You are here: Home > Message Board > News & Politics > Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?
November 25 2024 4.49am

This page is no longer updated, and is the old forum. For new topics visit the New HOL forum.

Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?

Previous Topic | Next Topic


Page 116 of 466 < 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 >

  

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 08 Mar 22 11.02pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

The HOC rises to the Ukrainian 'Churchill' we shall fight in the forests etc.

He is very convincing, a doughty little fighter for his country, no wonder they all applaud.

However I wonder if these deluded people ever stop to think that it was his deliberate non-compliance with the Minsk agreement that has caused this situation, his forces that appear to have subjugated Russian speaking people described as a 'genocide' since 2014?

Did he not describe Russians as 'sub-human'?

For all that he has risen to the occasion but his demise as well as Putin would be entirely welcome.

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post Quote this post in a reply
Stirlingsays Flag 08 Mar 22 11.14pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

In terms of the Ukraine I think people should be thinking long term and not in terms of now.

I think the peace terms that I've heard sound sensible and if that's the nub of it I consider far more preferable than what's happening now.

What Putin has done will be resented by all non Russians in the Ukraine and won't be forgotten. Terms can include security for both sides. Putin has already seen the cost in terms of military and economy and there needs to be an 'out'. When Putin's gone, there can be a chance for relations to be better addressed and the disaster of cold war 2 walked back.

I feel that there's a lack of recognition of just how much this will also affect us. This is a disaster for everybody.....I grew up in cold war and I'm amazed it's here again.

Edited by Stirlingsays (08 Mar 2022 11.24pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post Quote this post in a reply
BlueJay Flag UK 08 Mar 22 11.24pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

The idea of winning some kind of morality tale with Putin as being more important than risking the deaths of tens of millions of people and sending humanity back to the dark ages is mind blowing.

The whole point of nuclear weapons is to avoid direct military conflict between the nations with them. It can't be any clearer.

I say support the Ukrainians in their struggle but we need to maintain a sense of proportion of risk on the stakes involved. There are multiple actors pushing the west into madness.

The rules are clear, an attack on Nato is war and that's the point at which nuclear war is risked....not before.

The best we can do is find the best peaceful solution possible, that will avoid the most death.

As for the bombing of civilians this has happened in every single case of cities being taken. Nato has been doing it themselves for decades of war in multiple theatres.....The Saudis do it every day in Yemen.

This has always been terrible and videos don't make it more so.

Edited by Stirlingsays (08 Mar 2022 10.47pm)

Sanctions and arming the Ukranian people was inevitable and to be expected. If this was a complete walkover it creates a whole host of additional and constant threats with NATO countries and Russian controlled territory right next door to one another. That and the knowledge of how fast others will give in to demands where there are nuclear threats would be a tool repeated used going forward.

What is happening right in Ukraine has turned into Russia's vulgar bargaining tool. Realistically it was a misstep that has already done immense damage to Ukraine and the lives of ordinary Russian people. It's not about a morality tale. It's that a do nothing approach has significant drawbacks too. Sanctions and a tough Ukrainian resistance are bargaining tools also. Rolling over or turning a blind eye is not.

Videos were posted for purposes to clarifying to the delusional that intentional murder of civilians is taking place (as a couple denied that and trivialized the Ukranian peoples plight to the point of seemingly hoping for their defeat). In all likelihood there are multiple peace talks ongoing. The statements coming out of the Kremlin of late have a bewildered, desperate tone to them.

I would agree that is makes sense to give Putin a way out of this (along with sanctions lifted). But whatever is agreed (demilitarised zones etc for instance) has to stay agreed. You can only give so much in the face of what is happening right now, else it essentially becomes an endorsement of it rather than solution to it. And it's a two way street. There can be no deal for as long as day after day of attacks on cities and civilian areas takes place.

Edited by BlueJay (08 Mar 2022 11.28pm)

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Quote this post in a reply
BlueJay Flag UK 08 Mar 22 11.42pm


There is I would agree the need to see what is happening as more than 'Reality TV' that we're remove from. We are very much plugged into this dynamic. That though also has to be weighed up against each sides desire to influence said theater and it being a big part of what's going on here. With that in mind let's remember that realistically Putin wants to be a Tsar, not a martyr. The man has a fear of even approaching his own advisors, he's not about to opt for mutually assured destruction.

