 make him a real success.

To challenge your points;

You introduced the idea of Perez's versatility in your OP, yet now you argue it's unfair to judge him when not played up front - which is it?

There are so many flaws with your obsession with minutes/goals as the predominant comparative measure;

Why do you think he has so few minutes in the PL? Could it be because he wasn't deemed good enough by his managers and coaches? Could it be that he has a bad injury record? Poor attitude? All of these are factors in judging a player, and all contribute to how many minutes they get on the pitch - his numbers on that front are pathetic.

Nearly always, the best players play the most minutes in their best positions - if you're telling me the bloke has only played 500 minutes in his preferred position in 3 years, that is a million miles from being a positive. I'm asking why on earth is that the case?

Attackers coming off the bench are generally bought on because their team is chasing a game - naturally, their goal/minute stats can be massively inflated because of this.

Your point about 'people like me being good at this job' - what job do you do exactly? I was under the impression you're not professionally involved at all?

The arrogance of your posts is really something to behold.

Some excellent points raised.

 

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JohnB Flag 22 Jan 19 7.51pm Send a Private Message to JohnB Add JohnB as a friend

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow


Of course he hasn't flopped; the fact he couldn't get into the first XI for neither West Ham nor Arsenal is pure coincidence. The 3 Premier League goals he's managed since joining in 2016 make him a real success.

To challenge your points;

You introduced the idea of Perez's versatility in your OP, yet now you argue it's unfair to judge him when not played up front - which is it?

There are so many flaws with your obsession with minutes/goals as the predominant comparative measure;

Why do you think he has so few minutes in the PL? Could it be because he wasn't deemed good enough by his managers and coaches? Could it be that he has a bad injury record? Poor attitude? All of these are factors in judging a player, and all contribute to how many minutes they get on the pitch - his numbers on that front are pathetic.

Nearly always, the best players play the most minutes in their best positions - if you're telling me the bloke has only played 500 minutes in his preferred position in 3 years, that is a million miles from being a positive. I'm asking why on earth is that the case?

Attackers coming off the bench are generally bought on because their team is chasing a game - naturally, their goal/minute stats can be massively inflated because of this.

Your point about 'people like me being good at this job' - what job do you do exactly? I was under the impression you're not professionally involved at all?

The arrogance of your posts is really something to behold.

If only there was a mic drop emoji

 

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dp Flag Tunbridge Wells 22 Jan 19 8.03pm Send a Private Message to dp Add dp as a friend

Originally posted by mattteo

He has not flopped at all. This is exactly the type of thinking that is damaging, measuring player according to the number of matches. What if he just comes on for 4-5 minutes in those matches? Does it still count as 20 matches??

What if I tell you he didn't play more than 500 minutes in his usual position as striker and still managed to score 4 goals??

At Arsenal they kept on using him only as winger. Kind of hard to score from that position (at least as much as center forwards do). Try putting Benteke on the wing and see of he scores that much. Oh, wait...

This is EXACTLY the kind of player who is cheap because people don't realize that his big number of matches is actually a small number of minutes and his value is kept down BECAUSE of that statistic you give of just 20 appearances and 1 goal making people suspect him a flop.

This is exactly why people like me are good at this job, observing what others can't, seeing a player who others don't and getting him on the cheap when his value should be much, much higher and he WILL score BIG TIME if he is played, this I could almost guarantee if I were a scout.


Also, your stats above is bulls*it. Where are those 11 starts for Arsenal in those 20 appearances in that 16/17 PL season? I'll pay you 100 dollars if you find more than 2 starts. And they were both as winger

Edited by mattteo (22 Jan 2019 7.10pm)

Mattteo, I do love your posts. I love the fact that you honestly think that you are one of only a few people who can read these statistics and that you have somehow seen something that both have the upper hand West Ham and Palace have missed.

I wish I had the same blind faith in my abilities as you do in yours.

 

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cryrst Flag The garden of England 22 Jan 19 8.43pm Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

There is a brad pitt movie based on i think the anerheim angels where their players are all recruited on stats.
Cant remember the title but it took a while and minutes in the pitch to prove the stats were correct.
Four years later another side copied the theory and won the baseball title.
Matteo does have stats so why couldnt he be right.
The only issue is the patience needed to see it through.
I take my hat off to the man matteo for the research and time and effort he puts in.
Give him a break and respect his respect of our club.

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 22 Jan 19 8.54pm Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by cryrst

There is a brad pitt movie based on i think the anerheim angels where their players are all recruited on stats.
Cant remember the title but it took a while and minutes in the pitch to prove the stats were correct.
Four years later another side copied the theory and won the baseball title.
Matteo does have stats so why couldnt he be right.
The only issue is the patience needed to see it through.
I take my hat off to the man matteo for the research and time and effort he puts in.
Give him a break and respect his respect of our club.

You are referring to Moneyball it did work because he was able to pick up bargains that traditional scouts overlooked. However like everything else once it became know they all adopted it.

 


One more point

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NickinOX Flag Sailing country. 22 Jan 19 8.58pm Send a Private Message to NickinOX Add NickinOX as a friend

Originally posted by cryrst

There is a brad pitt movie based on i think the anerheim angels where their players are all recruited on stats.
Cant remember the title but it took a while and minutes in the pitch to prove the stats were correct.
Four years later another side copied the theory and won the baseball title.
Matteo does have stats so why couldnt he be right.
The only issue is the patience needed to see it through.
I take my hat off to the man matteo for the research and time and effort he puts in.
Give him a break and respect his respect of our club.

Moneyball was the film, and the Boston Red Sox were the team.

The point many people are making regards Matteo's selective use of stats in conjunction with claims that his selective use of stats proves something. It doesn't, it merely provides a statistical guide to what happened in the past. It is useful as a tool, among other tools, to see if a player performs as expected. That ebig said, simply stating x player has y goals in z minutes, does little to tell us if said player contributes to team play, helps the team defend, or helps others to score through their movement, etc.

He also claims only he had the foresight to see x y or z but was ignored. This often ignores the thousands of players he has said will be good, but never seem to be heard of outside of his posts. That should tell us something.

If he wants to post on here good for him, but one should not expect to make such bold claims without any kind of response. After all, this is a discussion board is it not?

 


If you come to a fork in the road, take it.

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