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W12 03 Feb 22 9.25am | |
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Some indication of what’s to come: [Tweet Link]
Had many sleepless nights these past two years.
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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 03 Feb 22 9.52am | |
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Originally posted by Stirlingsays
Just putting this out there for balance but the Great Barrington declaration contained Martin Kulldorff, Sunetra Gupta and Jay Bhattacharyaa, which is a Nobel prize winner and amongst the highest qualified in the relevant fields and it also attacked the chosen covid policies as the appropriate response. This continual attempt to dismiss the highly qualified are the establishments and pharma companies trying to protect themselves.....for example the guy on Joe Rogan's podcast Dr Malone has I think 9 patents on the mRNA technology involved in the vaccines. Anything that differs has a lot of money against it. And let's not forget that some posters on here were telling us that NHS staff had consensus against the unvaccinated.....when the truth was far more grey and they were pushing misinformation. Edited by Stirlingsays (03 Feb 2022 9.11am) I am not dismissing anything! I am suggesting caution, until those with more knowledge than me, or anyone else here, has examined and critiqued the methodology and conclusions. If a cynical approach is recommended for the "drug companies" then it ought just as appropriately be applied to all. I have found the "study". It isn't one produced by John Hopkins. It is led by someone who is employed there. It is far too complicated and specialised for someone like me to try to understand the detail, but seems to bring together a number of disparate studies and then reach an overall conclusion. That approach, of itself, raises questions in my inexpert mind. Is this a conclusion looking for data, or data on which to reach a conclusion? I await the reviews of those who are qualified to judge. I have no doubt that if the reviews are positive, and supported by other studies which reach similar conclusions, that this will turn out to be an important contribution to future pandemic response planning. It does though deal only with one measurement. Excess deaths. There are other considerations when planning pandemic responses. NHS staff do have a consensus on vaccination. They are overwhelmingly in favour. Having a consensus doesn't mean having unanimity.
For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally. |
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W12 03 Feb 22 11.32am | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
I am not dismissing anything! I am suggesting caution, until those with more knowledge than me, or anyone else here, has examined and critiqued the methodology and conclusions. If a cynical approach is recommended for the "drug companies" then it ought just as appropriately be applied to all. I have found the "study". It isn't one produced by John Hopkins. It is led by someone who is employed there. It is far too complicated and specialised for someone like me to try to understand the detail, but seems to bring together a number of disparate studies and then reach an overall conclusion. That approach, of itself, raises questions in my inexpert mind. Is this a conclusion looking for data, or data on which to reach a conclusion? I await the reviews of those who are qualified to judge. I have no doubt that if the reviews are positive, and supported by other studies which reach similar conclusions, that this will turn out to be an important contribution to future pandemic response planning. It does though deal only with one measurement. Excess deaths. There are other considerations when planning pandemic responses. NHS staff do have a consensus on vaccination. They are overwhelmingly in favour. Having a consensus doesn't mean having unanimity. Caution is not injecting an entire population with an experimental gene therapy with no long term safety data
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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 03 Feb 22 1.52pm | |
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Originally posted by W12
Caution is not injecting an entire population with an experimental gene therapy with no long term safety data Caution is not using a series of separately developed vaccines which every responsible scientist involved in their development knew were going to be proved safe. A conviction backed up by extensive prior to use testing and verified by the application of millions of doses, which has provided all the long term data necessary to make informed decisions. Waiting whilst people died in queues waiting for a respirator in overwhelmed hospitals for something given clearance by science, the WHO and our own health authorities on the basis of misinformation spread by non-expert conspiracy theorists was never an option. Either for government, common sense or the bulk of us. To describe the vaccines as "experimental gene therapy" is to parrot the nonsense to be found in the worst kind of US misinformation site. It's been debunked many, many times. Just read this balanced and objective assessment:-
For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally. |
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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 03 Feb 22 2.16pm | |
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I have been thinking about the claims made in this study of the effects of lockdowns on Covid 19 mortality and realised there is a fundamental flaw in the conclusions being drawn. I doubt whether this was the intention of those who conducted the study. More likely it's by those jumping on it as confirmation of their already determined opinions. Aka prejudice. Leaving aside how the death rate from C19 is best measured, as that's a separate debate, looking only at how much lockdowns have impacted that, has to be an impossibility. Why? Because no data exists for identical situations in which we didn't lockdown. How many deaths would have occurred if widespread transmission had happened prior to the vaccination programme, with a shortage of hospital resources, beds and especially respirators? Whilst we don't have an identical situation to compare, we can still make valid comparisons. Look at Brazil:
