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Relegation run in

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chateauferret Flag 17 Apr 18 12.51pm

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

Nothing to suggest this is likely though. Brighton still only scored 9 goals away all season and Spurs are a much better side.

True Spurs may rest one or two ahead of the cup game at the weekend, but I think Brighton will be a bit nervy and downhearted after the weekend. I'm expecting a regulation Spurs win.

Plus which they will be knackered and plus which they will still be without Proepper.

 


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Pete53 Flag Hassocks 17 Apr 18 1.07pm Send a Private Message to Pete53 Add Pete53 as a friend

Living quite near the Amex I tried (and failed) to get a ticket for the Brighton v Spurs game tonight. Not that I want to pass on my hard earned money to BH&A, but I just wanted to be there to see Spurs stuff them - which I sincerely hope they will do.

 

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Beanyboysmd Flag 17 Apr 18 1.07pm Send a Private Message to Beanyboysmd Add Beanyboysmd as a friend

Been checking a mega geeky site and looked at whats realisticly required now (based on 100m simulations)
2 wins or less for Southampton and they are defo down, 3+ and they are pretty much safe)
Same for stoke
Swansea need 1 win to be highly likely, a draw makes it 50/50
We are 50/50 if we lose every match, 75/25 if we draw one game and 95/5 if we win one
Everyone else pretty much need a draw or less.
My gf is a Swansea fan so in our heads we have just about every permutation in our heads anyway! Key games are us vs Stoke, Swansea vs Stoke and...well Stoke have another one but I cant remember what it is now...

 

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eagle180 Flag Croydon 17 Apr 18 1.21pm Send a Private Message to eagle180 Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add eagle180 as a friend

The latest run in ...

Palace - @ 34 Points:
21 April – Watford (A)
28 April – Leicester City (H)
5 May – Stoke City (A)
13 May – West Bromwich Albion (H)
____________________________
West Brom - @ 21 Points:
21 April – Liverpool (H)
28 April – Newcastle (A)
5 May – Tottenham Hotspur (H)
13 May – Crystal Palace (A)
___________________________
Southampton - @ 28 Points:
21 April – Leicester City (A)
28 April – Bournemouth (H)
5 May – Everton (A)
8 May - Swansea (A)
13 May – Manchester City (H)
__________________________
Stoke - @ 28 Points:
21 April – Burnley (H)
28 April – Liverpool (A)
5 May – Crystal Palace (H)
13 May – Swansea City (A)
__________________________
West Ham - @ 35 Points:
21 April – Arsenal (A)
28 April – Manchester City (H)
5 May – Leicester City (A)
10 May - Manchester United (H)
13 May – Everton (H)
__________________________
Huddersfield - @ 35 points:
21 April – Chelsea (A)
28 April – Everton (H)
5 May – Manchester City (A)
13 May – Arsenal (H)
__________________________
Swansea - @ 33 Points:
21 April – Manchester City (A)
28 April – Chelsea (H)
5 May – Bournemouth (A)
8 May - Southampton (H)
13 May – Stoke City (H)
_________________________
Brighton - @ 35 Points:
21 April – Tottenham Hotspur (H)
28 April – Burnley (A)
5 May – Manchester United (H)
9 May - Manchester City (A)
13 May – Liverpool (A)
_________________________

Some of the above dates may have changed

Edited by eagle180 (17 Apr 2018 1.26pm)

 


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Beanyboysmd Flag 17 Apr 18 1.30pm Send a Private Message to Beanyboysmd Add Beanyboysmd as a friend

I wouldnt swap our fixtures with any team on that list!

 

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DutchEagleJohan Flag Vlissingen, Netherlands 17 Apr 18 2.33pm Send a Private Message to DutchEagleJohan Add DutchEagleJohan as a friend

my gut tells me that is an overly optimistic view as far as we are concerned but you maybe right and statistics/simulations may prove it to be true. Of course several relagatipon candidates still play each other so that limits the build up of points.
Hard to see Southampton win 3 games, and similar story for Stoke. Saturday's win was huge. Shame about the Huddersfield win but the other results have not been too bad.

Originally posted by Beanyboysmd

Been checking a mega geeky site and looked at whats realisticly required now (based on 100m simulations)
2 wins or less for Southampton and they are defo down, 3+ and they are pretty much safe)
Same for stoke
Swansea need 1 win to be highly likely, a draw makes it 50/50
We are 50/50 if we lose every match, 75/25 if we draw one game and 95/5 if we win one
Everyone else pretty much need a draw or less.
My gf is a Swansea fan so in our heads we have just about every permutation in our heads anyway! Key games are us vs Stoke, Swansea vs Stoke and...well Stoke have another one but I cant remember what it is now...

