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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)

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.TUX. Flag 29 May 19 8.15am

Originally posted by Maine Eagle

Sovereignty.

If the last 3 years have shown you anything, its that the UK parliament is a bigger f*** up than the EU.

And sovereignty means they get MORE power.

Worse trading arrangements, lack of access to police and terror data, chaos at the borders, recession, higher prices, lack of goods and medicine, uk manufacturers priced out of the market, job losses.

I certainly dont get why people have such a boner for brexit - its probably going to cause a huge recession.

Unlikely.
Brexit is way down the list of which pin will pop this global bubble. Way down.

Don't believe the hype.


 


Buy Litecoin.

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Mapletree Flag Croydon 29 May 19 8.22am Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I've heard lots of good things about Jonathan Sumption but the link didn't work. Perhaps it's a problem with my browser.

Regardless I'll commit to you that I will listen to it.

Sorry about that Stirling. It does for me. Do you have an iPlayer account?

In any case good man.

 

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Midlands Eagle Flag 29 May 19 8.24am Send a Private Message to Midlands Eagle Add Midlands Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11


The EU rejected May's solution of using technology away from the border as impractical. Barnier was asked what will happen to the border if the UK leaves under WTO rules and his solution is to use technology away from the border err...

Trying to negotiate a deal with the EU and the Irish border is our problem but leaving without a deal makes it their problem and it may even make them hurry up to tie up a trade deal with us

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 29 May 19 8.30am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

Trying to negotiate a deal with the EU and the Irish border is our problem but leaving without a deal makes it their problem and it may even make them hurry up to tie up a trade deal with us

Well said you put that better than I did.

 


One more point

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 29 May 19 8.42am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Speaker Bercow to stay on during these "momentous events taking place in Parliament".

Thanks John the public really appreciate your efforts I mean it's not as if you are part of the problem rather than the solution.

I don't blame Bercow for all of the mess we are in but as Speaker his job to help Parliament work as a body which it clearly isn't at the moment.

An honourable man would take time to reflect on their performance over the last few years and consider this:

Could I have done a better job in helping parliament reach a consensus? (He made various controversial rulings which contributed to the log jam).

Is it time for a fresh pair of eyes to have ago with a new PM? (He is considered biased by many MPS time for a new broom?).

Is my creditability tarnished because of the various outstanding allegations against me? (Personal allegations against his own behaviour and allegations of shutting down enquiries into the misbehaviour of other MPs).

In Summary an honourable man would have kept his word to leave when he said he would and wish his successor all the best, but then you are not an honourable man are you Mr Speaker.

 


One more point

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Stirlingsays Flag 29 May 19 8.43am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

Sorry about that Stirling. It does for me. Do you have an iPlayer account?

In any case good man.

I used the browser 'brave' last night to listen to it. I heard about half of it before that too seemed to stop working when I looked to continue this morning.

Anyway, he's obviously a very intelligent and engaging chap. He's obviously a remainer and comes across as a bit of an elitist.

Regardless, I can't say that his argument was inherently incorrect. Small majorities require compromises. What is a compromise and a capitulation are matters for subjective opinion.

However compromises were tried and were unsuccessful.

I find this sudden appreciation for compromise on the EU a bit rich considering leavers had been given nothing for forty years. No sunset clause, no votes on treaties, no compromises for forty years.

Where were the arguments for compromises on a relationship with Europe that better reflected the population then? There wasn't.....then it was convenient to act as though the Uk was totally committed to the EU project when half the country wasn't.

I had never had previous issues with iplayer and in any case I'll try to listen to the rest of this excellent lecture.

Edited by Stirlingsays (29 May 2019 9.13am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Mapletree Flag Croydon 29 May 19 9.06am Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I used the browser 'brave' last night to listen to it. I heard about half of it before that too seemed to stop working when I looked to continue this morning.

Anyway, he's obviously a very intelligent and engaging chap. He's obviously a remainer and comes across as a bit of an elitist.

Regardless, I can't say that his argument was inherently incorrect. Small majorities require compromises. What is a compromise and a capitulation are matters for subjective opinion.

However compromises were tried and were unsuccessful.

I find this sudden appreciation for compromise on the EU a bit rich considering leavers had been given nothing for forty years. No sunset clause, no votes on treaties, no compromises for forty years.

Where were the arguments for compromises a relationship with Europe that better reflected the population then? There wasn't.....then it was convenient to act as though the Uk was totally committed to the EU project when half the country wasn't.

I had never had previous issues with iplayer and in any case I'll try to listen to the rest of this excellent lecture.

One point. Not small majorities. Any majority if it is to avoid major issues with disaffected minorities.

I don’t recall anyone arguing the EU does not require reform.

