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How we did it - for the stats nerds

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Catfish Flag Burgess Hill 06 May 14 3.36pm

Needs excel.
This was my prediction of where we would need to pick up points this season game by game in order to get 38 points and avoid relegation. It shows the predicted points against actual points and gives a good indicator of where things were going well or not so well.
Shows clearly that Chelsea was the turning point that put us on track to survive - but you knew that.

 

Yes, I am an agent of Satan but my duties are largely ceremonial
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thetopgeezer Flag Streatham Hill 07 May 14 8.07am Send a Private Message to thetopgeezer Add thetopgeezer as a friend

I can't resit looking at that XLS as it makes such happy reading.

Chelsea onwards:

Predicted 3
Actual 16

Before Chelsea we had 28 points with a predicted 3 more before Fulham, i.e. 31 if I have this right. A win at Fulham would have given us the 34 to just creep over Norwich at 33 assuming they were to loose to Arsenal this Sunday.

What an exciting Sunday that would have been, one which I am very, very happy to do without.

 
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Y Ddraig Goch Flag In The Crowd 07 May 14 9.54am Send a Private Message to Y Ddraig Goch Add Y Ddraig Goch as a friend

What I find particularly interesting about this season is that we have lost only one less that Norwich and two less than Cardiff.

Draws are worth s*** in this league

 

the dignified don't even enter in the game

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Catfish Flag Burgess Hill 07 May 14 10.18am

Quote thetopgeezer at 07 May 2014 8.07am

I can't resit looking at that XLS as it makes such happy reading.

Chelsea onwards:

Predicted 3
Actual 16

Before Chelsea we had 28 points with a predicted 3 more before Fulham, i.e. 31 if I have this right. A win at Fulham would have given us the 34 to just creep over Norwich at 33 assuming they were to loose to Arsenal this Sunday.

What an exciting Sunday that would have been, one which I am very, very happy to do without.

Aftre the Newcastle game we were on course to finish on about 37 points - too close for comfort.

 

Yes, I am an agent of Satan but my duties are largely ceremonial
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Qwijibo Flag Bournemouth 07 May 14 11.03am Send a Private Message to Qwijibo Add Qwijibo as a friend

Quote Y Ddraig Goch at 07 May 2014 9.54am

What I find particularly interesting about this season is that we have lost only one less that Norwich and two less than Cardiff.

Draws are worth s*** in this league


Brendan agrees

 
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Kermit8 Flag Hevon 07 May 14 11.05am Send a Private Message to Kermit8 Add Kermit8 as a friend

Be great if someone could repost the points prediction thread done in August before the Tottenham game.

 

Big chest and massive boobs

[Link]
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