For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally. |
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W12 03 Feb 22 3.06pm | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
I have been thinking about the claims made in this study of the effects of lockdowns on Covid 19 mortality and realised there is a fundamental flaw in the conclusions being drawn. I doubt whether this was the intention of those who conducted the study. More likely it's by those jumping on it as confirmation of their already determined opinions. Aka prejudice. Leaving aside how the death rate from C19 is best measured, as that's a separate debate, looking only at how much lockdowns have impacted that, has to be an impossibility. Why? Because no data exists for identical situations in which we didn't lockdown. How many deaths would have occurred if widespread transmission had happened prior to the vaccination programme, with a shortage of hospital resources, beds and especially respirators? Whilst we don't have an identical situation to compare, we can still make valid comparisons. Look at Brazil: You could simply compare to countries that did not lock down
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Stirlingsays 03 Feb 22 3.24pm | |
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Hard to compare?....no joke. Brazil is a country of 210 million.....that's three times our size, which is culturally far more touchy feely and economically has considerably higher multiple household occupancy. You have the same problems of measurement as previously stated. But hey, the coming dramatic increases in gas prices will probably kill more people in Brazil than it will here. Still, stay in and save lives eh. Edited by Stirlingsays (03 Feb 2022 3.26pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 03 Feb 22 3.29pm | |
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Originally posted by W12
You could simply compare to countries that did not lock down You can, but the problem is that no place is identical to another. Demographics vary, as does culture and behaviour. The only truly accurate measurement would be comparing a lockdown and no lockdown happening in the same place, at the same time. And that's impossible. So broad assumptions need to be made. Only a handful of countries decided not to do it. Brazil, as I referenced, resisted at Presidential level, and had a disaster. The only Western European country was Sweden, where the demographics ought to have lent support, but it didn't work out too well did it? :-
For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally. |
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Stirlingsays 03 Feb 22 4.23pm | |
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I don't think it's in anyway logical to say....oh well spent 370 billion but hey....no way to tell....I guess destroying the economy was just the answer. I imagine those struggling to buy bread and about to be hit for gas are really going to reflect on that. Locking away the healthy population was always irrational and always a nuts level of over reaction.....and that's before we even touch the manipulation and coercion the government used on the population....people being arrested for being outside, people having sandwiches in the park being told to go home, being told to get out of their gardens...for being on the beach. They were called covidiots.....but that was by the fruitcakes in the media and by those who nodded along. We lost half a million young fighting men fighting WW2 and spending less. Feck's sake....Just how many levels of magnitude are we an embarrassment compared to that golden generation. Edited by Stirlingsays (03 Feb 2022 4.36pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Stirlingsays 03 Feb 22 4.33pm | |
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Public opinion for Sweden's approach was generally supportive. Apparently a large concern for deaths was issues in their care-homes. Again, the vast majority of people who died of this virus were elderly and already considerably ill. I like many others think that care and measures were sensible for them.....and many mistakes early on were made....the so called experts telling people get stay in being one. Also, no one is saying that social distancing and hygiene wasn't sensible when possible but locking down a healthy population amid a massive fear campaign was not an adult nor honest approach. The report correctly counts the costs...many of them mental ones now.....the idea that it can be shrugged off is more ideological than practical. Edited by Stirlingsays (03 Feb 2022 4.37pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Forest Hillbilly in a hidey-hole 03 Feb 22 5.15pm | |
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And the expenditure on Track and Trace was a miserable failure. Or was it ? Government Agencies now have a linked dataset for a large percentage of the population.
I disengage, I turn the page. |
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georgenorman 03 Feb 22 5.46pm | |
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It's all been a waste of money and probably hasn't saved many lives at all. The damage it has done to the ecconomy and to the comming generation is massive. Governments in general are bad at what they do. It's best to vote for parties they propose the least intervention in things. At least we left the EU, probably the worst in trying to micro-manage our lives. Edited by georgenorman (03 Feb 2022 5.48pm)
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