 

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spartakev2 Flag Anerley 17 Apr 18 2.47pm Send a Private Message to spartakev2 Add spartakev2 as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

Odd post. It is our defence that needs shoring up; but let's see what strikers are available..?

Our defence was badly bruised in only 5 games that make up 19 of the 54 goals conceded. Up till then our record in the prem has largely been one of stacks of losses but no spankings.

If you take those games out and restore our usual form, we would be top half on goals conceded (and, likely, position). Burnley are pushing for Europa having scored 3 less goals than us.

Thus, I support the point you may have been thinking: if we are going to focus on buying from the relegated/lower clubs then target their defences. E.g. Brighton + Swansea have conceded considerably fewer goals; even the Baggies have a better defensive record than Palace.

Thus, unless Papa has restored full fitness, I would be looking at a new LB and CB to replace Damo. Any thoughts from those teams? Answers please on the Transfer page...

BTW, when we survive, there seems a delusion that we will have our pick of the demoted. Nope. Parachute payments will mean there is unlikely to be much plundering unless the players are on eye-watering wages and/or command sky-high fees - not usually defenders. Also, like it or not but there are bigger &/or richer clubs who will rank ahead of us. Not that those facts will stop the dreary round of summer posts as to why we haven't landed Ayew etc...

So you don't think finding a new striker for next season should be a priority? Odd post.

 

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Beanyboysmd Flag 17 Apr 18 3.10pm Send a Private Message to Beanyboysmd Add Beanyboysmd as a friend

The problem is (I think all football fans near the bottom have the same thing) that we all look through turd tinted glasses! So many things have to happen for us to go down but those scenarios look way bigger than they are. We are a paranoid club, there is a 3.5% chance of going down. 3.5% feels huge when its the club you love.

Originally posted by DutchEagleJohan

my gut tells me that is an overly optimistic view as far as we are concerned but you maybe right and statistics/simulations may prove it to be true. Of course several relagatipon candidates still play each other so that limits the build up of points.
Hard to see Southampton win 3 games, and similar story for Stoke. Saturday's win was huge. Shame about the Huddersfield win but the other results have not been too bad.

 

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DutchEagleJohan Flag Vlissingen, Netherlands 17 Apr 18 3.40pm Send a Private Message to DutchEagleJohan Add DutchEagleJohan as a friend

You would want PVA out then?
He may not be the best defensively, but his overall performances have been good of lately and his drive forward has certainly contributed to our results.

Originally posted by silvertop

Odd post. It is our defence that needs shoring up; but let's see what strikers are available..?

Our defence was badly bruised in only 5 games that make up 19 of the 54 goals conceded. Up till then our record in the prem has largely been one of stacks of losses but no spankings.

If you take those games out and restore our usual form, we would be top half on goals conceded (and, likely, position). Burnley are pushing for Europa having scored 3 less goals than us.

Thus, I support the point you may have been thinking: if we are going to focus on buying from the relegated/lower clubs then target their defences. E.g. Brighton + Swansea have conceded considerably fewer goals; even the Baggies have a better defensive record than Palace.

Thus, unless Papa has restored full fitness, I would be looking at a new LB and CB to replace Damo. Any thoughts from those teams? Answers please on the Transfer page...

BTW, when we survive, there seems a delusion that we will have our pick of the demoted. Nope. Parachute payments will mean there is unlikely to be much plundering unless the players are on eye-watering wages and/or command sky-high fees - not usually defenders. Also, like it or not but there are bigger &/or richer clubs who will rank ahead of us. Not that those facts will stop the dreary round of summer posts as to why we haven't landed Ayew etc...

 

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Pete53 Flag Hassocks 17 Apr 18 3.44pm Send a Private Message to Pete53 Add Pete53 as a friend

Originally posted by Beanyboysmd

I wouldnt swap our fixtures with any team on that list!

Nor would I, but, I expect there will still be a few shock results along the way, like West Brom last Sunday.

It will be interesting to see if Spurs make many changes for tonight's game.

 

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Painter Flag Croydon 17 Apr 18 3.49pm Send a Private Message to Painter Add Painter as a friend

Originally posted by Willo

They could shock Tottenham tonight !
Very unexpected 1-0 win for WBA at Man Utd and maybe Brighton will pull off a shock 1-0, 2-1 win.

I would give up on the predictions, don’t appear to have a good track record.
Maybe you do it to inflame other posters.

 

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Tom-the-eagle Flag Croydon 17 Apr 18 3.50pm

With last nights draw to me its looking like the current bottom three will be the final bottom three.

Either one more win or a draw against Stoke and I reckon we are up.

 


"It feels much better than it ever did, much more sensitive." John Wayne Bobbit

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