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Will we stay up?

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Part Time James Flag 19 Dec 16 3.24pm Send a Private Message to Part Time James Add Part Time James as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I'm not even that sure you can say that the goals by Man Utd or Chelsea were even mistakes. The first United goal was the product of a handball and offside. The only real mistake maybe could be giving away the free kick.

Second goal by United was a piece of pure class. Whilst the sub of McArthur for Campbell was bizarre, I don't think it necessarily contributed to anything other than a 'maybe it wouldn't have happened'.

Chelsea, class goal. Perfect ball in, headed home perfectly by a world class striker. Maybe Dann or Hennessy could have put more pressure onto Costa but then maybe we don't also have 30m players in each position....

I just meant that some people referred to United's second as a Palace defensive mistake and was just caveating for a predicted retort of "what about that mistake...XYZ". Not necessarily suggesting I thought as such (if I am honest, I was watching on TV and was so gutted that we'd conceded it I didn't even watch a replay). I do think teams at the very top will be generally more ruthless though and against lesser teams a similar approach would've ended in a clean sheet.

 




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Part Time James Flag 19 Dec 16 3.28pm Send a Private Message to Part Time James Add Part Time James as a friend

I think also my point is, that whilst it can be fantastic seeing Palace finally playing in a way that is giving us goals to watch, it is a mentality that the luxury of some points and better form can afford us. We need to break the run, keep a clean sheet or two, grab at least a point in some of the forthcoming games and then perhaps think about breaking the defensive mentality and going back on the hunt for some sexy goals. Again, not Pardew bashing, but I think he was still affording himself that luxury for a little longer than he should've. In my mind he can redeem himself now by swallowing his pride and ensuring we gather up some unattractive odd points and pulling us back away from the drop zone.

 




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NickinOX Flag Sailing country. 19 Dec 16 3.31pm Send a Private Message to NickinOX Add NickinOX as a friend

Originally posted by Den1923


Good point, may be the devil we know?

There have been a number of studies about sacking managers, or the effect of managers on a team. Top managers add about 15% to a team's performance, with most managers being around the 0-5% mark (either as a plus or minus). Sacking managers rarely makes any long term difference and the 'bump' is often less than most people think. Most of the major papers have published on this.

For me, the reason I want change is not that I think it will necessarily make a difference in the short term, but rather than we need a more pragmatic manager to achieve the longer terms goals of cup runs and developing our own young players. A solid middle table team has more options to bring in youngsters than one constantly yoyoing up and down the table.

 


If you come to a fork in the road, take it.

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The Dolphin Flag 19 Dec 16 4.05pm Send a Private Message to The Dolphin Add The Dolphin as a friend

Originally posted by NickinOX

I think Pardew should go, but for those calling for someone like Eddie Howe look at the last 25 games (another random stat like calendar years).

Eddie Howe: p. 25 games; scored 25 points; GD -18.
Alan Pardew: p. 25 games; scored 24 points; GD -8.

One is being lauded as a virtual boy genius, the other is decried as the worst manager in history (judging by some of the rhetoric).

Good point but 21 of Eddie Howe's points are this season and they are playing well and therein lies the difference.
They have imporoved whereas we are worse and not looking like it might change - although if we can build on the last two games we might have a chance.

 

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NickinOX Flag Sailing country. 19 Dec 16 4.08pm Send a Private Message to NickinOX Add NickinOX as a friend

Originally posted by The Dolphin

Good point but 21 of Eddie Howe's points are this season and they are playing well and therein lies the difference.
They have imporoved whereas we are worse and not looking like it might change - although if we can build on the last two games we might have a chance.

My broader point relates to the use of statistics, and to drawing conclusions from random samples. They are playing well now, but we won't know how they are doing until the end of the season (which is when it counts).

Edited by NickinOX (19 Dec 2016 4.13pm)

 


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chateauferret Flag 19 Dec 16 4.35pm

Originally posted by NickinOX

I think Pardew should go, but for those calling for someone like Eddie Howe look at the last 25 games (another random stat like calendar years).

Eddie Howe: p. 25 games; scored 25 points; GD -18.
Alan Pardew: p. 25 games; scored 24 points; GD -8.

One is being lauded as a virtual boy genius, the other is decried as the worst manager in history (judging by some of the rhetoric).

But Howe has more modest resources and doesn't do f***** stupid things.

 


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NickinOX Flag Sailing country. 19 Dec 16 4.39pm Send a Private Message to NickinOX Add NickinOX as a friend

Originally posted by chateauferret

But Howe has more modest resources and doesn't do f***** stupid things.

And you watch all their games then?

I thought they broke FFP rules while in the Championship and have a billionaire Russian owner.

By the way, as I have already mentioned this a couple of times, I was using random stats to make a point about the misuse of stats to make an argument.

 


If you come to a fork in the road, take it.

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sickboy Flag Deal or Croydon 19 Dec 16 4.40pm Send a Private Message to sickboy Add sickboy as a friend

Originally posted by chateauferret

But Howe has more modest resources and doesn't do f***** stupid things.

Didnt ballmouth get promoted with the highest wage bill in the championship. They have spent plenty. Dont be fooled by the plucky underdog lead by genius manager story you read in the press.

 

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chateauferret Flag 19 Dec 16 4.55pm

Originally posted by sickboy

Didnt ballmouth get promoted with the highest wage bill in the championship. They have spent plenty. Dont be fooled by the plucky underdog lead by genius manager story you read in the press.

I don't read such stories in the Press. I don't see him making absurd substitutions or attacking when he shouldn't be, either.

Oh and I see them well up the table whilst we teeter in 17th.

 


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sickboy Flag Deal or Croydon 19 Dec 16 5.03pm Send a Private Message to sickboy Add sickboy as a friend

Originally posted by chateauferret

I don't read such stories in the Press. I don't see him making absurd substitutions or attacking when he shouldn't be, either.

Oh and I see them well up the table whilst we teeter in 17th.

So the "more modest resources" is just an assumption on your part.

 

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NickinOX Flag Sailing country. 19 Dec 16 5.59pm Send a Private Message to NickinOX Add NickinOX as a friend

Originally posted by sickboy

So the "more modest resources" is just an assumption on your part.

I think some people make up stuff simply to suit their argument. It makes it easier to justify slagging off a manager who they don't want. Just like my random use of stats to make a point.

As for his comment about Howe being more pragmatic, he's not a chancer like Pardew. But his record over the last 25 games shows his teams are not much better defensively and don't score as many goals. Likewise, if his team's results from the start of this season mean he is a better manager, then any 17 game sample should be sufficient for any other evaluation of a manager too. Ergo, Mourinho must be a s*** manager because he got 15 points from the opening 16 games last season, despite having an excellent squad.

 


If you come to a fork in the road, take it.

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vflynn Flag Perth 19 Dec 16 8.56pm Send a Private Message to vflynn Add vflynn as a friend

Originally posted by davehuggins

I just don't want to return to the old days, I love us being in the PL. We have the backing and are in the best financial position we have probably ever been.

I just wish the hot dogs would improve

 


"If you wana get ahead............Get a hat.....
Malcom Allison 1975-76 the glory year.

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