We still don't really know how the invasion itself will pan out. The fate and state of the Ukranian capital over the next few days may well impact how this situation evolves in terms of outcome, talks.

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Quote this post in a reply
Stirlingsays Flag 08 Mar 22 11.53pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

Sanctions and arming the Ukranian people was inevitable and to be expected. If this was a complete walkover it creates a whole host of additional and constant threats with NATO countries and Russian controlled territory right next door to one another. That and the knowledge of how fast others will give in to demands where there are nuclear threats would be a tool repeated used going forward.

I would hope that, while we plan for them, we don't base direct response policies upon over worst case scenarios....that is unnecessary escalation.

If you are talking about non Nato countries being supplied against possible Russian attack, I have no issue with that. However, the rules of conflict must be very clear and that's vital among nuclear nations where a mistake is unthinkable.

Originally posted by BlueJay

What is happening right in Ukraine has turned into Russia's vulgar bargaining tool. Realistically it was a misstep that has already done immense damage to Ukraine and the lives of ordinary Russian people. It's not about a morality tale. It's that a do nothing approach has significant drawbacks too. Sanctions and a tough Ukrainian resistance are bargaining tools also. Rolling over or turning a blind eye is not.

I totally accept the siding with the Ukrainians but there are also propaganda issues...for examples their president is literally trying to start a Nato/Russia war and people have a right to notice that as.....kind of a far bigger negative than the sh1tshow already happening.

As for 'do nothing', I don't think anybody serious on this topic suggests that.

Originally posted by BlueJay

Videos were posted for purposes to clarifying to the delusional that intentional murder of civilians is taking place (as a couple denied that and trivialized the Ukranian peoples plight to the point of seemingly hoping for their defeat). In all likelihood there are multiple peace talks ongoing. The statements coming out of the Kremlin of late have a bewildered, desperate tone to them. I would agree that is makes sense to give Putin a way out of this (along with sanctions lifted). But whatever is agreed has to stay agreed. You can only give so much in the face of what is happening right now, else it essentially becomes an endorsement of it rather than solution to it. And it's a two way street. There will be no deal for as long as day of attack after attack on cities and civilian areas takes place.

That tank video looks like something horrible that happens on battlefields. So I doubt it's propaganda but the general problem with propaganda is that it sows mistrust....mainly because it is often half truth or lies. However, I don't think anyone should be under the delusion that this is horrible and that civilians are dying.

I think with any agreement reached over this....and feck, I have my fingers crossed. Putin will be assured that tensions will be high for some time. Beyond demilitarized zones forces are going to be considerable, everyone expects that.

I can only hope that the peacemakers win quickly, forces pull back and people can be helped....Putin's forces are being contested but soon enough will surround the cities and once cut off from supply it's going to get much worse.

I think Putin knows that this is when a settlement will be reached....I can only hope that the peacemakers win this and even before that happens.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post Quote this post in a reply
Stirlingsays Flag 09 Mar 22 12.03am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay


There is I would agree the need to see what is happening as more than 'Reality TV' that we're remove from. We are very much plugged into this dynamic. That though also has to be weighed up against each sides desire to influence said theater and it being a big part of what's going on here. With that in mind let's remember that realistically Putin wants to be a Tsar, not a martyr. The man has a fear of even approaching his own advisors, he's not about to opt for mutually assured destruction.

We still don't really know how the invasion itself will pan out. The fate and state of the Ukranian capital over the next few days may well impact how this situation evolves in terms of outcome, talks.


In the event of MAD being pursed the one pressing the button will be in the deepest safest supplied bunker....it's us sad fecks left sitting in our abodes hoping to be 60-100 miles away from the nearest blast with or without potassium iodide tablets with little more than a hope and a prayer.....I was always a prepper but I very much want that to remain a hobby.

I know the possibility was raised early on in the thread but Tim Pool's just made a video highlighting suggestions that Putin might be terminal. Personally I'm 50/50 on that.

[Link]

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post Quote this post in a reply
BlueJay Flag UK 09 Mar 22 12.09am

Quote If you are talking about non Nato countries being supplied against possible Russian attack, I have no issue with that. However, the rules of conflict must be very clear and that's vital among nuclear nations where a mistake is unthinkable.

