Anyone know the earliest we could potentially be mathematically safe?

Wednesday, if we beat Everton, we would still need 2 points to mathematically safe.

So, earliest is next Saturday.

Edited by Tim Gypsy Hill '64 (13 Apr 2014 11.23pm)

Edited by Tim Gypsy Hill '64 (13 Apr 2014 11.24pm)

I worked this same thing out yesterday and the flip to it is for them to overtake us assuming we don't get another point all season...

Sunderland can only afford drop 5 points
Cardiff can only drop 3 points
Fulham can only drop 4 points
Norwich can only afford to drop 6

So as soon as those teams 'drop' those points then we are safe...and what we do is irrelevant

Norwich, WBA and even Swansea are looking vulnerable to the bottom three a hell of a lot more than we are...who would have thought that in August

For the bottom four clubs they need the following to get more points than Palace.

Sunderland (GD is 10 worse than ours) 13 points from 6 games.
Cardiff (GD is 19 worse than ours) 9 points from 4 games.
Fulham (GD is 25 worse than ours) 8 points from 4 games.
Norwich (GD is 12 worse than) 6 points from 4 games.

You also have to realise there is one match where two are playing each other, Sunderland v Cardiff.

Sunderland need 5 wins or 4 wins & 1 draw.
Cardiff need 3 wins.
Fulham need 3 wins or 2 wins & 2 draws.
Norwich need 2 wins or 1 win and 3 draws.
and of course Palace have to lose all 5 of there matches.

Perhaps Sunderland may only require 12 points to finish above Palace as they could finish with a better GD, which is of course 4 wins.