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Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?

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Stirlingsays Flag 27 Apr 22 1.56am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

Never. What I would like is a solution for now not hand wringing about how we got here.

How novel.

Well, solutions don't appear to be on the table, it appears that the taste for blood is the neo liberal vogue.

Johnson, Truss and Wallace have almost convinced me that it must be May, as they are nuts in May already.

I find the rhetoric insane.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Apr 2022 2.08am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Mapletree Flag Croydon 27 Apr 22 8.38am Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

How novel.

Well, solutions don't appear to be on the table, it appears that the taste for blood is the neo liberal vogue.

Johnson, Truss and Wallace have almost convinced me that it must be May, as they are nuts in May already.

I find the rhetoric insane.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Apr 2022 2.08am)

You seem to have overlooked that Russia is the invader with a stated aim to move on to Moldova. If a sovereign state asks for help against an invader do we ignore that? An imperialist invader that has been poisoning people on our shores and has a history of being indiscriminate about killing civilians, most notably in Syria.

 

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Apr 22 9.09am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

You are entitled to your opinions.

Personally I believe that only lip service is being applied to peace and men lives are needlessly being thrown away in the south and east. They are outgunned and it's a mincer.

To me it appears that Nato want to seriously militarise Ukraine once Russia have taken the east and southern areas but not in time to fight them there.....but to stand off. This means that eastern and southern army of about 50,000 are lost.

I'm not someone who thinks its ok to throw away tens of thousands of troops holding an impossible line. I pray most are taken prisoner and returned rather than lost once encirclement is finiahed.

Ukraine will have to negotiate in a position where they have already lost the territory that Russia wants and thrown away the bulk of their experienced troops on an impossible task.

The Ukraine and its government are the State department's pawns.

Edited by Stirlingsays (26 Apr 2022 11.37pm)

I don't think that anyone thinks It's ok to throw away tens of thousands of troops holding an impossible line! I certainly haven't heard anyone propose such a strategy!

Neither have I heard anything from the Ukrainians which suggest they are "the State Department's pawns". Quite the reverse. It's them which is pushing the west for more support.

So they must believe there is a solid point to defending their territory in the way they are. I have heard military experts, which none of us here are, suggest that the degradation of Russian forces is much worse than they anticipated and that the supply of advanced anti-tank and anti-air weapons will accelerate that. The conclusion being that defeat in the east is not the forgone conclusion you assume it is. It looks pretty hopeless to me too, but as a non-expert I defer to those who are.

Of course, those who are experts at everything don't do that.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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Stirlingsays Flag 27 Apr 22 11.27am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

You seem to have overlooked that Russia is the invader with a stated aim to move on to Moldova. If a sovereign state asks for help against an invader do we ignore that? An imperialist invader that has been poisoning people on our shores and has a history of being indiscriminate about killing civilians, most notably in Syria.

Stated aim?

What is your evidence for saying it's a 'stated aim', a news report about comments from a general? Does that count as a 'stated' aim now? How about all the other comments from generals that aren't reported on? How about what Putin has actually said? Do you take them seriously as well or do you ignore the bits the MSM don't report on?

You could only say I've overlooked the fact Russia's invaded if you hadn't actually read my posts where I've pointed that out and also made the point that other options regarding Ukraine were available. I've never supported this war.....whether it's Nato/West's policy towards Russia since the Berlin wall or Putin's invasion.

I've no support for the way Putin treats his opponents nor the way he runs Russia. I look more towards Orban as I've previously said.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Stirlingsays Flag 27 Apr 22 12.22pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I don't think that anyone thinks It's ok to throw away tens of thousands of troops holding an impossible line! I certainly haven't heard anyone propose such a strategy!

That's my view of what's going to happen, the Ukraine's troops currently in the Donbas are going to be encircled and effectively thrown away.

That's what it looks like to me and we will see if I'm right or not.

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Neither have I heard anything from the Ukrainians which suggest they are "the State Department's pawns". Quite the reverse. It's them which is pushing the west for more support.

Without Nato's weapons this would be over already. If you don't think that makes them Nato's pawns then I think that's just because you prefer different language.

When a peace deal is desired, it will be more Nato's than the Ukraine's decision in my view.

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

So they must believe there is a solid point to defending their territory in the way they are. I have heard military experts, which none of us here are, suggest that the degradation of Russian forces is much worse than they anticipated and that the supply of advanced anti-tank and anti-air weapons will accelerate that. The conclusion being that defeat in the east is not the forgone conclusion you assume it is. It looks pretty hopeless to me too, but as a non-expert I defer to those who are.

Of course, those who are experts at everything don't do that.

I would never object to warriors defending their country. However, I do object to conscripts being forced into service against their will.....men pushed to the front against their will. I've heard that has happened here.

As for the predictions for how this goes, we will see.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Apr 2022 12.49pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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crystal-purley Flag Purley 27 Apr 22 12.29pm Send a Private Message to crystal-purley Add crystal-purley as a friend

Originally posted by W12

You buying this?

Not sure if you wanted an answer but if you did then no.

 


Enjoying getting up later and not having someone who knows better than me (apart from the missus of course).

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Mapletree Flag Croydon 27 Apr 22 1.08pm Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Stated aim?

What is your evidence for saying it's a 'stated aim', a news report about comments from a general? Does that count as a 'stated' aim now? How about all the other comments from generals that aren't reported on? How about what Putin has actually said? Do you take them seriously as well or do you ignore the bits the MSM don't report on?

