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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 29 Nov 18 9.59pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by dannyboy1978

The irony is
May is a remainer supporting brexit
Corbin is a leaver supporting remain

You couldn't make it up.

Good debating training. Oh dear. Training.

 


COYP

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 29 Nov 18 10.01pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by croydon proud

Strange that jeremy doesn"t want to appear on the left wing "biased" bbc, instead the itv channel, maybe it"s not as "biased", as lots on here think!

He probably wants to reach out to his core vote that want to leave before they sit down to watch Ant and/or Dec waffle on for an hour before awarding Harry Redknapp £200k for eating rat’s testicles.

 


COYP

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 29 Nov 18 10.02pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by croydon proud

What do you call a foreigner living in england? An immigrant ! What do you call an english man living abroad ? an expat!

To whom is the reason for the change in terms.

 


COYP

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 29 Nov 18 10.06pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by Pussay Patrol

Yeah, and when Brexiters say 'we won you lost'. When we have no trade deals, rising inflation and the pound is weaker then ever who's the winner?

The pound has been overvalued for decades. A problem for exporting and actually producing and growing the economy while Germany did it instead. A weaker pound, trading freely around the world and still in Europe. There’s an economic result and advantage. Something Labour old and new know little about.

 


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steve1984 29 Nov 18 10.26pm

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman


In the future we can trade freely in growing markets, everywhere.

OK but here are the economies that grew fastest last year.

[Link]

Some of them are very small and show little potential for replacing the trade we could lose from the EU. The interesting markets are the ones with high growth and high volume. India & China.

But again based on my experience of doing business, when you're negotiating with an entity that is larger than you, then you're at a considerable commercial disadvantage regarding the terms of business.

China's economy is almost 5 times larger than ours and India's is the same size but growing much faster.

One of the advantages of being in a trade block is that it gives you an advantage when negotiating with large nations that would otherwise dictate terms. It allows you to dictate terms instead.

Our ability to "take back control" would appear to be rather limited when you consider May's capitulation and Cameron's failure to get anything worthwhile from the EU.

When people said that the Germans need us to buy their BMWs they often said that the UK is the 2nd largest market within the EU, which is true. But they fail to grasp that the UK only buys 3% of the world's cars.

If that 3% falls to 2% because of brexit the German car makers will be more than compensated for by higher sales in those same high growth markets you identify as being of potential for a UK free trade deal.

Hence the reason the EU can dictate terms.

Yes we're the world's 5th largest economy (for now) but the UK only generates 3.3% of global GDP. By any measure that's a small number. The USA by comparison is almost 25%.

I used to sell advertising for Ulster TV donkeys years ago. UTV had a monopoly in 2.3% of the UK's households and when we sat with advertisers to negotiate we got screwed because they had to give a bigger share of their money to LWT & Thames who had 20% of the UK's households.

I have very little faith in our ability to get good free trade deals with any of the economies that represent significant potential. The USA? China? India? Forget it.

Only my opinion but I'd prefer to be in a bigger trade block. Just like ITV which consolidated from 13 different regional companies to a single company.

Capitalism favours big business, which is why success is always predicated on growth.

 

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Pussay Patrol Flag 29 Nov 18 10.35pm

Originally posted by Cucking Funt

We will be free to make trade deals the moment we exit. There's no shortage of nations anxious to conclude such deals and quickly and we can trade under WTO rules (like most of the rest of the world does) immediately in the interim. Political and commercial pressure from individual EU states (France, Germany etc) will follow. A weaker pound makes exporting an even more attractive proposition.

Stop scaremongering.

Weaker currency would be beneficial to some economies like Tourism and exports but the downside would have a direct effect on us as consumers, we would pay more for everyday goods, once you include tariffs and the lack of choice this could rocket. This will be very damaging to a country already struggling with cost of living as it is

Trade deals will take many years and who's to say we'd be in a better position, I mean why would they offer us better deals than the EU?

My main point though, is unless you are positive you will enjoy better economic benefits why would you vote for it? No one votes for uncertainty.

 


Paua oouaarancì Irà chiyeah Ishé galé ma ba oo ah

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Cucking Funt Flag Clapham on the Back 29 Nov 18 10.46pm Send a Private Message to Cucking Funt Add Cucking Funt as a friend

Originally posted by Pussay Patrol

Weaker currency would be beneficial to some economies like Tourism and exports but the downside would have a direct effect on us as consumers, we would pay more for everyday goods, once you include tariffs and the lack of choice this could rocket. This will be very damaging to a country already struggling with cost of living as it is

Trade deals will take many years and who's to say we'd be in a better position, I mean why would they offer us better deals than the EU?

My main point though, is unless you are positive you will enjoy better economic benefits why would you vote for it? No one votes for uncertainty.

I voted to free us from the shackled of the EU Superstate. I guess the notion of this country's destiny being in our own hands doesn't appeal to you. The EU is going backwards, not forwards. I believe in Britain.

 


Wife beating may be socially acceptable in Sheffield, but it is a different matter in Cheltenham

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Mapletree Flag Croydon 29 Nov 18 10.56pm Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by Cucking Funt

I voted to free us from the shackled of the EU Superstate. I guess the notion of this country's destiny being in our own hands doesn't appeal to you. The EU is going backwards, not forwards. I believe in Britain.

'I believe'.

Yes, that seems about right to me

There is about as much proof that there will be a benefit eventually from Brexit as there is that Joseph Smith discovered Golden Plates having been directed to them by an Angel.

Sadly, I don't think there is anything radically different about Britain compared with any other nation.

A mistake is a mistake. We shall lose so much ground without any guarantee or even realistic hope of recovering it in the long term.

 

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steeleye20 Flag Croydon 29 Nov 18 11.01pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

What trading arrangements are you talking about, as I understood from Fallon yesterday that there are no new trade arrangements at all and WTO countries are quite hostile to changes.

That is his main reason for opposing this 'deal'.

I never understood all this anyway as we already have a good trading relationship with the USA and others. Being in the single market does not effect them, my shop each week has plenty of non-EU items.

Best to remain and simply carry on - Fox is never going to do anything except involve us in prolonged negotiations for several years he has already got away with 2 years living in fancy hotels at our expense.

The USA ambassador said the other day that not to have a trade deal was the best way to trade, he is probably thinking of international court case log jams which of course are the American way, along with all the other difficulties of 2 incompatible countries standards.

Does Canada in fact, trade much with the EU, after 7 years negotiations?

We get the best of both worlds at the moment.

The treasury is hoping that we will muddle through somehow but that's no way to run things, at least it wasn't until brexit fantasies came along.


 

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 29 Nov 18 11.56pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

No I just have yours..........

Is that the one that is signed 'To a total bellend'?

 

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Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 30 Nov 18 12.47am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by Cucking Funt

I voted to free us from the shackled of the EU Superstate. I guess the notion of this country's destiny being in our own hands doesn't appeal to you. The EU is going backwards, not forwards. I believe in Britain.

Very telling that left leaning Paul Mason was in favour of leave, although not under a Tory government, even though you get to vote the Tories out regularly and Corbyn is really a remainer. Somebody so intelligent yet so childish.

 


COYP

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cryrst Flag The garden of England 30 Nov 18 6.27am Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

Again, fully aware there’ll be a downturn. In the future we can trade freely in growing markets, everywhere. Those markets are growing for us before we can trade freely there. The EU market for us is contracting.

The 10 countries outside the eu who we have our highest trade with in money; added together is still not as high as the eu trades.
I get that the eu is 20 odd countries but as a block i mean.

 

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