You are here: Home > Message Board > News & Politics > Topic
November 28 2024 8.52am

This page is no longer updated, and is the old forum. For new topics visit the New HOL forum.

Coronavirus (LOCKED)

Previous Topic | Next Topic


Page 1000 of 1255 < 996 997 998 999 1000 1001 1002 1003 1004 >

Topic Locked

BlueJay Flag UK 06 Dec 21 9.12pm

Fingers crossed that Omicron is very contagious yet somewhat more mild. It could then be a 'way out' comparable to the Spanish Flu dying down. There are coin toss elements to what happens as this pans out of course, so I really hope we're lucky on that front. We'll soon know.

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post
Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 06 Dec 21 10.19pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

Fingers crossed that Omicron is very contagious yet somewhat more mild. It could then be a 'way out' comparable to the Spanish Flu dying down. There are coin toss elements to what happens as this pans out of course, so I really hope we're lucky on that front. We'll soon know.

What's the logic here?

Surely for those of us who have been double jabbed and boosted, catching Omicron won't add anything significant to our future protection against another variant?

If the unvaccinated catch it then not only will they suffer more, and overload the NHS as a consequence, any subsequent protection will fade away after a while. We can have more booster jabs, but they won't.

Are you anticipating some kind of herd immunity will develop?

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
BlueJay Flag UK 06 Dec 21 11.30pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

What's the logic here?

Surely for those of us who have been double jabbed and boosted, catching Omicron won't add anything significant to our future protection against another variant?

If the unvaccinated catch it then not only will they suffer more, and overload the NHS as a consequence, any subsequent protection will fade away after a while. We can have more booster jabs, but they won't.

Are you anticipating some kind of herd immunity will develop?

I'm just describing what has previously typically happened with pandemics. While there is logic in dampening down spread to more manageable levels, it's an inevitability that we're likely to catch Covid at some point if we are capable of doing so and that is essentially what will happen en route to the way out of this. Eventually a more mild version will likely have a competitive advantage over other versions. That would be a good thing.


Quote Surely for those of us who have been double jabbed and boosted, catching Omicron won't add anything significant to our future protection against another variant?"

"If the unvaccinated catch it then not only will they suffer more, and overload the NHS as a consequence, any subsequent protection will fade away after a while. We can have more booster jabs, but they won't.


Some seem to believe that catching covid is 'job done' but for many more of those unvaccinated at the time in comparison to vaccinated it's more a matter of 'life done'. So yes I do see vaccination as very important in cushioning the blow.

Being vaccinated and catching covid both convey some protection. T and B immunity from vaccines do seem broad and effective (above and beyond that the initial 'gatekeeper' style antibodies) against various variants. Hopefully that will be true against Omicron too. It's specific to the spike protein though (in a very exaggerated way, hence why it likely has some advantages over natural infection), whereas catching covid is more of a blueprint of the whole virus. My thinking would be that if the spike protein aspect changes very significantly to a point that greatly impacts the vaccines (likely to happen to partial degree but probably to a point that still helps us fight it off) then having had covid in the past may offer protection from a more broad perspective. There are even studies that suggest having a common cold version of covid offers 'some' protection against serious covid. At minimum getting covid post vaccination would act as a 'booster' in and of itself.

I'm not telling people to take no precautions, I'm just saying that as the virus changes it becomes fairly likely you will catch it even if you are vaccinated (and that the vaccine should do a good job of helping to fight it off) and that it's unrealistic if anyone thinks that they won't. As long as people are careful, testing, (preferably) vaccinated and so on, if you do catch it you at least likely have a several month window where it's very unlikely you'll be able to catch it again and it might further train your immune system against covid and its variants. I don't really see what the alternative is.

We probably had 100k cases of Delta a day but with limited deaths due to the vaccination effort. If that remains true this time around and its mild (or not worse at least) and takes over it's a best case, because clearly we can't slow it down in any meaningful way and maintain a functioning society at the same time. We've essentially done all we can.

Edited by BlueJay (07 Dec 2021 12.59am)

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post
cryrst Flag The garden of England 07 Dec 21 6.38am Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Not sure where but I heard that 130 years ago a covid strain eventually morphed into what we now see as the common cold. Maybe this omicron is more mild to humans but more deadly to its competitors in the virus world. Time will tell and South Africa will be the live test the world is watching as only 25% have a vaccine. Their numbers on death and hospitalizations will be the mark.

