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Rudi Hedman Caterham 07 Jan 13 9.48am | |
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Quote Pussay Patrol at 06 Jan 2013 10.43pm
Quote MKeagle at 05 Jan 2013 8.51pm
I've been doing better recently since I've staked a little more on fewer games in the bet (more trebles & 4folds rather than 10 team acca's, I never win on them)! Plus, this thread gives decent tips! Quote i_8_clowns at 05 Jan 2013 8.34pm
How do you guys normally get on? Reckon your up at all? However much I try, I always find one team that help the bookies to win! Ah, this is the common mistake of the ordinary punter. As long as you bet at long odds, the less chance your bet will come in. This is how the bookies want you to bet, doing bets that will rarely come in at long odds, they know their risk is low and as long as plenty of people up and down the country are doing it they are cashing in. If you look at betting forms they like you to bet doing 1 from each section, things like that - never bet how the bookie wants you to. I never do more than 3 selections, 2-3 certs, keep the odds in your favour, i have to bet big but the returns are better.
If you're doing just a 4fold, you may as well knock the least likely result of the 4 (may be the longest odds result) and do a treble. The odds may halve but the likelihood of winning is greater. However, if it's a cert such as Man Utd v Reading, sometimes include it to bump up a low odds acca. This can apply to double or trebles. If you have odds of 3/1 on a regular basis then you have to win every 4th bet to break even. Not only is this possible with a good system or method but you can start to make either a regular return and build your pot and stake, if you want to. Going for wild and long odds means that 1 winner gives you plenty of weeks before the winnings run down, but it's unlikely you'll build anything. When you look at the fixtures/ coupon, it's a good idea to start with League 2, then League 1, Championship and Prem. If you do it from top to bottom you never get to the bottom with all the 'umming' and 'arrghing', or if you do, you're losing patience and focus of what it is you're looking at or for. If you do it bottom to top, that way you'll either have a few certs, and/or a lot of choices before looking at a Prem list in a league where there aren't as many wins in the lower leagues and leagues where there's 8 more games. Don't ever select the top 4 all to win, it rarely ever happens. Don't bet on or against Stoke in the league. They're hard to beat which means draws. Don't change your thinking if it works. If a week didn't return but has been before, chances are it will next week or the week after. Add 1 week to the average odds you go for and if you win more than once every 2,3,4 weeks then you're winning.
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Pussay Patrol 08 Jan 13 1.48pm | |
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I usually focus on the lower leagues and avoid the premiership. In the premiership there's a big gap between top and bottom but the clubs at the bottom aren't poor sides in decline they just lack depth and quality in their squad plus the odds are poor value. In the lower leagues some teams are woefully out of form and cannot defend, leak goals and have a habit of losing, they also might have lots of injuries and this is when to get on.
Paua oouaarancì Irà chiyeah Ishé galé ma ba oo ah |
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MKeagle Newton Leys 11 Jan 13 1.44pm | |
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Any tips for this weekend? Based on some of the suggestions/ideas above, I have my eye on this treble: MK DONS to beat Bury FLEETWOOD to beat Brizzle Rovers ROTHERHAM to beat Barnet Pays at just under 3/1 (2.7/1 to be precise) - only slight nervousness is due to living in MK, the MK Dons seem to always fcuk up my acca's!! And clearly the odds do not suggest I'll be paying off the mortgage if it comes in. Could do with possibly adding 1 more game perhaps?!
When Geoff went up to lift the Zenith Cup I was there, I was there.... |
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Geoff Tipps Kent 11 Jan 13 2.07pm | |
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Man Utd to beat Liverpool at Old Trafford and Man City to beat Arsenal at the Emirates isn't a bad shout. Current odds on Skybet are 3.95/1...
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 11 Jan 13 3.09pm | |
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Quote MKeagle at 11 Jan 2013 1.44pm
only slight nervousness is due to living in MK, the MK Dons seem to always fcuk up my acca's!! And clearly the odds do not suggest I'll be paying off the mortgage if it comes in. Could do with possibly adding 1 more game perhaps?!
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npn Crowborough 11 Jan 13 3.11pm | |
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Quote Geoff Tipps at 11 Jan 2013 2.07pm
Man Utd to beat Liverpool at Old Trafford and Man City to beat Arsenal at the Emirates isn't a bad shout. Current odds on Skybet are 3.95/1...
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Geoff Tipps Kent 11 Jan 13 3.30pm | |
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Quote npn at 11 Jan 2013 3.11pm
Quote Geoff Tipps at 11 Jan 2013 2.07pm
Man Utd to beat Liverpool at Old Trafford and Man City to beat Arsenal at the Emirates isn't a bad shout. Current odds on Skybet are 3.95/1...
Edited by Geoff Tipps (11 Jan 2013 3.31pm)
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MKeagle Newton Leys 11 Jan 13 3.54pm | |
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Good shout Rudi, you've helped my decision on the Dons. I only had a quick look, will review properly tonight, and wait for yours and PP's suggestions too Cheers! Quote Rudi Hedman at 11 Jan 2013 3.09pm
Quote MKeagle at 11 Jan 2013 1.44pm
only slight nervousness is due to living in MK, the MK Dons seem to always fcuk up my acca's!! And clearly the odds do not suggest I'll be paying off the mortgage if it comes in. Could do with possibly adding 1 more game perhaps?!
When Geoff went up to lift the Zenith Cup I was there, I was there.... |
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 11 Jan 13 6.48pm | |
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Quote MKeagle at 11 Jan 2013 3.54pm
Quote Rudi Hedman at 11 Jan 2013 3.09pm
Quote MKeagle at 11 Jan 2013 1.44pm
only slight nervousness is due to living in MK, the MK Dons seem to always fcuk up my acca's!! And clearly the odds do not suggest I'll be paying off the mortgage if it comes in. Could do with possibly adding 1 more game perhaps?!
Good shout Rudi, you've helped my decision on the Dons. I only had a quick look, will review properly tonight, and wait for yours and PP's suggestions too Cheers!
(P.S - can you post at the bottom of discussions, it's easier to follow than at the top. Thanks) Edited by Rudi Hedman (11 Jan 2013 7.12pm)
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 11 Jan 13 7.02pm | |
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All prices taken off a William Hill high st coupon. (easier to read and do rather than multiple tabs. Prices are better online) Hot bets: FLEETWOOD 4/6 v Bristol Rovers Others less so... BURTON 11/10 v Torquay Fleetwood, Rotherham double = 1.6/1 Fleetwood, Rotherham, Hull, Everton 4fold = 6.2/1 Edited by Rudi Hedman (11 Jan 2013 7.11pm)
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cardiff eagle 11 Jan 13 11.25pm | |
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I'm fancying a trixie of the following although may remove Doncaster due to new manager and keep it as a double. Cheltenham
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Pussay Patrol 11 Jan 13 11.55pm | |
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It's really tough this week, only 1 fixture stands out. Bradford to beat Oxford - EVS - Weekend Banker Whilst Oxford are in fairly good form, Bradford is not a happy hunting ground for them. Their main striker is suspended. Bradford will play the same team that beat Villa. I might just do the single or put them in a double with Hull (4/6) which would be about 9/4 Doncaster to win at Stevenage is interesting - 7/4 - But now Saunders has gone it's put me off slightly
Paua oouaarancì Irà chiyeah Ishé galé ma ba oo ah |
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