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2024 General Election

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 08 Jul 24 10.58pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

If the Rwanda scheme could have been shown to work it might have been retained but it looks to have been a very expensive white elephant, so fraught with legal difficulties that not one person has actually been sent there. Flogging a dead horse rarely deters anything.

The right should use tactical voting if it ensures proper representation. Much better than splitting the vote as Reform did last week. Accepting they only stand a real chance in a handful of places and withdraw in others could ensure the Tories get back. Whether they will do that, or even if the Tories would play ball, is yet to be determined.

The Rwanda scheme was a ploy to win votes.

A proper scheme of a similar type would stop all illegal migrants.
Politicians are more interested in keeping their jobs and defeating the opposition than doing what is good for this country.

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 09 Jul 24 6.54am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

The current incumbents leading the Tory party seem determined....at least while they still hold the reigns.....to keep the Tory party in the centre.

Everyone with brains knows that the Tories can't win while Reform exist as a home for its right wing. However, these guys are bitter and seem unable to take responsibility for the state they put the Conservativie party in where 40 percent of their natural supporters voted for another party.

Here they have suspended the membership of Connor Tomlinson of Lotus Eaters....probably for his interview with Liz Truss and criticisms of the Tory leadership.

Tomlinson voted Conservative yet, as we can see, currently the Conservative Party seem to be expelling conservatives who criticise them.

Lotus Eaters for those that don't know are a DR website run by Sargon and whose election night coverage had higher numbers than all the main broadcasters other than the BBC....This is despite you probably not having heard of them because the mainstream don't give them coverage....as they obviously ignore all alternative media despite it being very successful....So considering the advantages the mainstream broadcasters have in automatic access to the public it's incredible and shows just how poorly they serve us and how especially younger people are considering them legacy media of the past who don't provide value or enough honesty.

The BBC, as we know, are the people who make you pay for the TV license through the courts rather than it being a commercial choice as with the Lotus Eaters.....Whereas Lotus Easter are only five pounds a month to access right wing Tory commentary.

The Tory leadership are a mess.

[Link]


Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Jul 2024 7.03am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Stirlingsays Flag 09 Jul 24 7.51am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

One of the lies that you are implicitly raised with is that elected politicians on relatively low wages are telling billionaires and very rich people what to do....because people voted them in......In reality it's the other way around and has always been that way. On the rare occasion a politician enforces unwanted policy onto them they just move their money elsewhere. The people who actually get squeezed are the middle class because they can't easily run.

People can note the obvious problems with that approach but purely on a practical angle, if your society isn't growing the number of jobs that have middle class wages then obviously there is an decreasing tax take.

The only way a society can tax the rich relatively high is by having places in that society that they really want to live in, wonderful places that are culturally nice where they feel a bond (and/or business with), have low crime and are stable and reliable economically..(look at the places some of the usual suspects choose to move to)..Some of the Scandinavian countries have this (but it's changing) where the value proposition is high enough for them to stay and be taxed.

Problem is that these places have to compete with nice resorts with low taxes like Monaco or great countries/states to live in with nice deals for the rich....and that's where a lot of the wealthy move to with their money. This is one of the main reasons that western socialism is fundamentally flawed at delivery and few seems willing to say this rather obvious inconvenient truth to the main public.

Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Jul 2024 9.34am)

Millionaire-Migration-2023-02.jpg Attachment: Millionaire-Migration-2023-02.jpg (431.56Kb)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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silvertop Flag Portishead 09 Jul 24 9.39am Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

One of the lies that you are implicitly raised with is that elected politicians on relatively low wages are telling billionaires and very rich people what to do....because people voted them in......In reality it's the other way around and has always been that way. On the rare occasion a politician enforces unwanted policy onto them they just move their money elsewhere. The people who actually get squeezed are the middle class because they can't easily run.

The only way a society can tax the rich relatively high is by having places in that society that they really want to live in, wonderful places that are culturally nice where they feel a bond (and/or business with), have low crime and are stable and reliable economically..(look at the places some of the usual suspects choose to move to)..Some of the Scandinavian countries have this (but it's changing) where the value proposition is high enough for them to stay and be taxed.

Problem is that these places have to compete with nice resorts with low taxes like Monaco or great countries/states to live in with nice deals for the rich....and that's where a lot of the wealthy move to with their money. This is one of the main reasons that western socialism is fundamentally flawed at delivery and few seems willing to say this rather obvious inconvenient truth to the main public.

Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Jul 2024 7.56am)

Bringing your data up to date, the UK is expected to lose 9,500 millionaires this year, on top of the 16,500 millionaires it lost in the six-year period following Brexit. Like it or not, that was the trigger event.

The signal went out to all those pesky foreigners that we don't want you. A message received not only by poor EU citizens who pick the cabbages but also the very wealthy ones who used to enjoy their London lifestyles.

