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The Election Thread

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 13 Dec 19 2.09pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by chris123

Your vote doesn't change the fact that that the last parliament was as rotten as I can remember.

Just as yours, individually, does not change anything. Your point?

I agree that parliament was useless as a functioning entity. I don't agree it was rotten.

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 13 Dec 19 2.14pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Being within the EU also went 'very badly' for many people as well. The political direction the EU has taken for the last forty years had no mandate and centralised power always suffers the further away the affected are.

Not everything is financial. You have already said on here that you are prepared to lose money (in taxes) for what you believe in....For many people, this is the same. Democracy won here.

Voters can kick Boris out in five years if they want.....this was their only opportunity with the EU....and it's a salient point. They saw how the establishment had treated the 2016 vote. This was the only opportunity they were going to get.

They knew that the establishment would never give them that opportunity again.

No one is in any doubt that this fight continues.....but one thing is sure, Brexit is happening.

'Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.' (Churchill)

Now you see I broadly agree here, but I really think suggesting that most people who voted leave / voted tory to vote leave again made the conscious calculation that they'd be prepared to lose money as a potential (but not guaranteed) output when doing so is being extremely generous to the general voting population.

They saw a simple message, they bought it. I have no issue with the way the Tories played their campaign, it was the only way to do it – Simple message, simple audience. It plays well, and other parties panicked and overcomplicated things.

I'd argue that most people voted out because they thought they were going to get better off financially, certainly not the other way around. The good thing from my point of view is that they are now wholly at the mercy of someone who has no clear identity – my feeling is he will tack centre but there's always the real risk he won't, and they will then be in serious trouble.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (13 Dec 2019 2.17pm)

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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Mapletree Flag Croydon 13 Dec 19 2.18pm Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

Now you see I broadly agree here, but I really think suggesting that most people who voted leave / voted tory to vote leave again made the conscious calculation that they'd be prepared to lose money as a potential (but not guaranteed) output when doing so is being extremely generous to the general voting population.

They saw a simple message, they bought it. I have no issue with the way the Tories played their campaign, it was the only way to do it – Simple message, simple audience. It plays well, and other parties panicked and overcomplicated things.

I'd argue that most people voted out because they thought they were going to get better off financially, certainly not the other way around. The good thing from my point of view is that they are now wholly at the mercy of someone who has no clear identity – my feeling is he will tack centre but there's always the real risk he won't, and they will then be in serious trouble.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (13 Dec 2019 2.17pm)

True that

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 13 Dec 19 2.40pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

Now you see I broadly agree here, but I really think suggesting that most people who voted leave / voted tory to vote leave again made the conscious calculation that they'd be prepared to lose money as a potential (but not guaranteed) output when doing so is being extremely generous to the general voting population.

They saw a simple message, they bought it. I have no issue with the way the Tories played their campaign, it was the only way to do it – Simple message, simple audience. It plays well, and other parties panicked and overcomplicated things.

I'd argue that most people voted out because they thought they were going to get better off financially, certainly not the other way around. The good thing from my point of view is that they are now wholly at the mercy of someone who has no clear identity – my feeling is he will tack centre but there's always the real risk he won't, and they will then be in serious trouble.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (13 Dec 2019 2.17pm)

Perhaps my last post was somewhat guilty of putting my own anti EU lens and hence triumphalist spin on this. It would have been a reasonably strong factor but by no means the only one.

Yes, I'd say the message mattered....People as a whole were just sick and tired of Brexit and Cummings knew it and Johnson was a strong cheery voice to communicate that.

If we remove the whole Brexit focus most of those who would have voted Tory would have been older. The 'something to lose' mob. They will either have a fair stock of money in assets or earning it.

It's like the US election, the choice was stark...Johnson or Corbyn. While you and others would perhaps have voted red the majority with something set aside would have gone with Johnson.

It could have been said that the same factors were around in 2017 with May and Corbyn did better.....but Corbyn was a fresher figure with a then policy to 'respect Brexit' and Johnson is far more attractive to floating voters than May is.

But the size of this majority has to be seen in the north. A lot of the north voted to leave and they obviously felt disregarded.

I think most people feel that they won't be much better off or worst off....basically they are trusting him.

Now, I think we are going to see Boris play hardball with the EU as I think the EU are going to do the same.

Edited by Stirlingsays (13 Dec 2019 2.44pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 13 Dec 19 2.53pm Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Perhaps my last post was somewhat guilty of putting my own anti EU lens and hence triumphalist spin on this. It would have been a reasonably strong factor but by no means the only one.

Yes, I'd say the message mattered....People as a whole were just sick and tired of Brexit and Cummings knew it and Johnson was a strong cheery voice to communicate that.

If we remove the whole Brexit focus most of those who would have voted Tory would have been older. The 'something to lose' mob. They will either have a fair stock of money in assets or earning it.

It's like the US election, the choice was stark...Johnson or Corbyn. While you and others would perhaps have voted red the majority with something set aside would have gone with Johnson.