Yes, I would agree with that. Escalation after escalation would become concerning. I'm not saying that we have to ensure that Ukraine come out on top at any cost. Much of what happens is largely out of our hands. As much as the Ukrainians have exceeded expectations, I fearthe worst is yet to come for them.

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

That tank video looks like something horrible that happens on battlefields. So I doubt it's propaganda but the general problem with propaganda is that it sows mistrust....mainly because it is often half truth or lies.


There are corresponding articles and unfortunately videos of the aftermath that can very clearly be matched against the tank video in a verifiable way. The occupants of the car were an elderly couple. A crap source to use I know but this is the only censored version I could find [Link]

Quote

I think with any agreement reached over this....and feck, I have my fingers crossed. Putin will be assured that tensions will be high for some time. Beyond demilitarized zones forces are going to be considerable, everyone expects that.

I can only hope that the peacemakers win quickly, forces pull back and people can be helped....Putin's forces are being contested but soon enough will surround the cities and once cut off from supply it's going to get much worse.

I think Putin knows that this is when a settlement will be reached....I can only hope that the peacemakers win this and even before that happens.

Yes, I do hope that the situation de-escalates as it may develop a momentum or situation that is hard to slow. I hope that something can be done before the Capital is descended upon with full force.

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Quote this post in a reply
BlueJay Flag UK 09 Mar 22 12.14am

Originally posted by Stirlingsays


In the event of MAD being pursed the one pressing the button will be in the deepest safest supplied bunker....it's us sad fecks left sitting in our abodes hoping to be 60-100 miles away from the nearest blast with or without potassium iodide tablets with little more than a hope and a prayer.....I was always a prepper but I very much want that to remain a hobby.

I know the possibility was raised early on in the thread but Tim Pool's just made a video highlighting suggestions that Putin might be terminal. Personally I'm 50/50 on that.

[Link]

That would certainly put a different slant on things. I've also heard thoughts the the isolation of the past couple of years may have impacted him. He does appear to have become more and more paranoid and distanced. I wonder how many people he actually has contact with, what they're telling him right now (I expect they don't like to say what he doesn't want to hear) and how that feeds into his mindset and decision making.


Edited by BlueJay (09 Mar 2022 12.15am)

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Quote this post in a reply
Stirlingsays Flag 09 Mar 22 12.23am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

That would certainly put a different slant on things. I've also heard thoughts the the isolation of the past couple of years may have impacted him. He does appear to have become more and more paranoid and distanced. I wonder how many people he actually has contact with, what they're telling him right now (I expect they don't like to say what he doesn't want to hear) and how that feeds into his mindset and decision making.

Edited by BlueJay (09 Mar 2022 12.15am)

We know It'll be military and security, you'd hope that our intelligence sources know precisely who.

I think he miscalculated and it's clear that the Russia military didn't expect to need most of its forces on the border. If there were plans for Moldova I doubt it would happen now due to how it's gone.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post Quote this post in a reply
Stirlingsays Flag 09 Mar 22 12.32am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

On potassium iodide tablets.

[Link]

Best taken within 3-4 hours of exposure.

Once daily.

Don't take them outside of an attack and If you have to take it stick to the dose recommendations.

ki.JPG Attachment: ki.JPG (146.32Kb)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post Quote this post in a reply
Stirlingsays Flag 09 Mar 22 12.55am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

If there is an attack run your bath and taps straight away to get as much water as you can before it cuts off. Even if you can't boil it you're gonna need that water.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post Quote this post in a reply
BlueJay Flag UK 09 Mar 22 1.00am

"PENTAGON - The prospect of fighter jets "at the disposal of the Government of the United States of America" departing from a U.S./NATO base in Germany to fly into airspace that is contested with Russia over Ukraine raises serious concerns for the entire NATO alliance. It is simply not clear to us that there is a substantive rationale for it. We will continue to consult with Poland and our other NATO allies about this issue and the difficult logistical challenges it presents, but we do not believe Poland's proposal is a tenable one."

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Quote this post in a reply

  

Page 116 of 466 < 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 >

Previous Topic | Next Topic

You are here: Home > Message Board > News & Politics > Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?