The UK is in decline. This is a process accelerated by Brexit and its inevitable aftermath.

The direction of travel is the New World. The USA, true, but also Canada and Australia, two countries with similar fiscal polices and mixed economies to ours.

The difference is that those countries have vast open spaces and lower costs. The $ travels farther. It has little or nothing to do with socialism or the new Labour government. It may, of course, also be connected with the threat to tax non doms and the very rich to fill the gap. But then all the parties promised that.

Edited by silvertop (09 Jul 2024 9.42am)

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 09 Jul 24 9.53am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Regarding Millionaire flight I don't see that Brexit or UK tax policy has particularly hurt this group.

There is a trend the world over for people to be more mobile and not just the poor. 50 years ago £10 Poms went to Australia thinking they would never see their families again.

Today we have Zoom, social media and international travel. Feeling homesick? People used to listen to the BBC World Service on Long Wave. Today of course you can be as up to date about old Blighty as a local, through the internet and streaming services so you wont even miss your favourite soap.

Anyway just my opinion, I think this trend is here to stay, a repressive tax regime (if one happens) may just be the final straw to somebody who was already thinking of leaving.

Edited by Badger11 (09 Jul 2024 9.54am)

 


One more point

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Stirlingsays Flag 09 Jul 24 10.00am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

Bringing your data up to date, the UK is expected to lose 9,500 millionaires this year, on top of the 16,500 millionaires it lost in the six-year period following Brexit. Like it or not, that was the trigger event.

The signal went out to all those pesky foreigners that we don't want you. A message received not only by poor EU citizens who pick the cabbages but also the very wealthy ones who used to enjoy their London lifestyles.

The UK is in decline. This is a process accelerated by Brexit and its inevitable aftermath.

The direction of travel is the New World. The USA, true, but also Canada and Australia, two countries with similar fiscal polices and mixed economies to ours.

The difference is that those countries have vast open spaces and lower costs. The $ travels farther. It has little or nothing to do with socialism or the new Labour government. It may, of course, also be connected with the threat to tax non doms and the very rich to fill the gap. But then all the parties promised that.

Edited by silvertop (09 Jul 2024 9.42am)

I accept what you are saying....However I don't agree with this idea that it has nothing to do with socialism (this government deserve time before proper judgement). You only have to look at history for proof....In recent times let's remember when France voted in socialist Hollande in for example and the giant capital flight that occurred.

We have just thrown out a lot of Russian millionaires who owned a lot of assets in London (which keeps the rest of the country afloat) and BRICs millionaires are taking the same route. However, this didn't seem to trouble those who would make this general point concerning Brexit.

However, I don't deny the Brexit point you make.....it's a downside of what was required if you were going to Brexit.....Problem is they only did Brexit in name only.

They cucked at the obvious competing with the EU requirement to make Brexit work and instead went for a kind of apology agreement that makes Brexit kind of a defeat at delivery.

Our elites have no balls and don't really believe in anything other than their own careers.

Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Jul 2024 10.01am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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silvertop Flag Portishead 09 Jul 24 10.01am Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

The current incumbents leading the Tory party seem determined....at least while they still hold the reigns.....to keep the Tory party in the centre.

Everyone with brains knows that the Tories can't win while Reform exist as a home for its right wing. However, these guys are bitter and seem unable to take responsibility for the state they put the Conservativie party in where 40 percent of their natural supporters voted for another party.

Here they have suspended the membership of Connor Tomlinson of Lotus Eaters....probably for his interview with Liz Truss and criticisms of the Tory leadership.

Tomlinson voted Conservative yet, as we can see, currently the Conservative Party seem to be expelling conservatives who criticise them.

Lotus Eaters for those that don't know are a DR website run by Sargon and whose election night coverage had higher numbers than all the main broadcasters other than the BBC....This is despite you probably not having heard of them because the mainstream don't give them coverage....as they obviously ignore all alternative media despite it being very successful....So considering the advantages the mainstream broadcasters have in automatic access to the public it's incredible and shows just how poorly they serve us and how especially younger people are considering them legacy media of the past who don't provide value or enough honesty.

The BBC, as we know, are the people who make you pay for the TV license through the courts rather than it being a commercial choice as with the Lotus Eaters.....Whereas Lotus Easter are only five pounds a month to access right wing Tory commentary.

The Tory leadership are a mess.

[Link]


Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Jul 2024 7.03am)

Events dear boy events. Who knows what the next 5 years will bring?

If non EU immigration continues unabated, I see the right continuing to build. If it holds or drops (as the rest of this post suspects), Reform will not be seen to be necessary. They are also likely to be plagued by in fighting, gaffs and other displays of naiveté borne from their youth which will make them look an amateur wasted protest vote.

