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Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 11 Mar 22 3.07pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

It wasn't one document! Didn't you actually go to the site and scroll down.

There are dozens of documents detailing the promises and assurances given.

Yes, they were pre-Putin, however I linked you to the speech Yelsin gave on Nato expansion....it reads like a prediction for today.

Putin was always bad news, however in terms of Nato he did not start off where he is today, that's well documented as well......the Putin you have now comes after failure and failure of state-craft and it wasn't until around 2004 that things really turned bad.....and that was over the Ukraine....again.

Lots of documents all saying similar things doesn't add up to anything. If you have ever watched the video of Yeltsin on the night Putin was elected, he knew what was coming from him. His face spoke volumes. He knew he had been conned and had made a huge mistake. Anything he said on Nato has to be seen in that context.

Putin is clever, but if you study what he has said, he has always regarded the collapse of the Soviet Union as a disaster and that his mission is to restore Russia's pride. In his early days he conned us, like he conned Yeltsin, by appearing more progressive and accommodating.

Last night I watched an address to the Oxford Union, by Sir John Sawyer, who was head of MI6 during the Blair years, and beyond, and who has observed Putin at close quarters. It was a fascinating insight by someone who was there, and really knows.
Not by people who weren't there and think they know everything.

You can watch it here:- [Link]

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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Stirlingsays Flag 11 Mar 22 3.30pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Lots of documents all saying similar things doesn't add up to anything.

I rather beg to differ.

I'm not really interested in making points other than the Nato expansion statecraft, truth and lies which led....both to Putin and then eventually to this war.....Alongside Taiwan probably the most predicted war in history.


Edited by Stirlingsays (11 Mar 2022 3.31pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Palace Old Geezer Flag Midhurst 11 Mar 22 3.41pm Send a Private Message to Palace Old Geezer Add Palace Old Geezer as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle


Last night I watched an address to the Oxford Union, by Sir John Sawyer, who was head of MI6 during the Blair years, and beyond, and who has observed Putin at close quarters. It was a fascinating insight by someone who was there, and really knows.
Not by people who weren't there and think they know everything.

You can watch it here:- [Link]

Thanks for telling us about this Wisbech. Sir John Sawyer speaks eloquently about the events unfolding in Ukraine and how they may develop.

It was a very interesting insight from someone who has a good understanding of International politics.

Fascinating indeed.

 


Dad and I watched games standing on the muddy slope of the Holmesdale Road end. He cheered and I rattled.

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BlueJay Flag UK 11 Mar 22 5.36pm

"Nebenzya claimed that Ukraine had used the coronavirus pandemic as a cover with which to advance its research, and told delegates that the country had sought to spread biological weapons by infecting migratory birds and bats.

He also accused the US of attempting to create biological weapons that can target specific ethnic groups.

Nebenzya did not provide any evidence for his claims."


The timing of these such claims, context of them being stated and scatter gun approach of provably ludicrous daily propaganda pushes over the past couple of weeks. Consider who is invading and how it is going. Look to who benefits from making such fascicle claims in the context of how they might use them.

The 'crisis actor' stuff from the Russian Embassy yesterday was Sandy Hook level nonsense. They are throwing anything out there. Given what is unfolding, and what can be verified regarding the most obvious claims made (the Russia extreme efforts to push and enforce them), the idea that there is moral or factual equivalence between Russias take and ours is not realistic or helpful.

 

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croydon proud Flag Any european country i fancy! 11 Mar 22 5.58pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

For feck's sake.

Watch the bloody link before you comment, the Pentagon have literally changed their story several times now.

As for you links....That's similar to your claims you made over no assurances made to Russia over Nato expansion when after looking into it I found the actual literal documents were released in 2017.....the fecking literal minutes.

It's the liars in this world that drag us down.

