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BlueJay UK 06 Dec 21 9.12pm | |
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Fingers crossed that Omicron is very contagious yet somewhat more mild. It could then be a 'way out' comparable to the Spanish Flu dying down. There are coin toss elements to what happens as this pans out of course, so I really hope we're lucky on that front. We'll soon know.
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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 06 Dec 21 10.19pm | |
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Originally posted by BlueJay
Fingers crossed that Omicron is very contagious yet somewhat more mild. It could then be a 'way out' comparable to the Spanish Flu dying down. There are coin toss elements to what happens as this pans out of course, so I really hope we're lucky on that front. We'll soon know. What's the logic here? Surely for those of us who have been double jabbed and boosted, catching Omicron won't add anything significant to our future protection against another variant? If the unvaccinated catch it then not only will they suffer more, and overload the NHS as a consequence, any subsequent protection will fade away after a while. We can have more booster jabs, but they won't. Are you anticipating some kind of herd immunity will develop?
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BlueJay UK 06 Dec 21 11.30pm | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
What's the logic here? Surely for those of us who have been double jabbed and boosted, catching Omicron won't add anything significant to our future protection against another variant? If the unvaccinated catch it then not only will they suffer more, and overload the NHS as a consequence, any subsequent protection will fade away after a while. We can have more booster jabs, but they won't. Are you anticipating some kind of herd immunity will develop? I'm just describing what has previously typically happened with pandemics. While there is logic in dampening down spread to more manageable levels, it's an inevitability that we're likely to catch Covid at some point if we are capable of doing so and that is essentially what will happen en route to the way out of this. Eventually a more mild version will likely have a competitive advantage over other versions. That would be a good thing. Quote Surely for those of us who have been double jabbed and boosted, catching Omicron won't add anything significant to our future protection against another variant?"
"If the unvaccinated catch it then not only will they suffer more, and overload the NHS as a consequence, any subsequent protection will fade away after a while. We can have more booster jabs, but they won't.
Being vaccinated and catching covid both convey some protection. T and B immunity from vaccines do seem broad and effective (above and beyond that the initial 'gatekeeper' style antibodies) against various variants. Hopefully that will be true against Omicron too. It's specific to the spike protein though (in a very exaggerated way, hence why it likely has some advantages over natural infection), whereas catching covid is more of a blueprint of the whole virus. My thinking would be that if the spike protein aspect changes very significantly to a point that greatly impacts the vaccines (likely to happen to partial degree but probably to a point that still helps us fight it off) then having had covid in the past may offer protection from a more broad perspective. There are even studies that suggest having a common cold version of covid offers 'some' protection against serious covid. At minimum getting covid post vaccination would act as a 'booster' in and of itself. I'm not telling people to take no precautions, I'm just saying that as the virus changes it becomes fairly likely you will catch it even if you are vaccinated (and that the vaccine should do a good job of helping to fight it off) and that it's unrealistic if anyone thinks that they won't. As long as people are careful, testing, (preferably) vaccinated and so on, if you do catch it you at least likely have a several month window where it's very unlikely you'll be able to catch it again and it might further train your immune system against covid and its variants. I don't really see what the alternative is. We probably had 100k cases of Delta a day but with limited deaths due to the vaccination effort. If that remains true this time around and its mild (or not worse at least) and takes over it's a best case, because clearly we can't slow it down in any meaningful way and maintain a functioning society at the same time. We've essentially done all we can. Edited by BlueJay (07 Dec 2021 12.59am)
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cryrst The garden of England 07 Dec 21 6.38am | |
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Not sure where but I heard that 130 years ago a covid strain eventually morphed into what we now see as the common cold. Maybe this omicron is more mild to humans but more deadly to its competitors in the virus world. Time will tell and South Africa will be the live test the world is watching as only 25% have a vaccine. Their numbers on death and hospitalizations will be the mark.
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DanH SW2 07 Dec 21 10.24am | |
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These night sweats are proper grim lads. Like waking up in a paddling pool this morning.
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palace_in_frogland In a broken dream 07 Dec 21 10.51am | |
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Originally posted by DanH
These night sweats are proper grim lads. Like waking up in a paddling pool this morning. Incontinence?
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 07 Dec 21 11.16am | |
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Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle
It's all about taking personal responsibility for the safety and welfare of others. Some understand that. Some clearly don't, as some contributions in this thread confirm. Those whose only concerns are their own rights and fail to either recognise their responsibilities, or choose to ignore them will, I am quite sure, face a situation where they are excluded from more and more locations and activities. Mandatory vaccination may well be an illegal act, and is certainly an impractical one. Restricting the locations open to the unvaccinated isn't, though, and that's what I expect to see happening. Sorry if that annoys people! You’d have a fit in an urban/London Tesco then.
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 07 Dec 21 11.17am | |
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Originally posted by BlueJay
The fastest way to get Covid would likely be those cow udder-like ketchup dispensers in the Bavarian Village area of Winter Wonderland. Thousands of dirty handed people a day are no doubt pulling on those directly before eating. Pretty gross even in pre-covid times to be honest. Considering I had to print off my covid certificate, recovery info, several page passanger locator form (different one both ways) and get tested before and after a recent trip abroad I found the extremes of both of those situations to be almost surreal. Never use your fingers or thumb on anything like that. Palm near your wrist.
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 07 Dec 21 11.19am | |
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Originally posted by DanH
These night sweats are proper grim lads. Like waking up in a paddling pool this morning. Soft lad.
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DanH SW2 07 Dec 21 11.24am | |
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Originally posted by Rudi Hedman
Soft lad.
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Rudi Hedman Caterham 07 Dec 21 11.41am | |
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Originally posted by BlueJay
Being vaccinated and catching covid both convey some protection. T and B immunity from vaccines do seem broad and effective (above and beyond that the initial 'gatekeeper' style antibodies) against various variants. Hopefully that will be true against Omicron too. It's specific to the spike protein though (in a very exaggerated way, hence why it likely has some advantages over natural infection), whereas catching covid is more of a blueprint of the whole virus. My thinking would be that if the spike protein aspect changes very significantly to a point that greatly impacts the vaccines (likely to happen to partial degree but probably to a point that still helps us fight it off) then having had covid in the past may offer protection from a more broad perspective. There are even studies that suggest having a common cold version of covid offers 'some' protection against serious covid. At minimum getting covid post vaccination would act as a 'booster' in and of itself. I'm not telling people to take no precautions, I'm just saying that as the virus changes it becomes fairly likely you will catch it even if you are vaccinated (and that the vaccine should do a good job of helping to fight it off) and that it's unrealistic if anyone thinks that they won't. As long as people are careful, testing, (preferably) vaccinated and so on, if you do catch it you at least likely have a several month window where it's very unlikely you'll be able to catch it again and it might further train your immune system against covid and its variants. I don't really see what the alternative is. We probably had 100k cases of Delta a day but with limited deaths due to the vaccination effort. If that remains true this time around and its mild (or not worse at least) and takes over it's a best case, because clearly we can't slow it down in any meaningful way and maintain a functioning society at the same time. We've essentially done all we can. Edited by BlueJay (07 Dec 2021 12.59am) What I’ve been telling people. Most agree, some go silent so you know they thought they’d never get it.
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Wisbech Eagle Truro Cornwall 07 Dec 21 11.45am | |
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Originally posted by Rudi Hedman
You’d have a fit in an urban/London Tesco then. There was a huge surge in home delivery here at the start of the pandemic, but that has dropped off considerably, although I wouldn't be surprised to see it on the rise again. I am already aware of people being more cautious, opening doors and windows, backing out of Christmas parties etc. Is that similar is London?
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