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Tunisia Terrorism - It's time to get tough

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 01 Jul 15 9.27am

Going outside the law and spirit of our law is something we should only ever pursue in specific individual case, where all other options are exhausted.

The recent cases where the Security Services have been implicit in torture and rendition shame us, and validate the cause of the enemy far more than they serve any real long term goal.

So far the only reason we've 'removed citizenship' from individuals, is to allow them to be targeted for drone strikes, without it violating our own laws of responsibility.

In reality, we have, along with the US, declared a war on some terrorism, specifically certain Islamist terrorists, we shouldn't really be too surprised when we then become the target of terrorist attacks against our citizens.

We need to remain firm but fair and just, ruled by due process whenever possible. We should of course reserve the right to retaliate and eliminate targets of opportunity that arise, militarily, judicially and when necessary through extra-judicial measures.

But we also must accept the responsibility when we get it wrong or get caught out breaking our own laws.

 


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TheJudge Flag 01 Jul 15 10.01am

Both the previous posts are showing a little naivety I believe.
We are dealing with totally ruthless fanatics. The rule of law protects the individual in many cases but part of our civil liberties is to be safe from harm.

Make no mistake, this is an us or them situation and like in most conflicts, what is fair will come second to what wins. If people start dying in numbers in Britain, the gloves will be off if they are not already.

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 01 Jul 15 10.50am

Quote TheJudge at 01 Jul 2015 10.01am

Both the previous posts are showing a little naivety I believe.
We are dealing with totally ruthless fanatics. The rule of law protects the individual in many cases but part of our civil liberties is to be safe from harm.

Make no mistake, this is an us or them situation and like in most conflicts, what is fair will come second to what wins. If people start dying in numbers in Britain, the gloves will be off if they are not already.

Its a threat, but in terms of a real threat to national security, stability of the nation and the British way of life its fairly minimal. Its a serious matter, and one we need to remain focused on, but if we keep wetting our knickers in any conflict when the enemy causes casualties, civilian or military, we're only going to end up losing.

We're in a war, and its inevitable that people will die, that cannot be avoided. Acting as if its 1939, the Army is in retreat and the Germans are at the door, every time we suffer an attack ultimately will end up feeding into a defeat. Turning every casualty into a media story hampered the long term ambitions in Afghanistan and Iraq, and the same will apply to the war on terror.

We need to eliminate the threat, definitely, but in doing so, we will also have to accept that threat will now exist for at least another generation. The successes against Al-Qaeda groups has produced groups like IS, that have effectively formed a 'second generation' of Islamist terrorists aimed at the west.

Terrorist groups invariably see themselves as a vanguard movement, their aim is to create reprisals and repression of those they claim to represent, marginalizing those people, and drawing them onto their side of the fence (ultimately radicalizing them).

Its a long war situation, there isn't an easy way out, because even if we crushed IS militarily in Syria and Iraq, their affilates and ideological supporters have essentially become the new Al-Qaeda franchise.

Eventually IS will likely end up destroyed, and its survivors will form a new organization that will declare war on the west and so on.

Usually these kinds of conflicts run to 20-30 years before either petering out, negotiated settlements or being overtaken by social changes (or a combination of all these).

Each generation of terrorist group becomes more efficient and effective than its predecessor, as it learns from its failures.


 


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johnfirewall Flag 01 Jul 15 3.27pm Send a Private Message to johnfirewall Add johnfirewall as a friend

Of the family of 12 who went to Syria, one has cancer and one diabetes.

Are we obligated to let them back in for treatment? ISIS claims to have a health service but I wouldn't really trust the brochures.

Edited by johnfirewall (01 Jul 2015 4.13pm)

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 01 Jul 15 4.02pm

Quote johnfirewall at 01 Jul 2015 3.27pm

Of the family of 12 who went to Syria, one has cancer and one diabetes.

Are we obligated to let them back in from treatment? ISIS claims to have a health service but I wouldn't really trust the brochures.

9 of the 12 definitely, given they're British children (oldest is 15), who aren't legally accountable. The other three, well as prisoners they are entitled to health care and treatment.

I'd imagine the ISIS Health service is more geared towards trauma treatment.

 


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TheJudge Flag 01 Jul 15 4.24pm

Quote jamiemartin721 at 01 Jul 2015 10.50am

Quote TheJudge at 01 Jul 2015 10.01am

Both the previous posts are showing a little naivety I believe.
We are dealing with totally ruthless fanatics. The rule of law protects the individual in many cases but part of our civil liberties is to be safe from harm.

Make no mistake, this is an us or them situation and like in most conflicts, what is fair will come second to what wins. If people start dying in numbers in Britain, the gloves will be off if they are not already.

Its a threat, but in terms of a real threat to national security, stability of the nation and the British way of life its fairly minimal. Its a serious matter, and one we need to remain focused on, but if we keep wetting our knickers in any conflict when the enemy causes casualties, civilian or military, we're only going to end up losing.

