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SW19 CPFC Addiscombe West 14 Feb 23 1.56pm | |
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Originally posted by PalazioVecchio
and a constant number of Brits being against Immigration. You can call this the Tony Blair effect.......trafficking in lorryloads of Labour Voters. In order to cook the electoral books. Imagine Ancient Rome having a population of , say 20%, Huns. And then a vote on immigration. It makes a mockery of the whole game when Attila the Hun arrives at the gates with an army. Edited by PalazioVecchio (13 Feb 2023 6.20pm) Constantly declining trend, sure. Basically if they'd waited another 20 years the vote would have failed. Certainly if it was had now I think you'd be brave to think the same result would occur. Not saying that's right/wrong, jut making an observation.
Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons. |
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SW19 CPFC Addiscombe West 14 Feb 23 2.03pm | |
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Originally posted by Matov
This is the point. Brexit was a fantastic opportunity for the UK to fast-track itself into a leading position. Huge advantages but it required bold application. Saw an article in today's Guardian in which Lord Frost, the previous lead Brexit negotiator, questioned why the hell a Conservative Government, with the majority it has gained on the back of a solid Leave mandate, is having cross party talks? They want us back in. It is as simple as that. The Conservatives, with that majority won on the basis of getting Brexit done and sacking many of the leading Remain voices from their own side in the run could have done whatever they wanted. You name it, they could have done it. And instead, almost nothing at all. Apart from leading the charge to stop Ukraine reaching a peace accord with Russia. In effect, prolonging that almighty s*** storm. People need to wake up this. The Tories could have done all kinds of things. Instead, nothing. Literally SFA. Now I personally think the economic predictions for the next year, like so many other economic predictions, will prove utterly wrong (again) but what is obvious is that the political elite of this country want us firmly back inside of the EU (and not, in my opinion, because it wants to help the EU get stronger). Outside of a revolution, in every sense of the word, we are heading back in within the next 10 years. Potentially sooner with my prediction some kind of second ref in 2026 predicated on the notion that people have had a decade to make their minds up with the option of effectively a new deal that ties us fully into the free market and customs union against rejoining with the EU welcoming us (and more importantly the cash) with open arms. I do think you often fall into the trap of oversimplification. It was never going to be as easy as leave, prosper. If you did think that was the case I don't understand your candyfloss view of the world. You clearly believe in brexit so much that you've lost all ability to have objective thought. If things continue to go badly because of brexit over the next decade, the only sensible thing to do is consider how things can be improved. That includes moving back towards the EU as well as trying to make it work without doing so. Whatever creates the more positive long term outcome, scientifically, should then be followed. Regardless of emotion, ideology or whatever. I am with you on economic predictions... complete garbage at the best of times. Doesn't mean the outcome won't still be negative though does it? We'd only ever go back in if things got really, really bad. And if they did, brexit would have failed anyway, so what choice would there be? Cut ones nose off etc.? That way of thinking would mean you'd be no better than a staunch remainer. Oh the irony Personally I see them trying to hash this out for a few years, realising that it's not giving them the short to medium term returns they wanted and we will shift back closer, but not back into, the EU. Less worse off, if you will. Tolerable. Revolution over the EU aint happening. The only chance of one is if things go badly, as above. And it'll be a revolution to ensure we go back in.
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Matov 14 Feb 23 2.41pm | |
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Originally posted by SW19 CPFC
A revolution to go back in? LOL. All of the rest of your points had some reason/logic to them but going back into the EU will never be a 'revolutionary' solution. As was shown prior to the Brexit vote and then what has happened, almost the entirety of what can be considered the Establishment are pro-EU. And who are doing their level-headed best to get us back into it. Brexit was a bottom-up movement. Remain was only ever a top-down preference. As will be rejoining
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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Badger11 Beckenham 14 Feb 23 2.46pm | |
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Originally posted by ASCPFC
Joyce is buried near me. Relatively controversial in history as he wasn't British but was still killed as a traitor. Not sure anyone was too bothered at the time however. That's what happens when you play the passport game. He was born in America of Irish (Possibly NI Parents) grew up in Ireland and England had a British passport but then took out German Citizenship. The High Court and Appeals court decided that although he never took out British Citizenship as he had a British passport that qualified him. An odious man got his just desserts comparing him to Nigel Farage is like comparing Corbyn to Stalin ridiculous.