Edited by Stirlingsays (11 Mar 2022 12.26pm)


I must admit, when i watch bungle or any of his cabinet talking on tv, about Russia and the truth, i do scratch my chin and think the irony! Boris obviously is a seasoned liar, priti lying about the place in calais when it wasn"t even oipen, the foreign secretary, bless her, so so bad, lying the other day about people going out to fight, saying its not suprising and if they can etc, then saying she never said that a couple of days later, it does make you wonder. This is the importance of not having a liar at the helm, in normal times, when the s*** starts, and its started, nobody can take him seriously or believe a word he says.

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 11 Mar 22 6.04pm

Originally posted by croydon proud


I must admit, when i watch bungle or any of his cabinet talking on tv, about Russia and the truth, i do scratch my chin and think the irony! Boris obviously is a seasoned liar, priti lying about the place in calais when it wasn"t even oipen, the foreign secretary, bless her, so so bad, lying the other day about people going out to fight, saying its not suprising and if they can etc, then saying she never said that a couple of days later, it does make you wonder. This is the importance of not having a liar at the helm, in normal times, when the s*** starts, and its started, nobody can take him seriously or believe a word he says.

I would think from a self interest perspective he must be rather pleased that the narrative has moved on. Important of course not to let wider realities that are clearly taking place become politicised though. As much I have no issue with Boris and co getting egg on their face, I'm not about to turn my back on clear realities taking place.

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 11 Mar 22 6.07pm

"The Air Force Command reports that Russian planes turned around above Ukraine, after which they struck the territory of Belarus.

Source: Armed Forces Air Force Command of Ukraine on Facebook, State Border Guard Service

According to the Air Force Command: "Today at 14:30 the State Border Guard Service received information that Russian planes entered the territory of Ukraine, turned over our towns of Horodychi and Tumeni, and then fired on the settlement of Kopani (Belarus)."

Details: The Air Force added that currently the 9th Border Detachment is observing the occupation of the town of Kopani by enemy troops.

"This is a provocation! The goal is to involve the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus in the war with Ukraine!" the statement reads." - [Link]

Logically this would be a useful step for Russia to escalate the invasion so rationally it wouldn't be surprising 'if true'. A future ramping up of the war would certainly be bad news for Ukraine. Hopefully they are being sent enough weaponry to hold out, but even if they are we then have the likely chemical angle to contend with. Especially if Russia wish to retrain any functional infrastructure in Ukraine, rather than occupy a bombed out hell hole.

Edited by BlueJay (11 Mar 2022 6.10pm)

 

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croydon proud Flag Any european country i fancy! 11 Mar 22 6.24pm

Originally posted by BlueJay

I would think from a self interest perspective he must be rather pleased that the narrative has moved on. Important of course not to let wider realities that are clearly taking place become politicised though. As much I have no issue with Boris and co getting egg on their face, I'm not about to turn my back on clear realities taking place.

Yeah, im with the Ukraine 100 %obviously, we could be next, just saying the importance of trusting your pm, and everybody knows he lies, often, so him talking about people lying was so ironic!Definately came at a great time for him, makes you wonder if the 5 man table theory has some gravitas, you invade there, we give you this, you take credit for that, we put inflation and interest rates up everywhere, we sell you these arms, but when shall we start the war? "Start asap", says bungle," the sooner the better!"War blows over-(hopefully), bungle is hailed as the new churchill-by the usual subjects, they doff hats, win win for bungle, give him another 10 years!

 

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 11 Mar 22 6.25pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

"The Air Force Command reports that Russian planes turned around above Ukraine, after which they struck the territory of Belarus.

Source: Armed Forces Air Force Command of Ukraine on Facebook, State Border Guard Service

According to the Air Force Command: "Today at 14:30 the State Border Guard Service received information that Russian planes entered the territory of Ukraine, turned over our towns of Horodychi and Tumeni, and then fired on the settlement of Kopani (Belarus)."

Details: The Air Force added that currently the 9th Border Detachment is observing the occupation of the town of Kopani by enemy troops.

