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Coronavirus and the impact of Lockdown policy

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 07 Aug 23 11.47am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by eaglesdare

It's widely known in many countries that if anyone died of somthing else, be it falling of a ladder, hit by a bus or passed away with stage 4 cancer and they had covid (or sometimes none at all) in their system it was counted as a covid death.

Edited by eaglesdare (07 Aug 2023 11.15am)

This is the kind of poor understanding of the way statistics are gathered and used which clouds many debates on Covid.

Just about everyone who died with Covid mentioned on their death certificate would have been suffering with comorbidities. Some diagnosed, some not. The point about mentioning Covid was to establish trends and patterns. To see where death rates were increasing, why and how. Covid being the additional complication which tipped most who died over the top.

I am pretty sure that a person who died in an accident would not have anything else mentioned on the death certificate unless it contributed to them having the accident.

You might like to read this:-

[Link]

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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eaglesdare Flag 07 Aug 23 11.57am Send a Private Message to eaglesdare Add eaglesdare as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

This is the kind of poor understanding of the way statistics are gathered and used which clouds many debates on Covid.

Just about everyone who died with Covid mentioned on their death certificate would have been suffering with comorbidities. Some diagnosed, some not. The point about mentioning Covid was to establish trends and patterns. To see where death rates were increasing, why and how. Covid being the additional complication which tipped most who died over the top.

I am pretty sure that a person who died in an accident would not have anything else mentioned on the death certificate unless it contributed to them having the accident.

You might like to read this:-

[Link]

That's a really big stretch even for you.

The Irish prime minister said "In Ireland we counted all deaths, in all settings, suspected cases even when no lab test was done, and included people with underlying terminal illnesses who died with Covid but not of it."

I am pretty sure other countries did the same.

[Link] - builder fell off a ladder and was a "covid death"


 

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 07 Aug 23 12.28pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Mattconrov

I see. The flu took some time off. "Less exposure" "covid" seemed to do pretty well with less exposure.

More contagious, and for longer, is COVID.

As is the case with competing flu strains, the ones that are most contagious win out each year. Same logic applies

There would undoubtably have been misdiagnosis going on but not to the extent that you're suggesting.

There were ~370m tests completed in the US by Feb 21. So it's not entirely accurate to say that the US wasn't testing, and unlike orange juice Flu is not known to be a positive covid test trigger.

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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Mattconrov Flag 07 Aug 23 12.30pm Send a Private Message to Mattconrov Add Mattconrov as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Do you seriously not understand? If my explanation isn’t clear enough try these:-

[Link]

[Link]


Do you seriously think I believe that rubbish?

Firstly masks stopping viruses have been debunked for a long time. Plus how can social distancing stop airborne particles. How did your experts come up with 6 feet or whatever. Lol.

The PCR test was not even made for making a diagnosis. The PCR test is not a diagnostic test. Kacy Mullis the inventor told us explicitly that . "It's not a virus test." It's for amplifying genetic material. The more cycles used the greater chance you'll find anything - and that's what they did. Amplified the cycles.

The PCR test only needed to find a fragment of the genetic material. A bit like finding a horsetail and thinking you've found the horse.

Government scare tactics of people testing positive with a test not testing for a virus. Asymptomatic people testing positive.

Asymptomatic people never made People sick before this pandemic. Now all of a sudden they did. Just as on the masks. Fauci changed his mind on healthly people getting ill.

 


" You're not laughing now are you". Nigel Farage 2016.

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Mattconrov Flag 07 Aug 23 12.35pm Send a Private Message to Mattconrov Add Mattconrov as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

More contagious, and for longer, is COVID.

As is the case with competing flu strains, the ones that are most contagious win out each year. Same logic applies

There would undoubtably have been misdiagnosis going on but not to the extent that you're suggesting.

There were ~370m tests completed in the US by Feb 21. So it's not entirely accurate to say that the US wasn't testing, and unlike orange juice Flu is not known to be a positive covid test trigger.


I don't remember saying they weren't testing. If I did I apologize.

They were making a diagnosis based on symptoms in many cases.
Especially after the person had died. There were financial incentives.

So a pcr test was used yes. However that would have made no difference as the PCR test is not a diagnostic tool.

Edited by Mattconrov (07 Aug 2023 12.39pm)

 


" You're not laughing now are you". Nigel Farage 2016.

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 07 Aug 23 12.37pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

This is true.

However all causation contains some form of correlation, so I find that particular 'classic' a little too one note.

Edited by Stirlingsays (07 Aug 2023 12.53am)

Yes a correlation doesn't imply causation, and causation always implies correlation.

However most people will look at correlations and without thinking jump to conclusions. I mean, this site is rife with examples like that one

For the benefit of those people – 'It’s possible to find a statistically significant and reliable correlation for two variables that are actually not causally linked at all. In fact, such correlations are common! Often, this is because both variables are associated with a different causal variable, which tends to co-occur with the data that we’re measuring.'