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SW19 CPFC Addiscombe West 14 Feb 23 2.55pm | |
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Originally posted by Matov
A revolution to go back in? LOL. All of the rest of your points had some reason/logic to them but going back into the EU will never be a 'revolutionary' solution. As was shown prior to the Brexit vote and then what has happened, almost the entirety of what can be considered the Establishment are pro-EU. And who are doing their level-headed best to get us back into it. Brexit was a bottom-up movement. Remain was only ever a top-down preference. As will be rejoining There would be revolt if living standards continue to drop and we get left behind on the world stage. My general point is you appear so invested in brexit that if it was proven that it had failed and we would be in a better position in 2033 had we remained, I doubt you'd accept it. Which makes you no better than a staunch remainer deciding we still need to go back into the EU when presented with evidence of it beginning to work for us. Your point about the establishment is on you... it's incredibly naive expecting a mainly, or even half pro EU political and business establishment system to then implement a full and complete brexit. Literally impossible. On that basis you had your vote but it's fantasy to expect it to be implemented on the harder end of the spectrum. In that sense I'm not sure why you're so angry... the scenario you assumed would happen was an impossibility. So no point in getting worked up IMO Be realistic – the minority doth not become the majority (by minority I mean those in favour of a 'hard' brexit) Have your belief, but don't fool yourself that everyone else believes in it too. Or that it's achievable. Because it's not, and never has been Edited by SW19 CPFC (14 Feb 2023 2.56pm)
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Badger11 Beckenham 14 Feb 23 4.13pm | |
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Originally posted by SW19 CPFC
There would be revolt if living standards continue to drop and we get left behind on the world stage. My general point is you appear so invested in brexit that if it was proven that it had failed and we would be in a better position in 2033 had we remained, I doubt you'd accept it. Which makes you no better than a staunch remainer deciding we still need to go back into the EU when presented with evidence of it beginning to work for us. Your point about the establishment is on you... it's incredibly naive expecting a mainly, or even half pro EU political and business establishment system to then implement a full and complete brexit. Literally impossible. On that basis you had your vote but it's fantasy to expect it to be implemented on the harder end of the spectrum. In that sense I'm not sure why you're so angry... the scenario you assumed would happen was an impossibility. So no point in getting worked up IMO Be realistic – the minority doth not become the majority (by minority I mean those in favour of a 'hard' brexit) Edited by SW19 CPFC (14 Feb 2023 2.56pm) I don't understand the term hard Brexit. We voted to leave so that our Parliament would decide our laws after that it is up to Parliament and the electorate to decide what type of country we become. The issue for me about the single market for instance was the insistence by the EU that those rules also governed our trading with non EU countries. In other words they would dictate our trading policy with the rest of the world. If the EU had said yes you can stay in the single market but are free to do business elsewhere I would have been quite happy to stay in the SM. So for me there is no such thing as a hard Brexit it's in or out and we voted accordingly. PS I forgot to mention the concept of hard and soft Brexit only really emerged after the referendum when the politicians started talking about it as a way of delaying and backtracking . For us voters it was in or out. Edited by Badger11 (14 Feb 2023 5.50pm)
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cryrst The garden of England 14 Feb 23 4.52pm | |
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Originally posted by SW19 CPFC
Constantly declining trend, sure. Basically if they'd waited another 20 years the vote would have failed. Certainly if it was had now I think you'd be brave to think the same result would occur. Not saying that's right/wrong, jut making an observation. Why would it have been different in 20 years?