"This is a provocation! The goal is to involve the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus in the war with Ukraine!" the statement reads." - [Link]

Logically this would be a useful step for Russia to escalate the invasion so rationally it wouldn't be surprising 'if true'. A future ramping up of the war would certainly be bad news for Ukraine. Hopefully they are being sent enough weaponry to hold out, but even if they are we then have the likely chemical angle to contend with. Especially if Russia wish to retrain any functional infrastructure in Ukraine, rather than occupy a bombed out hell hole.

Edited by BlueJay (11 Mar 2022 6.10pm)

Apparently they are also recruiting in the Middle East, assumedly Syria. It seems to me Putin has made a massive miscalculation over this, and expected much less resistance and a better performance from his military, alongside not anticipating the scale of the sanctions and the cohesion of the west.

Putin's miscalculations are dangerous for everyone, as he is not someone who is going to look for a way out to save face, never mind save lives.

He will just add more and more, escalating the methods until he gets what he wants. That risks us being drawn in deeper and deeper.

I hope we can find a way to stop the killing now and then play the long game.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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BlueJay Flag UK 11 Mar 22 6.32pm

Originally posted by croydon proud

Yeah, im with the Ukraine 100 %obviously, we could be next, just saying the importance of trusting your pm, and everybody knows he lies, often, so him talking about people lying was so ironic!Definately came at a great time for him, makes you wonder if the 5 man table theory has some gravitas, you invade there, we give you this, you take credit for that, we put inflation and interest rates up everywhere, we sell you these arms, but when shall we start the war? "Start asap", says bungle," the sooner the better!"War blows over-(hopefully), bungle is hailed as the new churchill-by the usual subjects, they doff hats, win win for bungle, give him another 10 years!

That's true. Yes, it make be a refreshing change to have a Prime Minister looking out for his country rather than a bullsh!t artist looking our for his cronies. That's been the story of our politics for quite some time now though.

 

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Forest Hillbilly Flag in a hidey-hole 11 Mar 22 6.33pm Send a Private Message to Forest Hillbilly Add Forest Hillbilly as a friend

And we reached a bizarre point earlier today, where the US was accusing Russia of manufacturing Chemical weapons information about Ukraine in order to justify the continue invasion tactics.

It would have been a far more credible statement from the USA , if we hadn't suffered the "Weapons of mass destruction" invasion of Iraq.

How did we vote these idiots into power ?

 


I disengage, I turn the page.

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BlueJay Flag UK 11 Mar 22 6.44pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Apparently they are also recruiting in the Middle East, assumedly Syria. It seems to me Putin has made a massive miscalculation over this, and expected much less resistance and a better performance from his military, alongside not anticipating the scale of the sanctions and the cohesion of the west.

Putin's miscalculations are dangerous for everyone, as he is not someone who is going to look for a way out to save face, never mind save lives.

He will just add more and more, escalating the methods until he gets what he wants. That risks us being drawn in deeper and deeper.

I hope we can find a way to stop the killing now and then play the long game.

Yes, there is no way that he thought the response would be this unified (even though he note the usual exceptions). Even his oligarchs at home have long warned about ideas such as nationalising foreign companies, but now there is talk of that. He's set his country several decades through his miscalculation. Authoritarian regimes excel at control, rather than listening and it's clear only yes men have his ear. Even if he succeeds it'll be a numbers game via a rust bucket army and foreign fighters. And indeed if he does succeed, is it 'mission accomplished' or is he lumbered with his own Afghanistan for a decade plus?

I doubt he'll stop the invasion anytime soon, as it would be an acknowledgment of a gigantic misstep, but realistically there can be no peace agreement of any kind while the invasion continues. To be honest, due to the gravity of whats happening, I hope we continue to get weaponry to them to fight as best they can, and ensure that we don't buy into ludicrous Russian fueled narratives attacking the west. We will give them a fighting chance, as we should. It's close enough to home that we have a moral obligation to help. Much of what happens is out of our hands though. Peace is a two way street. If Russia reach a point of having a semblance of interest in it, I'll be as relieved as anyone. Displaying cowardice in the face of his aggression is unlikely to reach that point any sooner.


Edited by BlueJay (11 Mar 2022 7.09pm)

 

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