It could have been said that the same factors were around in 2017 with May and Corbyn did better.....but Corbyn was a fresher figure with a then policy to 'respect Brexit' and Johnson is far more attractive to floating voters than May is.

But the size of this majority has to be seen in the north. A lot of the north voted to leave and they obviously felt disregarded.

I think most people feel that they won't be much better off or worst off....basically they are trusting him.

Now, I think we are going to see Boris play hardball with the EU as I think the EU are going to do the same.

Edited by Stirlingsays (13 Dec 2019 2.44pm)

Some voices have spent the last 4 years talking down this country and pushing Project Fear.

Having a leader who is positive and full of optimism was a breath of fresh air after dour Mrs May and "bad Grandpa" Corbyn.

Opponents will complain that "just get Brexit done" isn't a policy more like a wish. Okay but the alternative is you set yourself up to fail or as a certain manager put it you become an expert in failure.

Boris has the X factor he now has the chance to shape his premiership the way he wants to if he fails he has no one else to blame but himself.

 


One more point

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 13 Dec 19 2.55pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Perhaps my last post was somewhat guilty of putting my own anti EU lens and hence triumphalist spin on this. It would have been a reasonably strong factor but by no means the only one.

Yes, I'd say the message mattered....People as a whole were just sick and tired of Brexit and Cummings knew it and Johnson was a strong cheery voice to communicate that.

If we remove the whole Brexit focus most of those who would have voted Tory would have been older. The 'something to lose' mob. They will either have a fair stock of money in assets or earning it.

It's like the US election, the choice was stark...Johnson or Corbyn. While you and others would perhaps have voted red the majority with something set aside would have gone with Johnson.

It could have been said that the same factors were around in 2017 with May and Corbyn did better.....but Corbyn was a fresher figure with a then policy to 'respect Brexit' and Johnson is far more attractive to floating voters than May is.

But the size of this majority has to be seen in the north. A lot of the north voted to leave and they obviously felt disregarded.

I think most people feel that they won't be much better off or worst off....basically they are trusting him.

Now, I think we are going to see Boris play hardball with the EU as I think the EU are going to do the same.

Edited by Stirlingsays (13 Dec 2019 2.44pm)

'The something to lose mob'. Indeed. Perhaps the 'Could definitely afford to lose something mob' in most cases, but there we go.

I am fascinated to see how Boris plays out. I'm not so sure he'll play hardball, at least not in the way hardliners might want, more in the 'let us be more aligned but also out' sense. Softer exit. But as you say we'll know soon enough

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 13 Dec 19 2.58pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Boris about to speak outside no. 10.

 


COYP

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chris123 Flag hove actually 13 Dec 19 3.11pm Send a Private Message to chris123 Add chris123 as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

Just as yours, individually, does not change anything. Your point?

I agree that parliament was useless as a functioning entity. I don't agree it was rotten.

The electorate have got rid of most of the stalers - much more difficult in a federation.

 

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Midlands Eagle Flag 13 Dec 19 3.12pm Send a Private Message to Midlands Eagle Add Midlands Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

Last night one of the Labour bigwigs made a rather interesting comment. He claimed that Labour voters stayed away


Well it was raining a lot

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 13 Dec 19 3.15pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

'The something to lose mob'. Indeed. Perhaps the 'Could definitely afford to lose something mob' in most cases, but there we go.

I am fascinated to see how Boris plays out. I'm not so sure he'll play hardball, at least not in the way hardliners might want, more in the 'let us be more aligned but also out' sense. Softer exit. But as you say we'll know soon enough


I wouldn't disagree.

I'd add that the 'Could definitely afford to lose something' mob were perhaps less worried about losing something....and more concerned about losing quite a lot.....That 70+ billion plus manifesto had to come from somewhere and interest rates would have shot up.

They looked like lunch and they knew it.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Stirlingsays Flag 13 Dec 19 3.28pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

Some voices have spent the last 4 years talking down this country and pushing Project Fear.

Having a leader who is positive and full of optimism was a breath of fresh air after dour Mrs May and "bad Grandpa" Corbyn.

Opponents will complain that "just get Brexit done" isn't a policy more like a wish. Okay but the alternative is you set yourself up to fail or as a certain manager put it you become an expert in failure.

Boris has the X factor he now has the chance to shape his premiership the way he wants to if he fails he has no one else to blame but himself.

There is little doubt that Johnson is the first politician since Blair with that star 'floating voter' appeal.

Blair's reputation is dirt now of course but when he mattered he was an election winner and Johnson is the same.

We shall see how successful he is.

That said, 'momentum' are deeply ingrained into the party and to be fair to them, they are the Labour grass roots who pay the actuali....and I respect that.

Maybe Labour will double down on its direction. It appears that Corbyn wants to ensure that and McDonnell certainly sounded like he was giving a leadership pitch last night.


Edited by Stirlingsays (13 Dec 2019 3.30pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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DanH Flag SW2 13 Dec 19 3.30pm Send a Private Message to DanH Add DanH as a friend

Labourites on social media blaming everyone but themselves. Sigh.

 

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