Labour will be... Labour. I wonder who the first cabinet minister who will follow the Steve Byers route and be hounded out for some idiocy.

The Libs will lose votes back to the Tories. Their vote number will remain respectable but I see them dropping many seats, such is their usual fate under FPTP.

Meanwhile, the Tories will spend the next 3 years learning how to act in opposition and resolving their internal factions and the next 2 rising to the 2029 GE.

My guess is a massive lurch back to the cozy, familiar "safety" of the conservatives. I know you'll hate me for saying this, but I see a rush back to the centre. Labour will probably win, absent any seismic shocks, but by a much smaller majority. Reform numbers will drop significantly.

Of course, if immigration continues to be a significant issue...

 

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silvertop Flag Portishead 09 Jul 24 10.09am Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I accept what you are saying....However I don't agree with this idea that it has nothing to do with socialism (this government deserve time before proper judgement). You only have to look at history for proof....In recent times let's remember when France voted in socialist Hollande in for example and the giant capital flight that occurred.

We have just thrown out a lot of Russian millionaires who owned a lot of assets in London (which keeps the rest of the country afloat) and BRICs millionaires are taking the same route. However, this didn't seem to trouble those who would make this general point concerning Brexit.

However, I don't deny the Brexit point you make.....it's a downside of what was required if you were going to Brexit.....Problem is they only did Brexit in name only.

They cucked at the obvious competing with the EU requirement to make Brexit work and instead went for a kind of apology agreement that makes Brexit kind of a defeat at delivery.

Our elites have no balls and don't really believe in anything other than their own careers.

Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Jul 2024 10.01am)

The socialism of the 1960s and 1970s almost killed us with the flood of wealth and talent. You get no argument from me there. However, the mixed economy that had grown since Thatcher and including Blaire/Brown with its retained elements of socialism was a magnet for millionaires. The socialist share has not increased in the last 14 years.

As an aside, I have an aversion to this "elites" model so beloved of the alt right. The central message of Animal Farm has not been learned. If the perfect Stirlingsays government were to come to power, those elites would be replaced by your elites. Can you guarantee they will be better for me and my family?

 

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Stirlingsays Flag 09 Jul 24 10.10am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

Events dear boy events. Who knows what the next 5 years will bring?

If non EU immigration continues unabated, I see the right continuing to build. If it holds or drops (as the rest of this post suspects), Reform will not be seen to be necessary. They are also likely to be plagued by in fighting, gaffs and other displays of naiveté borne from their youth which will make them look an amateur wasted protest vote.

Labour will be... Labour. I wonder who the first cabinet minister who will follow the Steve Byers route and be hounded out for some idiocy.

The Libs will lose votes back to the Tories. Their vote number will remain respectable but I see them dropping many seats, such is their usual fate under FPTP.

Meanwhile, the Tories will spend the next 3 years learning how to act in opposition and resolving their internal factions and the next 2 rising to the 2029 GE.

My guess is a massive lurch back to the cozy, familiar "safety" of the conservatives. I know you'll hate me for saying this, but I see a rush back to the centre. Labour will probably win, absent any seismic shocks, but by a much smaller majority. Reform numbers will drop significantly.

Of course, if immigration continues to be a significant issue...

I don't hate your analysis, you could be right, I just don't see it personally.

I can't see the reasons Reform exist going away. The foreigner base in the country is only going to continue upwards....even if the rate drops. And a lot of these migrant children are going to emerge as adults over these coming years and that visibility within their areas isn't exactly going to calm Reform voters or even currently centralist Conservatives now.....identity politics and kneeling for minority interests is a stock default of the modern day Labour party and that's also going to be regularly thrown into their faces.....that'll only further alienate them.

Personally I think the only chance that a centralist Conservative party has is if Farage leaves or dies......I really think it's that dramatic.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Jul 24 10.16am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Let’s examine some of these claims shall we. Claims no doubt lifted from these wonderful new right wing websites dedicated to telling you the truth that the MSM ignore!

In 2019 the Tories had a landslide victory getting 43.6% of the popular vote. The Brexit Party got 2.0%.

In 2024 they collapsed to 23.7% whilst Reform got 14.3%.

So the Tories lost 19.9% whilst Farage gained 12.3%.

43.6% was above the average, and 23.7% clearly the worst ever, almost certainly entirely due to Reform. Even with them together at 38.0% they are below their average which is around 40%. Labour got 412 seats with just 33.7% of the vote, which shows just how disastrous splitting the Tory vote was.

It’s the splitting which is responsible for this situation, not the determination of the Tories to control the centre. 7.6% of the Tory vote was lost other than to Reform, even if you assume every one of those who voted for them previously voted Tory. On top of that 23.7% of Tories did not vote Reform. I voted Tory.

