the thing with your earlier stat that you heard is that it would have probably used probability to come up with the 98% figure, which isnt made up, but is also not fact.

People often think stats and facts are the same thing. They are not always

Messi, you're good, but you can't hit a ball like ambrose

Sunderland play Swansea on the last day of the season. This means they cannot both get 43 points.

So 43 points= safety.

RGW

This has actually made me more nervous rather than less. I certainly can't see us getting anything from the game this evening.

I am useless at predictions though. On Saturday I had an accumulator on the Premiership games and only managed to predict the correct result in two out of the 5 games (Palace and Stoke).

It's 106 miles to Chicago, we got a full tank of gas, half a pack of cigarettes, it's dark... and we're wearing sunglasses.

I love stats, especially this time of the year. Effectively until the bottom three currently can't gain sufficient points to overtake us we aren't safe, stating the obvious!
To remind everyone that in 92/93 season we beat Ipswich 3-1 with Man City and the Arse to play. At that stage we had 48 points from 40 games (1.2 points per game average) 1 point from the last two games wasn't enough, the rest was sadly history.
We are currently averaging 1.12 points per game, therefore if we continue we will get to 42-43 points
Looking at the table I honestly can't see the bottom three getting to 40 points, therefore a win tonight or Saturday should see us safe?
Personally I think 1 point will be enough as there are so may teams between us and third from bottom.
It's not over until the Fat Brolin sings......

You're all forgetting the 3 points that we're going to have deduced by the fa courtesy of Mr Tan lol

Clinton is Clinton. I have known him for a long time, I know his mother... Simon Jordan

Maximum points for both Sunderland and Cardiff now is 41 but they play each other Sunday week. I think we have done it.......