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Migration levels.... cover up conspiracy?

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Hoof Hearted 02 Apr 16 10.30am

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Two links regarding this matter.... the Telegraph believes that Ministers are massaging figures to have us believe that net migration was about 250K per year currently, whereas new National Insurance applications show a level of 630K per year.

The Guardian seems to want to believe the excuses and lame explanations from the government who are clearly anxious to play down the levels of migration to bolster their campaign to remain in the EU.

I would tend to believe the stats thrown up by the NI applications - difficult to argue with them... if they show a delayed take up from migrants then we've been lied to in the past.

The levels of people arriving here is definitely increasing - you don't need statistics to know that... try getting your kids in a local school, try to book a same day GP appointment, turn up at A&E and be seen in under 4 hours, drive on the M25 and watch your speedo stuck on Zero MPH for long periods.....

Anyone that thinks life after voting to stay in the EU will be better than voting to leave the EU must like living in crowded conditions with fewer and fewer green spaces to enjoy as prime agricultural land will be swallowed up for housing and it's burgeoning infra-structure.

By 2050 I reckon Greater London will be but a stone's throw from Greater Birmingham.

Scary.

 

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becky Flag over the moon 02 Apr 16 11.24am Send a Private Message to becky Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add becky as a friend

Originally posted by Hoof Hearted

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Two links regarding this matter.... the Telegraph believes that Ministers are massaging figures to have us believe that net migration was about 250K per year currently, whereas new National Insurance applications show a level of 630K per year.

The Guardian seems to want to believe the excuses and lame explanations from the government who are clearly anxious to play down the levels of migration to bolster their campaign to remain in the EU.

I would tend to believe the stats thrown up by the NI applications - difficult to argue with them... if they show a delayed take up from migrants then we've been lied to in the past.

The levels of people arriving here is definitely increasing - you don't need statistics to know that... try getting your kids in a local school, try to book a same day GP appointment, turn up at A&E and be seen in under 4 hours, drive on the M25 and watch your speedo stuck on Zero MPH for long periods.....

Anyone that thinks life after voting to stay in the EU will be better than voting to leave the EU must like living in crowded conditions with fewer and fewer green spaces to enjoy as prime agricultural land will be swallowed up for housing and it's burgeoning infra-structure.

By 2050 I reckon Greater London will be but a stone's throw from Greater Birmingham.

Scary.


Even here in Somerset (one of the least populated counties in England) prime agricultural land is being eaten up by housing etc....... so where do we get the food to feed all these new people?

Oh yes, we can import even more goods at a far greater price than we could grow/breed our own (especially if we get out of Europe and the common agricultural policy and our farmers are allowed to farm as they should rather than being paid to leave fields empty to keep the price of French produce high!)

 


A stairway to Heaven and a Highway to Hell give some indication of expected traffic numbers

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 02 Apr 16 3.00pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by becky


Even here in Somerset (one of the least populated counties in England) prime agricultural land is being eaten up by housing etc....... so where do we get the food to feed all these new people?

Oh yes, we can import even more goods at a far greater price than we could grow/breed our own (especially if we get out of Europe and the common agricultural policy and our farmers are allowed to farm as they should rather than being paid to leave fields empty to keep the price of French produce high!)

I am there right now and I agree. Britain is just becoming a network of new housing developments, the roads are constantly jammed and foreign faces can be seen in the remotest places, especially doing low paid jobs.
And when I hear people say there is still plenty of room in Britain it just makes me laugh and angry at the same time. They clearly aren't old enough to remember Britain when it wasn't one big traffic jam.

Edited by Hrolf The Ganger (02 Apr 2016 3.01pm)

 

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johnfirewall Flag 03 Apr 16 6.32pm Send a Private Message to johnfirewall Add johnfirewall as a friend

Originally posted by becky


Even here in Somerset (one of the least populated counties in England) prime agricultural land is being eaten up by housing etc....... so where do we get the food to feed all these new people?

Oh yes, we can import even more goods at a far greater price than we could grow/breed our own (especially if we get out of Europe and the common agricultural policy and our farmers are allowed to farm as they should rather than being paid to leave fields empty to keep the price of French produce high!)

Nearly half is imported already, mostly because it's cheaper. Pertinent to the ongoing Brexit and steel debates.

Edited by johnfirewall (03 Apr 2016 8.55pm)

 

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-TUX- Flag Alphabettispaghetti 03 Apr 16 8.38pm Send a Private Message to -TUX- Add -TUX- as a friend

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

I am there right now and I agree. Britain is just becoming a network of new housing developments, the roads are constantly jammed and foreign faces can be seen in the remotest places, especially doing low paid jobs.
And when I hear people say there is still plenty of room in Britain it just makes me laugh and angry at the same time. They clearly aren't old enough to remember Britain when it wasn't one big traffic jam.

Edited by Hrolf The Ganger (02 Apr 2016 3.01pm)

There's plenty of room.
The fact that we decide NOT to build is another matter............along with the 'immigration cover up' mentioned by Hoof.
'Shafted as a nation' springs to mind.

 


Time to move forward together.

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leifandersonshair Flag Newport 03 Apr 16 9.47pm Send a Private Message to leifandersonshair Add leifandersonshair as a friend

Originally posted by -TUX-

There's plenty of room.
The fact that we decide NOT to build is another matter............along with the 'immigration cover up' mentioned by Hoof.
'Shafted as a nation' springs to mind.