We're in a war, and its inevitable that people will die, that cannot be avoided. Acting as if its 1939, the Army is in retreat and the Germans are at the door, every time we suffer an attack ultimately will end up feeding into a defeat. Turning every casualty into a media story hampered the long term ambitions in Afghanistan and Iraq, and the same will apply to the war on terror.

We need to eliminate the threat, definitely, but in doing so, we will also have to accept that threat will now exist for at least another generation. The successes against Al-Qaeda groups has produced groups like IS, that have effectively formed a 'second generation' of Islamist terrorists aimed at the west.

Terrorist groups invariably see themselves as a vanguard movement, their aim is to create reprisals and repression of those they claim to represent, marginalizing those people, and drawing them onto their side of the fence (ultimately radicalizing them).

Its a long war situation, there isn't an easy way out, because even if we crushed IS militarily in Syria and Iraq, their affilates and ideological supporters have essentially become the new Al-Qaeda franchise.

Eventually IS will likely end up destroyed, and its survivors will form a new organization that will declare war on the west and so on.

Usually these kinds of conflicts run to 20-30 years before either petering out, negotiated settlements or being overtaken by social changes (or a combination of all these).

Each generation of terrorist group becomes more efficient and effective than its predecessor, as it learns from its failures.


Most of what you say is generally reasonable but I would remind you that the IRA nearly killed the entire Cabinet and there were not really many active IRA members. A similar action would constitute a serious threat to national security I would suggest.

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 01 Jul 15 4.38pm

Quote TheJudge at 01 Jul 2015 4.24pm
Most of what you say is generally reasonable but I would remind you that the IRA nearly killed the entire Cabinet and there were not really many active IRA members. A similar action would constitute a serious threat to national security I would suggest.

They didn't nearly kill the entire cabinet, they managed to bomb the Brighton Hotel and launch a rocket attack on Downing Street. Neither attack would likely have resulted in the loss of the entire cabinet, and civil contingencies exist that can deal with that event anyhow.

The number of active IRA members, doesn't really describe the effectiveness or size of the organization. The Provisionals generally had very few active service units in operation at any given time. Those cells would carry out attacks and bombings, but they were supported by other cells that dealt with this like logistical support, intelligence, counter intelligence, operational planning etc that all would then be fed to an ASU. Someone would build the bomb, another group would move it from the bomb maker to the armoury, another group would then supply it to the ASU would would deploy it, and then another group would have set up 'escape plans' for the ASU (and many of these groups would have little or no interaction) - It makes the most of skill sets and allows focused training (and in theory makes it harder to infiltrate)

So you might have three active service units on the mainland, of say 15 people in total, but they would be backed by a much larger organization.


As such an ASU was only focused on conducting the operation. Most militaries work this way, there are those that 'engage the enemy' and those who 'make it possible'.


 


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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 01 Jul 15 4.40pm

What concerns me is that a group like IS could lose its entire leadership body, and keep functioning, where as if we 'lose the entire cabinet' its a national disaster.

 


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TheJudge Flag 01 Jul 15 9.07pm

Quote jamiemartin721 at 01 Jul 2015 4.38pm

Quote TheJudge at 01 Jul 2015 4.24pm
Most of what you say is generally reasonable but I would remind you that the IRA nearly killed the entire Cabinet and there were not really many active IRA members. A similar action would constitute a serious threat to national security I would suggest.

They didn't nearly kill the entire cabinet, they managed to bomb the Brighton Hotel and launch a rocket attack on Downing Street. Neither attack would likely have resulted in the loss of the entire cabinet, and civil contingencies exist that can deal with that event anyhow.

The number of active IRA members, doesn't really describe the effectiveness or size of the organization. The Provisionals generally had very few active service units in operation at any given time. Those cells would carry out attacks and bombings, but they were supported by other cells that dealt with this like logistical support, intelligence, counter intelligence, operational planning etc that all would then be fed to an ASU. Someone would build the bomb, another group would move it from the bomb maker to the armoury, another group would then supply it to the ASU would would deploy it, and then another group would have set up 'escape plans' for the ASU (and many of these groups would have little or no interaction) - It makes the most of skill sets and allows focused training (and in theory makes it harder to infiltrate)

So you might have three active service units on the mainland, of say 15 people in total, but they would be backed by a much larger organization.


As such an ASU was only focused on conducting the operation. Most militaries work this way, there are those that 'engage the enemy' and those who 'make it possible'.


Sounds like you wouldn't get twitchy until the IS flag was flying over Parliament. Glad you're not in charge.

 

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legaleagle Flag 01 Jul 15 10.49pm

It really depends IMO on what one's terms of reference are.

