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Relegation a real possibility?
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 Elpis  In a pub 03 Mar 19 7.15pm |
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Originally posted by ex hibitionist
time for the mods to put their padlock on this thread - no chance of relegation It was a long shot to start with but this forum wouldn't be the same without a relegation panic .
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| Booted Eagle Bristol 03 Mar 19 9.00pm |
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By my calculator if Cardiff continue their present form then we are safe by 0.25 of a point
“ [T]here are known knowns; there are things we know that we know.There are known unknowns; that is to say there are things that, we now know we don't know.But there are also unknown unknowns – there are things we do not know we don't know. ” |
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| The Dolphin 04 Mar 19 6.34am |
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I think we will be safe now.
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| Ginger Pubic Wig Wickham de L'Ouest 04 Mar 19 6.45am |
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I don't see Cardiff getting to 34 points from their run in.
If you want to live in a world full of kindness, respect and love, try to show these qualities. |
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DutchEagleJohan  Vlissingen, Netherlands 04 Mar 19 5.28pm |
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Some gloom merchants will feel sorry they are no longer able to wind people up on here Originally posted by ex hibitionist
time for the mods to put their padlock on this thread - no chance of relegation
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| eagle180 Croydon 04 Mar 19 6.05pm |
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This time last year we were in the dreaded zone ...
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Attachment: | Booted Eagle Bristol 04 Mar 19 7.37pm |
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Cardiff have 44% of their games to play against the top 6 whereas they have played 28% up to now. Think they will do very well to catch us now.
“ [T]here are known knowns; there are things we know that we know.There are known unknowns; that is to say there are things that, we now know we don't know.But there are also unknown unknowns – there are things we do not know we don't know. ” |
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| Vaibow vancouver/croydon 05 Mar 19 5.47am |
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Swansea were only 3 points off where we are at this point last year.... until it's official and 3 teams are relegated - i am not counting any chickens. However, i feel very confident of staying up.
This was once a quality forum.... |
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Adamoc123  Ennis 05 Mar 19 12.34pm |
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Fun facts - Since our promotion we've had 33 points after 29 games on 2 other occasions, the 14/15 and 15/16 leagues in which we ended on 48 and 42 points respectively. The 48 points 10th place finish being the best we have done this decade, to equal that we would need 5 wins from the last 9 games. Alternatively in the 15/16 prem. we had 33 points and were 9 points clear of relegation in 15th place, we got 2 wins and 3 draws from the remaining 9 games to finish 5 points clear on 42. Last year was our worst year at this stage as we had only 27 points after 30 games but then went on to win 5 draw 2 and lose just 1. Also worthy to note is this time last year we had scored 27 goals and conceded 46 compared to this years 35sco and 39conc..
The First 90 Minutes Are The Most Important! |
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| HerneBayPalace Herne Bay 05 Mar 19 1.08pm |
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Having looked at the table, it's starts coming to games left rather than points. There are 9 games remaining each. Cardiff are 8 points behind us, which is 3 wins to catch us. We still have Cardiff to play in which we should pick points up, which then leaves a remaining 4 games for them to catch us. Should we beat B*****n on Saturday and Cardiff draw with West Ham, this will leave 3 remaining games for them to catch us with us 10 points clear (3 wins 1 draw) if you understand the above. Our goal difference is worth a point in relation to all the side around us, even above. Even if you play on the unlikely side of results, you could suggest the following: Predicted Points Palace : Brighton = D Total = 6pts Predicted Cardiff Points : West Ham = D Total = 13pts The above has us winning just 1 of our last 9 with Cardiff beating all teams around them, as well as us. Palace 39pts We should be comfortably staying up this season. Win on Saturday and we are safe without any doubt whatsoever, IMO. This is Palace and a few more twists and turns yet, of course...
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| ItsCPFCforme 05 Mar 19 2.49pm |
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Last year, Swansea were relegated on 33pts with -28 GD. 33pts with a better GD could have been enough to keep you up (Saints did it with 36pts). In short: unless we fail to pick up a single point, and get tonked in most games, I am pretty confident in saying we will stay up.
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| ItsCPFCforme 05 Mar 19 2.52pm |
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Originally posted by ItsCPFCforme
Last year, Swansea were relegated on 33pts with -28 GD. 33pts with a better GD could have been enough to keep you up (Saints did it with 36pts). In short: unless we fail to pick up a single point, and get tonked in most games, I am pretty confident in saying we will stay up. Incidentally, Swansea's end of season form was absolutely abysmal last year; this stage last season they were on 30 pts and only picked up 3 more points from 9 matches. That's terrible!
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