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
DanH Flag SW2 07 Dec 21 10.24am Send a Private Message to DanH Add DanH as a friend

These night sweats are proper grim lads. Like waking up in a paddling pool this morning.

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
palace_in_frogland Flag In a broken dream 07 Dec 21 10.51am Send a Private Message to palace_in_frogland Add palace_in_frogland as a friend

Originally posted by DanH

These night sweats are proper grim lads. Like waking up in a paddling pool this morning.

Incontinence?

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 07 Dec 21 11.16am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

It's all about taking personal responsibility for the safety and welfare of others. Some understand that. Some clearly don't, as some contributions in this thread confirm.

Those whose only concerns are their own rights and fail to either recognise their responsibilities, or choose to ignore them will, I am quite sure, face a situation where they are excluded from more and more locations and activities. Mandatory vaccination may well be an illegal act, and is certainly an impractical one. Restricting the locations open to the unvaccinated isn't, though, and that's what I expect to see happening.

Sorry if that annoys people!

You’d have a fit in an urban/London Tesco then.

 


COYP

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 07 Dec 21 11.17am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

The fastest way to get Covid would likely be those cow udder-like ketchup dispensers in the Bavarian Village area of Winter Wonderland. Thousands of dirty handed people a day are no doubt pulling on those directly before eating. Pretty gross even in pre-covid times to be honest.

Considering I had to print off my covid certificate, recovery info, several page passanger locator form (different one both ways) and get tested before and after a recent trip abroad I found the extremes of both of those situations to be almost surreal.

Never use your fingers or thumb on anything like that. Palm near your wrist.

 


COYP

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 07 Dec 21 11.19am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by DanH

These night sweats are proper grim lads. Like waking up in a paddling pool this morning.

Soft lad.

 


COYP

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
DanH Flag SW2 07 Dec 21 11.24am Send a Private Message to DanH Add DanH as a friend

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

Soft lad.

 

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 07 Dec 21 11.41am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay


Some seem to believe that catching covid is 'job done' but for many more of those unvaccinated at the time in comparison to vaccinated it's more a matter of 'life done'. So yes I do see vaccination as very important in cushioning the blow.

Being vaccinated and catching covid both convey some protection. T and B immunity from vaccines do seem broad and effective (above and beyond that the initial 'gatekeeper' style antibodies) against various variants. Hopefully that will be true against Omicron too. It's specific to the spike protein though (in a very exaggerated way, hence why it likely has some advantages over natural infection), whereas catching covid is more of a blueprint of the whole virus. My thinking would be that if the spike protein aspect changes very significantly to a point that greatly impacts the vaccines (likely to happen to partial degree but probably to a point that still helps us fight it off) then having had covid in the past may offer protection from a more broad perspective. There are even studies that suggest having a common cold version of covid offers 'some' protection against serious covid. At minimum getting covid post vaccination would act as a 'booster' in and of itself.

I'm not telling people to take no precautions, I'm just saying that as the virus changes it becomes fairly likely you will catch it even if you are vaccinated (and that the vaccine should do a good job of helping to fight it off) and that it's unrealistic if anyone thinks that they won't. As long as people are careful, testing, (preferably) vaccinated and so on, if you do catch it you at least likely have a several month window where it's very unlikely you'll be able to catch it again and it might further train your immune system against covid and its variants. I don't really see what the alternative is.

We probably had 100k cases of Delta a day but with limited deaths due to the vaccination effort. If that remains true this time around and its mild (or not worse at least) and takes over it's a best case, because clearly we can't slow it down in any meaningful way and maintain a functioning society at the same time. We've essentially done all we can.

Edited by BlueJay (07 Dec 2021 12.59am)

What I’ve been telling people. Most agree, some go silent so you know they thought they’d never get it.

 


COYP

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post
Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 07 Dec 21 11.45am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

You’d have a fit in an urban/London Tesco then.

There was a huge surge in home delivery here at the start of the pandemic, but that has dropped off considerably, although I wouldn't be surprised to see it on the rise again. I am already aware of people being more cautious, opening doors and windows, backing out of Christmas parties etc.

Is that similar is London?

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Alert Alert a moderator to this post Edit this post

Topic Locked

Page 1000 of 1255 < 996 997 998 999 1000 1001 1002 1003 1004 >

Previous Topic | Next Topic

You are here: Home > Message Board > News & Politics > Topic