I abhor ISIS and I abhor "salafist jihadism".I don't however regard the muslim population of the UK as a likely mass collective "fifth column" any more than I regarded the entire Catholic population of N Ireland or the entire Irish population of mainland UK as a collective "fifth column" in relation to the PIRA.

ISIS IMO presents no more of an existential threat to the UK than the PIRA was an existential threat to mainland UK.Or any more than in McCarthyite times,anyone remotely of the left presented a collective existential threat to the USA.That doesn't mean there is a not a clear and present risk of innocents being killed in numbers.

The period 1939-45 might reasonably be said to have represented an existential threat.It was basically dealt with generally ,successfully,within the law.

That said, one person dying from "terrorist acts" is one too many.

So,personally I remain unpersuaded by anyone who either speaks of abandoning the rule of law,or who posits a likely raising of the ISIS flag over Downing Street, as in the former case being appropriate,or in the latter case,anything more than possibly a modern day variant of McCarthyism and a vast over exaggeration.Over exaggeration is not helpful to considered analysis and strategy.

There is a very real problem and it needs to be understood and dealt with in a thought through and joined up way.That does not mean it shouldn't also be analysed and dealt with in a proportionate way ,preferably without playing into the hands of ISIS etc by responding in a way which would perfectly suit their aims and strategy.

Edited by legaleagle (01 Jul 2015 10.52pm)

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 01 Jul 15 10.57pm

Quote TheJudge at 01 Jul 2015 9.07pm

Quote jamiemartin721 at 01 Jul 2015 4.38pm

Quote TheJudge at 01 Jul 2015 4.24pm
Most of what you say is generally reasonable but I would remind you that the IRA nearly killed the entire Cabinet and there were not really many active IRA members. A similar action would constitute a serious threat to national security I would suggest.

They didn't nearly kill the entire cabinet, they managed to bomb the Brighton Hotel and launch a rocket attack on Downing Street. Neither attack would likely have resulted in the loss of the entire cabinet, and civil contingencies exist that can deal with that event anyhow.

The number of active IRA members, doesn't really describe the effectiveness or size of the organization. The Provisionals generally had very few active service units in operation at any given time. Those cells would carry out attacks and bombings, but they were supported by other cells that dealt with this like logistical support, intelligence, counter intelligence, operational planning etc that all would then be fed to an ASU. Someone would build the bomb, another group would move it from the bomb maker to the armoury, another group would then supply it to the ASU would would deploy it, and then another group would have set up 'escape plans' for the ASU (and many of these groups would have little or no interaction) - It makes the most of skill sets and allows focused training (and in theory makes it harder to infiltrate)

So you might have three active service units on the mainland, of say 15 people in total, but they would be backed by a much larger organization.


As such an ASU was only focused on conducting the operation. Most militaries work this way, there are those that 'engage the enemy' and those who 'make it possible'.


Sounds like you wouldn't get twitchy until the IS flag was flying over Parliament. Glad you're not in charge.

Not really, I like to understand how things work and operate. I think its vital to understand an enemy, who it is, what it wants, how it functions etc if you want to defeat it. This isn't a conflict that can be won purely on a militarily basis.


 


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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 01 Jul 15 11.00pm

Quote legaleagle at 01 Jul 2015 10.49pm

It really depends IMO on what one's terms of reference are.

I abhor ISIS and I abhor "salafist jihadism".I don't however regard the muslim population of the UK as a likely mass collective "fifth column" any more than I regarded the entire Catholic population of N Ireland or the entire Irish population of mainland UK as a collective "fifth column" in relation to the PIRA.

ISIS IMO presents no more of an existential threat to the UK than the PIRA was an existential threat to mainland UK.Or any more than in McCarthyite times,anyone remotely of the left presented a collective existential threat to the USA.That doesn't mean there is a not a clear and present risk of innocents being killed in numbers.

The period 1939-45 might reasonably be said to have represented an existential threat.It was basically dealt with generally ,successfully,within the law.

That said, one person dying from "terrorist acts" is one too many.

So,personally I remain unpersuaded by anyone who either speaks of abandoning the rule of law,or who posits a likely raising of the ISIS flag over Downing Street, as in the former case being appropriate,or in the latter case,anything more than possibly a modern day variant of McCarthyism and a vast over exaggeration.Over exaggeration is not helpful to considered analysis and strategy.

There is a very real problem and it needs to be understood and dealt with in a thought through and joined up way.That does not mean it shouldn't also be analysed and dealt with in a proportionate way ,preferably without playing into the hands of ISIS etc by responding in a way which would perfectly suit their aims and strategy.

Edited by legaleagle (01 Jul 2015 10.52pm)

True, but then every mistaken terrorist target, or collaterial damage, also results in new Jihadists and converts in the process.

Things like Internment and failing to deal properly with Bloody Sunday, did far more good for the PIRA than any IRA recruitment campaign ever could.


 


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