What does that tell us? That Farage has natural allies on the ring wing of the Tory Party? Clearly true. That they together could become powerful enough to form a government? Very unlikely! If 23.7% didn’t move now they are not going to in the future. People like me, and there are many of us, are intractably opposed to extremes, either of the left or right. We are the middle ground. The 23.7% who stand on the centre right who, together with other centralists on the centre left in Labour and the Lib Dems, would never allow people either like Corbyn or Farage to become dominant. You’ve just watched something not totally without parallels in France. Populism has its limits.

Which is why the Tories must, and almost certainly will, stay as a centre right party for if they don’t they would just disappear. There isn’t room for 2 parties on the right.

Recapturing that 7.6%, showing the futility of splitting the vote, fresh faces, the passage of time and Labour being blamed , should be enough for a resurgent, modern Tory Party to re-emerge and reassume its place as the natural party of government.

 


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Stirlingsays Flag 09 Jul 24 10.24am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by silvertop

The socialism of the 1960s and 1970s almost killed us with the flood of wealth and talent. You get no argument from me there. However, the mixed economy that had grown since Thatcher and including Blaire/Brown with its retained elements of socialism was a magnet for millionaires. The socialist share has not increased in the last 14 years.

As an aside, I have an aversion to this "elites" model so beloved of the alt right. The central message of Animal Farm has not been learned. If the perfect Stirlingsays government were to come to power, those elites would be replaced by your elites. Can you guarantee they will be better for me and my family?

It's a good question and the answer would probably come down to your values and worldview.

Thing is, my DR love affair isn't going to come to government even with a Farage Reform government....which is essentially a 'Thatcher lite' party. I just like some of its socially conservative elements (though some of it isn't really realistic)

So someone like me can point out the crap nature of neoliberalism while at the same time knowing that if I ever had my elites in power that there would be the same exchange of winners and losers that every system change creates.....Going back to Thatcher, her radical change saw public workers and miners losing and the finance sector winning.

I must admit, I bulk at the sheer amount of whoring out of our national assets that Thatcher did to foreigners to gain investment....Look at London now....What she did essentially gave the capital away just as much as immigration did.....The realisation, late in life, that ultimately capitalism (which strengthens globalism and thus expands international finance) is what eventually destroys the nation state, wasn't an enjoyable one for me..(did Thatcher ever really realise this?)....It's damn depressing when your political priors get pissed on by reality.

Perhaps to be fair to me, shouldn't we wait until a DR party actually exist and are a viable option on the ballot paper before we trouble ourselves with their economics? At the moment they only exist online and keep being told they are Nazis (who amusingly enough were statists themselves) and refused a fair shake.

Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Jul 2024 10.26am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 09 Jul 24 10.37am Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Let’s examine some of these claims shall we. Claims no doubt lifted from these wonderful new right wing websites dedicated to telling you the truth that the MSM ignore!

In 2019 the Tories had a landslide victory getting 43.6% of the popular vote. The Brexit Party got 2.0%.

In 2024 they collapsed to 23.7% whilst Reform got 14.3%.

So the Tories lost 19.9% whilst Farage gained 12.3%.

43.6% was above the average, and 23.7% clearly the worst ever, almost certainly entirely due to Reform. Even with them together at 38.0% they are below their average which is around 40%. Labour got 412 seats with just 33.7% of the vote, which shows just how disastrous splitting the Tory vote was.

It’s the splitting which is responsible for this situation, not the determination of the Tories to control the centre. 7.6% of the Tory vote was lost other than to Reform, even if you assume every one of those who voted for them previously voted Tory. On top of that 23.7% of Tories did not vote Reform. I voted Tory.

What does that tell us? That Farage has natural allies on the ring wing of the Tory Party? Clearly true. That they together could become powerful enough to form a government? Very unlikely! If 23.7% didn’t move now they are not going to in the future. People like me, and there are many of us, are intractably opposed to extremes, either of the left or right. We are the middle ground. The 23.7% who stand on the centre right who, together with other centralists on the centre left in Labour and the Lib Dems, would never allow people either like Corbyn or Farage to become dominant. You’ve just watched something not totally without parallels in France. Populism has its limits.

Which is why the Tories must, and almost certainly will, stay as a centre right party for if they don’t they would just disappear. There isn’t room for 2 parties on the right.

Recapturing that 7.6%, showing the futility of splitting the vote, fresh faces, the passage of time and Labour being blamed , should be enough for a resurgent, modern Tory Party to re-emerge and reassume its place as the natural party of government.

It is obvious that as things stand, the Tories and Reform must not compete for votes if they want to oust Labour.
What will go on over 5 years, no one knows, but I'm confident it will be long enough for people to see that Labour is not the answer.
Farage trusted Boris and got screwed. He will be reluctant to do any deal unless he gets a much better deal next time round.
That would include a lot more uncontested seats for Reform one would imagine.

 

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