'Let’s think about this with an example. Imagine that you’re looking at health data. You observe a statistically significant positive correlation between exercise and cases of skin cancer—that is, the people who exercise more tend to be the people who get skin cancer. This correlation seems strong and reliable, and shows up across multiple populations of patients. Without exploring further, you might conclude that exercise somehow causes cancer! Based on these findings, you might even develop a plausible hypothesis: perhaps the stress from exercise causes the body to lose some ability to protect against sun damage.

But imagine that in reality, this correlation exists in your dataset because people who live in places that get a lot of sunlight year-round are significantly more active in their daily lives than people who live in places that don’t. This shows up in their data as increased exercise. At the same time, increased daily sunlight exposure means that there are more cases of skin cancer. Both of the variables—rates of exercise and skin cancer—were affected by a third, causal variable—exposure to sunlight—but they were not causally related.'

Essentially, the more thorough and peer reviewed papers are, the less likely you're going to have hypotheses that don't stack up under scrutiny or are based on surface level interrogation of what might appear to be obvious correlations.

That's the point

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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Mattconrov Flag 07 Aug 23 12.38pm Send a Private Message to Mattconrov Add Mattconrov as a friend

Has anyone mentioned Swedon? Lol.

Peru had a strong lockdown. Brazil did not. 2 countries next to each other. Same result though.

 


" You're not laughing now are you". Nigel Farage 2016.

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 07 Aug 23 12.49pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Mattconrov


I don't remember saying they weren't testing. If I did I apologize.

They were making a diagnosis based on symptoms in many cases.
Especially after the person had died. There were financial incentives.

So a pcr test was used yes. However that would have made no difference as the PCR test is not a diagnostic tool.

Edited by Mattconrov (07 Aug 2023 12.39pm)

If you're implying that a significant proportion of COVID diagnoses were Flu, I'm afraid I can't agree based on the facts around how competing viruses win out.

Can't dispute the fact that some misdiagnosis would have happened, and I'm sure there were financial incentives aplenty + obvious profit to be made. But based on current information I cannot agree with the unsaid insinuation.

As for PCR, it is a diagnostic. The question is more about what the result could indicate rather than what it does, to your point, there are several possibilities for someone testing positive with a PCR that are not all currently infected/contagious.

Antigen testing was/is much more accurate for that.

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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Mattconrov Flag 07 Aug 23 12.52pm Send a Private Message to Mattconrov Add Mattconrov as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

If you're implying that a significant proportion of COVID diagnoses were Flu, I'm afraid I can't agree based on the facts around how competing viruses win out.

Can't dispute the fact that some misdiagnosis would have happened, and I'm sure there were financial incentives aplenty + obvious profit to be made. But based on current information I cannot agree with the unsaid insinuation.

As for PCR, it is a diagnostic. The question is more about what the result could indicate rather than what it does, to your point, there are several possibilities for someone testing positive with a PCR that are not all currently infected/contagious.

Antigen testing was/is much more accurate for that.

Fair enough from yourself. Certainly more than Wisbech would ever say. I'm not that knowledgeable on how competing viruses work.

But if the flu has made a comeback and covid has not gone away
completely. Would that not be competing viruses? Sincere question

If as you say the strongest flu virus wins every season. Does not that not sound like covid was a flu virus. Which is kinda the point I was making. We closed the world down for a flu type virus.
Edited by Mattconrov (07 Aug 2023 1.00pm)

Edited by Mattconrov (07 Aug 2023 1.07pm)

 


" You're not laughing now are you". Nigel Farage 2016.

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 07 Aug 23 2.43pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Mattconrov

Fair enough from yourself. Certainly more than Wisbech would ever say. I'm not that knowledgeable on how competing viruses work.

But if the flu has made a comeback and covid has not gone away
completely. Would that not be competing viruses? Sincere question

If as you say the strongest flu virus wins every season. Does not that not sound like covid was a flu virus. Which is kinda the point I was making. We closed the world down for a flu type virus.
Edited by Mattconrov (07 Aug 2023 1.00pm)

Edited by Mattconrov (07 Aug 2023 1.07pm)

From what I understand, the current variant of COVID is less contagious. This might explain why... plus you have to remember that the thing of the earlier lockdowns had a big effect on what would usually be peak flu season/transmission. COVID was still packing a punch all year round and far more contagious, unlike flu, which is mainly seasonal.

It's also worth noting that cases did not exactly dry up completely, there were less but still between 2-4,000 a week at peak.