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 29 May 19 9.12am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

One point. Not small majorities. Any majority if it is to avoid major issues with disaffected minorities.

I don’t recall anyone arguing the EU does not require reform.


Sure, people have been arguing that the EU needs reform for thirty years. In that time, it has been reforming into what you see today.


 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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becky Flag over the moon 29 May 19 9.19am Send a Private Message to becky Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add becky as a friend

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

Trying to negotiate a deal with the EU and the Irish border is our problem but leaving without a deal makes it their problem and it may even make them hurry up to tie up a trade deal with us

Trading under WTO rules doesn't actually require there to be a hard border, so it's purely an EU problem.

 


A stairway to Heaven and a Highway to Hell give some indication of expected traffic numbers

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Rubin Flag 29 May 19 9.32am Send a Private Message to Rubin Add Rubin as a friend

Originally posted by Maine Eagle

You seem to have failed to address the other countless entities and individuals who believe a no deal "WTO" exit would be utterly catastrophic for their business interests, and the larger economy in general.

Like I said to Rudi though, I am sure the head of the National Farmers Union and the Police Service in Northern Island (to name but 2) are just taking the piss when they state it would be totally disastrous for them?

As for trading under WTO terms being preferential to being part of one of the largest trading bloc's in the entire world, with the economies of scale that brings, that is nonsense.

People like Rees-Mogg like to talk about the EU being protectionist, it is. FOR EU COUNTRIES. In other words UK exporters and importers currently enjoy that protection and the tariff relief that brings. Ripping that up overnight at the end of October will be a complete nightmare. For exports to the EU, as a third nation, we would see tariffs of 11.1% for agricultural goods, 15.7% for animal products and 35.4% for dairy.

Do you now understand why anyone remotely connected to farming in the UK is s***ting their pants about a no deal exit?

The average price for a British car in the EU would go up by 3000 euros per car.

Do you understand why the car companies are seriously unhappy about this and how this plus many other problems will see job losses in the automotive industry?

The government's own stats show that GDP would be 10.7% lower if we leave the EU with no deal after 15 years.

Of everything you have said here, the most scandalous and outrageous is to minimize the potential issues in Ireland.

If overnight there is suddenly introduced a hard border between NI and Ireland the Good Friday Agreement is threatened. That is according to none other than the taoiseach, and to make light of that is pretty unbelievable given the history there.

Here's Mervyn King (former governor of the BOE), reported in the Guardian, endorsing a no deal:

[Link]

There's a lot of reports saying that Nissan are leaving due to there being falling demand for large diesel vehicles in Europe, which is what they were going to produce in Sunderland.

The head of police in Northern Ireland would not have got to that position without towing the line politically.

In addition, isn't it funny how the Airbus update hasn't been in the more familiar media outlets, and can only be found on the obscure website that I linked to.

Edited by Rubin (29 May 2019 9.37am)

 

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 29 May 19 9.34am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Matov

Apologies if I am going to come across as a bit of a lunatic but there is something seriously amiss at the moment.

We have a Conservative Leadership campaign underway in which the strongest message is being sent that if anybody who actually wins it decides to take us out of the EU without a deal, then other Conservative MP's will crash their own Government, opening the door for a Corbyn led Labour Party.

Supposedly the worst thing ever.

This is insanity. Absolute madness.

Also throw in what seems an elaborate attempt to undermine Corbyn (this expulsion of Alastair Campbell is beginning to not feel right either. Suspecting this about far, far more than him voting Lib-Dem) and I am wondering if we are on the verge of a cross-party coup.

Something along the lines of a national Government? An attempt to share the blame of revoking A50 or implementing a rigged second referendum?

Willing to accept all the abuse possible because I would be tempted to do so myself if somebody else were writing this, and it could well be me being me, but this is all stinking now to high heaven.

Remain Labour want rid of Corbyn. Remain Tories want rid of anybody who actually might see through on their manifesto promise. And the Brexit Party must be causing them to be needing a change of under pants because it upsets the entire apple-cart of Left/Right that our system is based on.

These b******s will stitch us all up if it means saving their careers and the jungle they play in.

Too many conspiracy theories for your own good!

This is simply MPs doing what we elect them to do. Which is to use their own intellect, plus the time and contacts to research, to come to collective decisions on our behalf. Their job is to give us what they believe we need and not just to do what any group, even if it is a majority of voters, tell them they want.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 29 May 19 9.38am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

The winner doesn't have to actively take us out as all he/she has to do is absolutely nothing and we will then leave automatically on 31st October

Not if Parliament have a successful vote of no confidence and then revoke Article 50. with a GE to follow.

Unless they are able to get something through Parliament before Oct 31st, which seems extremely unlikely given the inability of the EU to do anymore negotiations before then, that seems the most likely scenario to me.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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