There's plenty of room, but housing developers have the government by the balls. There are spaces for millions of houses on brownfield sites, old industrial sites, wasteground... but developers don't want to build there. They want to build in nice, leafy greenfield areas. Government tries to encourage building on brownfield sites, but can't force developers to do so.

Inevitably, a few chummy drinks with ministers or local councillors and what do you know, permission to build on greenfield sites rubber stamped.

On topic- government probably massaging figures (somewhat) but Guardian does make some valid points- plenty of those NINO's could have been for people who were here 6 months then returned home. Even if you only worked a month here, you would still need a NINO for PAYE. I'd be interested in how much NI contributions were collected for 'wasted' work- i.e. people who worked here for less than a year (thus had no entitlement to state pension) then went home, at which point anything collected is essentially a freebie to the state.

Also bear in mind- the Guardian has an agenda, but so does the Sun.

 

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-TUX- Flag Alphabettispaghetti 03 Apr 16 10.54pm Send a Private Message to -TUX- Add -TUX- as a friend

Originally posted by leifandersonshair

There's plenty of room, but housing developers have the government by the balls. There are spaces for millions of houses on brownfield sites, old industrial sites, wasteground... but developers don't want to build there. They want to build in nice, leafy greenfield areas. Government tries to encourage building on brownfield sites, but can't force developers to do so.

Inevitably, a few chummy drinks with ministers or local councillors and what do you know, permission to build on greenfield sites rubber stamped.

On topic- government probably massaging figures (somewhat) but Guardian does make some valid points- plenty of those NINO's could have been for people who were here 6 months then returned home. Even if you only worked a month here, you would still need a NINO for PAYE. I'd be interested in how much NI contributions were collected for 'wasted' work- i.e. people who worked here for less than a year (thus had no entitlement to state pension) then went home, at which point anything collected is essentially a freebie to the state.

Also bear in mind- the Guardian has an agenda, but so does the Sun.

Another reason as to why i gave up voting a long while ago.

 


Time to move forward together.

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 04 Apr 16 9.43am

Net migration figures are different because they include emigration figures from the UK. However, a population increase of 250k per year, from migration is still a concerning figure - especially given that UK refugee / Asylum success rates are probably less than 30k.

The estimates on immigration into the UK put a figure of around 500k last year, and about 230k for emigration, of which around 125k were UK citizens.

So 630,000 applications for NI more of less fit into those kinds of figures. This is for me an issue, because that's a high demand for employees, which is being sourced from abroad, rather than having companies attract employees from within the UK (i.e. it allows companies to keep wages down, by attracting cheap labour from outside the UK, than raising wages to attract people within the UK already).

Not surprising then that paid work pays less than benefits, when companies have been able to squeeze low and non-skilled labour wages for a decade now.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 04 Apr 16 11.36am Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

Net migration figures are different because they include emigration figures from the UK. However, a population increase of 250k per year, from migration is still a concerning figure - especially given that UK refugee / Asylum success rates are probably less than 30k.

The estimates on immigration into the UK put a figure of around 500k last year, and about 230k for emigration, of which around 125k were UK citizens.

So 630,000 applications for NI more of less fit into those kinds of figures. This is for me an issue, because that's a high demand for employees, which is being sourced from abroad, rather than having companies attract employees from within the UK (i.e. it allows companies to keep wages down, by attracting cheap labour from outside the UK, than raising wages to attract people within the UK already).

Not surprising then that paid work pays less than benefits, when companies have been able to squeeze low and non-skilled labour wages for a decade now.

Ably supported by liberal opinion branding dissenters as racists while at the same time the government pays lip service to curtailing immigration to appease the Right.

Scandalous.

Edited by Hrolf The Ganger (04 Apr 2016 11.36am)

 

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legaleagle Flag 04 Apr 16 11.47am

With rational and sensible debate made even harder by those who simply don't "like" foreigners and their presence here per se and obsess on the topic ,but dress it up as "legitimate" economic concerns about migration...so the debate is undermined on all sides

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 04 Apr 16 12.14pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Ably supported by liberal opinion branding dissenters as racists while at the same time the government pays lip service to curtailing immigration to appease the Right.

Scandalous.

Edited by Hrolf The Ganger (04 Apr 2016 11.36am)

Depends on why people object to migration really. What government wants is people who may have reasonable arguments, to be shouted out by both sides, and the government gets to do what the companies want as well as netting some financial benefits from the migrants.

The reality is both sides have become so effective at shouting at the other, that it divides a common consensus about government responsibility to its society and citizens.

Sound byte politics, give them someone to hate and you can do what you want.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 04 Apr 16 12.20pm

Originally posted by -TUX-

Another reason as to why i gave up voting a long while ago.

If voting changed things, they'd have to do something about it. That's the fear that parties like UKIP and the Greens represent to the 'big three'. Personally, I think both of these parties have reasonable futures ahead of them similar to the SNP in Scotland if they can maintain their capacity as being 'the alternative' and talking to the representation of the electorate concerns and worries.

Its easy 'debate' to dismiss the Greens as loonies and UKIP as racists, because otherwise we'd have to address the fact that they are both increasingly popular on issues that actually concern people in society - that the mainstream has effectively avoided.

The hubris of Labour resulted in the SNP dominating Scottish Politics.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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