So yes, always competing, but maybe this year the latest flu mutation will be more contagious, or less, than COVID. We shall have to wait and see

And also, 'Flu-like' is not the same as the Flu. There were plenty of common symptoms that deviated massively from what the average flu case would express, and the main issue with covid was how contagious it was and how long lasting the effects, and a persons contagiousness, could be. Different class of virus but with some shared symptoms. Certainly not the same

The simple fact that even in a bad flu season the case and death count are way way lower than most weekly figures through the early days of COVID.

If you want to imply that well, maybe it was a high contagion flu virus and big pharma and government decided to label it as something else to make loads of money then for plenty of fairly obvious reasons you're spinning out of rational orbit. Profit levels were and are off the chart for this thing anyway, I don't think trying to keep a secret that big amongst basically the entire scientific community would be possible, or worth it for a few extra million.

I deal in most likely scenarios. Your angle is close to or is the least likely.

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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Mattconrov Flag 07 Aug 23 3.05pm Send a Private Message to Mattconrov Add Mattconrov as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

From what I understand, the current variant of COVID is less contagious. This might explain why... plus you have to remember that the thing of the earlier lockdowns had a big effect on what would usually be peak flu season/transmission. COVID was still packing a punch all year round and far more contagious, unlike flu, which is mainly seasonal.

It's also worth noting that cases did not exactly dry up completely, there were less but still between 2-4,000 a week at peak.

So yes, always competing, but maybe this year the latest flu mutation will be more contagious, or less, than COVID. We shall have to wait and see

And also, 'Flu-like' is not the same as the Flu. There were plenty of common symptoms that deviated massively from what the average flu case would express, and the main issue with covid was how contagious it was and how long lasting the effects, and a persons contagiousness, could be. Different class of virus but with some shared symptoms. Certainly not the same

The simple fact that even in a bad flu season the case and death count are way way lower than most weekly figures through the early days of COVID.

If you want to imply that well, maybe it was a high contagion flu virus and big pharma and government decided to label it as something else to make loads of money then for plenty of fairly obvious reasons you're spinning out of rational orbit. Profit levels were and are off the chart for this thing anyway, I don't think trying to keep a secret that big amongst basically the entire scientific community would be possible, or worth it for a few extra million.

I deal in most likely scenarios. Your angle is close to or is the least likely.


I'm not sure that I'm spinning of orbit. The PCR test was used for diagnosing covid infections; which it is not supposed to be used for. I'm not making any comments on why they would do such a thing. I do of course have my own thoughts.

Firstly the actual Virus has never been isolated or tested to comply with any of the Koch or rivers postulates. I know this is going to sound conspiracy to you. But it's a fact.

when we got our numbers of covid cases each day on TV. This was heavily inflated by asymptomatic cases. Again with a test not testing for a virus. So to sum up, the extra number of cases was due to more people testing everyday.

Now I know that the authorities say that it has been isolated. A genome sequence via a computer I understand. However the actual Virus was not injected into a healthy specimen to show it was a novel virus. Whether any viruses has ever been isolated is debatable. viruses could be mistaken for exosomes. Part of the immune response in the cell.

I have seen plenty of freedom of information requests confirming that countries have not been able to show it's been isolated.

It's just not something that say the BBC want to bring to our attention.

Edited by Mattconrov (07 Aug 2023 3.51pm)

 


" You're not laughing now are you". Nigel Farage 2016.

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 07 Aug 23 3.51pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Mattconrov

Do you seriously think I believe that rubbish?

Firstly masks stopping viruses have been debunked for a long time. Plus how can social distancing stop airborne particles. How did your experts come up with 6 feet or whatever. Lol.

The PCR test was not even made for making a diagnosis. The PCR test is not a diagnostic test. Kacy Mullis the inventor told us explicitly that . "It's not a virus test." It's for amplifying genetic material. The more cycles used the greater chance you'll find anything - and that's what they did. Amplified the cycles.

The PCR test only needed to find a fragment of the genetic material. A bit like finding a horsetail and thinking you've found the horse.

Government scare tactics of people testing positive with a test not testing for a virus. Asymptomatic people testing positive.

Asymptomatic people never made People sick before this pandemic. Now all of a sudden they did. Just as on the masks. Fauci changed his mind on healthly people getting ill.

Even if you totally reject the benefits of masks, which I don’t because it’s logical that suppressing the viral load entering the local environment or directly in your face must result in a lower exposure, then surely the fact that our social contacts were restricted ought to be enough. Never mind the 6ft rule, that was just another attempt at trying to reduce the levels reaching us in the early days. Part of a belt and braces strategy.

The PCR test was a quick and easy indicator before something more specific was available. It worked to confirm probable infection before symptoms emerged for many, including myself on 2 occasions. Armed with that knowledge I took appropriate precautions and isolated completely. Infection was then confirmed when sending away the test to the laboratory.

Why on earth are you so disparaging about a useful tool in a fight with a new disease that threatened to seriously harm us?

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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