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Matov 14 Feb 23 6.09pm | |
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Originally posted by SW19 CPFC
My general point is you appear so invested in brexit that if it was proven that it had failed and we would be in a better position in 2033 had we remained, pro EU political and business establishment system to then implement a full and complete brexit. Literally impossible. On that basis you had your vote but it's fantasy to expect it to be implemented on the harder end of the spectrum. In that sense I'm not sure why you're so angry... the scenario you assumed would happen was an impossibility. So no point in getting worked up IMO Be realistic – the minority doth not become the majority (by minority I mean those in favour of a 'hard' brexit) Have your belief, but don't fool yourself that everyone else believes in it too. Or that it's achievable. Because it's not, and never has been Edited by SW19 CPFC (14 Feb 2023 2.56pm) Which works if you accept that Brexit was a zero-sum game in which the only way of defining it is by the economic criteria specifically defined by a Leave wishing Establishment. Just the intervention alone of Covid and the impact that had globally skews any and every kind of rational measure. Now I would make the argument that Brexit has never fully happened due to the political establishment dragging its feet but that points specifically to a political crisis. The British people voted to leave the EU. Not only in 2016 but then in 2019 in both the European elections and then a general election which were won by political parties campaigning on a very specific campaign of us leaving. If our establishment institutions then refuse to implement that as effectively as possible, as I believe is very much the case, then the fault lays not with Brexit but rather the supposedly public servants who are meant to implement the will of the electorate. It is blindingly obvious to me that we are heading back into it, by hook or by crook. And then the fun and games begin. Because it does not go away. It dominates everything and I suspect will potentially lead to the emergence of a distinct English political identity. Which takes us into very, very unknown waters. Stabbed in the back political narratives very rarely end without tears being shed.
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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the silurian The garden of England.(not really) 14 Feb 23 6.25pm | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
The only "fantastic opportunity" that Brexit ever offered was to lay to rest for ever the idea that Britain in the 21st century can succeed alone, and to consign the ideologues who cling to the notion that we can to the history books. What a cost we are paying though to establish as fact what looked blindingly obvious to many of us back in 2016, some of whom fought tooth and nail to avoid us committing national suicide. That Nigel Farage's name will eventually be found on the same page in history books as William Joyce and Oswald Mosely is no compensation. At least the above now begins to recognise that a pathway is beginning to emerge which will lead to an initial compromise and eventually to a resumption of full membership. We need to be in the EU. The EU needs us to be in the EU. The world needs us to be in the EU. We need to be helping to identify the weaknesses and find ways to reform. Finding things to criticise is cheap and easy, whichever political system is targetted. We do it here all the time. The bottom line is what actually works best and looking at the overall picture there appears to be no doubt that the EU delivers. YouGov have a lot of data about how attitudes have changed, which continues. This is but one:- For your money??
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cryrst The garden of England 14 Feb 23 7.32pm | |
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Originally posted by the silurian
For your money?? On nail head Edited by cryrst (14 Feb 2023 7.37pm)
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PalazioVecchio south pole 14 Feb 23 7.37pm | |
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the recently joined the EU countries ......... what is their annual GDP per capita ? poor countries. and the proposed new-to-join countries ? even poorer. The Countries not wanting into the EU.....Norway, Switzerland, Iceland ? they are better off. better off Both economically, culturally and in terms of controlling their own borders. follow the link below and celebrate Brexit....
Kayla did Anfield & Old Trafford |
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cryrst The garden of England 14 Feb 23 7.43pm | |
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Originally posted by PalazioVecchio
the recently joined the EU countries ......... what is their annual GDP per capita ? poor countries. and the proposed new-to-join countries ? even poorer. The Countries not wanting into the EU.....Norway, Switzerland, Iceland ? they are better off. better off Both economically, culturally and in terms of controlling their own borders. follow the link below and celebrate Brexit.... The eu need us for our money and our open border for the cock up they have made about said immigration policy. Feck em, they are trying to make it harder but Ireland is on the verge of turning and that is really the marker to our stubbornness having an effect.
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