You could only say I've overlooked the fact Russia's invaded if you hadn't actually read my posts where I've pointed that out and also made the point that other options regarding Ukraine were available. I've never supported this war.....whether it's Nato/West's policy towards Russia since the Berlin wall or Putin's invasion.

I've no support for the way Putin treats his opponents nor the way he runs Russia. I look more towards Orban as I've previously said.

No Russian general would talk out of line, those words were planted by the leadership. Even if not, I see no sign of Rustam Minnekayev being sanctioned for what he said so The Kremlin must concur with its deputy commander of The Central Military District

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 27 Apr 22 2.51pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

No Russian general would talk out of line, those words were planted by the leadership. Even if not, I see no sign of Rustam Minnekayev being sanctioned for what he said so The Kremlin must concur with its deputy commander of The Central Military District

For someone who professes to know something about logic I find your paragraph somewhat reaching.

Ok, lets look at what you say here. Firstly, the premise that all statements from underlings are planted by the leadership is a nice line in conspiracy but it's unlikely and also unknowable...maybe some are, maybe not.

Secondly, how would you know whether he's been sanctioned or internally criticised or not? You don't. So your conclusion that the Kermlin 'must concur' is a conclusion built upon soft foundation......no granite shoreline for you.

Putin has made stated aims, but instead you are guilty of cherry picking what you wish from a general.....like I've said, lots of generals, lots of statements but for you it's all been put on a plate.

Personally, from my reading of Russia's best interests. I don't see Russia wishing to engage in a long war with multiple fronts. That appears to be something more that Nato would like.

We shall see syrup.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Apr 22 3.31pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

That's my view of what's going to happen, the Ukraine's troops currently in the Donbas are going to be encircled and effectively thrown away.

That's what it looks like to me and we will see if I'm right or not.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Apr 2022 12.49pm)

You posted it as though it was an incontrovertible fact, whilst it's obviously just your view! It's probably mine too, given the way things look, but those with greater knowledge than me seem to disagree. I hope they are right.

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Without Nato's weapons this would be over already. If you don't think that makes them Nato's pawns then I think that's just because you prefer different language.

When a peace deal is desired, it will be more Nato's than the Ukraine's decision in my view..

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Apr 2022 12.49pm)

But they aren't "Nato's weapons" are they? They are weapons donated by countries that are Nato members. It's a very important distinction which Russia tries to obscure at every opportunity to convince people like you that Nato is an aggressor, with a dog in this fight. It isn't. Providing military assistance to Ukraine in these circumstances is the moral responsibility of western nations, but they have been ultra-careful not to involve Nato.

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I would never object to warriors defending their country. However, I do object to conscripts being forced into service against their will.....men pushed to the front against their will. I've heard that has happened here.

As for the predictions for how this goes, we will see.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Apr 2022 12.49pm)

Certainly, all men under 60 were conscripted and I expect some, who have the appropriate experience, are being used at the front. That is a matter for the Ukrainians, who seem to have maintained a high degree of resolve and morale.

We will indeed see how it goes. I have heard predictions that Putin wants the May parades to be celebrating his great "victory", so maybe that will provide the window of opportunity for a settlement.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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Stirlingsays Flag 27 Apr 22 3.49pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

You posted it as though it was an incontrovertible fact, whilst it's obviously just your view! It's probably mine too, given the way things look, but those with greater knowledge than me seem to disagree. I hope they are right.

How can something that hasn't happened yet be stated as a fact?

It's my view from what I've seen from less emotive sources.

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

But they aren't "Nato's weapons" are they? They are weapons donated by countries that are Nato members. It's a very important distinction which Russia tries to obscure at every opportunity to convince people like you that Nato is an aggressor, with a dog in this fight. It isn't. Providing military assistance to Ukraine in these circumstances is the moral responsibility of western nations, but they have been ultra-careful not to involve Nato.

A distinction without a difference.


Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Certainly, all men under 60 were conscripted and I expect some, who have the appropriate experience, are being used at the front. That is a matter for the Ukrainians, who seem to have maintained a high degree of resolve and morale.

We will indeed see how it goes. I have heard predictions that Putin wants the May parades to be celebrating his great "victory", so maybe that will provide the window of opportunity for a settlement.

If people have to be conscripted then it's a bit dubious to say they have high resolve and morale.....otherwise they wouldn't need conscription.

I'm not of the view that you force people to fight....on certain fronts it's a practical maim or death sentence.

Sure it's a 'matter for the Ukrainians', however when you force people to fight against their will and they die doing it.....some might find issues with that.

I'm not sure that Putin's aims will be finished by those victory parades, however I don't see the Russians wanting a long war....I see Nato wanting that.

What scares me is what happens once Putin wants to stop but Nato/Ukraine don't.....That's when the scary escalation could happen and I'm obviously selfishly keen that sense prevails.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Apr 2022 3.50pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Nicholas91 Flag The Democratic Republic of Kent 27 Apr 22 4.00pm Send a Private Message to Nicholas91 Add Nicholas91 as a friend

Originally posted by W12

You buying this?

How much does she charge for a 'quickie'? The wife's visiting family in Truro for the week.

 


Now Zaha's got a bit of green grass ahead of him here... and finds Ambrose... not a bad effort!!!!

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Forest Hillbilly Flag in a hidey-hole 27 Apr 22 4.51pm Send a Private Message to Forest Hillbilly Add Forest Hillbilly as a friend

I recall France was still selling Exocet anti-ship missiles to Argentina during the Falklands conflict. Perhaps after re-taking the Falklands we should have invaded France on the way home.

 


I disengage, I turn the page.

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